BPRNPrinceton Bancorp Inc.Financial Services · Banks - Regionalas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $43.04 · now $43.04 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, BPRN has typically landed between $39.23 and $48.70 — a range of −8.9% to +13.2% from the issuance price $43.04.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

2,539 overlapping 1 month windows · 2016-07-122026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.756.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($43.04) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where BPRN has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $43.04 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$39.23worst · -8.9%$48.7best · +13.2%
  • now $43.04 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $43.35 (+0.7%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $41.48$45.21
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $39.23$48.7
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 2,539 windows spanning 2016-07-12 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-13−36.9%−36.9%+1.0%
2020-02-11−31.4%−31.4%+4.1%
2020-03-05−31.2%−31.2%+0.0%
3 best
2023-05-12+31.3%−0.4%+31.3%
2020-10-27+28.4%+0.0%+30.8%
2020-10-28+27.4%+0.0%+30.8%

2,539 overlapping windows · 2016-07-122026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~11 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
50%
−0.0%
n=10
Feb
50%
+1.4%
n=10
Mar
30%
−2.2%
n=10
Apr
30%
−1.9%
n=10
May
40%
−0.2%
n=10
Jun
60%
+1.8%
n=10
Jul
70%
+4.4%
n=10
Aug
45%
+0.5%
n=11
Sep
27%
−1.5%
n=11
Oct
50%
+1.4%
n=10
Nov
70%
+6.0%
n=10
Dec
40%
+0.5%
n=10

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$44$292026-08-12: 1 insider purchase, $453K — TUCHMAN MARTIN2026-08-06: 1 insider sale, $60K — Clark Matthew T.2026-07-31: 1 insider sale, $364K — Distler Stephen2026-06-10: 1 insider sale, $56K — Adkins Stephanie2026-05-28: 1 insider purchase, $3K — Clark Matthew T.2025-11-20: 1 insider purchase, $65K — TUCHMAN MARTIN2025-11-19: 1 insider purchase, $34K — TUCHMAN MARTIN2025-11-18: 1 insider purchase, $65K — TUCHMAN MARTIN2025-11-17: 1 insider purchase, $33K — TUCHMAN MARTIN2025-11-12: 1 insider purchase, $165K — TUCHMAN MARTIN2025-11-12: 1 insider sale, $49K — Clark Matthew T.2025-11-11: 1 insider purchase, $2K — TUCHMAN MARTIN2025-11-07: 1 insider purchase, $16K — TUCHMAN MARTIN2025-11-05: 1 insider purchase, $98 — TUCHMAN MARTIN2025-11-04: 1 insider purchase, $65K — TUCHMAN MARTIN2025-11-03: 1 insider purchase, $50K — Barrett Susan2025-09-08: 1 insider sale, $330K — Distler Stephen2025-09-08: 1 insider purchase, $330K — TUCHMAN MARTIN2025-08-20: 1 insider purchase, $99K — TUCHMAN MARTIN2025-08-19: 1 insider purchase, $33K — TUCHMAN MARTIN2025-08: 7 open-market purchases, $315K2025-09: 1 open-market purchase, $330K2025-09: 1 open-market sale, $330K2025-11: 10 open-market purchases, $494K2025-11: 1 open-market sale, $49K2026-05: 1 open-market purchase, $3K2026-06: 1 open-market sale, $56K2026-07: 1 open-market sale, $364K2026-08: 1 open-market purchase, $453K2026-08: 1 open-market sale, $60K↑ buys↓ salesdirector TUCHMAN MARTIN — Purchase on 2026-08-12, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Clark Matthew T. — Sale on 2026-08-06, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Distler Stephen — Sale on 2026-07-31, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Adkins Stephanie — Sale on 2026-06-10, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Clark Matthew T. — Purchase on 2026-05-28, filed 74 days after the tradedirector TUCHMAN MARTIN — Purchase