Issued 2026-09-16 at $15.16 · now $15.16 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, BRUN has typically landed between $12.47 and $22.40 — a range of −17.8% to +47.8% from the issuance price $15.16.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
408 overlapping 1 month windows · 2024-12-30 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($15.16) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where BRUN has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $15.16 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $15.16 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $15.24 (+0.5%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $14.48–$15.99
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $12.47–$22.4
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2026-06-29 | −53.9% | −53.9% | +14.3% |
| 2026-06-26 | −51.2% | −51.2% | +13.4% |
| 2026-06-30 | −48.9% | −59.7% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2026-04-30 | +125.8% | +0.0% | +125.8% |
| 2026-04-16 | +116.8% | −5.1% | +116.8% |
| 2026-05-01 | +105.4% | +0.0% | +119.1% |
408 overlapping windows · 2024-12-30 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~2 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Goodrich Sean | director | Sale | 500,000 @ $14.00 | $7.0M | −10.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 4,437,921 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-27 | Goodrich Sean | director | Sale | 198,200 @ $20.15 | $4.0M | −3.9% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 4,937,921 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
7 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | Goodrich Sean | director | Option exercise | 1,101,986 | 5,136,121 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-19 | Goodrich Sean | director | Option exercise | 1,101,986 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-09 | Goodrich Sean | director | Option exercise | 1,272,885 | 3,338,270 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-09 | Goodrich Sean | director | Disposition | 1,101,986 | 2,203,972 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-12 | Weil B. Luke | director | Option exercise | 1,272,885 | 3,355,789 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-12 | Weil B. Luke | director | Disposition | 1,101,986 | 2,905,236 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-12 | Steinberg Jeremy Rayne | director | Option exercise | 25,375 | 25,375 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.