Issued 2026-09-16 at $601.54 · now $601.54 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, CACC has typically landed between $509.04 and $705.42 — a range of −15.4% to +17.3% from the issuance price $601.54.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($601.54) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where CACC has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $601.54 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $601.54 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $603.29 (+0.3%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $561.92–$644.66
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $509.04–$705.42
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2020-03-05 | −49.8% | −49.8% | +1.2% |
| 2020-02-21 | −46.1% | −46.1% | +0.1% |
| 2020-03-04 | −45.5% | −46.0% | +0.2% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2008-04-23 | +74.0% | +0.0% | +74.0% |
| 2020-05-06 | +60.5% | +0.0% | +60.5% |
| 2020-05-07 | +55.5% | −3.5% | +55.5% |
5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
55%
+1.6%
n=20
Feb
45%
+0.7%
n=20
Mar
65%
+0.4%
n=20
Apr
65%
+5.3%
n=20
May
45%
+4.0%
n=20
Jun
70%
+2.8%
n=20
Jul
50%
+2.5%
n=20
Aug
55%
−0.4%
n=20
Sep
55%
−2.5%
n=20
Oct
40%
−0.6%
n=20
Nov
75%
+3.4%
n=20
Dec
80%
+4.8%
n=20
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 | Watson Jill Foss | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 977 @ $640.15 | $625K | −2.0% of holding | −11.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 48,369 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-16 | Watson Jill Foss | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 457 @ $641.31 | $293K | −0.9% of holding | −11.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 47,912 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-16 | Watson Jill Foss | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 2 @ $642.08 | $1K | −0.0% of holding | −11.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 47,910 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-02 | Watson Jill Foss | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 1,503 @ $649.38 | $976K | −2.9% of holding | −14.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 51,213 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-02 | Watson Jill Foss | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 1,203 @ $650.66 | $783K | −2.3% of holding | −14.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 50,010 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-02 | Watson Jill Foss | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 1,130 @ $648.32 | $733K | −2.1% of holding | −14.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 52,716 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-02 | Watson Jill Foss | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 1,037 @ $651.80 | $676K | −1.1% of holding | −14.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 89,973 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-02 | Watson Jill Foss | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 869 @ $654.76 | $569K | −1.0% of holding | −14.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 87,596 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-02 | Watson Jill Foss | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 813 @ $664.11 | $540K | −0.9% of holding | −14.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 85,768 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-02 | Watson Jill Foss | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 819 @ $653.79 | $535K | −0.9% of holding | −14.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 88,465 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-02 | Watson Jill Foss | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 689 @ $653.08 | $450K | −0.8% of holding | −14.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 89,284 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-02 | Watson Jill Foss | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 562 @ $651.94 | $366K | −1.1% of holding | −14.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 49,448 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-02 | Watson Jill Foss | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 503 @ $663.28 | $334K | −0.6% of holding | −14.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 86,581 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-02 | Watson Jill Foss | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 447 @ $650.92 | $291K | −0.5% of holding | −14.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 91,010 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-02 | Watson Jill Foss | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 413 @ $649.76 | $268K | −0.4% of holding | −14.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 91,457 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-02 | Watson Jill Foss | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 181 @ $661.67 | $120K | −0.2% of holding | −14.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 87,084 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-02 | Watson Jill Foss | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 184 @ $646.77 | $119K | −0.2% of holding | −14.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 91,923 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-02 | Watson Jill Foss | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 175 @ $657.11 | $115K | −0.2% of holding | −14.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 87,421 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-02 | Watson Jill Foss | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 156 @ $659.02 | $103K | −0.2% of holding | −14.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 87,265 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-02 | Watson Jill Foss | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 102 @ $652.70 | $67K | −0.2% of holding | −14.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 49,346 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-02 | Watson Jill Foss | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 81 @ $665.28 | $54K | −0.1% of holding | −14.