BWMNBowman Consulting Group Ltd.Industrials · Engineering & Constructionas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $42.46 · now $42.46 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, BWMN has typically landed between $34.58 and $53.15 — a range of −18.6% to +25.2% from the issuance price $42.46.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

1,325 overlapping 1 month windows · 2021-05-07 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($42.46) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where BWMN has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $42.46 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$34.58worst · -18.6%$53.15best · +25.2%
  • now $42.46 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $43.46 (+2.4%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $39.52–$47.4
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $34.58–$53.15
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,325 windows spanning 2021-05-07 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2024-07-16−39.7%−40.2%+0.0%
2024-07-12−37.4%−37.4%+4.7%
2024-07-31−33.7%−39.8%+0.0%
3 best
2026-07-17+67.4%+0.0%+67.6%
2026-07-30+64.7%+0.0%+64.8%
2026-07-29+64.0%−0.3%+64.3%

1,325 overlapping windows · 2021-05-07 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~6 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
60%
+1.0%
n=5
Feb
40%
−5.0%
n=5
Mar
60%
−0.3%
n=5
Apr
80%
+2.2%
n=5
May
20%
−1.3%
n=5
Jun
50%
+1.0%
n=6
Jul
67%
+6.2%
n=6
Aug
67%
+8.5%
n=6
Sep
33%
−1.4%
n=6
Oct
60%
−0.2%
n=5
Nov
80%
+14.3%
n=5
Dec
60%
+6.9%
n=5

