BWEN · TickerCove

BWENBroadwind, Inc.Industrials · Industrial - Machineryas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $3.98 · now $3.98 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, BWEN has typically landed between $2.90 and $5.74 — a range of −27.1% to +44.1% from the issuance price $3.98.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

5,001 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($3.98) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$3.98 · 58% of range

$1.97 low$5.44 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

−1.6%

typical move · IQR 25.5%

−27.1%worst (p90)+44.1%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where BWEN has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $3.98 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $3.98 (+0.0%)
typical $3.91 (-1.6%)
middle 50% $3.41–$4.42
90% range $2.9–$5.74

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,001 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2008-09-05	−64.8%	−64.8%	+0.0%
2011-08-30	−60.1%	−60.1%	+0.0%
2008-09-08	−60.0%	−64.3%	+0.0%
3 best
2022-12-19	+238.3%	−3.4%	+238.3%
2022-12-20	+236.0%	−3.4%	+238.3%
2022-12-12	+220.0%	−3.4%	+220.0%

5,001 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

45%

+6.9%

n=20

Feb

45%

+1.2%

n=20

Mar

40%

+5.8%

n=20

Apr

65%

+8.6%

n=20

May

50%

+7.6%

n=20

Jun

55%

+3.5%

n=20

Jul

35%

+2.0%

n=20

Aug

35%

−9.1%

n=20

Sep

30%

−9.2%

n=20

Oct

50%

+2.4%

n=20

Nov

35%

+1.1%

n=20

Dec

60%

+7.5%

n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2025-06-09	Schueller Daniel E.	officer	Sale	3,000 @ $1.94	$6K	−1.6% of holding	−8.7%	+41.5%	187,775	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

45 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-07-01	Blashford Eric B.	officer	Award / grant	41,251	654,523	Form 4
2026-07-01	Ciccone Thomas A	officer	Award / grant	16,289	128,211	Form 4
2026-07-01	Mayo Gilbert W. Jr.	officer	Award / grant	8,348	133,438	Form 4
2026-05-28	Blashford Eric B.	officer	Award / grant	41,786	613,272	Form 4
2026-05-28	Ciccone Thomas A	officer	Award / grant	15,157	111,922	Form 4
2026-05-28	Wood Cary B	director	Award / grant	13,605	164,471	Form 4
2026-05-28	Press Jeanette A.	director	Award / grant	13,605	66,964	Form 4
2026-05-28	Shivaram Sachin M	director	Award / grant	13,605	117,663	Form 4
2026-05-28	Christman Philip J	director	Award / grant	13,605	145,329	Form 4
2026-05-28	Mayo Gilbert W. Jr.	officer	Award / grant	8,231	125,090	Form 4
2026-05-26	Blashford Eric B.	officer	Withheld for tax	4,691	571,486	Form 4
2026-05-26	Ciccone Thomas A	officer	Withheld for tax	1,282	96,765	Form 4
2026-05-26	Mayo Gilbert W. Jr.	officer	Withheld for tax	753	116,859	Form 4
2026-05-18	Blashford Eric B.	officer	Withheld for tax	7,656	576,177	Form 4
2026-05-18	Ciccone Thomas A	officer	Withheld for tax	2,332	98,047	Form 4
2026-05-18	Mayo Gilbert W. Jr.	officer	Withheld for tax	1,320	117,612	Form 4
2026-05-15	Blashford Eric B.	officer	Withheld for tax	8,941	583,833	Form 4
2026-05-15	Ciccone Thomas A	officer	Withheld for tax	2,898	100,379	Form 4
2026-05-15	Mayo Gilbert W. Jr.	officer	Withheld for tax	1,607	118,932	Form 4
2025-05-27	Blashford Eric B.	officer	Withheld for tax	3,352	592,774	Form 4
2025-05-27	Ciccone Thomas A	officer	Withheld for tax	1,032	103,277	Form 4
2025-05-27	Mayo Gilbert W. Jr.	officer	Withheld for tax	711	120,539	Form 4
2025-05-16	Blashford Eric B.	officer	Withheld for tax	5,165	596,126	Form 4
2025-05-16	Ciccone Thomas A	officer	Withheld for tax	1,614	104,309	Form 4
2025-05-16	Mayo Gilbert W. Jr.	officer	Withheld for tax	1,089	121,250	Form 4
2025-05-15	Christman Philip J	director	Award / grant	21,164	131,724	Form 4
2025-05-15	REILAND DAVID P	director	Award / grant	21,164	202,706	Form 4
2025-05-15	Schueller Daniel E.	officer	Award / grant	20,477	190,775	Form 4
2025-05-15	Shivaram Sachin M	director	Award / grant	21,164	104,058	Form 4
2025-05-15	Wood Cary B	director	Award / grant	21,164	150,866	Form 4
2025-05-15	Press Jeanette A.	director	Award / grant	21,164	53,359	Form 4
2025-05-15	Mayo Gilbert W. Jr.	officer	Award / grant	12,356	122,339	Form 4
2025-05-15	Ciccone Thomas A	officer	Award / grant	22,317	105,923	Form 4
2025-05-15	Blashford Eric B.	officer	Award / grant	61,875	601,291	Form 4
2025-04-25	Blashford Eric B.	officer	Withheld for tax	5,654	539,416	Form 4
2025-04-25	Mayo Gilbert W. Jr.	officer	Withheld for tax	1,193	109,983	Form 4
2025-04-25	Ciccone Thomas A	officer	Withheld for tax	968	83,606	Form 4
2025-02-26	Blashford Eric B.	officer	Withheld for tax	69,511	545,070	Form 4
2025-02-26	Schueller Daniel E.	officer	Withheld for tax	23,257	170,298	Form 4
2025-02-26	Mayo Gilbert W. Jr.	officer	Withheld for tax	13,093	111,176	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-174% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i