BTGOBitGo Holdings, Inc.Financial Services · Financial - Capital Marketsas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $6.41 · now $6.41 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, BTGO has typically landed between $3.64 and $9.15 — a range of −43.2% to +42.7% from the issuance price $6.41.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

144 overlapping 1 month windows · 2026-01-21 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($6.41) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where BTGO has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $6.41 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$3.64worst · -43.2%$9.15best · +42.7%
  • now $6.41 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $6.13 (-4.4%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $4.93–$7.33
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $3.64–$9.15
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 144 windows spanning 2026-01-21 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2026-05-11−60.5%−63.7%+0.0%
2026-05-06−60.4%−60.4%+9.2%
2026-05-13−58.2%−60.5%+0.0%
3 best
2026-08-12+53.3%+0.0%+55.1%
2026-08-07+53.0%−2.0%+53.0%
2026-07-29+52.7%+0.0%+52.7%

144 overlapping windows · 2026-01-21 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$18$52026-08-07: 3 insider sales, $2K — Fang Chen, Mettler Jody, Reginelli Edward2026-07-24: 2 insider sales, $233K — Belshe Michael, Reginelli Edward2026-07-08: 2 insider sales, $796 — Reginelli Edward, Mettler Jody2026-06-11: 2 insider sales, $870 — Reginelli Edward, Mettler Jody2026-01-23: 4 insider sales, $7.3M — Fang Chen, Horowitz Jeff Peter, Reginelli Edward, Mettler Jody2026-01: 4 open-market sales, $7.3M2026-06: 2 open-market sales, $8702026-07: 4 open-market sales, $234K2026-08: 3 open-market sales, $2K↑ buys↓ salesdirector Fang Chen — Sale on 2026-08-07, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Mettler Jody — Sale on 2026-08-07, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Reginelli Edward — Sale on 2026-08-07, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Belshe Michael — Sale on 2026-07-24, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Reginelli Edward — Sale on 2026-07-24, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Reginelli Edward — Sale on 2026-07-08, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Mettler Jody — Sale on 2026-07-08, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Reginelli Edward — Sale on 2026-06-11, filed 29 days after the tradeofficer Mettler Jody — Sale on 2026-06-11, filed 29 days after the tradedirector Fang Chen — Sale on 2026-01-23, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Horowitz Jeff Peter — Sale on 2026-01-23, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Reginelli Edward — Sale on 2026-01-23, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Mettler Jody — Sale on 2026-01-23, filed 4 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-07Fang ChendirectorSale234 @ $5.02$1K−0.0% of holding+53.9%not yet — horizon still open1,256,924Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-08-07Mettler JodyofficerSale97 @ $5.02$486−0.3% of holding+53.9%not yet — horizon still open38,373Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-08-07Reginelli EdwardofficerSale91 @ $5.02$456−0.0% of holding+53.9%not yet — horizon still open582,398Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-07-24Belshe MichaeldirectorSale38,691 @ $4.89$189K−4.6% of holding+37.8%not yet — horizon still open798,464Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-07-24Reginelli EdwardofficerSale9,021 @ $4.89$44K−1.5% of holding+37.8%not yet — horizon still open582,489Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-07-08Reginelli EdwardofficerSale94 @ $4.97$468−0.0% of holding−3.1%not yet — horizon still open591,510Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-08Mettler JodyofficerSale66 @ $4.97$328−0.2% of holding−3.1%not yet — horizon still open38,470Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-11Reginelli EdwardofficerSale91 @ $5.12$466−0.0% of holding−6.9%not yet — horizon still open591,604Form 4 · filed 29 days after the trade
2026-06-11Mettler JodyofficerSale79 @ $5.12$404−0.2% of holding−6.9%not yet — horizon still open38,536Form 4 · filed 29 days after the trade
2026-01-23Fang ChendirectorSale250,000 @ $16.74$4.2M−16.9% of holding−33.5%−72.2%1,233,491Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-01-23Horowitz Jeff PeterofficerSale116,007 @ $16.74$1.9M−27.2% of holding−33.5%−72.2%311,118Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-01-23Reginelli EdwardofficerSale45,000 @ $16.74$753K−7.7% of holding−33.5%−72.2%539,000Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-01-23Mettler JodyofficerSale25,000 @ $16.74$418K−50.0% of holding−33.5%−72.2%25,000Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

180 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-06Fang ChendirectorWithheld for tax2201,256,704Form 4
2026-09-06Reginelli EdwardofficerWithheld for tax88582,310Form 4
2026-09-06Mettler JodyofficerWithheld for tax7238,301Form 4
2026-07-22Horowitz Jeff PeterofficerOption exercise78223,445Form 4
2026-07-22Horowitz Jeff PeterofficerOption exercise78223,445Form 4
2026-07-22Horowitz Jeff PeterofficerOption exercise2615,217Form 4
2026-07-22Horowitz Jeff PeterofficerOption exercise2615,217Form 4
2026-05-22Belshe MichaeldirectorWithheld for tax21,200837,155Form 4
2026-05-22Horowitz Jeff PeterofficerOption exercise5215,478Form 4
2026-05-22Horowitz Jeff PeterofficerOption exercise1,56324,227Form 4
2026-05-22Horowitz Jeff PeterofficerOption exercise5215,478Form 4
2026-05-22Horowitz Jeff PeterofficerOption exercise1,56324,227Form 4
2026-05-06Reginelli EdwardofficerWithheld for tax88591,695Form 4
2026-05-06Mettler JodyofficerWithheld for tax7438,615Form 4
2026-04-06Reginelli EdwardofficerWithheld for tax175591,783Form 4
2026-04-06Mettler JodyofficerWithheld for tax14438,689Form 4
2026-03-30Fang ChendirectorAward / grant21,6671,255,158Form 4
2026-03-30Fang ChendirectorAward / grant20,00020,000Form 4
2026-03-30Mettler JodyofficerAward / grant8,00033,000Form 4
2026-03-30Mettler JodyofficerAward / grant5,83338,833Form 4
2026-03-30Mettler JodyofficerAward / grant80,00080,000Form 4
2026-03-30Horowitz Jeff PeterofficerAward / grant8,333319,451Form 4
2026-03-30Reginelli EdwardofficerAward / grant5,833544,833Form 4
2026-03-30Reginelli EdwardofficerAward / grant47,125591,958Form 4
2026-03-30Fang ChendirectorAward / grant2,0001,257,158Form 4
2026-03-23Belshe MichaeldirectorWithheld for tax22,426858,355Form 4
2026-01-23Valor Digital Investments, LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion318,0060Form 4
2026-01-23Valor Digital Investments, LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion336,1070Form 4
2026-01-23Valor Digital Investments, LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion12,9900Form 4
2026-01-23Valor Digital Investments, LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion627,6720Form 4
2026-01-23Valor Digital Investments, LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion330,2770Form 4
2026-01-23Valor Digital Investments, LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion9,201,7250Form 4
2026-01-23Valor Digital Investments, LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion122,8780Form 4
2026-01-23Valor Digital Investments, LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion4,7630Form 4
2026-01-23Valor Digital Investments, LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion229,5020Form 4
2026-01-23Valor Digital Investments, LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion190,2080Form 4
2026-01-23Valor Digital Investments, LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion8,3870Form 4
2026-01-23Valor Digital Investments, LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion318,0060Form 4
2026-01-23Valor Digital Investments, LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion336,1070Form 4
2026-01-23Valor Digital Investments, LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion12,9900Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.