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$44$252026-08-10: 1 insider sale, $37K — Mulroy Patricia2026-08-07: 1 insider sale, $25K — Swayze Daniel2026-06-02: 1 insider sale, $237K — Grebbien Virginia Lee2026-05-12: 1 insider sale, $41K — Vicks Raymond Jr.2026-04-22: 2 insider sales, $614K — Bowman Gary …2026-02-18: 2 insider sales, $652K — Bowman Gary …2026-01-21: 2 insider sales, $707K — Bowman Gary …2025-12-17: 2 insider sales, $705K — Bowman Gary …2025-10-22: 2 insider sales, $845K — Bowman Gary …2025-10-13: 1 insider sale, $424K — Labovitz Bruce J2025-09-24: 2 insider sales, $848K — Bowman Gary …2025-09-23: 1 insider sale, $433K — Labovitz Bruce J2025-09-08: 2 insider sales, $179K — Riddick Stephen A, Swayze Daniel2025-09: 5 open-market sales, $1.5M2025-10: 3 open-market sales, $1.3M2025-12: 2 open-market sales, $705K2026-01: 2 open-market sales, $707K2026-02: 2 open-market sales, $652K2026-04: 2 open-market sales, $614K2026-05: 1 open-market sale, $41K2026-06: 1 open-market sale, $237K2026-08: 2 open-market sales, $62K↑ buys↓ salesdirector Mulroy Patricia — Sale on 2026-08-10, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Swayze Daniel — Sale on 2026-08-07, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Grebbien Virginia Lee — Sale on 2026-06-02, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Vicks Raymond Jr. — Sale on 2026-05-12, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Bowman Gary — Sale on 2026-04-22, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Bowman Gary — Sale on 2026-04-22, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Bowman Gary — Sale on 2026-02-18, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Bowman Gary — Sale on 2026-02-18, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Bowman Gary — Sale on 2026-01-21, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Bowman Gary — Sale on 2026-01-21, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Bowman Gary — Sale on 2025-12-17, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Bowman Gary — Sale on 2025-12-17, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Bowman Gary — Sale on 2025-10-22, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Bowman Gary — Sale on 2025-10-22, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Labovitz Bruce J — Sale on 2025-10-13, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Bowman Gary — Sale on 2025-09-24, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Bowman Gary — Sale on 2025-09-24, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Labovitz Bruce J — Sale on 2025-09-23, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Riddick Stephen A — Sale on 2025-09-08, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Swayze Daniel — Sale on 2025-09-08, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-10Mulroy PatriciadirectorSale883 @ $42.37$37K−3.2% of holding+1.7%not yet — horizon still open26,330Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-07Swayze DanielofficerSale914 @ $27.24$25K−3.4% of holding+57.3%not yet — horizon still open26,363Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-06-02Grebbien Virginia LeedirectorSale7,500 @ $31.65$237K−50.2% of holding−10.1%not yet — horizon still open7,428Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-05-12Vicks Raymond Jr.directorSale1,230 @ $33.34$41K−6.3% of holding−5.5%not yet — horizon still open18,143Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-04-22Bowman GarydirectorSale12,500 @ $30.71$384K−1.4% of holding−3.8%not yet — horizon still open906,575Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-04-22Bowman GarydirectorSale7,500 @ $30.71$230K−0.6% of holding−3.8%not yet — horizon still open1,353,338Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-18Bowman GarydirectorSale12,500 @ $32.62$408K−1.3% of holding−14.1%+18.1%919,075Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-18Bowman GarydirectorSale7,500 @ $32.62$245K−0.5% of holding−14.1%+18.1%1,360,838Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-01-21Bowman GarydirectorSale12,500 @ $35.37$442K−1.4% of holding−7.0%−34.4%879,943Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-01-21Bowman GarydirectorSale7,500 @ $35.37$265K−0.5% of holding−7.0%−34.4%1,368,338Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-12-17Bowman GarydirectorSale12,500 @ $35.25$441K−1.4% of holding+0.9%−26.5%892,443Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-17Bowman GarydirectorSale7,500 @ $35.25$264K−0.5% of holding+0.9%−26.5%1,375,838Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-10-22Bowman GarydirectorSale12,500 @ $42.27$528K−1.4% of holding−21.3%−32.6%906,524Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-10-22Bowman GarydirectorSale7,500 @ $42.27$317K−0.5% of holding−21.3%−32.6%1,383,338Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-10-13Labovitz Bruce JofficerSale10,000 @ $42.37$424K−2.5% of holding−21.2%−31.3%385,560Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-24Bowman GarydirectorSale12,500 @ $42.39$530K−1.3% of holding+0.3%−30.6%919,024Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-24Bowman GarydirectorSale7,500 @ $42.39$318K−0.5% of holding+0.3%−30.6%1,390,838Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-23Labovitz Bruce JofficerSale10,000 @ $43.30$433K−2.5% of holding−2.3%−31.0%395,560Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-08Riddick Stephen AdirectorSale3,000 @ $41.04$123K−14.0% of holding−2.9%−35.1%18,461Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-08Swayze DanielofficerSale1,350 @ $41.33$56K−11.0% of holding−2.9%−35.1%10,954Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-30Mulroy PatriciadirectorSale400 @ $29.06$12K−1.7% of holding+18.0%+6.8%23,136Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-18Hickey Robert AlanofficerSale5,000 @ $26.70$134K−2.8% of holding+13.0%+16.9%176,685Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-06-13Mulroy PatriciadirectorSale400 @ $27.46$11K−1.7% of holding+11.4%+16.1%23,536Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-06-06Riddick Stephen AdirectorSale224 @ $28.60$6K−1.0% of holding+8.0%+8.5%21,461Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-05-19Hickey Robert AlanofficerSale5,000 @ $26.00$130K−2.7% of holding+0.4%+14.0%181,685Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-04-24Hickey Robert AlanofficerSale1,800 @ $22.22$40K−1.0% of holding+5.8%+70.1%186,685Form 4 · filed same day
2025-04-23Hickey Robert AlanofficerSale700 @ $22.08$15K−0.4% of holding+6.7%+70.0%188,485Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-18Hickey Robert AlanofficerSale2,500 @ $22.46$56K−1.3% of holding+16.4%+74.0%188,177Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2024-12-18Hickey Robert AlanofficerSale5,000 @ $26.71$134K−2.6% of holding+1.6%+12.2%185,832Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2024-12-11Riddick Stephen AdirectorSale4,088 @ $28.62$117K−20.2% of holding−9.7%−3.6%16,160Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2024-12-06Riddick Stephen AdirectorSale2,288 @ $28.60$65K−10.2% of holding−10.2%−2.5%20,248Form 4 · filed same day

