BZ · TickerCove

BZKanzhun LimitedIndustrials · Staffing & Employment Servicesas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $15.01 · now $15.01 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, BZ has typically landed between $11.16 and $19.06 — a range of −25.7% to +27.0% from the issuance price $15.01.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

1,301 overlapping 1 month windows · 2021-06-11 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($15.01) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$15.01 · 19% of range

$12.65 low$24.76 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

−1.2%

typical move · IQR 20.0%

−25.7%worst (p90)+27.0%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where BZ has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $15.01 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $15.01 (+0.0%)
typical $14.82 (-1.2%)
middle 50% $13.32–$16.33
90% range $11.16–$19.06

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,301 windows spanning 2021-06-11 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2022-02-10	−53.4%	−53.4%	+0.0%
2022-02-09	−47.3%	−47.3%	+1.7%
2022-02-11	−43.9%	−51.3%	+3.8%
3 best
2022-05-24	+77.0%	+0.0%	+82.3%
2022-05-25	+73.8%	+0.0%	+78.8%
2022-10-31	+72.2%	+0.0%	+72.2%

1,301 overlapping windows · 2021-06-11 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~6 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

40%

−3.0%

n=5

Feb

60%

−0.0%

n=5

Mar

40%

−2.7%

n=5

Apr

40%

−2.9%

n=5

May

60%

−4.1%

n=5

Jun

60%

+5.4%

n=5

Jul

50%

+0.9%

n=6

Aug

50%

+1.5%

n=6

Sep

33%

−0.5%

n=6

Oct

−12.2%

n=5

Nov

40%

+13.5%

n=5

Dec

80%

+2.7%

n=5

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-09-11	Zhao Peng Jonathan	director	Sale	359,600 @ $8.28	$3.0M	−11.3% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	2,824,080	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-09-10	Zhao Peng Jonathan	director	Sale	384,000 @ $8.18	$3.1M	−10.8% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	3,183,680	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-09-10	Chen Xu	director	Sale	200,000 @ $8.15	$1.6M	−56.6% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	153,340	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-09-04	Chen Xu	director	Sale	400,000 @ $8.50	$3.4M	−72.3% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	153,340	Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-06-16	WANG Xiehua	director	Sale	71,288 @ $6.82	$486K	−11.2% of holding	+13.6%	not yet — horizon still open	564,700	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-16	Sun Yonggang	director	Sale	548 @ $6.81	$4K	−4.1% of holding	+13.6%	not yet — horizon still open	12,772	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-16	Chen Xu	director	Sale	84 @ $6.83	$573	−0.1% of holding	+13.6%	not yet — horizon still open	153,340	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-30	Mu Yang	director	Sale	16,968 @ $6.69	$114K	−17.2% of holding	−11.0%	not yet — horizon still open	81,560	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-30	Wang Wenbei	officer	Sale	814 @ $6.69	$5K	−0.7% of holding	−11.0%	not yet — horizon still open	123,588	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-20	Mu Yang	director	Sale	510 @ $6.68	$3K	−0.9% of holding	−7.2%	not yet — horizon still open	58,528	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-03-20	WANG Xiehua	director	Sale	116 @ $6.70	$777	−0.0% of holding	−7.2%	not yet — horizon still open	485,988	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-03-20	Wang Wenbei	officer	Sale	20 @ $6.68	$134	−0.0% of holding	−7.2%	not yet — horizon still open	70,160	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-03-19	Zhao Peng Jonathan	director	Sale	64,000 @ $6.75	$432K	−11.1% of holding	−2.6%	not yet — horizon still open	512,000	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-18	Zhao Peng Jonathan	director	Sale	64,000 @ $6.98	$447K	−10.0% of holding	−3.9%	not yet — horizon still open	576,000	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

48 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-09-10	Chen Xu	director	Option exercise	200,000	353,340	Form 4
2026-09-10	Chen Xu	director	Option exercise	200,000	709,000	Form 4
2026-09-04	Chen Xu	director	Option exercise	400,000	553,340	Form 4
2026-09-04	Chen Xu	director	Option exercise	400,000	909,000	Form 4
2026-08-27	Zhao Peng Jonathan	director	Award / grant	10,985,000	10,985,000	Form 4
2026-06-16	Wang Wenbei	officer	Option exercise	25,000	0	Form 4
2026-06-16	Sun Yonggang	director	Option exercise	4,212	0	Form 4
2026-06-16	Chen Xu	director	Option exercise	370	0	Form 4
2026-06-16	Liu Hongyu	director	Option exercise	4,212	0	Form 4
2026-06-16	WANG Xiehua	director	Option exercise	150,000	0	Form 4
2026-06-16	Liu Hongyu	director	Option exercise	4,212	8,424	Form 4
2026-06-16	WANG Xiehua	director	Option exercise	150,000	635,988	Form 4
2026-06-16	Wang Wenbei	officer	Option exercise	25,000	148,588	Form 4
2026-06-16	Chen Xu	director	Option exercise	370	153,424	Form 4
2026-06-16	Sun Yonggang	director	Option exercise	4,212	13,320	Form 4
2026-06-16	Chen Xu	director	Option exercise	370	153,424	Form 4
2026-06-16	Liu Hongyu	director	Option exercise	4,212	8,424	Form 4
2026-06-16	Sun Yonggang	director	Option exercise	4,212	13,320	Form 4
2026-06-16	WANG Xiehua	director	Option exercise	150,000	635,988	Form 4
2026-06-16	Wang Wenbei	officer	Option exercise	25,000	148,588	Form 4
2026-06-15	Chen Xu	director	Award / grant	932,434	932,434	Form 4
2026-06-15	Zhang Kylen Tao	director	Award / grant	932,434	932,434	Form 4
2026-06-12	Zhao Peng Jonathan	director	Other acquisition	3,183,680	123,342,721	Form 4
2026-06-12	Zhao Peng Jonathan	director	Other acquisition	3,183,680	3,567,680	Form 4
2026-03-30	Mu Yang	director	Option exercise	40,000	40,000	Form 4
2026-03-30	Zhang Kylen Tao	director	Option exercise	24,008	24,010	Form 4
2026-03-30	Wang Wenbei	officer	Option exercise	54,242	54,244	Form 4
2026-03-30	Wang Wenbei	officer	Option exercise	54,242	124,402	Form 4
2026-03-30	Zhang Kylen Tao	director	Option exercise	24,008	93,458	Form 4
2026-03-30	Mu Yang	director	Option exercise	40,000	98,528	Form 4
2026-03-30	Zhang Kylen Tao	director	Option exercise	24,008	93,458	Form 4
2026-03-30	Mu Yang	director	Option exercise	40,000	98,528	Form 4
2026-03-30	Wang Wenbei	officer	Option exercise	54,242	124,402	Form 4
2026-03-20	WANG Xiehua	director	Option exercise	1,504	0	Form 4
2026-03-20	Mu Yang	director	Option exercise	3,910	0	Form 4
2026-03-20	Zhang Kylen Tao	director	Option exercise	27,450	0	Form 4
2026-03-20	Wang Wenbei	officer	Option exercise	4,308	0	Form 4
2026-03-20	Chen Xu	director	Option exercise	4,702	0	Form 4
2026-03-20	Chen Xu	director	Option exercise	4,702	153,054	Form 4
2026-03-20	Chen Xu	director	Option exercise	4,702	153,054	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i