CACI · TickerCove

CACICACI International IncTechnology · Information Technology Servicesas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $631.18 · now $631.18 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, CACI has typically landed between $555.86 and $724.05 — a range of −11.9% to +14.7% from the issuance price $631.18.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($631.18) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$631.18 · 80% of range

$440.76 low$680.08 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

+1.7%

typical move · IQR 11.2%

−11.9%worst (p90)+14.7%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where CACI has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $631.18 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $631.18 (+0.0%)
typical $641.62 (+1.7%)
middle 50% $606.27–$676.98
90% range $555.86–$724.05

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2020-02-18	−40.6%	−40.6%	+1.4%
2020-02-19	−37.0%	−41.4%	+0.0%
2020-02-21	−33.8%	−38.4%	+0.0%
3 best
2026-07-21	+50.3%	+0.0%	+54.3%
2026-07-20	+45.4%	−2.3%	+50.7%
2026-07-14	+45.1%	−5.9%	+45.1%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

50%

+0.6%

n=20

Feb

60%

+1.4%

n=20

Mar

65%

+1.0%

n=20

Apr

50%

+2.2%

n=20

May

65%

+0.8%

n=20

Jun

50%

+0.2%

n=20

Jul

70%

+2.3%

n=20

Aug

60%

+2.8%

n=20

Sep

55%

−0.3%

n=20

Oct

70%

+5.3%

n=20

Nov

60%

+1.6%

n=20

Dec

50%

−1.4%

n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-06-16	Gordon Susan M.	director	Sale	264 @ $500.38	$132K	−9.1% of holding	−7.8%	not yet — horizon still open	2,641	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-11	Plunkett Debora A	director	Sale	220 @ $603.30	$133K	−8.3% of holding	−12.3%	−9.4%	2,428	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-10	Koegel J William JR	officer	Sale	2,000 @ $615.06	$1.2M	−7.2% of holding	+1.7%	−3.5%	25,931	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-12-10	JEWS WILLIAM L	director	Sale	3,000 @ $585.82	$1.8M	−47.0% of holding	−0.0%	−21.4%	3,384	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

296 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-07-30	DISBROW LISA S	director	Award / grant	58	2,510	Form 4
2026-07-30	DISBROW LISA S	director	Award / grant	58	2,510	Form 4
2026-07-13	SZEWS CHARLES L	director	Option exercise	85	85	Form 4
2026-07-13	Sloane Stanton D	director	Option exercise	85	1,112	Form 4
2026-07-13	Sloane Stanton D	director	Option exercise	85	85	Form 4
2026-07-13	Nolan Philip O	director	Option exercise	85	2,322	Form 4
2026-07-13	MORRISON SCOTT C	director	Option exercise	85	584	Form 4
2026-07-13	Nolan Philip O	director	Option exercise	85	85	Form 4
2026-07-13	Plunkett Debora A	director	Option exercise	85	2,597	Form 4
2026-07-13	Plunkett Debora A	director	Option exercise	85	85	Form 4
2026-07-13	DISBROW LISA S	director	Option exercise	123	123	Form 4
2026-07-13	Gordon Susan M.	director	Option exercise	85	2,726	Form 4
2026-07-13	Gordon Susan M.	director	Option exercise	85	85	Form 4
2026-07-13	McCarthy Ryan D	director	Option exercise	85	2,322	Form 4
2026-07-13	McCarthy Ryan D	director	Option exercise	85	85	Form 4
2026-07-13	DISBROW LISA S	director	Option exercise	123	2,452	Form 4
2026-07-13	DISBROW LISA S	director	Option exercise	123	123	Form 4
2026-07-13	Gordon Susan M.	director	Option exercise	85	2,726	Form 4
2026-07-13	Gordon Susan M.	director	Option exercise	85	85	Form 4
2026-07-13	MORRISON SCOTT C	director	Option exercise	85	584	Form 4
2026-07-13	MORRISON SCOTT C	director	Option exercise	85	85	Form 4
2026-07-13	McCarthy Ryan D	director	Option exercise	85	2,322	Form 4
2026-07-13	McCarthy Ryan D	director	Option exercise	85	85	Form 4
2026-07-13	DISBROW LISA S	director	Option exercise	123	2,452	Form 4
2026-07-13	SZEWS CHARLES L	director	Option exercise	85	584	Form 4
2026-07-13	Nolan Philip O	director	Option exercise	85	85	Form 4
2026-07-13	Plunkett Debora A	director	Option exercise	85	2,597	Form 4
2026-07-13	Plunkett Debora A	director	Option exercise	85	85	Form 4
2026-07-13	SZEWS CHARLES L	director	Option exercise	85	584	Form 4
2026-07-13	SZEWS CHARLES L	director	Option exercise	85	85	Form 4
2026-07-13	Sloane Stanton D	director	Option exercise	85	1,112	Form 4
2026-07-13	Sloane Stanton D	director	Option exercise	85	85	Form 4
2026-07-13	MORRISON SCOTT C	director	Option exercise	85	85	Form 4
2026-07-13	Nolan Philip O	director	Option exercise	85	2,322	Form 4
2026-06-22	Young David Anthony	officer	Award / grant	4,448	4,448	Form 4
2026-06-22	Young David Anthony	officer	Award / grant	4,448	4,448	Form 4
2026-04-26	Gray DeEtte	officer	Withheld for tax	4,512	39,485	Form 4
2026-04-26	Gray DeEtte	officer	Option exercise	10,636	43,997	Form 4
2026-04-26	Gray DeEtte	officer	Option exercise	10,636	0	Form 4
2026-04-26	Gray DeEtte	officer	Option exercise	10,636	0	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i