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 85,687 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-02 | Watson Jill Foss | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 80 @ $666.22 | $53K | −0.1% of holding | −14.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 85,607 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-02 | Watson Jill Foss | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 53 @ $648.68 | $34K | −0.1% of holding | −14.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 91,870 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-26 | KERBER ERIN J | officer | Sale | 1,269 @ $628.93 | $798K | −4.3% of holding | −12.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 28,399 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-26 | KERBER ERIN J | officer | Sale | 1,143 @ $632.63 | $723K | −4.2% of holding | −12.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 25,951 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-26 | KERBER ERIN J | officer | Sale | 1,000 @ $631.49 | $631K | −3.6% of holding | −12.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 27,094 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-26 | KERBER ERIN J | officer | Sale | 785 @ $627.71 | $493K | −2.6% of holding | −12.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 29,668 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-26 | Elliott Nicholas J | officer | Sale | 683 @ $628.94 | $430K | −3.0% of holding | −12.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 21,898 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-26 | KERBER ERIN J | officer | Sale | 581 @ $627.12 | $364K | −1.9% of holding | −12.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 30,453 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-26 | Elliott Nicholas J | officer | Sale | 449 @ $627.44 | $282K | −1.9% of holding | −12.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 22,581 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-26 | KERBER ERIN J | officer | Sale | 397 @ $625.37 | $248K | −1.3% of holding | −12.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 31,034 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-26 | Elliott Nicholas J | officer | Sale | 360 @ $631.29 | $227K | −1.6% of holding | −12.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 21,521 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-26 | Elliott Nicholas J | officer | Sale | 324 @ $632.81 | $205K | −1.5% of holding | −12.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 21,197 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-26 | KERBER ERIN J | officer | Sale | 305 @ $629.83 | $192K | −1.1% of holding | −12.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 28,094 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-26 | KERBER ERIN J | officer | Sale | 240 @ $634.57 | $152K | −0.9% of holding | −12.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 25,711 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-26 | Elliott Nicholas J | officer | Sale | 180 @ $633.93 | $114K | −0.8% of holding | −12.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 21,017 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-26 | Elliott Nicholas J | officer | Sale | 173 @ $625.29 | $108K | −0.7% of holding | −12.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 23,030 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-26 | Elliott Nicholas J | officer | Sale | 120 @ $634.83 | $76K | −0.6% of holding | −12.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 20,897 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-26 | Elliott Nicholas J | officer | Sale | 17 @ $629.78 | $11K | −0.1% of holding | −12.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 21,881 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-25 | KERBER ERIN J | officer | Sale | 634 @ $626.42 | $397K | −2.4% of holding | −12.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 26,248 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-25 | Elliott Nicholas J | officer | Sale | 547 @ $625.39 | $342K | −2.5% of holding | −12.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 21,533 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-25 | KERBER ERIN J | officer | Sale | 526 @ $625.53 | $329K | −1.9% of holding | −12.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 26,882 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-25 | KERBER ERIN J | officer | Sale | 360 @ $629.39 | $227K | −1.4% of holding | −12.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 25,711 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-25 | KERBER ERIN J | officer | Sale | 337 @ $625.40 | $211K | −1.3% of holding | −12.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 26,614 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-25 | KERBER ERIN J | officer | Sale | 278 @ $626.87 | $174K | −1.0% of holding | −12.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 26,336 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-25 | Elliott Nicholas J | officer | Sale | 240 @ $629.95 | $151K | −1.1% of holding | −12.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 20,897 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-25 | KERBER ERIN J | officer | Sale | 240 @ $629.95 | $151K | −0.9% of holding | −12.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 25,711 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-25 | KERBER ERIN J | officer | Sale | 240 @ $628.26 | $151K | −0.9% of holding | −12.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 26,071 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-25 | Elliott Nicholas J | officer | Sale | 240 @ $628.25 | $151K | −1.1% of holding | −12.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 21,137 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-25 | KERBER ERIN J | officer | Sale | 183 @ $628.73 | $115K | −0.7% of holding | −12.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 25,951 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-25 | Elliott Nicholas J | officer | Sale | 132 @ $626.00 | $83K | −0.6% of holding | −12.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 21,401 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-25 | KERBER ERIN J | officer | Sale | 114 @ $627.68 | $72K | −0.4% of holding | −12.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 26,134 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-25 | KERBER ERIN J | officer | Sale | 25 @ $627.51 | $16K | −0.1% of holding | −12.