BOKFBOK Financial CorporationFinancial Services · Banks - Regionalas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $132.82 · now $132.82 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, BOKF has typically landed between $118.93 and $150.59 — a range of −10.5% to +13.4% from the issuance price $132.82.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($132.82) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where BOKF has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $132.82 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$118.93worst · -10.5%$150.59best · +13.4%
  • now $132.82 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $133.48 (+0.5%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $126.52–$140.43
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $118.93–$150.59
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-21−56.1%−56.1%+0.0%
2020-02-20−54.0%−54.0%+0.0%
2020-02-19−50.3%−50.3%+1.0%
3 best
2009-03-06+54.6%−1.4%+58.8%
2009-03-05+54.3%−4.2%+54.3%
2009-03-09+52.2%+0.0%+61.0%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
40%
−0.7%
n=20
Feb
45%
+0.2%
n=20
Mar
65%
−0.4%
n=20
Apr
70%
+2.9%
n=20
May
50%
+0.3%
n=20
Jun
50%
−0.0%
n=20
Jul
60%
+1.9%
n=20
Aug
60%
+0.5%
n=20
Sep
50%
+0.5%
n=20
Oct
50%
+1.3%
n=20
Nov
75%
+4.3%
n=20
Dec
60%
+0.0%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$146$1022026-08-11: 1 insider sale, $180K — BANGERT STEVEN2026-08-04: 1 insider sale, $584K — Vincent Brad A2026-07-23: 1 insider sale, $1K — KYMES STACY2026-05-08: 1 insider sale, $225K — Wade Mark B.2026-05-07: 2 insider sales, $350K — BANGERT STEVEN …2026-04-23: 2 insider sales, $163K — Reid Jeffrey A. …2026-01-22: 2 insider sales, $524K — BANGERT STEVEN …2025-12-01: 1 insider sale, $115K — BANGERT STEVEN2025-10-30: 2 insider sales, $266K — BANGERT STEVEN …2025-08: 2 open-market sales, $297K2025-10: 2 open-market sales, $266K2025-12: 1 open-market sale, $115K2026-01: 2 open-market sales, $524K2026-04: 2 open-market sales, $163K2026-05: 3 open-market sales, $576K2026-07: 1 open-market sale, $1K2026-08: 2 open-market sales, $764K↑ buys↓ salesdirector BANGERT STEVEN — Sale on 2026-08-11, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Vincent Brad A — Sale on 2026-08-04, filed 2 days after the tradedirector KYMES STACY — Sale on 2026-07-23, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Wade Mark B. — Sale on 2026-05-08, filed 3 days after the tradedirector BANGERT STEVEN — Sale on 2026-05-07, filed 1 day after the tradedirector BANGERT STEVEN — Sale on 2026-05-07, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Reid Jeffrey A. — Sale on 2026-04-23, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Reid Jeffrey A. — Sale on 2026-04-23, filed 1 day after the tradedirector BANGERT STEVEN — Sale on 2026-01-22, filed 4 days after the tradedirector BANGERT STEVEN — Sale on 2026-01-22, filed 4 days after the tradedirector BANGERT STEVEN — Sale on 2025-12-01, filed 2 days after the tradedirector BANGERT STEVEN — Sale on 2025-10-30, filed 4 days after the tradedirector BANGERT STEVEN — Sale on 2025-10-30, filed 4 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-11BANGERT STEVENdirectorSale1,250 @ $143.96$180K−3.8% of holding−4.5%not yet — horizon still open31,710Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-04Vincent Brad AofficerSale4,015 @ $145.42$584K−40.0% of holding−5.1%not yet — horizon still open6,031Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-23KYMES STACYdirectorSale9 @ $139.53$1K−0.0% of holding−4.3%not yet — horizon still open123,172Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-08Wade Mark B.officerSale1,700 @ $132.62$225K−7.7% of holding−0.7%not yet — horizon still open20,361Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-05-07BANGERT STEVENdirectorSale2,100 @ $134.78$283K−6.0% of holding−3.9%not yet — horizon still open32,816Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-07BANGERT STEVENdirectorSale500 @ $134.91$67K−4.6% of holding−3.9%not yet — horizon still open10,436Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-04-23Reid Jeffrey A.officerSale1,095 @ $135.56$148K−11.8% of holding−7.2%not yet — horizon still open8,221Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-04-23Reid