BRBRBellRing Brands, Inc.Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foodsas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $9.09 · now $9.09 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, BRBR has typically landed between $7.28 and $10.55 — a range of −19.9% to +16.1% from the issuance price $9.09.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

1,716 overlapping 1 month windows · 2019-10-17 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($9.09) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where BRBR has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $9.09 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$7.28worst · -19.9%$10.55best · +16.1%
  • now $9.09 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $9.07 (-0.2%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $8.35–$9.79
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $7.28–$10.55
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,716 windows spanning 2019-10-17 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2026-04-29−52.3%−52.3%+1.5%
2026-04-30−49.1%−53.0%+0.0%
2026-04-27−49.0%−49.0%+5.6%
3 best
2026-06-04+60.4%−9.1%+60.4%
2026-05-29+54.8%−5.5%+54.8%
2026-06-08+53.8%+0.0%+76.5%

1,716 overlapping windows · 2019-10-17 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~7 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
43%
−1.6%
n=7
Feb
43%
−3.7%
n=7
Mar
57%
−2.3%
n=7
Apr
71%
+2.6%
n=7
May
71%
−2.4%
n=7
Jun
29%
+7.0%
n=7
Jul
14%
−2.8%
n=7
Aug
43%
−2.2%
n=7
Sep
29%
−4.9%
n=7
Oct
50%
−1.6%
n=6
Nov
86%
+7.4%
n=7
Dec
71%
+6.9%
n=7

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$43$82026-09-08: 1 insider purchase, $20K — CONWAY SHAWN2026-05-13: 1 insider purchase, $37K — Finkelstein David Isaiah2026-02-13: 1 insider purchase, $36K — Finkelstein David Isaiah2025-12-01: 1 insider sale, $123K — CORNILLE DOUGLAS J2025-11-07: 1 insider sale, $9K — RODE PAUL A2025-09-03: 1 insider sale, $167K — CORNILLE DOUGLAS J2025-08-14: 1 insider purchase, $65.8M — CONWAY SHAWN2025-08: 4 open-market purchases, $66.1M2025-08: 1 open-market sale, $87K2025-09: 1 open-market sale, $167K2025-11: 1 open-market sale, $9K2025-12: 1 open-market sale, $123K2026-02: 1 open-market purchase, $36K2026-05: 1 open-market purchase, $37K2026-09: 1 open-market purchase, $20K↑ buys↓ salesdirector CONWAY SHAWN — Purchase on 2026-09-08, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Finkelstein David Isaiah — Purchase on 2026-05-13, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Finkelstein David Isaiah — Purchase on 2026-02-13, filed 26 days after the tradeofficer CORNILLE DOUGLAS J — Sale on 2025-12-01, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer RODE PAUL A — Sale on 2025-11-07, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer CORNILLE DOUGLAS J — Sale on 2025-09-03, filed 1 day after the tradedirector CONWAY SHAWN — Purchase on 2025-08-14, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-09-08CONWAY SHAWNdirectorPurchase2,022 @ $9.89$20K+12.5% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open18,180Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-13Finkelstein David IsaiahdirectorPurchase4,000 @ $9.23$37K+42.9% of holding−4.7%not yet — horizon still open13,326Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-13Finkelstein David IsaiahdirectorPurchase2,000 @ $17.75$36K+37.1% of holding+5.2%−57.0%7,391Form 4 · filed 26 days after the trade
2025-12-01CORNILLE DOUGLAS JofficerSale3,970 @ $30.93$123K−6.8% of holding−14.0%−82.8%54,812Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-07RODE PAUL AofficerSale308 @ $29.00$9K−0.4% of holding+2.6%−78.3%72,690Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-09-03CORNILLE DOUGLAS JofficerSale3,970 @ $42.03$167K−6.9% of holding−18.6%−65.9%53,866Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-14CONWAY SHAWNdirectorPurchase1,316 @ $49999.99$65.8M+19.7% of holding−9.0%−59.3%8,001Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-06STEIN ELLIOT JRdirectorPurchase2,663 @ $37.49$100K+105.0% of