BPOPPopular, Inc.Financial Services · Banks - Regionalas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $160.96 · now $160.96 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, BPOP has typically landed between $143.51 and $183.27 — a range of −10.8% to +13.9% from the issuance price $160.96.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($160.96) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where BPOP has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $160.96 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$143.51worst · -10.8%$183.27best · +13.9%
  • now $160.96 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $163.53 (+1.6%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $155.2–$171.87
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $143.51–$183.27
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2009-01-21−68.3%−68.3%+0.0%
2009-01-20−64.1%−64.1%+11.9%
2009-01-16−63.6%−63.6%+0.8%
3 best
2009-08-17+92.6%+0.0%+92.6%
2009-02-20+81.8%−7.0%+81.8%
2009-07-30+80.5%+0.0%+80.5%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
70%
+2.7%
n=20
Feb
60%
+0.6%
n=20
Mar
35%
+0.0%
n=20
Apr
75%
+6.2%
n=20
May
50%
−1.9%
n=20
Jun
40%
−3.0%
n=20
Jul
65%
+0.6%
n=20
Aug
35%
+2.8%
n=20
Sep
50%
−0.3%
n=20
Oct
45%
−1.1%
n=20
Nov
70%
+2.2%
n=20
Dec
65%
+1.7%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$178$1072026-08-24: 1 insider sale, $101K — Rodriguez Adorno Denissa2026-08-10: 2 insider sales, $6.7M — FERRER JAVIER D., Soriano Lidio2026-08-04: 1 insider sale, $1.5M — CESTERO LUIS E.2026-07-30: 2 insider sales, $1.1M — Ferre Maria Luisa …2026-05-22: 1 insider sale, $45K — Sanchez Alejandro M2026-05-01: 1 insider sale, $921K — GONZALEZ-NOGUERA MARIA CRISTINA2026-04-30: 1 insider sale, $3.5M — BALLESTER ALEJANDRO M2026-02-26: 1 insider sale, $204K — Sanchez Alejandro M2026-01-30: 1 insider sale, $313K — BALLESTER ALEJANDRO M2025-11-24: 1 insider sale, $2.8M — CARRION RICHARD L2025-11-21: 1 insider sale, $115K — Rodriguez Adorno Denissa2025-09-02: 2 insider sales, $2.2M — MONZON GILBERTO …2025-09: 2 open-market sales, $2.2M2025-11: 2 open-market sales, $3.0M2026-01: 1 open-market sale, $313K2026-02: 1 open-market sale, $204K2026-04: 1 open-market sale, $3.5M2026-05: 2 open-market sales, $966K2026-07: 2 open-market sales, $1.1M2026-08: 4 open-market sales, $8.3M↑ buys↓ salesofficer Rodriguez Adorno Denissa — Sale on 2026-08-24, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer FERRER JAVIER D. — Sale on 2026-08-10, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Soriano Lidio — Sale on 2026-08-10, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer CESTERO LUIS E. — Sale on 2026-08-04, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Ferre Maria Luisa — Sale on 2026-07-30, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Ferre Maria Luisa — Sale on 2026-07-30, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Sanchez Alejandro M — Sale on 2026-05-22, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer GONZALEZ-NOGUERA MARIA CRISTINA — Sale on 2026-05-01, filed 3 days after the tradedirector BALLESTER ALEJANDRO M — Sale on 2026-04-30, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Sanchez Alejandro M — Sale on 2026-02-26, filed 4 days after the tradedirector BALLESTER ALEJANDRO M — Sale on 2026-01-30, filed 3 days after the tradedirector CARRION RICHARD L — Sale on 2025-11-24, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Rodriguez Adorno Denissa — Sale on 2025-11-21, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer MONZON GILBERTO — Sale on 2025-09-02, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer MONZON GILBERTO — Sale on 2025-09-02, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-24Rodriguez Adorno DenissaofficerSale600 @ $168.79$101K−19.4% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open2,492Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-10FERRER JAVIER D.officerSale35,000 @ $175.43$6.1M−26.6% of holding−3.9%not yet — horizon still open96,478Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-10Soriano LidioofficerSale3,000 @ $174.50$524K−2.7% of holding−3.9%not yet — horizon still open107,320Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-04CESTERO LUIS E.officerSale8,500 @ $176.36$1.5M−34.7% of holding−2.2%not yet — horizon still open16,013Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-30Ferre Maria LuisadirectorSale3,385 @ $175.42$594K−25.0% of holding−6.8%not yet — horizon still open10,156Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-30Ferre Maria LuisadirectorSale3,076 @ $173.79$535K−8.2% of holding−6.8%not yet — horizon still open34,401Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-22Sanchez Alejandro MdirectorSale300 @ $150.36$45K−7.0% of