Issued 2026-09-16 at $41.37 · now $41.37 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, BROS has typically landed between $31.85 and $53.47 — a range of −23.0% to +29.2% from the issuance price $41.37.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
1,235 overlapping 1 month windows · 2021-09-15 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($41.37) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where BROS has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $41.37 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $41.37 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $41.59 (+0.5%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $37.26–$45.93
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $31.85–$53.47
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,235 windows spanning 2021-09-15 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2022-04-19 | −53.9% | −54.8% | +0.0% |
| 2022-04-14 | −51.9% | −52.6% | +4.8% |
| 2022-04-12 | −50.9% | −50.9% | +8.6% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2021-09-30 | +76.0% | −3.8% | +76.0% |
| 2021-10-06 | +67.2% | +0.0% | +82.9% |
| 2021-10-01 | +65.5% | −9.5% | +65.5% |
1,235 overlapping windows · 2021-09-15 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~5 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
60%
+6.1%
n=5
Feb
40%
+2.7%
n=5
Mar
40%
−0.9%
n=5
Apr
20%
−3.9%
n=5
May
60%
+3.4%
n=5
Jun
60%
+4.0%
n=5
Jul
40%
−0.4%
n=5
Aug
20%
−6.1%
n=5
Sep
20%
−15.1%
n=5
Oct
100%
+21.7%
n=5
Nov
80%
+9.8%
n=5
Dec
40%
−1.7%
n=5
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 | Penegor Todd Allan | director | Purchase | 2,000 @ $51.56 | $103K | +37.3% of holding | −11.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 7,358 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-11 | Boersma Travis | director | Sale | 233,690 @ $62.47 | $14.6M | −4.7% of holding | −3.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,769,885 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-11 | DM Trust Aggregator, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 233,690 @ $62.47 | $14.6M | −4.7% of holding | −3.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,769,885 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-11 | DM Trust Aggregator, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 226,120 @ $63.46 | $14.3M | −4.7% of holding | −3.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,543,765 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-11 | Boersma Travis | director | Sale | 226,120 @ $63.46 | $14.3M | −4.7% of holding | −3.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,543,765 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-11 | Boersma Travis | director | Sale | 124,771 @ $62.47 | $7.8M | −4.7% of holding | −3.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 2,547,084 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-11 | DM Individual Aggregator, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 124,771 @ $62.47 | $7.8M | −4.7% of holding | −3.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 2,547,084 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-11 | DM Individual Aggregator, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 120,729 @ $63.46 | $7.7M | −4.7% of holding | −3.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 2,426,355 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-11 | Boersma Travis | director | Sale | 120,729 @ $63.46 | $7.7M | −4.7% of holding | −3.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 2,426,355 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-11 | Boersma Travis | director | Sale | 29,135 @ $64.10 | $1.9M | −0.6% of holding | −3.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,514,630 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-11 | DM Trust Aggregator, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 29,135 @ $64.10 | $1.9M | −0.6% of holding | −3.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,514,630 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-11 | DM Individual Aggregator, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 15,555 @ $64.10 | $997K | −0.6% of holding | −3.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 2,410,800 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-11 | Boersma Travis | director | Sale | 15,555 @ $64.10 | $997K | −0.6% of holding | −3.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 2,410,800 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-10 | DM Trust Aggregator, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 461,532 @ $60.35 | $27.9M | −8.4% of holding | +6.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 5,030,988 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-10 | Boersma Travis | director | Sale | 461,532 @ $60.35 | $27.9M | −8.4% of holding | +6.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 5,030,988 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-10 | Boersma Travis | director | Sale | 247,456 @ $60.34 | $14.9M | −8.4% of holding | +6.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 2,685,453 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-10 | DM Individual Aggregator, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 247,456 @ $60.34 | $14.9M | −8.4% of holding | +6.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 2,685,453 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-10 | Barone Christine | director | Sale | 42,031 @ $60.13 | $2.5M | −48.5% of holding | +6.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 44,573 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-10 | DM Trust Aggregator, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 27,413 @ $61.08 | $1.7M | −0.5% of holding | +6.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 5,003,575 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-10 | Boersma Travis | director | Sale | 27,413 @ $61.08 | $1.7M | −0.5% of holding | +6.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 5,003,575 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-10 | DM Individual Aggregator, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 13,598 @ $61.08 | $831K | −0.5% of holding | +6.