BOHBank of Hawaii CorporationFinancial Services · Banks - Regionalas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $74.86 · now $74.86 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, BOH has typically landed between $66.54 and $85.48 — a range of −11.1% to +14.2% from the issuance price $74.86.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($74.86) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where BOH has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $74.86 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$66.54worst · -11.1%$85.48best · +14.2%
  • now $74.86 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $74.59 (-0.4%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $70.81–$78.38
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $66.54–$85.48
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-21−46.6%−46.6%+0.0%
2020-02-20−40.1%−40.1%+0.0%
2020-02-24−39.2%−44.4%+0.0%
3 best
2023-05-12+40.4%+0.0%+44.6%
2020-11-04+38.4%+0.0%+38.4%
2020-10-19+37.5%+0.0%+37.5%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
35%
−1.1%
n=20
Feb
50%
+0.0%
n=20
Mar
65%
−1.3%
n=20
Apr
55%
+1.4%
n=20
May
50%
−0.5%
n=20
Jun
40%
−0.2%
n=20
Jul
60%
+3.2%
n=20
Aug
40%
−0.6%
n=20
Sep
45%
−1.1%
n=20
Oct
60%
+3.5%
n=20
Nov
70%
+4.2%
n=20
Dec
70%
+1.8%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$86$582026-08-04: 1 insider sale, $199K — Abbruzzese Marco A2026-08-03: 1 insider sale, $160K — Abbruzzese Marco A2026-05-01: 1 insider sale, $401K — Lucien Kent Thomas2026-02-06: 1 insider sale, $393K — WO ROBERT W JR2026-02-05: 1 insider sale, $153K — EMERSON MATTHEW2026-01-02: 1 insider sale, $1.0M — HO PETER S2026-01: 1 open-market sale, $1.0M2026-02: 2 open-market sales, $546K2026-05: 1 open-market sale, $401K2026-08: 2 open-market sales, $359K↑ buys↓ salesofficer Abbruzzese Marco A — Sale on 2026-08-04, filed same dayofficer Abbruzzese Marco A — Sale on 2026-08-03, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Lucien Kent Thomas — Sale on 2026-05-01, filed 3 days after the tradedirector WO ROBERT W JR — Sale on 2026-02-06, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer EMERSON MATTHEW — Sale on 2026-02-05, filed same daydirector HO PETER S — Sale on 2026-01-02, filed 3 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-04Abbruzzese Marco AofficerSale2,441 @ $81.59$199K−100.0% of holding−4.6%not yet — horizon still open0Form 4 · filed same day
2026-08-03Abbruzzese Marco AofficerSale2,000 @ $79.84$160K−45.0% of holding−6.7%not yet — horizon still open2,441Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-01Lucien Kent ThomasdirectorSale5,000 @ $80.17$401K−13.0% of holding−10.8%not yet — horizon still open33,470Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-02-06WO ROBERT W JRdirectorSale5,000 @ $78.57$393K−100.0% of holding−3.3%−11.0%0Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-05EMERSON MATTHEWofficerSale1,996 @ $76.53$153K−16.7% of holding−3.2%−10.4%9,943Form 4 · filed same day
2026-01-02HO PETER SdirectorSale15,000 @ $67.87$1.0M−8.7% of holding+8.9%+13.0%156,774Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-04-24SALMON TARYN LofficerSale1,652 @ $66.15$109K−20.4% of holding−5.1%−27.7%6,442Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-01-31McGuirk Patrick MofficerSale2,000 @ $75.08$150K−17.9% of holding−1.4%−19.8%9,173Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-01-30SALMON TARYN LofficerSale449 @ $74.97$34K−4.3% of holding+0.9%−19.6%9,880Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

97 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-07-20Satenberg Bradley StevenofficerOption exercise2,9730Form 4
2026-07-20Satenberg Bradley StevenofficerWithheld for tax9594,027Form 4
2026-07-20Satenberg Bradley StevenofficerOption exercise2,9734,986Form 4
2026-07-20Satenberg Bradley StevenofficerOption exercise2,9734,986Form 4
2026-06-30WO ROBERT W JRdirectorAward / grant26836,115Form 4
2026-04-24Vara Raymond P JrdirectorAward / grant1,68813,662Form 4
2026-04-24Nichols Victor KdirectorAward / grant84418,077Form 4
2026-04-24Lucien Kent ThomasdirectorAward / grant84438,470Form 4
2026-04-24Moy Alicia EdirectorAward / grant84413,422Form 4
2026-04-24Feldman Joshua DdirectorAward / grant8448,927Form 4
2026-04-24Erickson John CdirectorAward / grant84411,322Form 4
2026-04-24Tokioka Dana MdirectorAward / grant8447,367Form 4
2026-04-24Hulst MichelledirectorAward / grant8447,526Form 4
2026-04-24VARES-LUM SUZANNE PdirectorAward / grant8444,465Form 4
2026-04-24MILLS ELLIOT KdirectorAward / grant8445,533Form 4
2026-04-24WO ROBERT W JRdirectorAward / grant84445,479Form 4
2026-03-31HO PETER SdirectorWithheld for tax47,693128,910Form 4
2026-03-31Polk James CofficerWithheld for tax28,41959,771Form 4
2026-03-31SALMON TARYN LofficerWithheld for tax3,2445,275Form 4
2026-03-31EMERSON MATTHEWofficerWithheld for tax3,2449,932Form 4
2026-03-31WO ROBERT W JRdirectorAward / grant29735,538Form 4
2026-03-31HO PETER SdirectorOption exercise41,1780Form 4
2026-03-31HO PETER SdirectorOption exercise53,5420Form 4
2026-03-31HO PETER SdirectorOption exercise94,720223,630Form 4
2026-03-31HO PETER SdirectorOption exercise94,720223,630Form 4
2026-02-20HO PETER SdirectorWithheld for tax20,108176,603Form 4
2026-02-20SHAIRSON SCHAUD BRADLEYofficerOption exercise10,4610Form 4
2026-02-20EMERSON MATTHEWofficerOption exercise6,6570Form 4
2026-02-20McGuirk Patrick MofficerOption exercise5,3250Form 4
2026-02-20SALMON TARYN LofficerOption exercise4,3270Form 4
2026-02-20SHAIRSON SCHAUD BRADLEYofficerWithheld for tax3,43929,508Form 4
2026-02-20EMERSON MATTHEWofficerWithheld for tax3,42413,176Form 4
2026-02-20McGuirk Patrick MofficerWithheld for tax2,5869,705Form 4
2026-02-20SALMON TARYN LofficerWithheld for tax2,2508,519Form 4
2026-02-20Asato KeithofficerOption exercise5330Form 4
2026-02-20Asato KeithofficerWithheld for tax201725Form 4
2026-02-20HO PETER SdirectorOption exercise39,9370Form 4
2026-02-20SALMON TARYN LofficerOption exercise4,32710,769Form 4
2026-02-20EMERSON MATTHEWofficerOption exercise6,65716,600Form 4
2026-02-20HO PETER SdirectorOption exercise39,937196,711Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.