holding+12.0%not yet — horizon still open3,960Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-01GONZALEZ-NOGUERA MARIA CRISTINAofficerSale6,200 @ $148.51$921K−35.5% of holding−4.2%not yet — horizon still open11,255Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-04-30BALLESTER ALEJANDRO MdirectorSale23,000 @ $150.00$3.5M−39.9% of holding−7.2%not yet — horizon still open34,588Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-26Sanchez Alejandro MdirectorSale1,451 @ $140.85$204K−29.8% of holding−0.5%+7.9%3,415Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-01-30BALLESTER ALEJANDRO MdirectorSale2,360 @ $132.50$313K−3.9% of holding+3.7%+21.4%57,449Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-11-24CARRION RICHARD LdirectorSale25,000 @ $113.50$2.8M−11.5% of holding+8.8%+20.8%193,020Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-21Rodriguez Adorno DenissaofficerSale1,000 @ $114.84$115K−27.7% of holding+5.2%+18.2%2,604Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-09-02MONZON GILBERTOofficerSale9,519 @ $124.03$1.2M−27.8% of holding−4.1%+2.2%24,773Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-02MONZON GILBERTOofficerSale8,482 @ $124.97$1.1M−19.8% of holding−4.1%+2.2%34,292Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-03Burckhart CamilleofficerSale7,000 @ $104.14$729K−20.4% of holding+3.3%−5.9%27,382Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-14Rodriguez Adorno DenissaofficerSale500 @ $104.43$52K−12.2% of holding−1.5%−3.9%3,604Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-06MONZON GILBERTOofficerSale9,600 @ $102.57$985K−19.7% of holding−8.3%+6.8%39,170Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-01-31CESTERO LUIS E.officerSale10,000 @ $103.40$1.0M−36.8% of holding−3.9%+7.9%17,147Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-01-30SEPULVEDA ELIofficerSale10,000 @ $105.07$1.1M−24.3% of holding−1.2%+7.6%31,194Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-01-30NEGRON EDUARDO J.officerSale10,000 @ $104.02$1.0M−23.3% of holding−1.2%+7.6%32,866Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

215 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-31FERRER JAVIER D.officerWithheld for tax10,48685,992Form 4
2026-08-19Garcia Jorge J.officerAward / grant5,73325,411Form 4
2026-07-22FERRER JAVIER D.officerAward / grant14,952131,478Form 4
2026-07-01Rodriguez Jose RamondirectorAward / grant7516,487Form 4
2026-07-01DeVita Betty KdirectorAward / grant489,793Form 4
2026-07-01Ferre Maria LuisadirectorAward / grant8217,494Form 4
2026-07-01GOODWIN C KIMdirectorAward / grant8016,901Form 4
2026-07-01UNANUE CARLOSdirectorAward / grant12327,073Form 4
2026-07-01BALLESTER ALEJANDRO MdirectorAward / grant8016,901Form 4
2026-07-01CARRADY ROBERTdirectorAward / grant12327,073Form 4
2026-07-01CARRION RICHARD LdirectorAward / grant7916,503Form 4
2026-07-01Chappuis Bertil E.directorAward / grant275,641Form 4
2026-06-30NEGRON EDUARDO J.officerWithheld for tax3,01438,442Form 4
2026-05-08Soto MyrnadirectorWithheld for tax2064,533Form 4
2026-05-08Sanchez Alejandro MdirectorWithheld for tax684,260Form 4
2026-05-08Ferre Maria LuisadirectorAward / grant1,14117,412Form 4
2026-05-08Rodriguez Jose RamondirectorAward / grant1,71216,412Form 4
2026-05-08Sanchez Alejandro MdirectorAward / grant9064,328Form 4
2026-05-08UNANUE CARLOSdirectorAward / grant1,47726,950Form 4
2026-05-08DeVita Betty KdirectorAward / grant9069,745Form 4
2026-05-08GOODWIN C KIMdirectorAward / grant90616,821Form 4
2026-05-08CARRADY ROBERTdirectorAward / grant1,47726,950Form 4
2026-05-08CARRION RICHARD LdirectorAward / grant90616,424Form 4
2026-05-08BALLESTER ALEJANDRO MdirectorAward / grant90616,821Form 4
2026-05-08Chappuis Bertil E.directorAward / grant1,6455,614Form 4
2026-04-27Flores Hector AlejandroofficerWithheld for tax2635,821Form 4
2026-04-27Rodriguez Adorno DenissaofficerWithheld for tax873,037Form 4
2026-04-01CARRADY ROBERTdirectorAward / grant14125,473Form 4
2026-04-01CARRION RICHARD LdirectorAward / grant8915,518Form 4
2026-04-01GOODWIN C KIMdirectorAward / grant9115,915Form 4
2026-04-01Rodriguez Jose RamondirectorAward / grant8314,700Form 4
2026-04-01Soto MyrnadirectorAward / grant11019,756Form 4
2026-04-01UNANUE CARLOSdirectorAward / grant14125,473Form 4
2026-04-01Ferre Maria LuisadirectorAward / grant9316,271Form 4
2026-04-01BALLESTER ALEJANDRO MdirectorAward / grant9115,915Form 4
2026-04-01DeVita Betty KdirectorAward / grant518,839Form 4
2026-04-01Chappuis Bertil E.directorAward / grant233,969Form 4
2026-02-25FERRER JAVIER D.officerWithheld for tax2,097100,516Form 4
2026-02-25CHINEA MANUELofficerWithheld for tax1,50933,490Form 4
2026-02-25Soriano LidioofficerWithheld for tax1,079106,434Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.