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 26,311 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-25 | Elliott Nicholas J | officer | Sale | 24 @ $627.80 | $15K | −0.1% of holding | −12.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 21,377 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-24 | LUM JONATHAN | officer | Sale | 6,000 @ $600.00 | $3.6M | −16.0% of holding | −5.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 31,609 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-24 | KERBER ERIN J | officer | Sale | 2,709 @ $600.32 | $1.6M | −8.8% of holding | −5.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 28,002 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-24 | KERBER ERIN J | officer | Sale | 2,377 @ $600.27 | $1.4M | −8.1% of holding | −5.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 26,990 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-24 | Elliott Nicholas J | officer | Sale | 1,696 @ $600.29 | $1.0M | −7.0% of holding | −5.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 22,688 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-24 | Martin Jay D | officer | Sale | 1,684 @ $600.30 | $1.0M | −5.8% of holding | −5.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 27,279 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-24 | KERBER ERIN J | officer | Sale | 1,621 @ $601.25 | $975K | −5.8% of holding | −5.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 26,381 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
105 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-02 | Prescott General Partners LLC | other | Other acquisition | 9,891 | 901,241 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-26 | KERBER ERIN J | officer | Option exercise | 3,303 | 31,431 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-26 | KERBER ERIN J | officer | Option exercise | 2,417 | 28,128 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-26 | Elliott Nicholas J | officer | Option exercise | 2,306 | 23,203 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-26 | KERBER ERIN J | officer | Option exercise | 3,303 | 5,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-26 | KERBER ERIN J | officer | Option exercise | 2,417 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-26 | Elliott Nicholas J | officer | Option exercise | 2,306 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-25 | KERBER ERIN J | officer | Option exercise | 1,697 | 27,408 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-25 | KERBER ERIN J | officer | Option exercise | 1,240 | 26,951 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-25 | Elliott Nicholas J | officer | Option exercise | 1,183 | 22,080 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-25 | KERBER ERIN J | officer | Option exercise | 1,240 | 2,417 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-25 | Elliott Nicholas J | officer | Option exercise | 1,183 | 2,306 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-25 | KERBER ERIN J | officer | Option exercise | 1,697 | 8,803 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-24 | KERBER ERIN J | officer | Option exercise | 5,000 | 30,711 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-24 | LUM JONATHAN | officer | Option exercise | 6,000 | 37,609 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-24 | KERBER ERIN J | officer | Option exercise | 3,656 | 29,367 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-24 | Elliott Nicholas J | officer | Option exercise | 3,487 | 24,384 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-24 | Martin Jay D | officer | Option exercise | 3,000 | 28,963 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-24 | Elliott Nicholas J | officer | Option exercise | 3,487 | 3,489 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-24 | KERBER ERIN J | officer | Option exercise | 5,000 | 10,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-24 | KERBER ERIN J | officer | Option exercise | 3,656 | 3,657 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-24 | Martin Jay D | officer | Option exercise | 3,000 | 4,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-24 | LUM JONATHAN | officer | Option exercise | 6,000 | 13,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-17 | Elliott Nicholas J | officer | Option exercise | 3 | 20,900 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-17 | KERBER ERIN J | officer | Option exercise | 2 | 25,713 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-17 | Martin Jay D | officer | Option exercise | 2 | 25,965 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-17 | KERBER ERIN J | officer | Option exercise | 2 | 7,313 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-17 | Elliott Nicholas J | officer | Option exercise | 3 | 6,976 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-17 | Martin Jay D | officer | Option exercise | 2 | 7,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-16 | Elliott Nicholas J | officer | Option exercise | 36 | 20,933 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-16 | KERBER ERIN J | officer | Option exercise | 27 | 25,738 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-16 | Martin Jay D | officer | Option exercise | 25 | 25,988 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-16 | KERBER ERIN J | officer | Option exercise | 27 | 7,315 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-16 | Martin Jay D | officer | Option exercise | 25 | 7,502 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-16 | Elliott Nicholas J | officer | Option exercise | 36 | 6,979 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-15 | KERBER ERIN J | officer | Option exercise | 27 | 25,738 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-15 | Martin Jay D | officer | Option exercise | 22 | 25,985 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-15 | Elliott Nicholas J | officer | Option exercise | 16 | 20,913 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-15 | Martin Jay D | officer | Option exercise | 22 | 7,527 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-15 | KERBER ERIN J | officer | Option exercise | 27 | 7,342 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.