Issued 2026-09-16 at $64.04 · now $64.04 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, BXP has typically landed between $55.67 and $73.03 — a range of −13.1% to +14.0% from the issuance price $64.04.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
4,685 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($64.04) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where BXP has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $64.04 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $64.04 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $63.5 (-0.8%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $59.82–$67.17
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $55.67–$73.03
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2020-02-21 | −46.5% | −46.5% | +0.0% |
| 2020-02-20 | −44.2% | −44.2% | +0.0% |
| 2020-02-19 | −41.0% | −41.0% | +1.4% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2009-03-30 | +51.9% | +0.0% | +56.1% |
| 2020-10-28 | +44.0% | +0.0% | +46.8% |
| 2009-07-09 | +42.4% | −0.2% | +42.4% |
4,685 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.
Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.
iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 29 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.- DCF (intrinsic)$134.42
- Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 32.9× · n=29$65.42
- Analyst target · range $61.00–$86.00$68.00
- Current price · last close 2026-09-16$64.04
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-09 | LABELLE MICHAEL E | officer | Sale | 18,080 @ $66.05 | $1.2M | −56.6% of holding | −1.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 13,872 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-09 | LABELLE MICHAEL E | officer | Sale | 8,033 @ $67.02 | $538K | −57.9% of holding | −1.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 5,839 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-22 | Kevorkian Eric G | officer | Sale | 2,000 @ $59.85 | $120K | −86.5% of holding | +7.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 311 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-21 | Kevorkian Eric G | officer | Sale | 200 @ $60.23 | $12K | −8.0% of holding | +8.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 2,311 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-20 | Otteni Peter V | officer | Sale | 4,863 @ $59.06 | $287K | −100.0% of holding | +7.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-02-27 | Spann Hilary J. | officer | Sale | 5,495 @ $59.69 | $328K | −23.6% of holding | −2.4% | +10.6% | 17,832 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-13 | THOMAS OWEN D | director | Sale | 1,198 @ $61.22 | $73K | −100.0% of holding | −11.4% | −2.8% | 0 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-02-05 | Spann Hilary J. | officer | Sale | 1,194 @ $63.31 | $76K | −6.3% of holding | −17.0% | −1.7% | 17,832 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-01 | RITCHEY RAYMOND A | officer | Sale | 36,314 @ $72.18 | $2.6M | −100.0% of holding | −5.8% | −24.9% | 0 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-25 | Otteni Peter V | officer | Sale | 4,136 @ $72.65 | $300K | −100.0% of holding | −6.8% | −27.9% | 0 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-11-12 | Stroman John J | officer | Sale | 16,838 @ $72.17 | $1.2M | −100.0% of holding | −0.1% | −25.2% | 0 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-11-07 | LABELLE MICHAEL E | officer | Sale | 13,422 @ $72.34 | $971K | −59.3% of holding | −6.5% | −27.1% | 9,223 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-05 | Garesche Donna D | officer | Sale | 2,143 @ $67.87 | $145K | −100.0% of holding | +1.5% | +2.5% | 0 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-04 | Spann Hilary J. | officer | Sale | 12,379 @ $72.02 | $892K | −63.0% of holding | −2.9% | −11.7% | 7,271 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
176 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | DUNCAN BRUCE W | director | Award / grant | 515 | 13,948 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-30 | KLEIN JOEL | director | Award / grant | 496 | 24,293 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-30 | LUSTIG MATTHEW J | director | Award / grant | 440 | 21,516 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-30 | KIPP MARY E | director | Award / grant | 402 | 8,448 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-30 | Richardson Julie | director | Award / grant | 364 | 1,748 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-30 | West Tony | director | Award / grant | 352 | 4,799 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-30 | WALTON WILLIAM H III | director | Award / grant | 346 | 10,150 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | LABELLE MICHAEL E | officer | Conversion | 23,981 | 300,395 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | LABELLE