BV · TickerCove

BVBrightView Holdings, Inc.as of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $10.86 · now $10.86 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, BV has typically landed between $9.07 and $12.70 — a range of −16.5% to +17.0% from the issuance price $10.86.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

2,032 overlapping 1 month windows · 2018-06-28 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($10.86) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$10.86 · 0% of range

$10.86 low$14.85 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

+0.0%

typical move · IQR 14.9%

−16.5%worst (p90)+17.0%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

2 buys · 2 sells · 1 member

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where BV has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $10.86 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $10.86 (+0.0%)
typical $10.86 (+0.0%)
middle 50% $10.05–$11.67
90% range $9.07–$12.7

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 2,032 windows spanning 2018-06-28 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2020-02-18	−55.6%	−55.6%	+1.0%
2020-02-21	−49.9%	−55.8%	+0.0%
2020-02-20	−48.6%	−56.0%	+0.0%
3 best
2018-12-24	+60.5%	+0.0%	+60.5%
2018-12-21	+52.0%	−4.1%	+52.0%
2018-12-26	+51.2%	−0.6%	+51.2%

2,032 overlapping windows · 2018-06-28 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~9 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

50%

+6.5%

n=8

Feb

38%

−5.1%

n=8

Mar

50%

−0.1%

n=8

Apr

63%

+3.4%

n=8

May

88%

+8.7%

n=8

Jun

50%

+0.7%

n=8

Jul

78%

+4.1%

n=9

Aug

33%

−7.5%

n=9

Sep

−7.3%

n=9

Oct

63%

+0.7%

n=8

Nov

50%

−3.7%

n=8

Dec

63%

+0.6%

n=8

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-06	Cornog William L	director	Purchase	40,000 @ $11.25	$450K	+133.3% of holding	−24.2%	not yet — horizon still open	70,000	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-08-06	Cornog William L	director	Purchase	10,000 @ $11.24	$112K	+200.0% of holding	−24.2%	not yet — horizon still open	15,000	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-06	Cornog William L	director	Purchase	5,000 @ $13.46	$67K	ownership Δ n/a	−8.5%	−30.0%	5,000	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-12-02	Cornog William L	director	Purchase	10,000 @ $12.84	$128K	+50.0% of holding	−1.9%	−16.1%	30,000	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-01	Gottsegen Jonathan Mark	officer	Sale	35,000 @ $12.62	$442K	−19.7% of holding	−1.2%	−17.3%	142,958	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-26	Urban Brett Nicholas	officer	Sale	62,619 @ $14.54	$910K	−81.5% of holding	−13.2%	−12.4%	14,212	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-25	Orders Amanda Marie	officer	Sale	70,000 @ $14.78	$1.0M	−64.5% of holding	−13.2%	−12.0%	38,446	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-25	Urban Brett Nicholas	officer	Sale	14,800 @ $14.66	$217K	−16.2% of holding	−13.2%	−12.0%	76,831	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-06-06	KKR BrightView Aggregator L.P.	tenPercentOwner	Sale	11,600,000 @ $14.40	$167.0M	−35.0% of holding	−10.1%	−39.3%	21,533,123	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-06-06	KKR Group Partnership L.P.	tenPercentOwner	Sale	11,600,000 @ $14.40	$167.0M	−35.0% of holding	−10.1%	−39.3%	21,533,123	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-03-14	Barker Kurtis T	director	Purchase	40,000 @ $13.25	$530K	ownership Δ n/a	+5.4%	−15.5%	40,000	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-02-21	Cornog William L	director	Purchase	10,000 @ $13.49	$135K	+100.0% of holding	+2.8%	+2.6%	20,000	Form 4 · filed same day

