BOCBoston Omaha CorporationCommunication Services · Advertising Agenciesas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $13.79 · now $13.79 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, BOC has typically landed between $11.95 and $15.44 — a range of −13.4% to +12.0% from the issuance price $13.79.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

2,307 overlapping 1 month windows · 2017-06-13 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($13.79) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where BOC has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $13.79 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$11.95worst · -13.4%$15.44best · +12.0%
  • now $13.79 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $13.59 (-1.4%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $12.89–$14.29
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $11.95–$15.44
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 2,307 windows spanning 2017-06-13 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2021-03-12−44.4%−44.4%+0.0%
2021-03-11−43.1%−43.1%+0.6%
2021-03-15−41.8%−43.6%+0.0%
3 best
2021-01-20+81.9%+0.0%+81.9%
2021-01-15+80.0%+0.0%+80.0%
2021-01-21+79.2%+0.0%+79.2%

2,307 overlapping windows · 2017-06-13 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~10 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
22%
−4.7%
n=9
Feb
56%
+8.1%
n=9
Mar
11%
−7.7%
n=9
Apr
22%
−5.0%
n=9
May
67%
+2.1%
n=9
Jun
22%
−3.1%
n=9
Jul
50%
+1.9%
n=10
Aug
50%
+4.1%
n=10
Sep
40%
+0.8%
n=10
Oct
33%
+1.8%
n=9
Nov
56%
+4.3%
n=9
Dec
44%
+6.1%
n=9

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$15$112026-09-15: 1 insider sale, $1.4M — Keating Brendan Joseph2026-06-01: 1 insider purchase, $78K — Kenan Frank H. II2026-05-29: 1 insider purchase, $129K — Kenan Frank H. II2026-05-28: 1 insider purchase, $464K — Kenan Frank H. II2026-05-27: 2 insider purchases, $255K — Royal Jeffrey C …2026-05-26: 1 insider purchase, $142K — Royal Jeffrey C2026-05-22: 1 insider purchase, $124K — Royal Jeffrey C2026-05: 6 open-market purchases, $1.1M2026-06: 1 open-market purchase, $78K2026-09: 1 open-market sale, $1.4M↑ buys↓ salesdirector Keating Brendan Joseph — Sale on 2026-09-15, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Kenan Frank H. II — Purchase on 2026-06-01, filed same daydirector Kenan Frank H. II — Purchase on 2026-05-29, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Kenan Frank H. II — Purchase on 2026-05-28, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Royal Jeffrey C — Purchase on 2026-05-27, filed same daydirector Royal Jeffrey C — Purchase on 2026-05-27, filed same daydirector Royal Jeffrey C — Purchase on 2026-05-26, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Royal Jeffrey C — Purchase on 2026-05-22, filed 5 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-09-15Keating Brendan JosephdirectorSale100,994 @ $13.56$1.4M−100.0% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open0Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-01Kenan Frank H. IIdirectorPurchase6,033 @ $12.89$78K+1.9% of holding+15.0%not yet — horizon still open315,991Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-29Kenan Frank H. IIdirectorPurchase10,000 @ $12.93$129K+3.3% of holding+6.9%not yet — horizon still open309,958Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-05-28Kenan Frank H. IIdirectorPurchase34,719 @ $13.37$464K+13.1% of holding+1.8%not yet — horizon still open299,958Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-27Royal Jeffrey CdirectorPurchase10,000 @ $12.82$128K+47.5% of holding+10.4%not yet — horizon still open31,046Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-27Royal Jeffrey CdirectorPurchase10,000 @ $12.72$127K+16.8% of holding+10.4%not yet — horizon still open69,644Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-26Royal Jeffrey CdirectorPurchase11,046 @ $12.82$142K+110.5% of holding+4.2%not yet — horizon still open21,046Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-22Royal Jeffrey CdirectorPurchase10,000 @ $12.40$124Kownership Δ n/a+6.9%not yet — horizon still open10,000Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

27 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-14Srinivasan VishnudirectorAward / grant5,25224,896Form 4
2026-09-14Graff David SdirectorAward / grant5,25211,146Form 4
2026-09-14Burt ThomasdirectorAward / grant5,25226,884Form 4
2026-09-14Royal Jeffrey CdirectorAward / grant5,25274,896Form 4
2026-09-14Kenan Frank H. IIdirectorAward / grant5,25214,896Form 4
2026-09-14Keating Brendan JosephdirectorAward / grant5,2525,252Form 4
2026-02-12Weisenburger Joshua PaulofficerAward / grant4,06130,242Form 4
2026-02-12Weisenburger Joshua PaulofficerWithheld for tax74229,500Form 4
2025-12-11Burt ThomasdirectorAward / grant14,73821,632Form 4
2025-12-03Kenan Frank H. IIdirectorAward / grant16,743265,239Form 4
2025-12-03Kenan Frank H. IIdirectorAward / grant8,000111,390Form 4
2025-12-02Kenan Frank H. IIdirectorAward / grant6,496248,496Form 4
2025-12-02Kenan Frank H. IIdirectorAward / grant4,4524,452Form 4
2025-12-01Kenan Frank H. IIdirectorAward / grant44,196242,000Form 4
2025-12-01Royal Jeffrey CdirectorAward / grant10,00059,644Form 4
2025-11-24Kenan Frank H. IIdirectorAward / grant4,8949,644Form 4
2025-11-24Srinivasan VishnudirectorAward / grant4,89419,644Form 4
2025-11-24Royal Jeffrey CdirectorAward / grant4,89449,644Form 4
2025-11-24Keating Brendan JosephdirectorAward / grant4,89413,694Form 4
2025-11-24Burt ThomasdirectorAward / grant4,8946,894Form 4
2025-11-24Graff David SdirectorAward / grant4,8945,894Form 4
2025-02-12Meisinger Joseph MaxofficerAward / grant11,96024,634Form 4
2025-02-12LaFoy William ScottofficerAward / grant4,0009,211Form 4
2025-02-12Meisinger Joseph MaxofficerWithheld for tax3,53521,099Form 4
2025-02-12Weisenburger Joshua PaulofficerAward / grant3,32226,181Form 4
2025-01-10Peterson Adam KdirectorOption exercise51,5166,756,842Form 4
2025-01-10Peterson Adam KdirectorOption exercise1,2626,756,842Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.