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 2,671,855 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-10 | Boersma Travis | director | Sale | 13,598 @ $61.08 | $831K | −0.5% of holding | +6.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 2,671,855 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-01 | DM Trust Aggregator, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 291,607 @ $58.26 | $17.0M | −5.0% of holding | +25.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 5,492,520 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-01 | Boersma Travis | director | Sale | 291,607 @ $58.26 | $17.0M | −5.0% of holding | +25.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 5,492,520 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-01 | DM Individual Aggregator, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 155,692 @ $58.26 | $9.1M | −5.0% of holding | +25.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 2,932,909 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-01 | Boersma Travis | director | Sale | 155,692 @ $58.26 | $9.1M | −5.0% of holding | +25.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 2,932,909 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-29 | DM Trust Aggregator, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 197,338 @ $58.27 | $11.5M | −3.3% of holding | +24.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 5,784,127 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-29 | Boersma Travis | director | Sale | 197,338 @ $58.27 | $11.5M | −3.3% of holding | +24.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 5,784,127 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-29 | DM Individual Aggregator, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 105,362 @ $58.27 | $6.1M | −3.3% of holding | +24.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 3,088,601 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-29 | Boersma Travis | director | Sale | 105,362 @ $58.27 | $6.1M | −3.3% of holding | +24.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 3,088,601 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-28 | Boersma Travis | director | Sale | 133,728 @ $56.16 | $7.5M | −2.2% of holding | +28.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 5,981,465 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-28 | DM Trust Aggregator, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 133,728 @ $56.16 | $7.5M | −2.2% of holding | +28.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 5,981,465 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-28 | Boersma Travis | director | Sale | 71,399 @ $56.16 | $4.0M | −2.2% of holding | +28.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 3,193,963 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-28 | DM Individual Aggregator, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 71,399 @ $56.16 | $4.0M | −2.2% of holding | +28.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 3,193,963 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-27 | Boersma Travis | director | Sale | 355,217 @ $56.21 | $20.0M | −5.5% of holding | +31.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 6,115,193 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-27 | DM Trust Aggregator, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 355,217 @ $56.21 | $20.0M | −5.5% of holding | +31.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 6,115,193 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-27 | Boersma Travis | director | Sale | 189,655 @ $56.21 | $10.7M | −5.5% of holding | +31.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 3,265,362 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-27 | DM Individual Aggregator, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 189,655 @ $56.21 | $10.7M | −5.5% of holding | +31.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 3,265,362 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-15 | Penegor Todd Allan | director | Purchase | 2,000 @ $51.17 | $102K | +59.6% of holding | +27.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 5,358 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-11-25 | Boersma Travis | director | Sale | 427,572 @ $55.27 | $23.6M | −61.6% of holding | +9.0% | −11.6% | 266,464 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-25 | DM Trust Aggregator, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 427,572 @ $55.27 | $23.6M | −61.6% of holding | +9.0% | −11.6% | 266,464 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-25 | Boersma Travis | director | Sale | 268,897 @ $55.27 | $14.9M | −61.6% of holding | +9.0% | −11.6% | 167,576 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-25 | DM Individual Aggregator, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 268,897 @ $55.27 | $14.9M | −61.6% of holding | +9.0% | −11.6% | 167,576 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-25 | DM Trust Aggregator, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 261,767 @ $54.58 | $14.3M | −27.4% of holding | +9.0% | −11.6% | 694,036 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-25 | Boersma Travis | director | Sale | 261,767 @ $54.58 | $14.3M | −27.4% of holding | +9.0% | −11.6% | 694,036 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-25 | DM Trust Aggregator, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 190,506 @ $57.42 | $10.9M | −92.4% of holding | +9.0% | −11.6% | 15,610 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-25 | Boersma Travis | director | Sale | 190,506 @ $57.42 | $10.9M | −92.4% of holding | +9.0% | −11.6% | 15,610 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-25 | DM Individual Aggregator, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 164,625 @ $54.58 | $9.0M | −27.4% of holding | +9.0% | −11.6% | 436,473 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-25 | Boersma Travis | director | Sale | 164,625 @ $54.58 | $9.0M | −27.4% of holding | +9.0% | −11.6% | 436,473 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-25 | Boersma Travis | director | Sale | 119,807 @ $57.42 | $6.9M | −92.4% of holding | +9.0% | −11.6% | 9,817 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-25 | DM Individual Aggregator, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 119,807 @ $57.42 | $6.9M | −92.4% of holding | +9.0% | −11.6% | 9,817 