BLZE · TickerCove

BLZEBackblaze, Inc.Technology · Software - Infrastructureas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $13.11 · now $13.11 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, BLZE has typically landed between $9.23 and $19.03 — a range of −29.6% to +45.2% from the issuance price $13.11.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

1,193 overlapping 1 month windows · 2021-11-11 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($13.11) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$13.11 · 57% of range

$3.31 low$20.43 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

−2.6%

typical move · IQR 29.3%

−29.6%worst (p90)+45.2%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where BLZE has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $13.11 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $13.11 (+0.0%)
typical $12.76 (-2.6%)
middle 50% $10.85–$14.68
90% range $9.23–$19.03

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,193 windows spanning 2021-11-11 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2025-10-23	−58.9%	−58.9%	+2.1%
2025-10-28	−56.7%	−59.7%	+0.0%
2025-10-24	−56.3%	−58.6%	+2.7%
3 best
2026-06-09	+138.5%	+0.0%	+141.6%
2026-06-08	+134.6%	−2.9%	+134.6%
2026-06-10	+118.8%	+0.0%	+140.9%

1,193 overlapping windows · 2021-11-11 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~5 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

60%

+0.1%

n=5

Feb

40%

−3.1%

n=5

Mar

−10.8%

n=5

Apr

20%

−4.5%

n=5

May

60%

+11.3%

n=5

Jun

60%

+14.9%

n=5

Jul

60%

+2.6%

n=5

Aug

80%

+18.1%

n=5

Sep

40%

−4.3%

n=5

Oct

50%

+3.3%

n=4

Nov

25%

−7.5%

n=4

Dec

40%

+2.4%

n=5

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-21	Budman Gleb	director	Sale	12,855 @ $15.82	$203K	−0.6% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	2,192,103	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-08-21	Suidan Marc	officer	Sale	2,110 @ $15.82	$33K	−0.6% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	349,518	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-03-03	Cessna Tina	officer	Sale	3,778 @ $6.58	$25K	−2.7% of holding	−14.4%	+25.9%	138,062	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-02-28	Budman Gleb	director	Sale	3,499 @ $6.30	$22K	−0.2% of holding	−20.6%	+18.5%	1,863,857	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-02-28	Suidan Marc	officer	Sale	2,413 @ $6.30	$15K	−0.8% of holding	−20.6%	+18.5%	305,791	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-02-28	Cessna Tina	officer	Sale	714 @ $6.30	$4K	−0.5% of holding	−20.6%	+18.5%	141,840	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-02-27	Budman Gleb	director	Sale	2,863 @ $6.61	$19K	−0.2% of holding	−18.3%	+18.5%	1,867,356	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-02-27	Suidan Marc	officer	Sale	1,974 @ $6.61	$13K	−0.6% of holding	−18.3%	+18.5%	308,204	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-02-27	Cessna Tina	officer	Sale	584 @ $6.61	$4K	−0.4% of holding	−18.3%	+18.5%	142,554	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

40 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-20	Budman Gleb	director	Disposition	11,083	2,204,958	Form 4
2026-08-20	Suidan Marc	officer	Disposition	11,083	351,628	Form 4
2026-05-26	Carter Miller Jocelyn	director	Award / grant	19,306	122,862	Form 4
2026-05-26	D An Evelyn	director	Award / grant	19,306	118,307	Form 4
2026-05-26	FRY EARL E	director	Award / grant	19,306	118,307	Form 4
2026-05-26	NELSON BARBARA H	director	Award / grant	19,306	106,862	Form 4
2026-05-20	Suidan Marc	officer	Disposition	18,000	362,711	Form 4
2026-05-20	Budman Gleb	director	Disposition	18,000	2,215,962	Form 4
2026-05-20	Budman Gleb	director	Withheld for tax	13,256	2,233,962	Form 4
2026-05-20	Suidan Marc	officer	Withheld for tax	269	380,711	Form 4
2026-05-19	Suidan Marc	officer	Award / grant	2,500	380,980	Form 4
2026-05-14	Budman Gleb	director	Withheld for tax	3,833	2,247,218	Form 4
2026-05-14	Suidan Marc	officer	Withheld for tax	2,555	378,480	Form 4
2026-04-01	Suidan Marc	officer	Award / grant	85,470	381,035	Form 4
2026-04-01	Budman Gleb	director	Award / grant	128,205	2,251,051	Form 4
2026-03-10	Spraggins Daniel	officer	Award / grant	234,220	234,220	Form 4
2026-02-27	Budman Gleb	director	Withheld for tax	26,767	2,122,846	Form 4
2026-02-27	Suidan Marc	officer	Withheld for tax	15,106	295,565	Form 4
2026-02-27	Suidan Marc	officer	Award / grant	41,144	310,671	Form 4
2026-02-27	Budman Gleb	director	Award / grant	74,602	2,149,613	Form 4
2026-02-20	Budman Gleb	director	Withheld for tax	21,002	2,075,011	Form 4
2026-02-20	Suidan Marc	officer	Withheld for tax	7,721	269,527	Form 4
2025-11-20	Budman Gleb	director	Withheld for tax	27,793	2,096,013	Form 4
2025-11-20	Suidan Marc	officer	Withheld for tax	6,708	274,748	Form 4
2025-08-20	Suidan Marc	officer	Withheld for tax	26,835	281,456	Form 4
2025-08-20	Budman Gleb	director	Withheld for tax	20,468	2,123,806	Form 4
2025-08-20	Cessna Tina	officer	Withheld for tax	6,428	184,776	Form 4
2025-05-27	D An Evelyn	director	Award / grant	25,210	99,001	Form 4
2025-05-27	NELSON BARBARA H	director	Award / grant	25,210	87,556	Form 4
2025-05-27	FRY EARL E	director	Award / grant	25,210	99,001	Form 4
2025-05-27	Carter-Miller Jocelyn	director	Award / grant	25,210	103,556	Form 4
2025-05-20	Budman Gleb	director	Withheld for tax	19,583	2,144,274	Form 4
2025-05-20	Cessna Tina	officer	Withheld for tax	6,858	191,204	Form 4
2025-03-05	Budman Gleb	director	Award / grant	300,000	2,163,857	Form 4
2025-03-05	Cessna Tina	officer	Award / grant	60,000	198,062	Form 4
2025-02-26	Budman Gleb	director	Award / grant	16,947	1,870,219	Form 4
2025-02-26	Suidan Marc	officer	Award / grant	10,178	310,178	Form 4
2025-02-26	Cessna Tina	officer	Award / grant	5,076	143,138	Form 4
2025-02-20	Budman Gleb	director	Withheld for tax	11,374	1,853,272	Form 4
2025-02-20	Cessna Tina	officer	Withheld for tax	6,504	138,062	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i