Issued 2026-09-16 at $127.50 · now $127.50 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, BMI has typically landed between $110.60 and $146.34 — a range of −13.3% to +14.8% from the issuance price $127.50.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($127.50) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where BMI has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $127.5 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $127.5 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $128.03 (+0.4%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $121.29–$134.78
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $110.6–$146.34
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2008-09-26 | −59.5% | −59.5% | +0.0% |
| 2008-09-25 | −54.7% | −54.7% | +1.1% |
| 2008-09-29 | −52.6% | −57.7% | +3.7% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2008-10-27 | +48.4% | +0.0% | +48.4% |
| 2008-10-28 | +41.7% | +0.0% | +41.7% |
| 2008-11-06 | +38.3% | −1.6% | +39.3% |
5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | Callahan Edward F. | officer | Purchase | 751 @ $135.25 | $102K | +63.3% of holding | +0.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,937 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-23 | Wrocklage Robert | officer | Purchase | 1,000 @ $122.35 | $122K | +4.5% of holding | −2.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 23,321 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-04-21 | Bockhorst Kenneth | director | Purchase | 2,200 @ $117.53 | $259K | +4.4% of holding | −7.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 51,676 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-04-21 | Htwe Richard | officer | Purchase | 1,700 @ $116.13 | $197K | +28.8% of holding | −7.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 7,603 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-21 | Callahan Edward F. | officer | Purchase | 858 @ $116.30 | $100K | +261.6% of holding | −7.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,186 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-21 | Tarantino Christina M. | officer | Purchase | 870 @ $113.80 | $99K | +93.4% of holding | −7.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,801 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-06 | Stoll Kimberly K | officer | Sale | 143 @ $144.50 | $21K | −3.9% of holding | +3.8% | −25.8% | 3,523 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-04 | Begale Fred J | officer | Sale | 2,064 @ $150.00 | $310K | −40.4% of holding | +9.1% | −23.0% | 3,040 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-03 | Stoll Kimberly K | officer | Sale | 1,634 @ $149.01 | $243K | −33.4% of holding | +7.1% | −23.4% | 3,256 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-27 | Stoll Kimberly K | officer | Sale | 148 @ $150.38 | $22K | −2.9% of holding | +4.8% | −23.5% | 4,890 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-10 | Bockhorst Kenneth | director | Purchase | 3,300 @ $152.42 | $503K | +9.0% of holding | −1.7% | −23.6% | 40,013 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-09 | Wrocklage Robert | officer | Purchase | 1,650 @ $152.35 | $251K | +9.2% of holding | +0.3% | −21.0% | 19,541 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-05 | Bockhorst Kenneth | director | Sale | 16,073 @ $209.74 | $3.4M | −31.5% of holding | −4.3% | −24.5% | 34,961 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-05 | Stoll Kimberly K | officer | Sale | 1,376 @ $209.74 | $289K | −30.0% of holding | −4.3% | −24.5% | 3,217 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-05 | BERGUM WILLIAM R A | officer | Sale | 1,147 @ $209.74 | $241K | −8.3% of holding | −4.3% | −24.5% | 12,709 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-05 | Bauer Karen M. | officer | Sale | 1,147 @ $209.74 | $241K | −18.4% of holding | −4.3% | −24.5% | 5,076 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-05 | Begale Fred J | officer | Sale | 936 @ $209.74 | $196K | −31.1% of holding | −4.3% | −24.5% | 2,072 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-04 | Bockhorst Kenneth | director | Sale | 1,586 @ $209.50 | $332K | −3.0% of holding | −4.8% | −25.3% | 51,034 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-04 | Stoll Kimberly K | officer | Sale | 243 @ $209.50 | $51K | −5.0% of holding | −4.8% | −25.3% | 4,593 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-04 | Bauer Karen M. | officer | Sale | 208 @ $209.50 | $44K | −3.2% of holding | −4.8% | −25.3% | 6,223 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-04 | BERGUM WILLIAM R A | officer | Sale | 195 @ $209.50 | $41K | −1.4% of holding | −4.8% | −25.3% | 13,856 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-03-03 | Bockhorst Kenneth | director | Sale | 1,165 @ $212.13 | $247K | −2.2% of holding | −4.5% | −23.7% | 52,620 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-03 | Stoll Kimberly K | officer | Sale | 148 @ $212.13 | $31K | −3.0% of holding | −4.5% | −23.7% | 4,836 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-03 | BERGUM WILLIAM R A | officer | Sale | 148 @ $212.13 | $31K | −1.0% of holding | −4.5% | −23.7% | 14,051 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-03 | Bauer Karen M. | officer | Sale | 127 @ $212.13 | $27K | −1.9% of holding | −4.5% | −23.7% | 6,431 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-28 | BERGUM WILLIAM R A | officer | Sale | 2,416 @ $210.33 | $508K | −14.5% of holding | −4.0% | −21.9% | 14,199 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
