BRC · TickerCove

BRCBrady CorporationIndustrials · Security & Protection Servicesas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $84.60 · now $84.60 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, BRC has typically landed between $76.64 and $94.64 — a range of −9.4% to +11.9% from the issuance price $84.60.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($84.60) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$84.6 · 50% of range

$70.76 low$98.24 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

+1.1%

typical move · IQR 8.1%

−9.4%worst (p90)+11.9%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where BRC has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $84.6 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $84.6 (+0.0%)
typical $85.54 (+1.1%)
middle 50% $82.11–$88.98
90% range $76.64–$94.64

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2008-10-22	−40.9%	−40.9%	+12.0%
2008-10-30	−37.4%	−45.3%	+3.7%
2008-10-31	−35.5%	−47.1%	+0.2%
3 best
2008-11-20	+38.6%	+0.0%	+43.2%
2009-04-21	+35.0%	−2.0%	+35.0%
2009-04-24	+31.4%	−3.1%	+31.4%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

50%

−1.2%

n=20

Feb

45%

−0.4%

n=20

Mar

55%

+0.4%

n=20

Apr

50%

+1.6%

n=20

May

55%

+3.2%

n=20

Jun

25%

−2.3%

n=20

Jul

55%

+2.4%

n=20

Aug

55%

+0.2%

n=20

Sep

40%

−1.1%

n=20

Oct

55%

+1.5%

n=20

Nov

85%

+3.9%

n=20

Dec

60%

+2.0%

n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-06-10	Nargolwala Vineet A	director	Purchase	13,011 @ $76.86	$1.0M	+32.8% of holding	+12.9%	not yet — horizon still open	52,709	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-01-05	DeBruine Thomas F	officer	Sale	5,538 @ $81.00	$449K	−35.2% of holding	+12.8%	+2.3%	10,181	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-19	Thornton Ann	officer	Sale	4,080 @ $81.95	$334K	−12.4% of holding	+4.9%	+0.6%	28,935	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-12-10	Wilms Brett	officer	Sale	3,791 @ $78.13	$296K	−33.1% of holding	+3.1%	−3.7%	7,672	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-25	Shaller Russell	director	Sale	17,130 @ $81.25	$1.4M	−10.8% of holding	−3.5%	−5.5%	141,421	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-25	Gorman Andrew	officer	Sale	6,469 @ $80.01	$518K	−31.4% of holding	−3.5%	−5.5%	14,153	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-25	Gorman Andrew	officer	Sale	6,059 @ $80.01	$485K	−30.0% of holding	−3.5%	−5.5%	14,153	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-21	RICHARDSON BRADLEY C	director	Sale	1,000 @ $78.33	$78K	−57.7% of holding	−1.4%	−2.0%	733	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-11-19	BRUNO ELIZABETH P	director	Sale	22,462 @ $74.69	$1.7M	−3.8% of holding	+2.6%	+1.7%	575,000	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-19	Wilms Brett	officer	Sale	3,563 @ $74.22	$264K	−31.7% of holding	+2.6%	+1.7%	7,672	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-19	Wilms Brett	officer	Sale	3,266 @ $74.24	$242K	−29.9% of holding	+2.6%	+1.7%	7,672	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-19	Wilms Brett	officer	Sale	2,882 @ $74.79	$216K	−27.3% of holding	+2.6%	+1.7%	7,672	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-19	BRUNO ELIZABETH P	director	Sale	1,243 @ $75.08	$93K	−0.4% of holding	+2.6%	+1.7%	325,780	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-19	Wilms Brett	officer	Sale	1,183 @ $74.82	$89K	−13.4% of holding	+2.6%	+1.7%	7,672	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-10-06	BRUNO ELIZABETH P	director	Sale	2,692 @ $76.27	$205K	−0.8% of holding	−1.2%	+9.4%	327,023	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-10-06	BRUNO ELIZABETH P	director	Sale	2,538 @ $76.27	$194K	−0.4% of holding	−1.2%	+9.4%	597,462	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-18	Shaller Russell	director	Sale	21,295 @ $80.00	$1.7M	−13.6% of holding	−8.0%	+0.8%	135,080	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-18	Shaller Russell	director	Sale	2,448 @ $80.64	$197K	−1.8% of holding	−8.0%	+0.8%	135,080	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2024-12-06	Wilms Brett	officer	Sale	800 @ $75.14	$60K	−15.1% of holding	+2.1%	−5.3%	4,484	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