holding−1.0%−57.7%5,198Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-06CONWAY SHAWNdirectorPurchase2,700 @ $36.41$98K+67.8% of holding−1.0%−57.7%6,685Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-06ROSENTHAL CRAIG LofficerPurchase2,600 @ $37.29$97K+8.4% of holding−1.0%−57.7%33,475Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-01DAVENPORT DARCY HORNofficerSale1,600 @ $54.18$87K−0.8% of holding−26.1%−67.4%193,978Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-07-25DAVENPORT DARCY HORNofficerSale1,600 @ $54.43$87K−0.8% of holding−30.2%−62.6%195,578Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-07-18DAVENPORT DARCY HORNofficerSale1,115 @ $57.53$64K−0.6% of holding−36.4%−69.8%197,663Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-07-18DAVENPORT DARCY HORNofficerSale485 @ $58.10$28K−0.2% of holding−36.4%−69.8%197,178Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-07-11DAVENPORT DARCY HORNofficerSale1,600 @ $57.66$92K−0.8% of holding−35.0%−69.1%198,778Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-07-03DAVENPORT DARCY HORNofficerSale1,600 @ $57.45$92K−0.8% of holding−7.8%−64.6%200,378Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-06-27DAVENPORT DARCY HORNofficerSale1,400 @ $57.97$81K−0.7% of holding−7.9%−61.4%202,178Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-06-27DAVENPORT DARCY HORNofficerSale200 @ $58.56$12K−0.1% of holding−7.9%−61.4%201,978Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-06-20DAVENPORT DARCY HORNofficerSale1,000 @ $59.07$59K−0.5% of holding−11.8%−64.3%204,178Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-06-20DAVENPORT DARCY HORNofficerSale600 @ $60.73$36K−0.3% of holding−11.8%−64.3%203,578Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-06-13DAVENPORT DARCY HORNofficerSale850 @ $58.82$50K−0.4% of holding−7.3%−60.4%205,928Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-06-13DAVENPORT DARCY HORNofficerSale750 @ $59.77$45K−0.4% of holding−7.3%−60.4%205,178Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-06-06DAVENPORT DARCY HORNofficerSale1,175 @ $60.42$71K−0.6% of holding−9.9%−64.0%207,203Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-06-06DAVENPORT DARCY HORNofficerSale425 @ $61.02$26K−0.2% of holding−9.9%−64.0%206,778Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-05-30DAVENPORT DARCY HORNofficerSale1,100 @ $63.09$69K−0.5% of holding−11.7%−67.5%208,378Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-05-30DAVENPORT DARCY HORNofficerSale500 @ $62.52$31K−0.2% of holding−11.7%−67.5%209,478Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-04-01SINGH ROBINofficerSale4,157 @ $75.14$312K−12.1% of holding+2.9%−71.6%30,079Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-04-01CORNILLE DOUGLAS JofficerSale3,192 @ $75.13$240K−5.2% of holding+2.9%−71.6%57,836Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-25VITALE ROBERT VdirectorSale14,723 @ $72.23$1.1M−1.8% of holding+6.3%−54.2%803,457Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-24VITALE ROBERT VdirectorSale14,230 @ $73.03$1.0M−1.7% of holding+4.3%−55.2%818,950Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-24VITALE ROBERT VdirectorSale770 @ $73.64$57K−0.1% of holding+4.3%−55.2%818,180Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-21VITALE ROBERT VdirectorSale9,848 @ $73.05$719K−1.2% of holding+4.8%−53.5%838,332Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-02-21VITALE ROBERT VdirectorSale4,952 @ $74.24$368K−0.6% of holding+4.8%−53.5%833,380Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-02-21VITALE ROBERT VdirectorSale200 @ $74.84$15K−0.0% of holding+4.8%−53.5%833,180Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-02-20VITALE ROBERT VdirectorSale33,415 @ $74.33$2.5M−3.7% of holding+2.6%−51.1%861,531Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-20VITALE ROBERT VdirectorSale12,236 @ $75.66$926K−1.4% of holding+2.6%−51.1%849,295Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-20VITALE ROBERT VdirectorSale1,115 @ $76.24$85K−0.1% of holding+2.6%−51.1%848,180Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-19VITALE