Issued 2026-09-16 at $43.04 · now $43.04 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, BPRN has typically landed between $39.23 and $48.70 — a range of −8.9% to +13.2% from the issuance price $43.04.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
2,539 overlapping 1 month windows · 2016-07-12 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($43.04) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where BPRN has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $43.04 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $43.04 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $43.35 (+0.7%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $41.48–$45.21
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $39.23–$48.7
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2020-02-13 | −36.9% | −36.9% | +1.0% |
| 2020-02-11 | −31.4% | −31.4% | +4.1% |
| 2020-03-05 | −31.2% | −31.2% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2023-05-12 | +31.3% | −0.4% | +31.3% |
| 2020-10-27 | +28.4% | +0.0% | +30.8% |
| 2020-10-28 | +27.4% | +0.0% | +30.8% |
2,539 overlapping windows · 2016-07-12 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~11 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 | TUCHMAN MARTIN | director | Purchase | 10,534 @ $42.98 | $453K | +77.4% of holding | +1.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 24,138 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-06 | Clark Matthew T. | officer | Sale | 1,428 @ $41.95 | $60K | −100.0% of holding | +2.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-31 | Distler Stephen | director | Sale | 8,776 @ $41.48 | $364K | −9.5% of holding | +0.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 83,220 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-10 | Adkins Stephanie | officer | Sale | 1,600 @ $35.04 | $56K | −7.0% of holding | +1.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 21,272 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-28 | Clark Matthew T. | officer | Purchase | 71 @ $36.20 | $3K | +5.2% of holding | +6.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,428 | Form 4 · filed 74 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-20 | TUCHMAN MARTIN | director | Purchase | 2,000 @ $32.30 | $65K | +17.2% of holding | +4.3% | −3.1% | 13,604 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-19 | TUCHMAN MARTIN | director | Purchase | 1,056 @ $32.25 | $34K | +10.0% of holding | +6.5% | −1.8% | 11,604 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-18 | TUCHMAN MARTIN | director | Purchase | 2,000 @ $32.30 | $65K | +23.4% of holding | +11.4% | −3.4% | 10,548 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-17 | TUCHMAN MARTIN | director | Purchase | 1,000 @ $33.00 | $33K | +13.2% of holding | +10.3% | −2.1% | 8,548 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-12 | TUCHMAN MARTIN | director | Purchase | 5,000 @ $33.00 | $165K | +196.2% of holding | +10.3% | −3.4% | 7,548 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-12 | Clark Matthew T. | officer | Sale | 1,500 @ $32.62 | $49K | −94.9% of holding | +10.3% | −3.4% | 81 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-11 | TUCHMAN MARTIN | director | Purchase | 52 @ $33.00 | $2K | +2.1% of holding | +6.3% | −3.5% | 2,548 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-07 | TUCHMAN MARTIN | director | Purchase | 493 @ $33.00 | $16K | +24.6% of holding | −1.2% | −5.2% | 2,496 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-05 | TUCHMAN MARTIN | director | Purchase | 3 @ $32.60 | $98 | +0.1% of holding | +1.0% | +1.4% | 2,003 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-04 | TUCHMAN MARTIN | director | Purchase | 2,000 @ $32.25 | $65K | ownership Δ n/a | +5.1% | +5.0% | 2,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-03 | Barrett Susan | director | Purchase | 1,600 @ $31.50 | $50K | +54.4% of holding | +6.5% | +4.1% | 4,542 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-09-08 | Distler Stephen | director | Sale | 10,000 @ $33.00 | $330K | −10.0% of holding | −9.5% | −1.9% | 90,296 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-08 | TUCHMAN MARTIN | director | Purchase | 10,000 @ $33.00 | $330K | +1.6% of holding | −9.5% | −1.9% | 639,141 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-20 | TUCHMAN MARTIN | director | Purchase | 3,000 @ $33.00 | $99K | +300.0% of holding | −8.1% | −1.2% | 4,000 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-19 | TUCHMAN MARTIN | director | Purchase | 1,000 @ $32.90 | $33K | +0.8% of holding | −4.2% | +1.6% | 123,838 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-07 | TUCHMAN MARTIN | director | Purchase | 1,000 @ $31.00 | $31K | ownership Δ n/a | +1.7% | +7.5% | 1,000 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-06 | TUCHMAN MARTIN | director | Purchase | 1,539 @ $31.03 | $48K | +1.3% of holding | +5.1% | +12.3% | 122,838 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-05 | TUCHMAN MARTIN | director | Purchase | 500 @ $30.50 | $15K | +0.4% of holding | +5.0% | +13.8% | 121,299 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-04 | TUCHMAN MARTIN | director | Purchase | 2,000 @ $30.18 | $60K | +1.7% of holding | +7.8% | +17.8% | 120,799 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-01 | TUCHMAN MARTIN | director | Purchase | 961 @ $30.00 | $29K | +0.8% of holding | +8.9% | +15.3% | 118,799 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-07-31 | Giacin Judith A. | director | Sale | 1,300 @ $30.08 | $39K | −5.0% of holding | +12.2% | +12.3% | 24,489 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-07-30 | Tonkovich Christopher | officer | Sale | 835 @ $30.49 | $25K | −11.1% of holding | +11.3% | +13.4% | 6,678 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-06 | TUCHMAN MARTIN | director | Purchase | 1,044 @ $30.47 | $32K | +0.9% of holding | +2.6% | −4.6% | 117,838 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-05 | TUCHMAN MARTIN | director | Purchase | 2,000 @ $30.30 | $61K | +1.7% of holding | +2.5% | −2.0% | 116,794 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-04 | TUCHMAN MARTIN | director | Purchase | 2,000 @ $30.40 | $61K | +1.8% of holding | +1.8% | −1.3% | 114,794 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-06-03 | Adkins Stephanie | officer | Sale | 2,500 @ $30.65 | $77K | −25.4% of holding | +1.1% | −4.0% | 7,361 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-06-03 | TUCHMAN MARTIN | director | Purchase | 423 @ $30.50 | $13K | +0.4% of holding | +1.1% | −4.0% | 112,794 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-22 | TUCHMAN MARTIN | director | Purchase | 583 @ $30.67 | $18K | +0.5% of holding | −5.0% | −3.4% | 112,371 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-16 | Adkins Stephanie | officer | Sale | 364 @ $32.71 | $12K | −3.6% of holding | −9.2% | −7.5% | 9,861 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-05-14 | Adkins Stephanie | officer | Sale | 569 @ $32.10 | $18K | −5.3% of holding | −9.2% | −13.1% | 10,225 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-12 | TUCHMAN MARTIN | director | Purchase | 1,019 @ $32.00 | $33K | +0.9% of holding | −10.3% | −11.6% | 111,788 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-09 | TUCHMAN MARTIN | director | Purchase | 2 @ $32.00 | $64 | +0.0% of holding | −10.3% | −12.8% | 110,769 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-08 | TUCHMAN MARTIN | director | Purchase | 2,185 @ $31.41 | $69K | +2.0% of holding | −9.0% | −11.6% | 110,767 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-08 | Adkins Stephanie | officer | Sale | 1,000 @ $31.37 | $31K | −8.5% of holding | −9.0% | −11.6% | 10,794 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-07 | TUCHMAN MARTIN | director | Purchase | 2,000 @ $31.28 | $63K | +1.9% of holding | −7.8% | −14.4% | 108,582 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-06 | TUCHMAN MARTIN | director | Purchase | 2,042 @ $31.17 | $64K | +2.0% of holding | −8.6% | −17.1% | 106,582 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-05 | TUCHMAN MARTIN | director | Purchase | 431 @ $30.85 | $13K | +0.4% of holding | −6.9% | −16.1% | 104,540 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-01 | TUCHMAN MARTIN | director | Purchase | 1,000 @ $30.45 | $30K | +1.0% of holding | −4.1% | −16.7% | 104,109 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-04-30 | TUCHMAN MARTIN | director | Purchase | 1,000 @ $30.43 | $30K | +1.0% of holding | −2.6% | −22.3% | 103,109 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-04-28 | TUCHMAN MARTIN | director | Purchase | 1,000 @ $30.00 | $30K | +1.0% of holding | +3.0% | −15.7% | 102,109 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-12 | Tonkovich Christopher | officer | Sale | 1,230 @ $31.00 | $38K | −15.6% of holding | −4.8% | −10.6% | 6,678 | Form 4 · filed 12 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-11 | TUCHMAN MARTIN | director | Purchase | 22,000 @ $32.71 | $720K | +3.6% of holding | +2.7% | −1.9% | 629,141 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-02-11 | O'Donnell Daniel J. | officer | Sale | 22,000 @ $32.71 | $720K | −72.6% of holding | +2.7% | −1.9% | 8,304 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-11-06 | Clark Matthew T. | officer | Sale | 253 @ $37.00 | $9K | −10.9% of holding | −4.1% | −14.7% | 2,069 | Form 4 · filed 91 days after the trade |
| 2024-05-03 | Shueh Stephen | director | Purchase | 7,000 @ $30.44 | $213K | +20.0% of holding | −3.0% | +7.6% | 42,038 | Form 4 · filed 699 days after the trade |
| 2023-05-15 | Shueh Stephen | director | Purchase | 3,500 @ $24.09 | $84K | +11.1% of holding | +19.4% | +27.6% | 35,038 | Form 4 · filed 1053 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