Jeffrey A.officerSale105 @ $135.13$14K−1.3% of holding−7.2%not yet — horizon still open8,116Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-01-22BANGERT STEVENdirectorSale2,500 @ $137.71$344K−6.7% of holding−3.2%−1.9%34,916Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-01-22BANGERT STEVENdirectorSale1,300 @ $137.91$179K−10.6% of holding−3.2%−1.9%10,936Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-12-01BANGERT STEVENdirectorSale1,000 @ $114.89$115K−2.6% of holding+2.7%−1.2%37,416Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-10-30BANGERT STEVENdirectorSale1,500 @ $106.29$159K−3.8% of holding+10.1%+22.1%38,416Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-10-30BANGERT STEVENdirectorSale1,000 @ $106.07$106K−7.6% of holding+10.1%+22.1%12,236Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-08-04BANGERT STEVENdirectorSale1,750 @ $99.08$173K−4.2% of holding+10.5%+23.4%39,916Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-04BANGERT STEVENdirectorSale1,250 @ $99.24$124K−8.6% of holding+10.5%+23.4%13,236Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-14BANGERT STEVENdirectorSale1,500 @ $97.89$147K−3.5% of holding−5.9%−4.2%41,459Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-14BANGERT STEVENdirectorSale1,000 @ $98.31$98K−6.5% of holding−5.9%−4.2%14,486Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-01-30BANGERT STEVENdirectorSale1,750 @ $111.84$196K+4.2% of holding+2.0%−13.6%42,959Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-01-30BANGERT STEVENdirectorSale1,250 @ $111.81$140K+8.8% of holding+2.0%−13.6%15,486Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

210 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-07-29Grauer ScottofficerGift15024,554Form 4
2026-07-23KYMES STACYdirectorGift3,215119,957Form 4
2026-07-14BANGERT STEVENdirectorAward / grant14432,960Form 4
2026-07-14CRAFT JOSEPH W IIIdirectorAward / grant1444,834Form 4
2026-07-14COFFEY JOHN WdirectorAward / grant1447,375Form 4
2026-07-14San Pedro ClaudiadirectorAward / grant1443,388Form 4
2026-07-14Richards Emmet CdirectorAward / grant1446,002Form 4
2026-07-14Turpen Michael C.directorAward / grant1443,713Form 4
2026-07-14Waldo RobertdirectorAward / grant14431,929Form 4
2026-07-14Washington Rose MdirectorAward / grant1441,916Form 4
2026-07-14SHRUM KAYSE M DOdirectorAward / grant144650Form 4
2026-07-14MALCOLM STEVEN JdirectorAward / grant1445,817Form 4
2026-07-14ARMSTRONG ALAN SdirectorAward / grant1443,800Form 4
2026-07-14GRIFFIN DAVID FdirectorAward / grant1445,513Form 4
2026-07-14JOULLIAN EDWARD C IVdirectorAward / grant1444,539Form 4
2026-03-10Vincent Brad AofficerOther acquisition94018,401Form 4
2026-03-10Vincent Brad AofficerOther acquisition94010,046Form 4
2026-02-18KYMES STACYdirectorWithheld for tax16,846123,181Form 4
2026-02-18Grauer ScottofficerWithheld for tax3,56243,524Form 4
2026-02-18Weil KelleyofficerWithheld for tax1,61019,275Form 4
2026-02-18Keesling Rebecca DofficerWithheld for tax75112,786Form 4
2026-02-18Mahaney Mindy M.officerWithheld for tax25821,065Form 4
2026-02-18Rogers Michael J.officerWithheld for tax2113,778Form 4
2026-02-18Stratton David DofficerWithheld for tax20610,138Form 4
2026-02-18Grunst Martin EofficerWithheld for tax20542,284Form 4
2026-02-18Vincent Brad AofficerWithheld for tax18324,874Form 4
2026-02-18Wade Mark B.officerWithheld for tax13226,324Form 4
2026-02-18Martin DerekofficerWithheld for tax12720,195Form 4
2026-02-18Daboval Christy KofficerWithheld for tax1167,935Form 4
2026-02-18Reid Jeffrey A.officerWithheld for tax11211,613Form 4
2026-02-18Reid Jeffrey A.officerOption exercise96911,725Form 4
2026-02-18Martin DerekofficerOption exercise1,53420,321Form 4
2026-02-18Weil KelleyofficerOption exercise1,39720,885Form 4
2026-02-18Rogers Michael J.officerOption exercise1903,989Form 4
2026-02-18Keesling Rebecca DofficerOption exercise62313,537Form 4
2026-02-18Stratton David DofficerOption exercise21310,344Form 4
2026-02-18Vincent Brad AofficerOption exercise2,19425,057Form 4
2026-02-18Grauer ScottofficerOption exercise3,10047,086Form 4
2026-02-18KYMES STACYdirectorOption exercise14,647140,027Form 4
2026-02-18Grunst Martin EofficerOption exercise2,46142,489Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.