on 2025-11-20, filed 1 day after the tradedirector TUCHMAN MARTIN — Purchase on 2025-11-19, filed 2 days after the tradedirector TUCHMAN MARTIN — Purchase on 2025-11-18, filed 1 day after the tradedirector TUCHMAN MARTIN — Purchase on 2025-11-17, filed 2 days after the tradedirector TUCHMAN MARTIN — Purchase on 2025-11-12, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Clark Matthew T. — Sale on 2025-11-12, filed 1 day after the tradedirector TUCHMAN MARTIN — Purchase on 2025-11-11, filed 2 days after the tradedirector TUCHMAN MARTIN — Purchase on 2025-11-07, filed 5 days after the tradedirector TUCHMAN MARTIN — Purchase on 2025-11-05, filed 1 day after the tradedirector TUCHMAN MARTIN — Purchase on 2025-11-04, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Barrett Susan — Purchase on 2025-11-03, filed same daydirector Distler Stephen — Sale on 2025-09-08, filed 2 days after the tradedirector TUCHMAN MARTIN — Purchase on 2025-09-08, filed 1 day after the tradedirector TUCHMAN MARTIN — Purchase on 2025-08-20, filed 1 day after the tradedirector TUCHMAN MARTIN — Purchase on 2025-08-19, filed 2 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-12TUCHMAN MARTINdirectorPurchase10,534 @ $42.98$453K+77.4% of holding+1.3%not yet — horizon still open24,138Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-06Clark Matthew T.officerSale1,428 @ $41.95$60K−100.0% of holding+2.8%not yet — horizon still open0Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-07-31Distler StephendirectorSale8,776 @ $41.48$364K−9.5% of holding+0.5%not yet — horizon still open83,220Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-06-10Adkins StephanieofficerSale1,600 @ $35.04$56K−7.0% of holding+1.9%not yet — horizon still open21,272Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-28Clark Matthew T.officerPurchase71 @ $36.20$3K+5.2% of holding+6.2%not yet — horizon still open1,428Form 4 · filed 74 days after the trade
2025-11-20TUCHMAN MARTINdirectorPurchase2,000 @ $32.30$65K+17.2% of holding+4.3%−3.1%13,604Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-19TUCHMAN MARTINdirectorPurchase1,056 @ $32.25$34K+10.0% of holding+6.5%−1.8%11,604Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-18TUCHMAN MARTINdirectorPurchase2,000 @ $32.30$65K+23.4% of holding+11.4%−3.4%10,548Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-17TUCHMAN MARTINdirectorPurchase1,000 @ $33.00$33K+13.2% of holding+10.3%−2.1%8,548Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-12TUCHMAN MARTINdirectorPurchase5,000 @ $33.00$165K+196.2% of holding+10.3%−3.4%7,548Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-12Clark Matthew T.officerSale1,500 @ $32.62$49K−94.9% of holding+10.3%−3.4%81Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-11TUCHMAN MARTINdirectorPurchase52 @ $33.00$2K+2.1% of holding+6.3%−3.5%2,548Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-07TUCHMAN MARTINdirectorPurchase493 @ $33.00$16K+24.6% of holding−1.2%−5.2%2,496Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-11-05TUCHMAN MARTINdirectorPurchase3 @ $32.60$98+0.1% of holding+1.0%+1.4%2,003Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-04TUCHMAN MARTINdirectorPurchase2,000 @ $32.25$65Kownership Δ n/a+5.1%+5.0%2,000Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-03Barrett SusandirectorPurchase1,600 @ $31.50$50K+54.4% of holding+6.5%+4.1%4,542Form 4 · filed same day