239 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-16 | Ridolfi Robert N. | director | Discretionary | 663 | 10,211 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-16 | TUCHMAN MARTIN | director | Discretionary | 663 | 11,375 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-16 | WISHNICK ROSS | director | Discretionary | 663 | 3,498 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-16 | Gillespie Richard J. | director | Discretionary | 663 | 11,375 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-16 | Giacin Judith A. | director | Discretionary | 331 | 5,686 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-15 | WISHNICK ROSS | director | Discretionary | 46 | 2,835 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-15 | TUCHMAN MARTIN | director | Discretionary | 46 | 10,712 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-15 | Gillespie Richard J. | director | Discretionary | 46 | 10,712 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-15 | Ridolfi Robert N. | director | Discretionary | 46 | 9,548 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-15 | Giacin Judith A. | director | Discretionary | 23 | 5,355 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-12 | Ridolfi Robert N. | director | Discretionary | 355 | 9,502 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-12 | Gillespie Richard J. | director | Discretionary | 355 | 10,666 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-12 | WISHNICK ROSS | director | Discretionary | 355 | 2,789 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-12 | TUCHMAN MARTIN | director | Discretionary | 355 | 10,666 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-12 | Giacin Judith A. | director | Discretionary | 177 | 5,332 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-28 | Dietzler Edward J | director | Discretionary | 2 | 334 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-28 | O'Donnell Daniel J. | officer | Discretionary | 1 | 153 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-07 | O'Donnell Daniel J. | officer | Option exercise | 9,265 | 28,969 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-07 | Adkins Stephanie | officer | Option exercise | 1,397 | 22,872 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-07 | O'Donnell Daniel J. | officer | Option exercise | 735 | 19,704 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-07 | O'Donnell Daniel J. | officer | Option exercise | 9,265 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-07 | Adkins Stephanie | officer | Option exercise | 1,397 | 2,603 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-07 | O'Donnell Daniel J. | officer | Option exercise | 735 | 9,265 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-30 | Dietzler Edward J | director | Discretionary | 189 | 332 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-30 | Dietzler Edward J | director | Discretionary | 143 | 143 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-30 | O'Donnell Daniel J. | officer | Discretionary | 91 | 91 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-30 | O'Donnell Daniel J. | officer | Discretionary | 61 | 152 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-09 | O'Donnell Daniel J. | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,009 | 18,969 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-09 | Dietzler Edward J | director | Withheld for tax | 954 | 61,661 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-09 | O'Donnell Daniel J. | officer | Withheld for tax | 762 | 19,978 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-09 | Dietzler Edward J | director | Withheld for tax | 746 | 62,615 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-09 | O'Donnell Daniel J. | officer | Withheld for tax | 705 | 20,740 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-09 | Dietzler Edward J | director | Withheld for tax | 667 | 63,361 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-09 | Adkins Stephanie | officer | Withheld for tax | 263 | 21,475 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-09 | Rapp George S. | officer | Withheld for tax | 210 | 6,625 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-09 | Adkins Stephanie | officer | Withheld for tax | 209 | 21,738 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-09 | Clark Matthew T. | officer | Withheld for tax | 207 | 1,357 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-09 | Rapp George S. | officer | Withheld for tax | 205 | 6,420 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-09 | Clark Matthew T. | officer | Withheld for tax | 188 | 1,564 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-09 | Adkins Stephanie | officer | Withheld for tax | 182 | 21,947 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.