MICHAEL E | officer | Conversion | 23,981 | 31,952 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | LABELLE MICHAEL E | officer | Conversion | 23,981 | 31,952 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | LABELLE MICHAEL E | officer | Conversion | 23,981 | 23,981 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | LABELLE MICHAEL E | officer | Conversion | 23,981 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | LABELLE MICHAEL E | officer | Conversion | 23,981 | 23,981 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | LABELLE MICHAEL E | officer | Conversion | 23,981 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-29 | WALTON WILLIAM H III | director | Award / grant | 3,332 | 17,629 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-29 | DUNCAN BRUCE W | director | Award / grant | 3,332 | 20,739 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-29 | KLEIN JOEL | director | Award / grant | 3,332 | 22,839 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-29 | LUSTIG MATTHEW J | director | Award / grant | 3,332 | 25,697 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-29 | Richardson Julie | director | Award / grant | 3,332 | 5,766 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-29 | KIPP MARY E | director | Award / grant | 3,332 | 13,495 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-29 | West Tony | director | Award / grant | 1,666 | 4,300 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-29 | Hoskins Diane J | director | Award / grant | 3,332 | 18,929 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-29 | NAUGHTON TIMOTHY J | director | Award / grant | 3,332 | 8,601 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-29 | West Tony | director | Award / grant | 1,666 | 7,691 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Kevorkian Eric G | officer | Conversion | 2,000 | 1,757 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Kevorkian Eric G | officer | Conversion | 2,000 | 2,511 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Kevorkian Eric G | officer | Conversion | 2,000 | 2,511 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Kevorkian Eric G | officer | Conversion | 2,000 | 1,757 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-15 | Otteni Peter V | officer | Conversion | 4,863 | 94,515 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-15 | Otteni Peter V | officer | Conversion | 4,863 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-15 | Otteni Peter V | officer | Conversion | 4,863 | 4,863 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-15 | Otteni Peter V | officer | Conversion | 4,863 | 4,863 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-15 | Otteni Peter V | officer | Conversion | 4,863 | 4,863 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-15 | Otteni Peter V | officer | Conversion | 4,863 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-15 | Otteni Peter V | officer | Conversion | 4,863 | 4,863 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-31 | DUNCAN BRUCE W | director | Award / grant | 674 | 13,274 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-31 | KLEIN JOEL | director | Award / grant | 650 | 23,515 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-31 | LUSTIG MATTHEW J | director | Award / grant | 578 | 20,826 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-31 | KIPP MARY E | director | Award / grant | 530 | 7,951 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-31 | Richardson Julie | director | Award / grant | 482 | 1,367 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.
As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date
A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).
| Member | Chamber | Type | Filed | Traded | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alan Armstrong | Senate | purchase | 2026-07-21 | 2026-03-27 | $1–15K |
| Julia Letlow | House | sale | 2026-03-12 | 2026-02-20 | $1–15K |
| Julia Letlow | House | purchase | 2026-01-13 | 2024-10-23 | $1–15K |
| Gilbert Cisneros | House | sale | 2026-01-12 | 2025-12-19 | $1–15K |
| Gilbert Cisneros | House | purchase | 2025-12-15 | 2025-11-18 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | sale | 2024-06-05 | 2024-05-28 | $15–50K |
| Ro Khanna | House | sale | 2024-06-05 | 2024-05-29 | $1–15K |
| Daniel Goldman | House | sale | 2023-08-13 | 2023-07-12 | $50–100K |
| Ro Khanna | House | purchase | 2023-06-12 | 2023-05-19 | $15–50K |
| Ro Khanna | House | purchase | 2023-06-12 | 2023-05-23 | $15–50K |
| Ro Khanna | House | purchase | 2023-05-08 | 2023-04-25 | $1–15K |
| Daniel Goldman | House | purchase | 2023-04-17 | 2023-03-06 | $15–50K |
| Ro Khanna | House | sale | 2023-04-07 | 2023-03-14 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | purchase | 2023-03-03 | 2023-02-10 | $1–15K |
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.