ROBERT VdirectorSale43,511 @ $77.35$3.4M−4.6% of holding−1.3%−52.1%894,946Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-18VITALE ROBERT VdirectorSale35,042 @ $77.30$2.7M−3.6% of holding−2.1%−52.6%947,664Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-18VITALE ROBERT VdirectorSale9,207 @ $77.63$715K−1.0% of holding−2.1%−52.6%938,457Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-14VITALE ROBERT VdirectorSale76,668 @ $77.02$5.9M−7.2% of holding−2.8%−55.9%985,106Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-02-14VITALE ROBERT VdirectorSale2,400 @ $77.56$186K−0.2% of holding−2.8%−55.9%982,706Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-02-13VITALE ROBERT VdirectorSale48,230 @ $77.52$3.7M−4.3% of holding−3.7%−56.7%1,061,774Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-12VITALE ROBERT VdirectorSale28,453 @ $76.91$2.2M−2.5% of holding−5.6%−58.1%1,110,004Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-11VITALE ROBERT VdirectorSale19,785 @ $76.16$1.5M−1.7% of holding−4.1%−55.3%1,138,457Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-11VITALE ROBERT VdirectorSale8,449 @ $75.17$635K−0.7% of holding−4.1%−55.3%1,158,242Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-10VITALE ROBERT VdirectorSale5,100 @ $75.30$384K−0.4% of holding−2.2%−55.6%1,166,691Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

90 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-07-29Axelrod Michael CareyofficerAward / grant142,964142,964Form 4
2026-07-01VITALE ROBERT VdirectorAward / grant4,50813,711Form 4
2026-07-01ERICKSON THOMAS PdirectorAward / grant3,67128,592Form 4
2026-07-01CONWAY SHAWNdirectorAward / grant2,5769,961Form 4
2026-07-01Finkelstein David IsaiahdirectorAward / grant2,4474,415Form 4
2026-07-01Nwamu Chonda JdirectorAward / grant2,44714,260Form 4
2026-07-01JOHNSON JENNIFER KUPERMANdirectorAward / grant2,38321,903Form 4
2026-07-01STEIN ELLIOT JRdirectorAward / grant4892,905Form 4
2026-03-31VITALE ROBERT VdirectorAward / grant3,6259,203Form 4
2026-03-31ERICKSON THOMAS PdirectorAward / grant2,95224,921Form 4
2026-03-31CONWAY SHAWNdirectorAward / grant2,0727,385Form 4
2026-03-31Nwamu Chonda JdirectorAward / grant1,96811,813Form 4
2026-03-31Finkelstein David IsaiahdirectorAward / grant1,9681,968Form 4
2026-03-31JOHNSON JENNIFER KUPERMANdirectorAward / grant1,91619,520Form 4
2026-03-31STEIN ELLIOT JRdirectorAward / grant3942,415Form 4
2026-03-03VITALE ROBERT VdirectorGift82,000644,848Form 4
2026-03-02VITALE ROBERT VdirectorGift82,000726,848Form 4
2026-02-19RODE PAUL AofficerAward / grant29,043144,096Form 4
2026-02-19CORNILLE DOUGLAS JofficerAward / grant27,209109,077Form 4
2026-02-19ROSENTHAL CRAIG LofficerAward / grant26,349104,155Form 4
2026-02-19SINGH ROBINofficerAward / grant23,87755,442Form 4
2026-02-17Finkelstein David IsaiahdirectorAward / grant1,9359,326Form 4
2026-02-17CONWAY SHAWNdirectorAward / grant2,76516,157Form 4
2026-02-17Nwamu Chonda JdirectorAward / grant1,93523,632Form 4
2026-01-29STEIN ELLIOT JRdirectorAward / grant3,59434,880Form 4
2026-01-29VITALE ROBERT VdirectorAward / grant5,391808,848Form 4
2026-01-29ERICKSON THOMAS PdirectorAward / grant5,39128,552Form 4
2026-01-29JOHNSON JENNIFER KUPERMANdirectorAward / grant5,39127,298Form 4
2026-01-29Finkelstein David IsaiahdirectorAward / grant5,3915,391Form 4
2026-01-29CONWAY SHAWNdirectorAward / grant5,39113,392Form 4
2026-01-29Nwamu Chonda JdirectorAward / grant5,39121,697Form 4
2025-12-31VITALE ROBERT VdirectorAward / grant2,1825,577Form 4
2025-12-31ERICKSON THOMAS PdirectorAward / grant1,65221,969Form 4
2025-12-31CONWAY SHAWNdirectorAward / grant1,2475,313Form 4
2025-12-31Nwamu Chonda JdirectorAward / grant1,1859,845Form 4
2025-12-31JOHNSON JENNIFER KUPERMANdirectorAward / grant1,15317,604Form 4
2025-12-31STEIN ELLIOT JRdirectorAward / grant2372,022Form 4
2025-12-23STEIN ELLIOT JRdirectorOther acquisition4,91631,286Form 4
2025-12-01DAVENPORT DARCY HORNofficerWithheld for tax157,060372,616Form 4
2025-12-01CORNILLE DOUGLAS JofficerWithheld for tax27,91581,868Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.