2025-09-08Distler StephendirectorSale10,000 @ $33.00$330K−10.0% of holding−9.5%−1.9%90,296Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-08TUCHMAN MARTINdirectorPurchase10,000 @ $33.00$330K+1.6% of holding−9.5%−1.9%639,141Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-20TUCHMAN MARTINdirectorPurchase3,000 @ $33.00$99K+300.0% of holding−8.1%−1.2%4,000Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-19TUCHMAN MARTINdirectorPurchase1,000 @ $32.90$33K+0.8% of holding−4.2%+1.6%123,838Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-07TUCHMAN MARTINdirectorPurchase1,000 @ $31.00$31Kownership Δ n/a+1.7%+7.5%1,000Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-08-06TUCHMAN MARTINdirectorPurchase1,539 @ $31.03$48K+1.3% of holding+5.1%+12.3%122,838Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-05TUCHMAN MARTINdirectorPurchase500 @ $30.50$15K+0.4% of holding+5.0%+13.8%121,299Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-04TUCHMAN MARTINdirectorPurchase2,000 @ $30.18$60K+1.7% of holding+7.8%+17.8%120,799Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-01TUCHMAN MARTINdirectorPurchase961 @ $30.00$29K+0.8% of holding+8.9%+15.3%118,799Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-07-31Giacin Judith A.directorSale1,300 @ $30.08$39K−5.0% of holding+12.2%+12.3%24,489Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-07-30Tonkovich ChristopherofficerSale835 @ $30.49$25K−11.1% of holding+11.3%+13.4%6,678Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-06-06TUCHMAN MARTINdirectorPurchase1,044 @ $30.47$32K+0.9% of holding+2.6%−4.6%117,838Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-06-05TUCHMAN MARTINdirectorPurchase2,000 @ $30.30$61K+1.7% of holding+2.5%−2.0%116,794Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-06-04TUCHMAN MARTINdirectorPurchase2,000 @ $30.40$61K+1.8% of holding+1.8%−1.3%114,794Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-03Adkins StephanieofficerSale2,500 @ $30.65$77K−25.4% of holding+1.1%−4.0%7,361Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-03TUCHMAN MARTINdirectorPurchase423 @ $30.50$13K+0.4% of holding+1.1%−4.0%112,794Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-22TUCHMAN MARTINdirectorPurchase583 @ $30.67$18K+0.5% of holding−5.0%−3.4%112,371Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-05-16Adkins StephanieofficerSale364 @ $32.71$12K−3.6% of holding−9.2%−7.5%9,861Form 4 · filed same day
2025-05-14Adkins StephanieofficerSale569 @ $32.10$18K−5.3% of holding−9.2%−13.1%10,225Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-12TUCHMAN MARTINdirectorPurchase1,019 @ $32.00$33K+0.9% of holding−10.3%−11.6%111,788Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-09TUCHMAN MARTINdirectorPurchase2 @ $32.00$64+0.0% of holding−10.3%−12.8%110,769Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-05-08TUCHMAN MARTINdirectorPurchase2,185 @ $31.41$69K+2.0% of holding−9.0%−11.6%110,767Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-08Adkins StephanieofficerSale1,000 @ $31.37$31K−8.5% of holding−9.0%−11.6%10,794Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-07TUCHMAN MARTINdirectorPurchase2,000 @ $31.28$63K+1.9% of holding−7.8%−14.4%108,582Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-06TUCHMAN MARTINdirectorPurchase2,042 @ $31.17$64K+2.0% of holding−8.6%−17.1%106,582Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-05TUCHMAN MARTINdirectorPurchase431 @ $30.85$13K+0.4% of holding−6.9%−16.1%104,540Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-01TUCHMAN MARTINdirectorPurchase1,000 @ $30.45$30K+1.0% of holding−4.1%−16.7%104,109Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-04-30TUCHMAN MARTINdirectorPurchase1,000 @ $30.43$30K+1.0% of holding−2.6%−22.3%103,109Form 4 · filed same day
