Issued 2026-09-16 at $13.95 · now $13.95 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, BRT has typically landed between $12.46 and $15.57 — a range of −10.7% to +11.6% from the issuance price $13.95.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($13.95) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where BRT has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $13.95 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $13.95 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $13.95 (+0.0%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $13.33–$14.57
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $12.46–$15.57
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2008-11-04 | −56.8% | −56.8% | +2.8% |
| 2020-02-18 | −56.3% | −56.3% | +5.1% |
| 2008-10-31 | −54.7% | −54.7% | +3.5% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2008-12-02 | +96.1% | −3.9% | +96.1% |
| 2008-12-04 | +96.0% | +0.0% | +104.0% |
| 2008-12-03 | +76.3% | −5.3% | +93.1% |
5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-29 | ZWEIER GEORGE | officer | Sale | 6,801 @ $14.74 | $100K | −5.8% of holding | −1.7% | −2.3% | 110,440 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-28 | Ginsburg Alan H | director | Sale | 0 @ $14.88 | $1 | −0.0% of holding | +1.3% | −4.6% | 66,679 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-20 | GOULD JEFFREY | director | Purchase | 7,000 @ $14.96 | $105K | +0.2% of holding | −2.1% | −8.4% | 4,074,353 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-10-20 | GOULD INVESTORS L P | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 7,000 @ $14.96 | $105K | +0.2% of holding | −2.1% | −8.4% | 4,074,353 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-10-20 | GOULD MATTHEW J | director | Purchase | 7,000 @ $14.96 | $105K | +0.2% of holding | −2.1% | −8.4% | 4,074,353 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-10-17 | GOULD MATTHEW J | director | Purchase | 3,953 @ $14.97 | $59K | +0.1% of holding | −4.0% | −7.8% | 4,067,353 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-17 | GOULD JEFFREY | director | Purchase | 3,953 @ $14.97 | $59K | +0.1% of holding | −4.0% | −7.8% | 4,067,353 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-17 | GOULD INVESTORS L P | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 3,953 @ $14.97 | $59K | +0.1% of holding | −4.0% | −7.8% | 4,067,353 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-16 | GOULD JEFFREY | director | Purchase | 8,000 @ $15.00 | $120K | +0.2% of holding | −3.4% | −7.7% | 4,063,400 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-16 | GOULD MATTHEW J | director | Purchase | 8,000 @ $15.00 | $120K | +0.2% of holding | −3.4% | −7.7% | 4,063,400 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-16 | GOULD INVESTORS L P | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 8,000 @ $15.00 | $120K | +0.2% of holding | −3.4% | −7.7% | 4,063,400 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-13 | GOULD JEFFREY | director | Purchase | 7,000 @ $14.87 | $104K | +0.2% of holding | −4.7% | −5.7% | 4,053,400 | Form 4 · filed 7 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-13 | GOULD INVESTORS L P | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 7,000 @ $14.87 | $104K | +0.2% of holding | −4.7% | −5.7% | 4,053,400 | Form 4 · filed 7 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-13 | GOULD MATTHEW J | director | Purchase | 7,000 @ $14.87 | $104K | +0.2% of holding | −4.7% | −5.7% | 4,053,400 | Form 4 · filed 7 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-13 | GOULD JEFFREY | director | Purchase | 2,000 @ $14.72 | $29K | +0.0% of holding | −4.7% | −5.7% | 4,055,400 | Form 4 · filed 7 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-13 | GOULD MATTHEW J | director | Purchase | 2,000 @ $14.72 | $29K | +0.0% of holding | −4.7% | −5.7% | 4,055,400 | Form 4 · filed 7 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-13 | GOULD INVESTORS L P | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 2,000 @ $14.72 | $29K | +0.0% of holding | −4.7% | −5.7% | 4,055,400 | Form 4 · filed 7 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-09 | GOULD INVESTORS L P | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 6,000 @ $15.00 | $90K | +0.1% of holding | −2.2% | −5.2% | 4,046,400 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-09 | GOULD JEFFREY | director | Purchase | 6,000 @ $15.00 | $90K | +0.1% of holding | −2.2% | −5.2% | 4,046,400 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-09 | GOULD MATTHEW J | director | Purchase | 6,000 @ $15.00 | $90K | +0.1% of holding | −2.2% | −5.2% | 4,046,400 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-11 | GOULD FREDRIC H | director | Purchase | 1,977 @ $16.42 | $32K | +9.4% of holding | −8.7% | −12.5% | 23,034 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-09-11 | GOULD FREDRIC H | director | Purchase | 1,555 @ $16.42 | $26K | +0.3% of holding | −8.7% | −12.5% | 468,012 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-09-10 | GOULD FREDRIC H | director | Purchase | 8,758 @ $15.96 | $140K | +1.9% of holding | −9.0% | −10.5% | 466,457 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-09-10 | GOULD FREDRIC H | director | Purchase | 6,891 @ $15.96 | $110K | +48.6% of holding | −9.0% | −10.5% | 21,057 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-09-09 | GOULD FREDRIC H | director | Purchase | 8,265 @ $15.83 | $131K | +1.8% of holding | −7.3% | −12.0% | 457,699 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-09 | GOULD FREDRIC H | director | Purchase | 4,154 @ $15.83 | $66K | +41.5% of holding | −7.3% | −12.0% | 14,166 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-12 | GOULD JEFFREY | director | Purchase | 3,468 @ $14.96 | $52K | +0.1% of holding | +6.5% | −7.2% | 4,040,400 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-12 | GOULD MATTHEW J | director | Purchase | 3,468 @ $14.96 | $52K | +0.1% of holding | +6.5% | −7.2% | 4,040,400 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-12 | GOULD INVESTORS L P | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 3,468 @ $14.96 | $52K | +0.1% of holding | +6.5% | −7.2% | 4,040,400 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-11 | GOULD MATTHEW J | director | Purchase | 4,478 @ $14.94 | $67K | +0.1% of holding | +5.4% | −7.4% | 4,036,932 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-11 | GOULD JEFFREY | director | Purchase | 4,478 @ $14.94 | $67K | +0.1% of holding | +5.4% | −7.4% | 4,036,932 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-11 | GOULD INVESTORS L P | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 4,478 @ $14.94 | $67K | +0.1% of holding | +5.4% | −7.4% | 4,036,932 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-18 | GOULD JEFFREY | director | Purchase | 100 @ $15.75 | $2K | +0.0% of holding | −7.3% | −15.1% | 3,981,012 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-06-18 | GOULD MATTHEW J | director | Purchase | 100 @ $15.75 | $2K | +0.0% of holding | −7.3% | −15.1% | 3,981,012 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-06-18 | GOULD INVESTORS L P | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 100 @ $15.75 | $2K | +0.0% of holding | −7.3% | −15.1% | 3,981,012 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-06-16 | GOULD MATTHEW J | director | Purchase | 1,742 @ $15.80 | $28K | +0.0% of holding | −6.1% | −16.1% | 3,980,912 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-16 | GOULD JEFFREY | director | Purchase | 1,742 @ $15.80 | $28K | +0.0% of holding | −6.1% | −16.1% | 3,980,912 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-16 | GOULD INVESTORS L P | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 1,742 @ $15.80 | $28K | +0.0% of holding | −6.1% | −16.1% | 3,980,912 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-12 | GOULD INVESTORS L P | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 5,000 @ $15.93 | $80K | +0.1% of holding | −7.3% | −19.5% | 3,979,170 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-12 | GOULD MATTHEW J | director | Purchase | 5,000 @ $15.93 | $80K | +0.1% of holding | −7.3% | −19.5% | 3,979,170 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-12 | GOULD JEFFREY | director | Purchase | 5,000 @ $15.93 | $80K | +0.1% of holding | −7.3% | −19.5% | 3,979,170 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-06 | GOULD MATTHEW J | director | Purchase | 300 @ $15.97 | $5K | +0.0% of holding | −3.9% | −21.8% | 3,974,170 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-06 | GOULD JEFFREY | director | Purchase | 300 @ $15.97 | $5K | +0.0% of holding | −3.9% | −21.8% | 3,974,170 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-06 | GOULD INVESTORS L P | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 300 @ $15.97 | $5K | +0.0% of holding | −3.9% | −21.8% | 3,974,170 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-06 | GOULD INVESTORS L P | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 300 @ $15.87 | $5K | +0.0% of holding | −3.9% | −21.8% | 3,973,870 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-06 | GOULD JEFFREY | director | Purchase | 300 @ $15.87 | $5K | +0.0% of holding | −3.9% | −21.8% | 3,973,870 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-06 | GOULD MATTHEW J | director | Purchase | 300 @ $15.87 | $5K | +0.0% of holding | −3.9% | −21.8% | 3,973,870 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-05 | GOULD MATTHEW J | director | Purchase | 3,026 @ $15.93 | $48K | +0.1% of holding | −4.8% | −23.1% | 3,973,570 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-05 | GOULD INVESTORS L P | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 3,026 @ $15.93 | $48K | +0.1% of holding | −4.8% | −23.1% | 3,973,570 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-05 | GOULD JEFFREY | director | Purchase | 3,026 @ $15.93 | $48K | +0.1% of holding | −4.8% | −23.1% | 3,973,570 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-29 | GOULD MATTHEW J | director | Purchase | 7,500 @ $15.93 | $119K | +0.2% of holding | −5.3% | −19.8% | 3,970,544 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-29 | GOULD INVESTORS L P | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 7,500 @ $15.93 | $119K | +0.2% of holding | −5.3% | −19.8% | 3,970,544 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-29 | GOULD JEFFREY | director | Purchase | 7,500 @ $15.93 | $119K | +0.2% of holding | −5.3% | −19.8% | 3,970,544 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-28 | GOULD JEFFREY | director | Purchase | 7,500 @ $15.65 | $117K | +0.2% of holding | −1.9% | −17.5% | 3,963,044 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-05-28 | GOULD INVESTORS L P | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 7,500 @ $15.65 | $117K | +0.2% of holding | −1.9% | −17.5% | 3,963,044 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-05-28 | GOULD MATTHEW J | director | Purchase | 7,500 @ $15.65 | $117K | +0.2% of holding | −1.9% | −17.5% | 3,963,044 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-05-27 | GOULD INVESTORS L P | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 4,360 @ $15.58 | $68K | +0.1% of holding | −3.6% | −22.1% | 3,955,544 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-27 | GOULD JEFFREY | director | Purchase | 4,360 @ $15.58 | $68K | +0.1% of holding | −3.6% | −22.1% | 3,955,544 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-27 | GOULD MATTHEW J | director | Purchase | 4,360 @ $15.58 | $68K | +0.1% of holding | −3.6% | −22.1% | 3,955,544 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-23 | GOULD INVESTORS L P | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 7,500 @ $15.45 | $116K | +0.2% of holding | −1.7% | −17.4% | 3,951,184 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
40 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-09 | LUNDY MARK H | officer | Award / grant | 9,193 | 319,733 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-09 | HURAND GARY | director | Award / grant | 4,250 | 169,382 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-09 | Ginsburg Alan H | director | Award / grant | 4,250 | 70,929 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-09 | WEISS ELIE | director | Award / grant | 4,250 | 104,556 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-09 | Simon Jonathan H | director | Award / grant | 4,250 | 70,929 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-09 | KALISH DAVID | officer | Award / grant | 6,690 | 291,033 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-09 | RUBIN JEFFREY | director | Award / grant | 4,250 | 77,660 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-09 | GOULD JEFFREY | director | Award / grant | 13,387 | 540,828 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-09 | GOULD MATTHEW J | director | Award / grant | 13,387 | 516,269 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-09 | Gould Ryan J | officer | Award / grant | 7,000 | 23,599 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-09 | Gibbons Matthew | officer | Award / grant | 5,500 | 5,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-09 | GRASSI LOUIS C | director | Award / grant | 4,250 | 85,226 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-09 | Cicero Carol | director | Award / grant | 4,250 | 16,700 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-09 | ROSENZWEIG ISRAEL | director | Award / grant | 1,859 | 499,918 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-09 | GOULD FREDRIC H | director | Award / grant | 11,156 | 494,593 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-09 | Kalish Isaac | officer | Award / grant | 9,000 | 150,347 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-09 | Rosenzweig Steven | officer | Award / grant | 6,426 | 104,579 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-14 | Kalish Isaac | officer | Gift | 150 | 141,347 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-04 | Kalish Isaac | officer | Gift | 145 | 151 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-14 | GOULD JEFFREY | director | Other acquisition | 37,558 | 1 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-14 | GOULD MATTHEW J | director | Other acquisition | 37,588 | 1 | Form 4 |
| 2025-01-13 | GOULD MITCHELL | officer | Award / grant | 6,960 | 120,543 | Form 4 |
| 2025-01-13 | ZWEIER GEORGE | officer | Award / grant | 9,100 | 122,940 | Form 4 |
| 2025-01-13 | GRASSI LOUIS C | director | Award / grant | 4,250 | 78,343 | Form 4 |
| 2025-01-13 | HURAND GARY | director | Award / grant | 4,250 | 161,348 | Form 4 |
| 2025-01-13 | ROSENZWEIG ISRAEL | director | Award / grant | 2,202 | 485,894 | Form 4 |
| 2025-01-13 | Kalish Isaac | officer | Award / grant | 10,000 | 141,497 | Form 4 |
| 2025-01-13 | RUBIN JEFFREY | director | Award / grant | 4,250 | 73,410 | Form 4 |
| 2025-01-13 | Ginsburg Alan H | director | Award / grant | 4,250 | 66,679 | Form 4 |
| 2025-01-13 | Simon Jonathan H | director | Award / grant | 4,250 | 66,679 | Form 4 |
| 2025-01-13 | WEISS ELIE | director | Award / grant | 4,250 | 95,493 | Form 4 |
| 2025-01-13 | GOULD FREDRIC H | director | Award / grant | 12,656 | 449,434 | Form 4 |
| 2025-01-13 | KALISH DAVID | officer | Award / grant | 9,263 | 284,343 | Form 4 |
| 2025-01-13 | Cicero Carol | director | Award / grant | 4,250 | 12,450 | Form 4 |
| 2025-01-13 | GOULD MATTHEW J | director | Award / grant | 15,322 | 494,465 | Form 4 |
| 2025-01-13 | LUNDY MARK H | officer | Award / grant | 12,116 | 310,540 | Form 4 |
| 2025-01-13 | GOULD JEFFREY | director | Award / grant | 15,322 | 523,444 | Form 4 |
| 2025-01-13 | Rosenzweig Steven | officer | Award / grant | 6,294 | 96,999 | Form 4 |
| 2024-10-09 | Kalish Isaac | officer | Gift | 145 | 292 | Form 4 |
| 2024-10-09 | Kalish Isaac | officer | Gift | 145 | 151 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.