BRX · TickerCove

BRXBrixmor Property Group Inc.Real Estate · REIT - Retailas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $27.98 · now $27.98 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, BRX has typically landed between $25.24 and $30.91 — a range of −9.8% to +10.5% from the issuance price $27.98.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

3,217 overlapping 1 month windows · 2013-10-30 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($27.98) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$27.98 · 47% of range

$23.88 low$32.69 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

+1.1%

typical move · IQR 7.8%

−9.8%worst (p90)+10.5%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where BRX has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $27.98 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $27.98 (+0.0%)
typical $28.29 (+1.1%)
middle 50% $27.19–$29.38
90% range $25.24–$30.91

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 3,217 windows spanning 2013-10-30 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2020-03-04	−58.0%	−58.0%	+0.0%
2020-02-21	−57.5%	−57.5%	+0.0%
2020-03-05	−55.6%	−57.0%	+0.0%
3 best
2020-10-28	+49.0%	+0.0%	+58.0%
2020-05-15	+48.6%	+0.0%	+71.5%
2020-05-07	+48.6%	−14.5%	+48.6%

3,217 overlapping windows · 2013-10-30 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~13 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

62%

+1.7%

n=13

Feb

46%

+0.5%

n=13

Mar

46%

−3.7%

n=13

Apr

38%

+1.2%

n=13

May

46%

−0.5%

n=13

Jun

77%

+2.6%

n=13

Jul

85%

+4.8%

n=13

Aug

54%

−0.4%

n=13

Sep

31%

−2.1%

n=13

Oct

50%

+2.0%

n=12

Nov

46%

+4.3%

n=13

Dec

69%

+1.3%

n=13

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-12	Berman Michael B	director	Sale	9,000 @ $29.70	$267K	−22.7% of holding	−2.3%	not yet — horizon still open	30,702	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-12	Bowerman Julie	director	Sale	8,000 @ $29.03	$232K	−30.3% of holding	+5.1%	−9.1%	18,400	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-05	SIEGEL STEVEN F	officer	Sale	25,000 @ $28.21	$705K	−7.6% of holding	−7.7%	+3.2%	302,657	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-06	Berman Michael B	director	Sale	5,000 @ $26.54	$133K	−12.3% of holding	+4.1%	+0.3%	35,726	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-07-17	Bowerman Julie	director	Sale	2,000 @ $25.74	$51K	−8.9% of holding	+0.4%	−7.3%	20,526	Form 4 · filed 36 days after the trade
2025-02-27	SIEGEL STEVEN F	officer	Sale	10,460 @ $27.60	$289K	−3.1% of holding	−0.6%	−7.7%	327,657	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-26	SIEGEL STEVEN F	officer	Sale	14,540 @ $27.55	$401K	−4.1% of holding	+0.2%	−4.7%	338,117	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-26	Bowerman Julie	director	Sale	13,200 @ $27.49	$363K	−42.5% of holding	+0.2%	−4.7%	17,868	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

292 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-04-22	DICKSON THOMAS W	director	Award / grant	3,976	59,702	Form 4
2026-04-22	Bowerman Julie	director	Award / grant	3,976	22,424	Form 4
2026-04-22	Rahm William D.	director	Award / grant	3,976	64,702	Form 4
2026-04-22	Lawrence Sandra AJ	director	Award / grant	3,976	27,140	Form 4
2026-04-22	HURWITZ DANIEL B	director	Award / grant	3,976	46,509	Form 4
2026-04-22	Berman Michael B	director	Award / grant	3,976	39,702	Form 4
2026-04-22	Crosland Sheryl Maxwell	director	Award / grant	5,798	58,882	Form 4
2026-04-22	Suarez John Peter	director	Award / grant	3,976	16,362	Form 4
2026-02-04	Finnegan Brian T	director	Withheld for tax	14,936	299,766	Form 4
2026-02-04	Horgan Mark	officer	Withheld for tax	14,936	400,490	Form 4
2026-02-04	SIEGEL STEVEN F	officer	Withheld for tax	10,339	337,806	Form 4
2026-02-04	Gallagher Steven T	officer	Withheld for tax	1,602	65,135	Form 4
2026-02-04	Horgan Mark	officer	Withheld for tax	1,403	401,834	Form 4
2026-02-04	Finnegan Brian T	director	Withheld for tax	1,403	301,110	Form 4
2026-02-04	SIEGEL STEVEN F	officer	Withheld for tax	971	338,737	Form 4
2026-02-04	Gallagher Steven T	officer	Withheld for tax	151	65,512	Form 4
2026-02-04	Finnegan Brian T	director	Award / grant	43,275	43,275	Form 4
2026-02-04	Gallagher Steven T	officer	Award / grant	12,982	12,982	Form 4
2026-02-04	SIEGEL STEVEN F	officer	Award / grant	20,256	20,256	Form 4
2026-02-04	SIEGEL STEVEN F	officer	Award / grant	1,902	1,902	Form 4
2026-02-04	SIEGEL STEVEN F	officer	Award / grant	12,982	12,982	Form 4
2026-02-04	Gallagher Steven T	officer	Award / grant	5,626	5,626	Form 4
2026-02-04	Gallagher Steven T	officer	Award / grant	528	528	Form 4
2026-02-04	Brydzinski Kevin	officer	Award / grant	3,246	3,246	Form 4
2026-02-04	Horgan Mark	officer	Award / grant	29,258	29,258	Form 4
2026-02-04	Horgan Mark	officer	Award / grant	2,746	2,746	Form 4
2026-02-04	Horgan Mark	officer	Award / grant	21,638	21,638	Form 4
2026-02-04	Finnegan Brian T	director	Award / grant	29,258	29,258	Form 4
2026-02-04	Finnegan Brian T	director	Award / grant	2,746	2,746	Form 4
2026-02-04	Gallagher Steven T	officer	Award / grant	528	65,663	Form 4
2026-02-04	SIEGEL STEVEN F	officer	Award / grant	1,902	339,708	Form 4
2026-02-04	SIEGEL STEVEN F	officer	Award / grant	20,252	348,145	Form 4
2026-02-04	Gallagher Steven T	officer	Award / grant	5,624	66,737	Form 4
2026-02-04	Horgan Mark	officer	Award / grant	29,257	415,426	Form 4
2026-02-04	Gallagher Steven T	officer	Award / grant	528	65,663	Form 4
2026-02-04	Finnegan Brian T	director	Award / grant	2,747	302,513	Form 4
2026-02-04	Gallagher Steven T	officer	Award / grant	5,624	66,737	Form 4
2026-02-04	Horgan Mark	officer	Award / grant	2,747	403,237	Form 4
2026-02-04	Horgan Mark	officer	Award / grant	29,257	415,426	Form 4
2026-02-04	Horgan Mark	officer	Award / grant	2,747	403,237	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

27d remaining

2026-09-174% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i