Issued 2026-09-16 at $6.24 · now $6.24 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, BOOM has typically landed between $4.49 and $7.98 — a range of −28.0% to +27.8% from the issuance price $6.24.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($6.24) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where BOOM has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $6.24 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $6.24 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $6.13 (-1.7%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $5.29–$6.97
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $4.49–$7.98
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2009-02-05 | −59.3% | −59.3% | +4.5% |
| 2009-02-04 | −56.9% | −56.9% | +9.8% |
| 2009-02-06 | −54.6% | −61.1% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2009-03-06 | +97.3% | −0.8% | +102.9% |
| 2009-03-09 | +95.1% | +0.0% | +104.6% |
| 2009-04-08 | +92.5% | +0.0% | +92.5% |
5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-03 | Schladen James | officer | Sale | 17,718 @ $6.00 | $106K | −3.2% of holding | +9.4% | −2.5% | 532,958 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-12-02 | Schladen James | officer | Sale | 782 @ $6.00 | $5K | −0.1% of holding | +16.0% | +3.1% | 550,676 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-08 | OLEARY JAMES | director | Purchase | 39,798 @ $5.95 | $237K | +18.4% of holding | +19.6% | +37.0% | 256,210 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
91 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-01 | OLEARY JAMES | director | Disposition | 72,040 | 191,392 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | OLEARY JAMES | director | Option exercise | 72,040 | 263,432 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | OLEARY JAMES | director | Option exercise | 72,040 | 144,081 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-28 | Seger Brett A. | officer | Withheld for tax | 230 | 21,408 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-13 | Walter Eric V. | officer | Withheld for tax | 11,427 | 88,603 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-13 | Dreessen Ruth | director | Award / grant | 16,937 | 65,283 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-13 | SANANIKONE OUMA | director | Award / grant | 16,937 | 52,773 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-13 | Doubman John R | director | Award / grant | 16,937 | 31,396 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-13 | Kelly Michael Aaron | director | Award / grant | 16,937 | 65,590 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-13 | Spurlin Sharon | director | Award / grant | 16,937 | 26,596 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-14 | Walter Eric V. | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,272 | 100,030 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-14 | Seger Brett A. | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,595 | 21,638 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-14 | Grieves Ian | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,569 | 81,708 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-14 | Grieves Ian | officer | Option exercise | 3,541 | 83,277 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-14 | Nobili Antoine | officer | Option exercise | 904 | 21,177 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-14 | Nobili Antoine | officer | Option exercise | 904 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-14 | Grieves Ian | officer | Option exercise | 3,541 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-03 | Walter Eric V. | officer | Award / grant | 54,274 | 54,274 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-03 | OLEARY JAMES | director | Award / grant | 237,449 | 237,449 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-28 | Walter Eric V. | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,921 | 102,302 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-28 | Grieves Ian | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,978 | 79,736 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-28 | Grieves Ian | officer | Option exercise | 4,464 | 4,464 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-28 | Nobili Antoine | officer | Option exercise | 2,304 | 20,273 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-28 | Nobili Antoine | officer | Option exercise | 2,304 | 1,151 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-28 | Grieves Ian | officer | Option exercise | 4,464 | 81,714 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-26 | Walter Eric V. | officer | Withheld for tax | 6,407 | 105,223 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-26 | Grieves Ian | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,761 | 77,250 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-26 | Seger Brett A. | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,212 | 23,233 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-26 | Grieves Ian | officer | Option exercise | 8,486 | 16,971 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-26 | Grieves Ian | officer | Option exercise | 8,486 | 81,011 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-03 | Schladen James | officer | Withheld for tax | 8,053 | 36,744 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-01 | OLEARY JAMES | director | Withheld for tax | 64,818 | 191,392 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-25 | Spurlin Sharon | director | Award / grant | 9,659 | 9,659 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-01 | OLEARY JAMES | director | Award / grant | 216,121 | 216,121 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-25 | Doubman John R | director | Award / grant | 14,459 | 14,459 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-28 | Seger Brett A. | officer | Withheld for tax | 233 | 24,445 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-14 | SANANIKONE OUMA | director | Award / grant | 17,580 | 35,836 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-14 | Dreessen Ruth | director | Award / grant | 17,580 | 48,346 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-14 | Kelly Michael Aaron | director | Award / grant | 17,580 | 48,653 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-14 | ROSE CLIFTON PETER | director | Award / grant | 17,580 | 61,988 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.