BXC · TickerCove

BXCBlueLinx Holdings Inc.Industrials · Industrial - Distributionas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $75.49 · now $75.49 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, BXC has typically landed between $59.25 and $95.82 — a range of −21.5% to +26.9% from the issuance price $75.49.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

5,000 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($75.49) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$75.49 · 65% of range

$45.34 low$91.41 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

+0.9%

typical move · IQR 21.8%

−21.5%worst (p90)+26.9%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where BXC has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $75.49 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $75.49 (+0.0%)
typical $76.16 (+0.9%)
middle 50% $67.93–$84.4
90% range $59.25–$95.82

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,000 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2019-10-25	−71.9%	−71.9%	+0.0%
2019-11-01	−69.7%	−70.0%	+1.2%
2020-02-20	−69.6%	−74.1%	+0.0%
3 best
2009-03-04	+145.6%	+0.0%	+156.8%
2008-12-22	+139.0%	+0.0%	+157.1%
2009-03-03	+137.8%	−7.4%	+137.8%

5,000 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

65%

+5.9%

n=20

Feb

60%

+2.8%

n=20

Mar

35%

+6.5%

n=20

Apr

65%

+6.0%

n=20

May

40%

−2.1%

n=20

Jun

40%

−3.0%

n=20

Jul

45%

+6.1%

n=20

Aug

55%

+11.2%

n=20

Sep

45%

−5.1%

n=20

Oct

25%

−9.3%

n=20

Nov

45%

+0.8%

n=20

Dec

50%

+4.3%

n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-06	Fennebresque Kim S	director	Sale	34,138 @ $84.15	$2.9M	−100.0% of holding	−4.4%	not yet — horizon still open	0	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-05-21	Wall Christopher K	officer	Purchase	3,050 @ $68.89	$210K	+74.4% of holding	+8.1%	−32.1%	7,150	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-20	Wall Christopher K	officer	Purchase	3,000 @ $70.79	$212K	+272.7% of holding	−2.0%	−34.8%	4,100	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-20	Wall Christopher K	officer	Purchase	1,100 @ $69.65	$77K	ownership Δ n/a	−2.0%	−34.8%	1,100	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

161 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-06-07	Reddy Shyam K.	officer	Withheld for tax	2,411	51,886	Form 4
2026-06-07	Reddy Shyam K.	officer	Withheld for tax	2,281	54,725	Form 4
2026-06-07	Oei Leonard Alexander	officer	Withheld for tax	139	962	Form 4
2026-06-07	DeBrock Kimberly Ann	officer	Withheld for tax	62	1,086	Form 4
2026-06-07	Oei Leonard Alexander	officer	Withheld for tax	40	632	Form 4
2026-06-07	Reddy Shyam K.	officer	Option exercise	5,120	5,120	Form 4
2026-06-07	Oei Leonard Alexander	officer	Option exercise	469	469	Form 4
2026-06-07	Reddy Shyam K.	officer	Option exercise	5,411	0	Form 4
2026-06-07	DeBrock Kimberly Ann	officer	Option exercise	214	214	Form 4
2026-06-07	Oei Leonard Alexander	officer	Option exercise	133	0	Form 4
2026-06-07	Oei Leonard Alexander	officer	Option exercise	469	1,101	Form 4
2026-06-07	Oei Leonard Alexander	officer	Option exercise	133	672	Form 4
2026-06-07	DeBrock Kimberly Ann	officer	Option exercise	214	1,148	Form 4
2026-06-07	Reddy Shyam K.	officer	Option exercise	5,411	54,297	Form 4
2026-06-07	Reddy Shyam K.	officer	Option exercise	5,120	57,006	Form 4
2026-06-07	Reddy Shyam K.	officer	Option exercise	5,120	57,006	Form 4
2026-06-07	Reddy Shyam K.	officer	Option exercise	5,411	54,297	Form 4
2026-06-07	DeBrock Kimberly Ann	officer	Option exercise	214	1,148	Form 4
2026-06-07	Oei Leonard Alexander	officer	Option exercise	469	1,101	Form 4
2026-06-07	Oei Leonard Alexander	officer	Option exercise	133	672	Form 4
2026-06-06	Reddy Shyam K.	officer	Withheld for tax	3,857	48,886	Form 4
2026-06-06	Oei Leonard Alexander	officer	Withheld for tax	226	539	Form 4
2026-06-06	DeBrock Kimberly Ann	officer	Withheld for tax	184	934	Form 4
2026-06-06	Wall Christopher K	officer	Option exercise	1,778	3,556	Form 4
2026-06-06	Reddy Shyam K.	officer	Option exercise	8,659	17,317	Form 4
2026-06-06	DeBrock Kimberly Ann	officer	Option exercise	641	1,280	Form 4
2026-06-06	Oei Leonard Alexander	officer	Option exercise	765	1,528	Form 4
2026-06-06	Oei Leonard Alexander	officer	Option exercise	765	765	Form 4
2026-06-06	Wall Christopher K	officer	Withheld for tax	792	9,395	Form 4
2026-06-06	Wall Christopher K	officer	Option exercise	1,778	10,187	Form 4
2026-06-06	Wall Christopher K	officer	Option exercise	1,778	10,187	Form 4
2026-06-06	Wall Christopher K	officer	Withheld for tax	792	9,395	Form 4
2026-06-06	Oei Leonard Alexander	officer	Option exercise	765	765	Form 4
2026-06-06	Reddy Shyam K.	officer	Option exercise	8,659	52,743	Form 4
2026-06-06	DeBrock Kimberly Ann	officer	Option exercise	641	1,118	Form 4
2026-06-06	DeBrock Kimberly Ann	officer	Option exercise	641	1,118	Form 4
2026-06-06	Reddy Shyam K.	officer	Option exercise	8,659	52,743	Form 4
2026-06-05	Reddy Shyam K.	officer	Award / grant	39,761	39,761	Form 4
2026-06-05	Reddy Shyam K.	officer	Award / grant	9,941	9,941	Form 4
2026-06-05	Reddy Shyam K.	officer	Award / grant	29,821	29,821	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i