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

202 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-06-30	Bomba Jane L Okun	director	Award / grant	1,852	135,895	Form 4
2026-06-30	SWAN MARA E	director	Award / grant	1,852	132,976	Form 4
2026-06-30	Lopez Francisco Jr.	director	Award / grant	1,826	98,214	Form 4
2026-06-30	Cornog William L	director	Award / grant	1,614	81,000	Form 4
2026-04-02	Dozier Michael Joe	officer	Award / grant	42,700	42,700	Form 4
2026-03-31	Bomba Jane L Okun	director	Award / grant	2,332	134,043	Form 4
2026-03-31	SWAN MARA E	director	Award / grant	2,226	131,124	Form 4
2026-03-31	Lopez Francisco Jr.	director	Award / grant	2,194	96,388	Form 4
2026-03-31	Cornog William L	director	Award / grant	1,961	79,386	Form 4
2026-03-04	Cornog William L	director	Award / grant	11,833	11,833	Form 4
2026-03-04	SWAN MARA E	director	Award / grant	11,833	11,833	Form 4
2026-03-04	ABRAHAMSON JAMES R	director	Award / grant	11,833	11,833	Form 4
2026-03-04	Lopez Francisco Jr.	director	Award / grant	11,833	11,833	Form 4
2026-03-04	Bomba Jane L Okun	director	Award / grant	11,833	11,833	Form 4
2026-03-02	Cornog William L	director	Option exercise	10,894	0	Form 4
2026-03-02	SWAN MARA E	director	Option exercise	10,894	0	Form 4
2026-03-02	Bomba Jane L Okun	director	Option exercise	10,894	0	Form 4
2026-03-02	Lopez Francisco Jr.	director	Option exercise	10,894	0	Form 4
2026-03-02	ABRAHAMSON JAMES R	director	Option exercise	10,894	0	Form 4
2026-03-02	Bomba Jane L Okun	director	Option exercise	10,894	131,711	Form 4
2026-03-02	SWAN MARA E	director	Option exercise	10,894	128,898	Form 4
2026-03-02	Cornog William L	director	Option exercise	10,894	77,425	Form 4
2026-03-02	Lopez Francisco Jr.	director	Option exercise	10,894	94,194	Form 4
2026-03-02	SWAN MARA E	director	Option exercise	10,894	128,898	Form 4
2026-03-02	ABRAHAMSON JAMES R	director	Option exercise	10,894	280,782	Form 4
2026-03-02	Bomba Jane L Okun	director	Option exercise	10,894	131,711	Form 4
2026-03-02	ABRAHAMSON JAMES R	director	Option exercise	10,894	280,782	Form 4
2026-03-02	Lopez Francisco Jr.	director	Option exercise	10,894	94,194	Form 4
2026-03-02	Cornog William L	director	Option exercise	10,894	77,425	Form 4
2026-02-28	Jackson Brian Edward	officer	Withheld for tax	632	28,222	Form 4
2026-02-28	Jackson Brian Edward	officer	Option exercise	1,863	5,589	Form 4
2026-02-28	Jackson Brian Edward	officer	Option exercise	1,863	28,854	Form 4
2026-02-28	Jackson Brian Edward	officer	Option exercise	1,863	28,854	Form 4
2025-12-31	Bomba Jane L Okun	director	Award / grant	2,170	120,817	Form 4
2025-12-31	SWAN MARA E	director	Award / grant	2,071	118,004	Form 4
2025-12-31	Lopez Francisco Jr.	director	Award / grant	2,042	83,300	Form 4
2025-12-31	Cornog William L	director	Award / grant	1,825	66,531	Form 4
2025-12-02	Asplund Dale A	officer	Withheld for tax	11,353	1,052,610	Form 4
2025-12-02	Urban Brett Nicholas	officer	Withheld for tax	4,059	93,362	Form 4
2025-12-02	Gottsegen Jonathan Mark	officer	Withheld for tax	2,748	145,591	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iiDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks

Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

Member	Chamber	Type	Filed	Traded	Size
Thomas J. Rooney	House	sale	2019-01-14	2018-12-02	$15–50K
Thomas J. Rooney	House	sale	2018-12-12	2018-11-21	$15–50K
Thomas J. Rooney	House	purchase	2018-11-09	2018-10-23	$15–50K
Thomas J. Rooney	House	purchase	2018-10-13	2018-09-20	$50–100K

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Seasonality · by month i