BORRBorr Drilling LimitedEnergy · Oil & Gas Drillingas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $4.23 · now $4.23 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, BORR has typically landed between $3.30 and $5.75 — a range of −22.1% to +35.8% from the issuance price $4.23.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

1,768 overlapping 1 month windows · 2019-07-31 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($4.23) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where BORR has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $4.23 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$3.3worst · -22.1%$5.75best · +35.8%
  • now $4.23 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $4.29 (+1.4%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $3.77–$4.8
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $3.3–$5.75
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,768 windows spanning 2019-07-31 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-18−93.6%−93.6%+0.3%
2020-02-14−93.3%−93.3%+0.0%
2020-02-19−90.3%−93.6%+0.0%
3 best
2020-05-13+191.9%+0.0%+241.9%
2020-03-18+175.8%+0.0%+527.9%
2020-05-15+171.7%−2.8%+216.0%

1,768 overlapping windows · 2019-07-31 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~8 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
43%
−3.7%
n=7
Feb
57%
+1.9%
n=7
Mar
43%
−5.9%
n=7
Apr
57%
+7.6%
n=7
May
43%
+3.2%
n=7
Jun
43%
+6.0%
n=7
Jul
43%
−2.1%
n=7
Aug
50%
−0.5%
n=8
Sep
25%
−10.4%
n=8
Oct
57%
+6.3%
n=7
Nov
43%
+11.4%
n=7
Dec
100%
+15.3%
n=7

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$7$22026-09-03: 3 insider sales, $271K — Snowling Harvey Edward, Vaaler Magnus, Mawjee Jehan2026-09-02: 2 insider sales, $126K — Crowe Jason Philip, Lee Charles (Chuck)2026-08-25: 1 insider purchase, $875K — Troim Tor Olav2026-08-14: 1 insider purchase, $2.2M — Troim Tor Olav2026-08-13: 2 insider purchases, $6.5M — Troim Tor Olav, Currie Jeffrey2026-06-17: 2 insider purchases, $2.4M — Schorn Patrick, Morand De Oliveira Bruno2026-06-09: 1 insider sale, $37.6M — Mordehachvili Thiago2026-06-09: 1 insider purchase, $5.0M — Troim Tor Olav2026-04-16: 1 insider purchase, $2.8M — Troim Tor Olav2026-03-24: 2 insider purchases, $3.9M — Troim Tor Olav, Currie Jeffrey2026-03: 2 open-market purchases, $3.9M2026-04: 1 open-market purchase, $2.8M2026-06: 3 open-market purchases, $7.4M2026-06: 1 open-market sale, $37.6M2026-08: 4 open-market purchases, $9.6M2026-09: 5 open-market sales, $397K↑ buys↓ salesofficer Snowling Harvey Edward — Sale on 2026-09-03, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Vaaler Magnus — Sale on 2026-09-03, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Mawjee Jehan — Sale on 2026-09-03, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Crowe Jason Philip — Sale on 2026-09-02, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Lee Charles (Chuck) — Sale on 2026-09-02, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Troim Tor Olav — Purchase on 2026-08-25, filed same daydirector Troim Tor Olav — Purchase on 2026-08-14, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Troim Tor Olav — Purchase on 2026-08-13, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Currie Jeffrey — Purchase on 2026-08-13, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Schorn Patrick — Purchase on 2026-06-17, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer Morand De Oliveira Bruno — Purchase on 2026-06-17, filed 5 days after the tradedirector Mordehachvili Thiago — Sale on 2026-06-09, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Troim Tor Olav — Purchase on 2026-06-09, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Troim Tor Olav — Purchase on 2026-04-16, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Troim Tor Olav — Purchase on 2026-03-24, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Currie Jeffrey — Purchase on 2026-03-24, filed 2 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-09-03Snowling Harvey EdwardofficerSale25,877 @ $4.80$124K−15.1% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open145,944Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-09-03Vaaler MagnusofficerSale19,625 @ $4.80$94K−7.4% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open247,086Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-09-03Mawjee JehanofficerSale10,903 @ $4.80$52K−15.9% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open57,826Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-09-02Crowe Jason PhilipofficerSale16,495 @ $4.55$75K−13.3% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open107,216Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-09-02Lee Charles (Chuck)officerSale10,538 @ $4.80$51K−13.3% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open68,500Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-25Troim Tor OlavdirectorPurchase200,000 @ $4.37$875K+0.7% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open29,385,941Form 4 · filed same day
2026-08-14Troim Tor OlavdirectorPurchase500,000 @ $4.39$2.2M+1.7% of holding+0.9%not yet — horizon still open29,185,941Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-08-13Troim Tor OlavdirectorPurchase1,500,000 @ $4.02$6.0M+5.5% of holding+4.2%not yet — horizon still open28,685,941Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-13Currie JeffreydirectorPurchase125,000 @ $4.01$502K+35.3% of holding+4.2%not yet — horizon still open479,423Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-17Schorn PatrickdirectorPurchase1,200,000 @ $1.66$2.0M+51.4% of holding−6.3%not yet — horizon still open3,535,000Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-06-17Morand De Oliveira BrunoofficerPurchase275,000 @ $1.66$457K+39.6% of holding−6.3%not yet — horizon still open969,828Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-06-09Mordehachvili ThiagodirectorSale8,000,000 @ $4.70$37.6M−17.3% of holding−7.7%not yet — horizon still open38,199,677Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-09Troim Tor OlavdirectorPurchase1,063,000 @ $4.70$5.0M+4.1% of holding−7.7%not yet — horizon still open27,185,941Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-04-16Troim Tor OlavdirectorPurchase500,000 @ $5.58$2.8M+2.0% of holding+9.7%not yet — horizon still open26,122,941Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-24Troim Tor OlavdirectorPurchase500,000 @ $5.20$2.6M+2.0% of holding−1.6%not yet — horizon still open25,622,941Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-24Currie JeffreydirectorPurchase250,000 @ $5.31$1.3M+239.4% of holding−1.6%not yet — horizon still open354,423Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

3 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-06-17Schorn PatrickdirectorOption exercise400,000400,000Form 4
2026-06-17Morand De Oliveira BrunoofficerOption exercise91,66791,667Form 4
2026-06-17Morand De Oliveira BrunoofficerOption exercise91,66691,666Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.