BOTJBank of the James Financial Group, Inc.Financial Services · Banks - Regionalas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $27.26 · now $27.26 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, BOTJ has typically landed between $24.38 and $30.86 — a range of −10.6% to +13.2% from the issuance price $27.26.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($27.26) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where BOTJ has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $27.26 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$24.38worst · -10.6%$30.86best · +13.2%
  • now $27.26 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $27.56 (+1.1%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $26.32–$28.8
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $24.38–$30.86
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-24−42.9%−42.9%+0.4%
2020-02-19−41.0%−41.0%+0.8%
2020-02-25−40.6%−42.9%+0.4%
3 best
2009-08-06+53.9%+0.0%+53.9%
2009-07-22+49.8%−1.6%+49.8%
2009-04-13+49.0%−0.2%+49.0%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
55%
+2.8%
n=20
Feb
45%
−0.8%
n=20
Mar
45%
−2.6%
n=20
Apr
55%
+2.7%
n=20
May
80%
+3.8%
n=20
Jun
50%
+0.1%
n=20
Jul
50%
+1.2%
n=20
Aug
20%
−1.6%
n=20
Sep
55%
−0.6%
n=20
Oct
60%
+2.2%
n=20
Nov
55%
+2.0%
n=20
Dec
65%
+0.7%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$28$142026-08-10: 1 insider purchase, $2K — ADDISON LEWIS C2026-08-07: 1 insider purchase, $3K — SYREK MICHAEL A2026-08-06: 2 insider purchases, $30K — BRYANT WILLIAM C III, FOSTER WATT R JR2026-05-07: 1 insider purchase, $2K — ADDISON LEWIS C2026-05-06: 1 insider purchase, $24K — BRYANT WILLIAM C III2026-02-20: 1 insider purchase, $25K — CHAPMAN ROBERT R2026-02-19: 1 insider purchase, $12K — BRYANT WILLIAM C III2026-02-12: 1 insider purchase, $8K — BRYANT WILLIAM C III2026-02-10: 1 insider purchase, $2K — ADDISON LEWIS C2025-11-25: 1 insider purchase, $2K — JAMERSON PHILLIP C2025-11-24: 1 insider purchase, $17K — JAMERSON PHILLIP C2025-11-18: 1 insider purchase, $10K — JAMERSON PHILLIP C2025-11-17: 2 insider purchases, $3K — ADDISON LEWIS C, BRYANT WILLIAM C III2025-08-25: 1 insider purchase, $39K — BRYANT WILLIAM C III2025-08-14: 1 insider purchase, $5K — SCRUGGS J TODD2025-08-13: 1 insider purchase, $2K — ADDISON LEWIS C2025-08-12: 1 insider purchase, $2K — UMBERGER HARRY P JR2025-08: 6 open-market purchases, $51K2025-11: 5 open-market purchases, $31K2026-02: 4 open-market purchases, $47K2026-05: 2 open-market purchases, $26K2026-08: 4 open-market purchases, $35K↑ buys↓ salesdirector ADDISON LEWIS C — Purchase on 2026-08-10, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer SYREK MICHAEL A — Purchase on 2026-08-07, filed 5 days after the tradedirector BRYANT WILLIAM C III — Purchase on 2026-08-06, filed 4 days after the tradedirector FOSTER WATT R JR — Purchase on 2026-08-06, filed 4 days after the tradedirector ADDISON LEWIS C — Purchase on 2026-05-07, filed same daydirector BRYANT WILLIAM C III — Purchase on 2026-05-06, filed 1 day after the tradedirector CHAPMAN ROBERT R — Purchase on 2026-02-20, filed same daydirector BRYANT WILLIAM C III — Purchase on 2026-02-19, filed 1 day after the tradedirector BRYANT WILLIAM C III — Purchase on 2026-02-12, filed 8 days after the tradedirector ADDISON LEWIS C — Purchase on 2026-02-10, filed 1 day after the tradedirector JAMERSON PHILLIP C — Purchase on 2025-11-25, filed 6 days after the tradedirector JAMERSON PHILLIP C — Purchase on 2025-11-24, filed 7 days after the tradedirector JAMERSON PHILLIP C — Purchase on 2025-11-18, filed same daydirector ADDISON LEWIS C — Purchase on 2025-11-17, filed 2 days after the tradedirector BRYANT WILLIAM C III — Purchase on 2025-11-17, filed 2 days after the tradedirector BRYANT WILLIAM C III — Purchase on 2025-08-25, filed 1 day after the tradedirector SCRUGGS J TODD — Purchase on 2025-08-14, filed 1 day after the tradedirector ADDISON LEWIS C — Purchase on 2025-08-13, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer UMBERGER HARRY P JR — Purchase on 2025-08-12, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-10ADDISON