164 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-01 | ADAMS TODD A. | director | Award / grant | 128 | 17,201 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Liu Xia | director | Award / grant | 128 | 4,653 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-01 | Liu Xia | director | Award / grant | 131 | 4,525 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-27 | TELLOCK GLEN E | director | Award / grant | 952 | 8,551 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-27 | Myers Tessa M. | director | Award / grant | 952 | 5,913 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-27 | Brooks Henry F | director | Award / grant | 952 | 3,237 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-27 | Cook Melanie K. | director | Award / grant | 952 | 3,237 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-27 | STERN JAMES F | director | Award / grant | 952 | 8,551 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-27 | Liu Xia | director | Award / grant | 952 | 4,393 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-27 | McGill James W | director | Award / grant | 952 | 4,893 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-27 | ADAMS TODD A. | director | Award / grant | 952 | 17,072 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-21 | BERGUM WILLIAM R A | officer | Discretionary | 1,414 | 13,365 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Liu Xia | director | Award / grant | 125 | 3,441 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | ADAMS TODD A. | director | Award / grant | 125 | 16,120 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-06 | Bockhorst Kenneth | director | Withheld for tax | 450 | 49,476 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-06 | Wrocklage Robert | officer | Withheld for tax | 210 | 21,009 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-06 | Hopkins Sheryl | officer | Withheld for tax | 46 | 5,301 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-06 | BERGUM WILLIAM R A | officer | Withheld for tax | 46 | 15,190 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-06 | Htwe Richard | officer | Withheld for tax | 41 | 5,534 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-06 | Weltzien Daniel R | officer | Withheld for tax | 41 | 5,452 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-06 | Begale Fred J | officer | Withheld for tax | 36 | 3,004 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-06 | Callahan Edward F. | officer | Award / grant | 328 | 328 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-06 | Stuyvenberg Matthew L | officer | Award / grant | 451 | 6,428 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-06 | Stoll Kimberly K | officer | Award / grant | 410 | 3,666 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-06 | Wrocklage Robert | officer | Award / grant | 1,312 | 22,321 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-06 | Weltzien Daniel R | officer | Award / grant | 738 | 6,190 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-06 | Wrocklage Robert | officer | Award / grant | 1,312 | 22,321 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-06 | Weltzien Daniel R | officer | Award / grant | 738 | 6,190 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-06 | Tarantino Christina M. | officer | Award / grant | 246 | 931 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-06 | Stoll Kimberly K | officer | Award / grant | 410 | 3,666 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-06 | BERGUM WILLIAM R A | officer | Award / grant | 369 | 15,236 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-06 | Stuyvenberg Matthew L | officer | Award / grant | 451 | 6,428 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-06 | Hopkins Sheryl | officer | Award / grant | 369 | 5,670 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-06 | Htwe Richard | officer | Award / grant | 369 | 5,903 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-06 | BERGUM WILLIAM R A | officer | Award / grant | 369 | 15,236 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-06 | Hopkins Sheryl | officer | Award / grant | 369 | 5,670 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-06 | Htwe Richard | officer | Award / grant | 369 | 5,903 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-06 | Tarantino Christina M. | officer | Award / grant | 246 | 931 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-06 | Callahan Edward F. | officer | Award / grant | 328 | 328 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-04 | Begale Fred J | officer | Option exercise | 2,064 | 5,104 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.