2025-04-28TUCHMAN MARTINdirectorPurchase1,000 @ $30.00$30K+1.0% of holding+3.0%−15.7%102,109Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-12Tonkovich ChristopherofficerSale1,230 @ $31.00$38K−15.6% of holding−4.8%−10.6%6,678Form 4 · filed 12 days after the trade
2025-02-11TUCHMAN MARTINdirectorPurchase22,000 @ $32.71$720K+3.6% of holding+2.7%−1.9%629,141Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-11O'Donnell Daniel J.officerSale22,000 @ $32.71$720K−72.6% of holding+2.7%−1.9%8,304Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2024-11-06Clark Matthew T.officerSale253 @ $37.00$9K−10.9% of holding−4.1%−14.7%2,069Form 4 · filed 91 days after the trade
2024-05-03Shueh StephendirectorPurchase7,000 @ $30.44$213K+20.0% of holding−3.0%+7.6%42,038Form 4 · filed 699 days after the trade
2023-05-15Shueh StephendirectorPurchase3,500 @ $24.09$84K+11.1% of holding+19.4%+27.6%35,038Form 4 · filed 1053 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

239 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-06-16Ridolfi Robert N.directorDiscretionary66310,211Form 4
2026-06-16TUCHMAN MARTINdirectorDiscretionary66311,375Form 4
2026-06-16WISHNICK ROSSdirectorDiscretionary6633,498Form 4
2026-06-16Gillespie Richard J.directorDiscretionary66311,375Form 4
2026-06-16Giacin Judith A.directorDiscretionary3315,686Form 4
2026-06-15WISHNICK ROSSdirectorDiscretionary462,835Form 4
2026-06-15TUCHMAN MARTINdirectorDiscretionary4610,712Form 4
2026-06-15Gillespie Richard J.directorDiscretionary4610,712Form 4
2026-06-15Ridolfi Robert N.directorDiscretionary469,548Form 4
2026-06-15Giacin Judith A.directorDiscretionary235,355Form 4
2026-06-12Ridolfi Robert N.directorDiscretionary3559,502Form 4
2026-06-12Gillespie Richard J.directorDiscretionary35510,666Form 4
2026-06-12WISHNICK ROSSdirectorDiscretionary3552,789Form 4
2026-06-12TUCHMAN MARTINdirectorDiscretionary35510,666Form 4
2026-06-12Giacin Judith A.directorDiscretionary1775,332Form 4
2026-05-28Dietzler Edward JdirectorDiscretionary2334Form 4
2026-05-28O'Donnell Daniel J.officerDiscretionary1153Form 4
2026-04-07O'Donnell Daniel J.officerOption exercise9,26528,969Form 4
2026-04-07Adkins StephanieofficerOption exercise1,39722,872Form 4
2026-04-07O'Donnell Daniel J.officerOption exercise73519,704Form 4
2026-04-07O'Donnell Daniel J.officerOption exercise9,2650Form 4
2026-04-07Adkins StephanieofficerOption exercise1,3972,603Form 4
2026-04-07O'Donnell Daniel J.officerOption exercise7359,265Form 4
2026-03-30Dietzler Edward JdirectorDiscretionary189332Form 4
2026-03-30Dietzler Edward JdirectorDiscretionary143143Form 4
2026-03-30O'Donnell Daniel J.officerDiscretionary9191Form 4
2026-03-30O'Donnell Daniel J.officerDiscretionary61152Form 4
2026-02-09O'Donnell Daniel J.officerWithheld for tax1,00918,969Form 4
2026-02-09Dietzler Edward JdirectorWithheld for tax95461,661Form 4
2026-02-09O'Donnell Daniel J.officerWithheld for tax76219,978Form 4
2026-02-09Dietzler Edward JdirectorWithheld for tax74662,615Form 4
2026-02-09O'Donnell Daniel J.officerWithheld for tax70520,740Form 4
2026-02-09Dietzler Edward JdirectorWithheld for tax66763,361Form 4
2026-02-09Adkins StephanieofficerWithheld for tax26321,475Form 4
2026-02-09Rapp George S.officerWithheld for tax2106,625Form 4
2026-02-09Adkins StephanieofficerWithheld for tax20921,738Form 4
2026-02-09Clark Matthew T.officerWithheld for tax2071,357Form 4
2026-02-09Rapp George S.officerWithheld for tax2056,420Form 4
2026-02-09Clark Matthew T.officerWithheld for tax1881,564Form 4
2026-02-09Adkins StephanieofficerWithheld for tax18221,947Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.