Issued 2026-09-16 at $14.62 · now $14.62 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, BOBS has typically landed between $8.84 and $18.74 — a range of −39.6% to +28.1% from the issuance price $14.62.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
133 overlapping 1 month windows · 2026-02-05 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($14.62) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where BOBS has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $14.62 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $14.62 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $15.35 (+5.0%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $13.34–$17.37
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $8.84–$18.74
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2026-02-26 | −51.5% | −51.5% | +0.0% |
| 2026-02-27 | −50.3% | −51.5% | +0.0% |
| 2026-02-25 | −49.8% | −49.8% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2026-05-04 | +32.7% | −1.2% | +36.8% |
| 2026-05-05 | +31.0% | −1.8% | +36.0% |
| 2026-06-08 | +28.6% | +0.0% | +37.9% |
133 overlapping windows · 2026-02-05 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-12 | BARTON WILLIAM G | director | Purchase | 200 @ $12.17 | $2K | +40.0% of holding | +7.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 700 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-08 | BARTON WILLIAM G | director | Purchase | 22,150 @ $13.56 | $300K | ownership Δ n/a | −8.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 22,150 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-13 | Kilgallon John Thomas | director | Sale | 2,917,500 @ $15.94 | $46.5M | −3.0% of holding | −25.4% | −22.6% | 95,370,751 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-02-13 | BAIN CAPITAL INVESTORS LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 2,917,500 @ $15.94 | $46.5M | −3.0% of holding | −25.4% | −22.6% | 95,370,751 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-02-13 | Davis Jennifer Lynn | director | Sale | 2,917,500 @ $15.94 | $46.5M | −3.0% of holding | −25.4% | −22.6% | 95,370,751 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-02-06 | Moeller Stephen | officer | Purchase | 15,000 @ $17.00 | $255K | ownership Δ n/a | +11.7% | −0.9% | 15,000 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-02-06 | Williams Scott K | director | Purchase | 12,000 @ $17.00 | $204K | ownership Δ n/a | +11.7% | −0.9% | 12,000 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-02-06 | Lang Trevor | director | Purchase | 1,845 @ $17.00 | $31K | ownership Δ n/a | +11.7% | −0.9% | 1,845 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-02-06 | Schaffer Ryan Gregory | officer | Purchase | 1,250 @ $17.00 | $21K | ownership Δ n/a | +11.7% | −0.9% | 1,250 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-02-06 | Carbone Barbara | director | Purchase | 1,200 @ $17.00 | $20K | ownership Δ n/a | +11.7% | −0.9% | 1,200 | Form 4 · filed same day |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
14 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-18 | Moeller Stephen | officer | Option exercise | 30,000 | 45,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-18 | Moeller Stephen | officer | Option exercise | 30,000 | 164,473 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-25 | Glaser Carol | officer | Option exercise | 25,000 | 273,069 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-25 | Glaser Carol | officer | Option exercise | 25,000 | 156,613 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-17 | Glaser Carol | officer | Option exercise | 10,000 | 248,069 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-17 | Glaser Carol | officer | Option exercise | 10,000 | 181,613 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-12 | BARTON WILLIAM G | director | Award / grant | 138,471 | 138,471 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-12 | Aamir Mir M | director | Award / grant | 4,062 | 4,062 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-12 | Williams Scott K | director | Award / grant | 5,078 | 5,078 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-12 | Glaser Carol | officer | Award / grant | 20,594 | 20,594 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-12 | Davies Patricia | officer | Award / grant | 10,595 | 10,595 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-12 | Nesle Stephen | officer | Award / grant | 11,015 | 11,015 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-12 | Kang Soyoung | director | Award / grant | 4,062 | 4,062 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-12 | Schaffer Ryan Gregory | officer | Award / grant | 9,023 | 9,023 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.