Issued 2026-09-16 at $1.33 · now $1.33 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, BLND has typically landed between $0.89 and $1.83 — a range of −32.8% to +37.8% from the issuance price $1.33.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
1,277 overlapping 1 month windows · 2021-07-16 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($1.33) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where BLND has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $1.33 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $1.33 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $1.29 (-2.8%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $1.11–$1.48
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $0.8933–$1.83
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,277 windows spanning 2021-07-16 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2023-02-16 | −54.2% | −54.2% | +0.0% |
| 2023-02-15 | −51.0% | −51.0% | +0.0% |
| 2023-02-21 | −48.9% | −51.1% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2023-11-27 | +111.7% | −0.8% | +111.7% |
| 2023-11-30 | +100.0% | +0.0% | +113.4% |
| 2023-11-28 | +97.0% | −5.2% | +102.2% |
1,277 overlapping windows · 2021-07-16 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~6 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
60%
+0.1%
n=5
Feb
20%
−10.4%
n=5
Mar
60%
−6.4%
n=5
Apr
0%
−20.7%
n=5
May
80%
+17.9%
n=5
Jun
0%
−12.6%
n=5
Jul
100%
+14.6%
n=5
Aug
50%
+4.3%
n=6
Sep
50%
−6.6%
n=6
Oct
40%
−0.6%
n=5
Nov
40%
−5.5%
n=5
Dec
40%
+10.5%
n=5
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Ghamsari Nima | director | Sale | 17,731 @ $1.43 | $25K | −0.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 7,871,370 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-11 | Venkatramani Srinivasan | officer | Sale | 74,705 @ $1.43 | $107K | −24.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 236,563 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-17 | Tkach Oxana | officer | Sale | 21,209 @ $1.45 | $31K | −18.1% of holding | −7.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 96,238 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-17 | Haveli Investments, L.P. | director | Purchase | 17,397 @ $1.44 | $25K | +0.1% of holding | −7.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 18,711,054 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-05 | Thomson Matthew Christopher | officer | Sale | 15,041 @ $2.00 | $30K | −20.0% of holding | −25.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 60,162 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-15 | Haveli Investments, L.P. | director | Purchase | 650,000 @ $1.72 | $1.1M | +3.6% of holding | +6.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 18,693,657 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-12 | Haveli Investments, L.P. | director | Purchase | 256,928 @ $1.70 | $436K | +1.4% of holding | −0.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 18,043,657 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-11 | Haveli Investments, L.P. | director | Purchase | 250,000 @ $1.74 | $435K | +1.4% of holding | −0.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 17,786,729 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-10 | Haveli Investments, L.P. | director | Purchase | 723,460 @ $1.67 | $1.2M | +4.3% of holding | +1.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 17,536,729 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-09 | Haveli Investments, L.P. | director | Purchase | 178,677 @ $1.70 | $304K | +1.1% of holding | −2.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 16,813,269 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-08 | Haveli Investments, L.P. | director | Purchase | 216,798 @ $1.70 | $368K | +1.3% of holding | −2.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 16,634,592 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-05 | Haveli Investments, L.P. | director | Purchase | 28,299 @ $1.60 | $45K | +0.2% of holding | +8.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 16,417,794 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-03 | Haveli Investments, L.P. | director | Purchase | 240,307 @ $1.56 | $376K | +1.5% of holding | +15.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 16,389,495 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-27 | Haveli Investments, L.P. | director | Purchase | 1,600 @ $1.49 | $2K | +0.0% of holding | +13.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 16,149,188 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-26 | Haveli Investments, L.P. | director | Purchase | 243,805 @ $1.46 | $356K | +1.5% of holding | +12.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 16,147,588 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-22 | Haveli Investments, L.P. | director | Purchase | 798,223 @ $1.48 | $1.2M | +5.3% of holding | +17.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 15,903,783 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-22 | Tkach Oxana | officer | Sale | 5,625 @ $1.57 | $9K | −4.6% of holding | +17.