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-25 | Boersma Travis | director | Sale | 90,334 @ $53.74 | $4.9M | −8.6% of holding | +9.0% | −11.6% | 955,803 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-25 | DM Trust Aggregator, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 90,334 @ $53.74 | $4.9M | −8.6% of holding | +9.0% | −11.6% | 955,803 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-25 | Boersma Travis | director | Sale | 60,348 @ $56.63 | $3.4M | −22.6% of holding | +9.0% | −11.6% | 206,116 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-25 | DM Trust Aggregator, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 60,348 @ $56.63 | $3.4M | −22.6% of holding | +9.0% | −11.6% | 206,116 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-25 | Boersma Travis | director | Sale | 56,808 @ $53.74 | $3.1M | −8.6% of holding | +9.0% | −11.6% | 601,098 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-25 | DM Individual Aggregator, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 56,808 @ $53.74 | $3.1M | −8.6% of holding | +9.0% | −11.6% | 601,098 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-25 | Boersma Travis | director | Sale | 37,952 @ $56.63 | $2.1M | −22.6% of holding | +9.0% | −11.6% | 129,624 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-25 | DM Individual Aggregator, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 37,952 @ $56.63 | $2.1M | −22.6% of holding | +9.0% | −11.6% | 129,624 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-24 | Boersma Travis | director | Sale | 324,635 @ $53.53 | $17.4M | −23.3% of holding | +16.6% | −7.5% | 1,068,824 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
175 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Hart Gerard Johan | director | Option exercise | 775 | 2,324 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Penegor Todd Allan | director | Option exercise | 775 | 2,324 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Miller Ann M | director | Option exercise | 775 | 2,324 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Miller Ann M | director | Option exercise | 775 | 12,099 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Cone C. David | director | Option exercise | 775 | 7,215 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Cone C. David | director | Option exercise | 775 | 2,324 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | MARCHISOTTO KORY | director | Option exercise | 775 | 2,324 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Gillett Stephen | director | Option exercise | 775 | 19,282 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Gillett Stephen | director | Option exercise | 775 | 2,324 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Hart Gerard Johan | director | Option exercise | 775 | 4,236 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Penegor Todd Allan | director | Option exercise | 775 | 8,133 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Maw Scott Harlan | director | Option exercise | 775 | 2,324 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Maw Scott Harlan | director | Option exercise | 775 | 775 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | MARCHISOTTO KORY | director | Option exercise | 775 | 2,968 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | DAVILA TANA | director | Withheld for tax | 3,678 | 22,805 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | DAVILA TANA | director | Withheld for tax | 2,367 | 26,093 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | DAVILA TANA | director | Option exercise | 8,787 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | DAVILA TANA | director | Option exercise | 5,655 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | DAVILA TANA | director | Option exercise | 8,787 | 26,483 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | DAVILA TANA | director | Option exercise | 5,655 | 28,460 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | DAVILA TANA | director | Option exercise | 5,655 | 28,460 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | DAVILA TANA | director | Option exercise | 8,787 | 26,483 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-13 | Hart Gerard Johan | director | Option exercise | 444 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-13 | Miller Ann M | director | Award / grant | 3,099 | 3,099 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-13 | Miller Ann M | director | Option exercise | 444 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-13 | Miller Ann M | director | Option exercise | 444 | 11,324 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-13 | Maw Scott Harlan | director | Award / grant | 3,099 | 3,099 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-13 | Cone C. David | director | Award / grant | 3,099 | 3,099 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-13 | Cone C. David | director | Option exercise | 444 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-13 | Cone C. David | director | Option exercise | 444 | 6,440 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-13 | Gillett Stephen | director | Award / grant | 3,099 | 3,099 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-13 | Penegor Todd Allan | director | Option exercise | 444 | 3,358 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-13 | Penegor Todd Allan | director | Option exercise | 444 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-13 | Penegor Todd Allan | director | Award / grant | 3,099 | 3,099 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-13 | Davis Thomas James | director | Option exercise | 444 | 14,121 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-13 | Davis Thomas James | director | Option exercise | 444 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-13 | Hart Gerard Johan | director | Option exercise | 444 | 3,461 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-13 | Hart Gerard Johan | director | Award / grant | 3,099 | 3,099 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-13 | MARCHISOTTO KORY | director | Option exercise | 444 | 2,193 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-13 | MARCHISOTTO KORY | director | Option exercise | 444 | 0 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.