BSY · TickerCove

BSYBentley Systems, IncorporatedTechnology · Software - Applicationas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $31.10 · now $31.10 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, BSY has typically landed between $26.33 and $35.65 — a range of −15.3% to +14.6% from the issuance price $31.10.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

1,481 overlapping 1 month windows · 2020-09-23 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($31.10) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$31.1 · 10% of range

$28.42 low$56.48 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

−0.9%

typical move · IQR 11.5%

−15.3%worst (p90)+14.6%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where BSY has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $31.1 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $31.1 (+0.0%)
typical $30.81 (-0.9%)
middle 50% $29.03–$32.6
90% range $26.33–$35.65

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,481 windows spanning 2020-09-23 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2022-04-11	−34.5%	−34.5%	+4.9%
2022-04-19	−30.5%	−37.5%	+0.0%
2022-04-25	−29.3%	−36.0%	+0.4%
3 best
2020-12-15	+49.1%	+0.0%	+54.0%
2020-12-10	+47.0%	−4.6%	+47.0%
2020-12-14	+45.3%	−4.6%	+47.0%

1,481 overlapping windows · 2020-09-23 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~6 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

17%

−4.3%

n=6

Feb

67%

+2.1%

n=6

Mar

67%

+2.5%

n=6

Apr

50%

+1.1%

n=6

May

67%

+2.4%

n=6

Jun

50%

+4.1%

n=6

Jul

50%

+6.1%

n=6

Aug

50%

−0.5%

n=6

Sep

17%

−7.7%

n=6

Oct

33%

+2.5%

n=6

Nov

67%

−2.3%

n=6

Dec

50%

−0.8%

n=6

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-03-10	BENTLEY GREGORY S	director	Sale	100 @ $40.01	$4K	−0.0% of holding	−14.8%	−30.9%	7,614,841	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-17	Trimback Thomas F	officer	Sale	560 @ $43.02	$24K	−3.9% of holding	−4.9%	−32.0%	13,806	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-02	BENTLEY GREGORY S	director	Sale	37,160 @ $54.83	$2.0M	−0.5% of holding	−8.2%	−35.8%	7,580,436	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-07-29	Shaman David R.	officer	Sale	400 @ $59.25	$24K	−0.1% of holding	−8.5%	−46.3%	647,209	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-07-14	Shaman David R.	officer	Sale	19,348 @ $56.96	$1.1M	−2.9% of holding	−11.0%	−41.2%	647,609	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-07-11	Shaman David R.	officer	Sale	965 @ $56.92	$55K	−0.1% of holding	−8.1%	−40.5%	666,957	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-07-07	Bentley Keith A.	director	Sale	149,900 @ $55.54	$8.3M	−3.7% of holding	+1.6%	−42.7%	3,859,427	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-07-07	Bentley Keith A.	director	Sale	100 @ $56.05	$6K	−0.0% of holding	+1.6%	−42.7%	3,859,327	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-07-03	Shaman David R.	officer	Sale	19,156 @ $54.98	$1.1M	−2.8% of holding	+3.7%	−40.7%	670,558	Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-06-20	Bentley Raymond B.	director	Sale	122,114 @ $50.70	$6.2M	−0.8% of holding	+8.9%	−35.2%	15,347,424	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-06-18	Bentley Raymond B.	director	Sale	247,289 @ $50.64	$12.5M	−1.6% of holding	+8.6%	−33.8%	15,471,938	Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-06-18	Bentley Raymond B.	director	Sale	2,400 @ $50.98	$122K	−0.0% of holding	+8.6%	−33.8%	15,469,538	Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-06-17	Bentley Raymond B.	director	Sale	273,094 @ $50.30	$13.7M	−1.7% of holding	+9.4%	−34.0%	15,719,227	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-16	Bentley Raymond B.	director	Sale	355,103 @ $49.96	$17.7M	−2.2% of holding	+10.6%	−32.9%	15,992,321	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-07	Ballard Brock	officer	Sale	12,363 @ $45.08	$557K	−15.4% of holding	+1.0%	−16.3%	68,064	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-12	BENTLEY GREGORY S	director	Sale	53,968 @ $41.04	$2.2M	−0.7% of holding	+8.0%	+13.1%	7,755,439	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-03	Ballard Brock	officer	Sale	6,136 @ $43.13	$265K	−8.4% of holding	−1.7%	+16.9%	67,190	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-03	Ballard Brock	officer	Sale	1,548 @ $43.78	$68K	−2.3% of holding	−1.7%	+16.9%	65,642	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-01-24	Bentley Keith A.	director	Sale	1,152 @ $46.33	$53K	−0.0% of holding	+1.3%	+22.4%	16,703,876	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-01-02	Bentley Keith A.	director	Sale	69,573 @ $46.67	$3.2M	−0.4% of holding	−2.5%	+13.8%	16,705,028	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