75 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-09-01	Bojarski Olivier	officer	Withheld for tax	5,483	42,140	Form 4
2026-09-01	Thornton Ann	officer	Withheld for tax	5,426	36,633	Form 4
2026-09-01	Gorman Andrew	officer	Withheld for tax	2,532	18,063	Form 4
2026-09-01	DeBruine Thomas F	officer	Withheld for tax	1,769	13,262	Form 4
2026-09-01	Bojarski Olivier	officer	Award / grant	11,666	47,623	Form 4
2026-09-01	DeBruine Thomas F	officer	Award / grant	3,765	15,031	Form 4
2026-09-01	Gorman Andrew	officer	Award / grant	5,389	20,595	Form 4
2026-09-01	Thornton Ann	officer	Award / grant	11,545	42,059	Form 4
2026-08-03	Gorman Andrew	officer	Award / grant	1,053	15,206	Form 4
2026-08-03	DeBruine Thomas F	officer	Award / grant	1,053	11,266	Form 4
2026-08-03	Thornton Ann	officer	Award / grant	1,579	30,514	Form 4
2026-07-02	ALLENDER PATRICK W	director	Award / grant	267	101,667	Form 4
2026-06-10	Nargolwala Vineet A	director	Award / grant	25,684	78,393	Form 4
2026-06-08	Nargolwala Vineet A	director	Award / grant	39,698	39,698	Form 4
2026-06-08	Bojarski Olivier	officer	Award / grant	15,506	35,957	Form 4
2026-04-06	ALLENDER PATRICK W	director	Award / grant	304	101,100	Form 4
2026-01-09	ALLENDER PATRICK W	director	Award / grant	296	100,510	Form 4
2025-12-19	Thornton Ann	officer	Option exercise	4,080	33,015	Form 4
2025-12-19	Thornton Ann	officer	Option exercise	4,080	0	Form 4
2025-12-10	Wilms Brett	officer	Option exercise	3,791	11,463	Form 4
2025-12-10	Wilms Brett	officer	Option exercise	3,791	0	Form 4
2025-11-25	Gorman Andrew	officer	Option exercise	6,469	20,622	Form 4
2025-11-25	Gorman Andrew	officer	Option exercise	6,059	20,212	Form 4
2025-11-25	Gorman Andrew	officer	Option exercise	6,469	0	Form 4
2025-11-25	Gorman Andrew	officer	Option exercise	6,059	0	Form 4
2025-11-19	Wilms Brett	officer	Option exercise	3,266	10,938	Form 4
2025-11-19	Wilms Brett	officer	Option exercise	2,882	10,554	Form 4
2025-11-19	Wilms Brett	officer	Option exercise	3,563	11,235	Form 4
2025-11-19	Wilms Brett	officer	Option exercise	1,183	8,855	Form 4
2025-11-19	Wilms Brett	officer	Option exercise	3,266	0	Form 4
2025-11-19	Wilms Brett	officer	Option exercise	1,183	0	Form 4
2025-11-19	Wilms Brett	officer	Option exercise	2,882	0	Form 4
2025-11-19	Wilms Brett	officer	Option exercise	3,563	0	Form 4
2025-10-14	ALLENDER PATRICK W	director	Award / grant	373	99,894	Form 4
2025-10-02	Shaller Russell	director	Withheld for tax	10,114	158,550	Form 4
2025-10-02	Thornton Ann	officer	Withheld for tax	1,803	28,935	Form 4
2025-10-02	Bojarski Olivier	officer	Withheld for tax	1,761	20,451	Form 4
2025-10-02	Collins Smee Joanne	director	Award / grant	1,728	11,069	Form 4
2025-10-02	Cusack Deidre	director	Award / grant	1,728	3,561	Form 4
2025-10-02	De Greef-Safft Anne	director	Award / grant	1,728	3,588	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i