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

50 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-05-27Vicks Raymond Jr.directorAward / grant4,07722,220Form 4
2026-05-27Riddick Stephen AdirectorAward / grant4,07722,538Form 4
2026-05-27Mulroy PatriciadirectorAward / grant4,07727,213Form 4
2026-05-27LAURITO JAMES PdirectorAward / grant4,07732,138Form 4
2026-05-27Grebbien Virginia LeedirectorAward / grant4,07714,928Form 4
2026-05-12Bowman GarydirectorWithheld for tax1,127905,448Form 4
2026-02-17Hickey Robert AlanofficerWithheld for tax454185,837Form 4
2026-02-17Swayze DanielofficerWithheld for tax35227,277Form 4
2026-02-11Bowman GarydirectorWithheld for tax10,593904,009Form 4
2026-02-11Hickey Robert AlanofficerWithheld for tax4,208180,572Form 4
2026-02-11Labovitz Bruce JofficerWithheld for tax3,229391,491Form 4
2026-02-11Swayze DanielofficerAward / grant14,29823,249Form 4
2026-02-11Bowman GarydirectorAward / grant16,527920,536Form 4
2026-02-11Bowman GarydirectorAward / grant11,039931,575Form 4
2026-02-11Labovitz Bruce JofficerAward / grant10,172394,720Form 4
2026-02-11Swayze DanielofficerAward / grant4,38027,629Form 4
2026-02-11Hickey Robert AlanofficerAward / grant5,719186,291Form 4
2026-02-11Hickey Robert AlanofficerAward / grant9,805184,780Form 4
2026-02-11Bowman GarydirectorAward / grant34,659914,602Form 4
2026-02-09Hickey Robert AlanofficerWithheld for tax1,285174,975Form 4
2026-02-09Labovitz Bruce JofficerWithheld for tax1,012384,548Form 4
2026-01-02Swayze DanielofficerWithheld for tax3838,951Form 4
2025-12-15Bowman GarydirectorWithheld for tax1,581904,943Form 4
2025-12-15Swayze DanielofficerWithheld for tax7309,334Form 4
2025-12-15Hickey Robert AlanofficerWithheld for tax425176,260Form 4
2025-09-11Swayze DanielofficerWithheld for tax89010,064Form 4
2025-08-14Swayze DanielofficerAward / grant2,13012,304Form 4
2025-05-23Grebbien Virginia LeedirectorAward / grant5,52510,851Form 4
2025-05-23Vicks Raymond Jr.directorAward / grant5,52519,373Form 4
2025-05-23Riddick Stephen AdirectorAward / grant5,52521,685Form 4
2025-05-23Mulroy PatriciadirectorAward / grant5,52523,936Form 4
2025-05-23LAURITO JAMES PdirectorAward / grant5,52528,061Form 4
2025-05-11Bowman GarydirectorWithheld for tax14,430931,524Form 4
2025-04-14Hickey Robert AlanofficerAward / grant1,008189,185Form 4
2025-04-14Bowman GarydirectorAward / grant5,251945,954Form 4
2025-02-11Hickey Robert AlanofficerWithheld for tax1,580190,677Form 4
2025-02-11Labovitz Bruce JofficerWithheld for tax910405,560Form 4
2025-02-06Bowman GarydirectorWithheld for tax13,204940,703Form 4
2025-02-06Hickey Robert AlanofficerWithheld for tax4,851192,257Form 4
2025-02-06Labovitz Bruce JofficerWithheld for tax2,788406,470Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.