233 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-31	Shaman David R.	officer	Withheld for tax	6,665	622,681	Form 4
2026-08-27	BENTLEY GREGORY S	director	Gift	13,192	7,676,671	Form 4
2026-08-12	BENTLEY GREGORY S	director	Gift	703	7,690,144	Form 4
2026-08-12	BENTLEY GREGORY S	director	Gift	281	7,689,863	Form 4
2026-08-02	Shaman David R.	officer	Withheld for tax	1,040	629,346	Form 4
2026-07-23	BENTLEY GREGORY S	director	Award / grant	61,037	7,717,545	Form 4
2026-07-23	BENTLEY GREGORY S	director	Withheld for tax	26,698	7,690,847	Form 4
2026-07-08	Shaman David R.	officer	Withheld for tax	704	629,731	Form 4
2026-06-11	Shaman David R.	officer	Award / grant	620	630,435	Form 4
2026-06-11	Bentley Barry J.	director	Award / grant	3	11,837,893	Form 4
2026-06-11	Ballard Brock	officer	Award / grant	202	94,037	Form 4
2026-06-11	Bentley Keith A.	director	Award / grant	1,050	3,844,221	Form 4
2026-06-11	Griswold Kirk B.	director	Award / grant	86	468,117	Form 4
2026-06-11	Lee James K	officer	Award / grant	466	221,414	Form 4
2026-06-11	Moutte Julien	officer	Award / grant	201	90,367	Form 4
2026-06-11	Cumins Nicholas	director	Award / grant	878	532,717	Form 4
2026-06-11	BENTLEY GREGORY S	director	Award / grant	3,749	7,656,508	Form 4
2026-06-11	Trimback Thomas F	officer	Award / grant	42	19,376	Form 4
2026-06-11	Bentley Raymond B.	director	Award / grant	2,076	14,814,360	Form 4
2026-06-11	Andre Werner	officer	Award / grant	301	377,169	Form 4
2026-05-21	Griswold Kirk B.	director	Award / grant	6,749	468,031	Form 4
2026-05-21	Hughes Brian F.	director	Award / grant	6,749	40,500	Form 4
2026-05-21	HAUGEN JANET BRUTSCHEA	director	Award / grant	6,749	35,198	Form 4
2026-05-03	Shaman David R.	officer	Withheld for tax	5,287	654,288	Form 4
2026-04-23	BENTLEY GREGORY S	director	Award / grant	62,032	7,679,892	Form 4
2026-04-23	BENTLEY GREGORY S	director	Withheld for tax	27,133	7,652,759	Form 4
2026-04-01	Moutte Julien	officer	Withheld for tax	3,007	90,166	Form 4
2026-03-29	Trimback Thomas F	officer	Withheld for tax	172	19,334	Form 4
2026-03-19	Griswold Kirk B.	director	Award / grant	70	461,282	Form 4
2026-03-19	Cumins Nicholas	director	Award / grant	707	531,839	Form 4
2026-03-19	Andre Werner	officer	Award / grant	243	376,868	Form 4
2026-03-19	BENTLEY GREGORY S	director	Award / grant	3,019	7,617,860	Form 4
2026-03-19	Ballard Brock	officer	Award / grant	163	93,835	Form 4
2026-03-19	Bentley Barry J.	director	Award / grant	3	11,837,890	Form 4
2026-03-19	Shaman David R.	officer	Award / grant	546	659,575	Form 4
2026-03-19	Bentley Keith A.	director	Award / grant	845	3,843,171	Form 4
2026-03-19	Bentley Raymond B.	director	Award / grant	1,671	14,812,284	Form 4
2026-03-19	Lee James K	officer	Award / grant	375	220,948	Form 4
2026-03-19	Moutte Julien	officer	Award / grant	173	93,173	Form 4
2026-03-19	Trimback Thomas F	officer	Award / grant	35	19,506	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i