Issued 2026-09-16 at $3.94 · now $3.95 (2026-09-17, +0.3% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, BRBS has typically landed between $3.33 and $4.53 — a range of −15.6% to +15.0% from the issuance price $3.94.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
3,492 overlapping 1 month windows · 2012-09-25 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($3.94) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where BRBS has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $3.94 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $3.95 (+0.3%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $3.92 (-0.6%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $3.71–$4.13
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $3.33–$4.53
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2023-09-01 | −63.1% | −63.1% | +0.9% |
| 2023-08-31 | −59.7% | −59.7% | +2.8% |
| 2023-09-05 | −56.8% | −63.5% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2013-10-30 | +47.1% | +0.0% | +47.1% |
| 2013-10-29 | +47.1% | +0.0% | +47.1% |
| 2013-10-28 | +47.1% | +0.0% | +47.1% |
3,493 overlapping windows · 2012-09-25 – 2026-09-17 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~14 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-10 | Raynor Brett | officer | Sale | 2,000 @ $3.34 | $7K | −20.3% of holding | +0.6% | +20.9% | 7,829 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-03-04 | Woodruff Carolyn J. | director | Sale | 8,924 @ $3.75 | $33K | −6.1% of holding | −3.8% | +0.8% | 138,179 | Form 4 · filed 6 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-20 | Woodruff Carolyn J. | director | Sale | 2,549 @ $3.75 | $10K | −1.7% of holding | −0.9% | −3.0% | 147,103 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
41 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-01 | Spilman Vance H | director | Award / grant | 14,206 | 168,527 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Patterson Julien G | director | Award / grant | 10,460 | 319,724 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Cozart Heather | director | Award / grant | 10,306 | 66,345 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Bost Hunter H. | director | Award / grant | 9,694 | 178,190 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Reynolds Randolph N Jr | director | Award / grant | 6,602 | 45,177 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Jones Otis | director | Award / grant | 3,816 | 19,745 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Gavant Judy Carol | officer | Disposition | 7,474 | 569,898 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-20 | Golliday Harry W | officer | Award / grant | 80,000 | 290,039 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-20 | Gavant Judy Carol | officer | Disposition | 160,000 | 417,372 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-20 | Gavant Judy Carol | officer | Award / grant | 160,000 | 577,372 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-20 | Brown M Dean | officer | Disposition | 200,000 | 229,902 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-20 | Brown M Dean | officer | Award / grant | 200,000 | 429,902 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-20 | Vallacchi Grace | officer | Disposition | 120,000 | 190,026 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-20 | Vallacchi Grace | officer | Award / grant | 120,000 | 310,026 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-06 | BEALE G WILLIAM | director | Withheld for tax | 5,581 | 1,163,828 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-02 | BEALE G WILLIAM | director | Withheld for tax | 17,068 | 1,169,409 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-23 | Vallacchi Grace | officer | Withheld for tax | 23,308 | 310,026 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-23 | Gavant Judy Carol | officer | Disposition | 73,333 | 577,372 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-23 | Vallacchi Grace | officer | Disposition | 66,666 | 333,334 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-08 | Spilman Vance H | director | Award / grant | 12,230 | 154,321 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-08 | Cozart Heather | director | Award / grant | 9,544 | 56,039 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-08 | Bost Hunter H. | director | Award / grant | 9,245 | 168,496 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-08 | Patterson Julien G | director | Award / grant | 9,005 | 309,264 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-08 | Reynolds Randolph N Jr | director | Award / grant | 5,863 | 38,575 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-08 | Jones Otis | director | Award / grant | 3,434 | 15,929 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-01 | Raynor Brett | officer | Withheld for tax | 88 | 7,741 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-01 | Gavant Judy Carol | officer | Disposition | 6,177 | 650,705 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-01 | Raynor Brett | officer | Disposition | 1,125 | 6,616 | Form 4 |
| 2025-04-29 | Gavant Judy Carol | officer | Award / grant | 440,000 | 656,882 | Form 4 |
| 2025-04-29 | Vallacchi Grace | officer | Award / grant | 400,000 | 400,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-04-29 | BEALE G WILLIAM | director | Award / grant | 960,000 | 1,186,477 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-28 | Roberts Stanley A. | officer | Award / grant | 71,648 | 71,648 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-19 | Montano Trevor | director | Other acquisition | 15,070 | 216,836 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-19 | Montano Trevor | director | Other acquisition | 15,070 | 216,836 | Form 4 |
| 2024-12-20 | Montano Trevor | director | Other acquisition | 100,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2024-12-20 | Montano Trevor | director | Other acquisition | 50,233 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2024-12-02 | Spilman Vance H | director | Award / grant | 8,216 | 142,091 | Form 4 |
| 2024-12-02 | Bost Hunter H. | director | Award / grant | 6,335 | 159,251 | Form 4 |
| 2024-12-02 | Woodruff Carolyn J. | director | Award / grant | 6,244 | 149,688 | Form 4 |
| 2024-12-02 | Patterson Julien G | director | Award / grant | 6,170 | 300,259 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.