LEWIS CdirectorPurchase70 @ $27.21$2K+0.4% of holding+4.4%not yet — horizon still open19,791Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-07SYREK MICHAEL AofficerPurchase100 @ $27.05$3K+0.7% of holding+4.2%not yet — horizon still open13,700Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-08-06BRYANT WILLIAM C IIIdirectorPurchase650 @ $27.10$18K+0.8% of holding+1.7%not yet — horizon still open78,366Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-08-06FOSTER WATT R JRdirectorPurchase447 @ $28.01$13K+0.4% of holding+1.7%not yet — horizon still open126,360Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-07ADDISON LEWIS CdirectorPurchase82 @ $23.18$2K+0.4% of holding+4.0%not yet — horizon still open19,721Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-06BRYANT WILLIAM C IIIdirectorPurchase1,043 @ $23.11$24K+1.4% of holding−0.8%not yet — horizon still open77,716Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-20CHAPMAN ROBERT RdirectorPurchase1,200 @ $20.89$25K+1.0% of holding+5.0%+18.4%124,118Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-19BRYANT WILLIAM C IIIdirectorPurchase600 @ $20.82$12K+0.8% of holding+0.8%+18.5%76,673Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-12BRYANT WILLIAM C IIIdirectorPurchase396 @ $20.00$8K+0.5% of holding+4.4%+21.7%76,073Form 4 · filed 8 days after the trade
2026-02-10ADDISON LEWIS CdirectorPurchase93 @ $20.50$2K+0.5% of holding+2.4%+24.5%19,639Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-25JAMERSON PHILLIP CdirectorPurchase100 @ $17.59$2K+0.6% of holding+2.1%+20.3%17,190Form 4 · filed 6 days after the trade
2025-11-24JAMERSON PHILLIP CdirectorPurchase1,014 @ $16.65$17K+6.3% of holding+3.8%+19.1%17,090Form 4 · filed 7 days after the trade
2025-11-18JAMERSON PHILLIP CdirectorPurchase589 @ $16.75$10K+3.8% of holding+8.2%+23.0%16,076Form 4 · filed same day
2025-11-17ADDISON LEWIS CdirectorPurchase113 @ $16.75$2K+0.6% of holding+12.0%+26.9%19,546Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-17BRYANT WILLIAM C IIIdirectorPurchase59 @ $16.75$988+0.1% of holding+12.0%+26.9%75,677Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-25BRYANT WILLIAM C IIIdirectorPurchase2,525 @ $15.43$39K+3.5% of holding−3.4%+27.3%75,618Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-14SCRUGGS J TODDdirectorPurchase356 @ $14.30$5K+1.1% of holding+7.5%+41.7%33,349Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-13ADDISON LEWIS CdirectorPurchase134 @ $14.00$2K+0.7% of holding+7.3%+42.0%19,433Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-12UMBERGER HARRY P JRofficerPurchase138 @ $13.88$2K+7.3% of holding+3.9%+36.7%2,025Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-11SYREK MICHAEL AofficerPurchase243 @ $13.97$3K+1.8% of holding+8.9%+38.8%13,600Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-11SYREK MICHAEL AofficerPurchase7 @ $14.00$98+0.1% of holding+8.9%+38.8%13,357Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-22BRYANT WILLIAM C IIIdirectorPurchase6,395 @ $14.49$93K+9.6% of holding−4.6%+11.6%73,093Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-22BRYANT WILLIAM C IIIdirectorPurchase207 @ $14.25$3K+0.3% of holding−4.6%+11.6%66,698Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-21BRYANT WILLIAM C IIIdirectorPurchase223 @ $14.25$3K+0.3% of holding−3.3%+7.1%66,491Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-20BRYANT WILLIAM C IIIdirectorPurchase394 @ $14.25$6K+0.6% of holding−0.7%+8.9%66,268Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-12ADDISON LEWIS CdirectorPurchase303 @ $14.25$4K+1.6% of holding−2.8%+3.2%19,299Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-09ADDISON LEWIS CdirectorPurchase349 @ $14.25$5K+1.9% of holding−6.2%+1.1%18,996Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-05-05CHAPMAN ROBERT RdirectorPurchase2,828 @ $14.11$40K+2.4% of holding−2.5%+2.9%122,885Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-05SYREK MICHAEL AofficerPurchase350 @ $14.00$5K+2.7% of holding−2.5%+2.9%13,350Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.