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 117,447 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-21 | Haveli Investments, L.P. | director | Purchase | 8,117 @ $1.50 | $12K | +0.1% of holding | +10.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 15,105,560 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-20 | Haveli Investments, L.P. | director | Purchase | 185,611 @ $1.50 | $278K | +1.2% of holding | +9.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 15,097,443 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-19 | Haveli Investments, L.P. | director | Purchase | 583,450 @ $1.49 | $868K | +4.1% of holding | +9.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 14,911,832 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-18 | Haveli Investments, L.P. | director | Purchase | 2,177 @ $1.47 | $3K | +0.0% of holding | +0.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 14,328,382 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-15 | Haveli Investments, L.P. | director | Purchase | 525,697 @ $1.45 | $761K | +3.8% of holding | +20.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 14,326,205 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-14 | Haveli Investments, L.P. | director | Purchase | 1,000,000 @ $1.33 | $1.3M | +7.8% of holding | +20.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 13,800,508 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-13 | Haveli Investments, L.P. | director | Purchase | 1,296,924 @ $1.44 | $1.9M | +11.3% of holding | +15.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 12,800,508 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-12 | Haveli Investments, L.P. | director | Purchase | 258,796 @ $1.41 | $366K | +2.3% of holding | +24.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 11,503,584 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-11 | Haveli Investments, L.P. | director | Purchase | 395,915 @ $1.41 | $557K | +3.6% of holding | +17.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 11,244,788 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-24 | Tkach Oxana | officer | Sale | 5,625 @ $1.59 | $9K | −5.5% of holding | +10.9% | −21.8% | 96,238 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-15 | Kneafsey Brian | officer | Sale | 25,000 @ $3.06 | $76K | −3.7% of holding | −40.4% | −48.6% | 649,824 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-07 | Tkach Oxana | officer | Sale | 2,500 @ $3.09 | $8K | −3.1% of holding | −36.4% | −55.6% | 77,017 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-15 | Kneafsey Brian | officer | Sale | 25,000 @ $3.06 | $76K | −3.6% of holding | −1.7% | −57.0% | 674,824 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-03 | Haveli Investments, L.P. | director | Purchase | 533,888 @ $3.09 | $1.6M | +5.2% of holding | +1.4% | −56.2% | 10,848,873 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-12-02 | Haveli Investments, L.P. | director | Purchase | 345,404 @ $3.09 | $1.1M | +3.5% of holding | −3.4% | −56.4% | 10,314,985 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-01 | Haveli Investments, L.P. | director | Purchase | 430,531 @ $3.14 | $1.4M | +4.5% of holding | −3.7% | −60.9% | 9,969,581 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-26 | Haveli Investments, L.P. | director | Purchase | 15,090 @ $3.10 | $47K | +0.2% of holding | −4.4% | −56.6% | 9,539,050 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-11-24 | Haveli Investments, L.P. | director | Purchase | 54,844 @ $3.05 | $167K | +0.6% of holding | −5.2% | −57.3% | 9,523,960 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-19 | Haveli Investments, L.P. | director | Purchase | 1,088,738 @ $3.03 | $3.3M | +13.0% of holding | −1.4% | −64.8% | 9,469,116 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-18 | Haveli Investments, L.P. | director | Purchase | 293,459 @ $3.05 | $894K | +3.6% of holding | −2.2% | −63.3% | 8,380,378 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-17 | Haveli Investments, L.P. | director | Purchase | 796,753 @ $2.99 | $2.4M | +10.9% of holding | +0.5% | −60.8% | 8,086,919 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-11-17 | Kneafsey Brian | officer | Sale | 25,000 @ $2.99 | $75K | −3.6% of holding | +0.5% | −60.8% | 662,909 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-14 | Haveli Investments, L.P. | director | Purchase | 704,259 @ $3.00 | $2.1M | +10.7% of holding | +0.3% | −60.5% | 7,290,166 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-13 | Haveli Investments, L.P. | director | Purchase | 653,936 @ $3.09 | $2.0M | +11.0% of holding | −3.9% | −59.7% | 6,585,907 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-12 | Haveli Investments, L.P. | director | Purchase | 953,634 @ $3.05 | $2.9M | +19.2% of holding | +2.5% | −61.4% | 5,931,971 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-11-11 | Haveli Investments, L.P. | director | Purchase | 600,308 @ $3.00 | $1.8M | +13.7% of holding | +10.1% | −63.8% | 4,978,337 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-10 | Haveli Investments, L.P. | director | Purchase | 701,110 @ $2.98 | $2.1M | +19.1% of holding | +9.4% | −60.9% | 4,378,029 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-20 | Ling Winnie | officer | Sale | 4,000 @ $3.50 | $14K | −1.0% of holding | −8.9% | −59.6% | 380,631 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-15 | Kneafsey Brian | officer | Sale | 25,000 @ $3.34 | $84K | −3.5% of holding | −5.9% | −59.4% | 687,909 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-02 | Ling Winnie | officer | Sale | 4,000 @ $3.58 | $14K | −1.0% of holding | −6.5% | −43.4% | 384,631 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-18 | Ling Winnie | officer | Sale | 6,500 @ $4.30 | $28K | −1.6% of holding | −21.7% | −59.8% | 388,631 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-09-15 | Kneafsey Brian | officer | Sale | 25,000 @ $4.36 | $109K | −3.4% of holding | −21.7% | −66.7% | 712,909 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-09-05 | Tkach Oxana | officer | Sale | 101,429 @ $4.00 | $406K | −65.8% of holding | −19.9% | −64.0% | 52,780 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-05 | Woersching Eric H. | director | Sale | 20,000 @ $4.00 | $80K | −40.0% of holding | −19.9% | −64.0% | 30,000 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-05 | Ling Winnie | officer | Sale | 17,500 @ $4.00 | $70K | −4.2% of holding | −19.9% | −64.0% | 395,131 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-04 | Ling Winnie | officer | Sale | 4,000 @ $3.51 | $14K | −1.0% of holding | −11.1% | −59.0% | 412,631 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-22 | Ling Winnie | officer | Sale | 4,000 @ $3.50 | $14K | −1.0% of holding | +3.7% | −62.6% | 416,631 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-08-20 | Haveli Investments, L.P. | director | Purchase | 222,449 @ $2.96 | $658K | +6.4% of holding | +28.6% | −51.6% | 3,676,919 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-08-19 | Haveli Investments, L.P. | director | Purchase | 292,643 @ $3.00 | $878K | +9.3% of holding | +36.4% | −50.5% | 3,454,470 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-18 | Haveli Investments, L.P. | director | Purchase | 38,585 @ $2.97 | $115K | +1.2% of holding | +36.9% | −49.9% | 3,161,827 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-15 | Kneafsey Brian | officer | Sale | 25,000 @ $2.87 | $72K | −3.5% of holding | +45.0% | −44.4% | 696,598 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-14 | Ghamsari Nima | director | Sale | 311,886 @ $2.90 | $904K | −5.1% of holding | +45.8% | −46.5% | 5,754,051 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-07 | Ling Winnie | officer | Sale | 4,000 @ $3.62 | $14K | −1.1% of holding | +19.8% | −54.1% | 372,018 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
229 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Ghamsari Nima | director | Withheld for tax | 241,701 | 7,889,101 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Ream Jason | officer | Withheld for tax | 133,926 | 416,074 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Venkatramani Srinivasan | officer | Withheld for tax | 29,372 | 311,268 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Ling Winnie | officer | Withheld for tax | 25,385 | 530,107 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Thomson Matthew Christopher | officer | Withheld for tax | 24,350 | 135,812 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Tkach Oxana | officer | Withheld for tax | 10,667 | 123,071 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Ghamsari Nima | director | Option exercise | 375,000 | 1,500,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Ghamsari Nima | director | Option exercise | 125,000 | 250,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Thomson Matthew Christopher | officer | Option exercise | 100,000 | 1,400,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Ream Jason | officer | Option exercise | 550,000 | 1,650,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Ling Winnie | officer | Option exercise | 39,164 | 195,820 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Ling Winnie | officer | Option exercise | 31,250 | 62,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Tkach Oxana | officer | Option exercise | 12,500 | 25,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Tkach Oxana | officer | Option exercise | 25,000 | 100,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Ghamsari Nima | director | Option exercise | 114,229 | 571,145 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Venkatramani Srinivasan | officer | Option exercise | 81,250 | 812,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Ghamsari Nima | director | Option exercise | 125,000 | 8,016,573 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Ghamsari Nima | director | Option exercise | 375,000 | 7,891,573 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Ream Jason | officer | Option exercise | 550,000 | 550,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Tkach Oxana | officer | Option exercise | 25,000 | 121,238 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Tkach Oxana | officer | Option exercise | 12,500 | 133,738 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Venkatramani Srinivasan | officer | Option exercise | 81,250 | 340,640 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Tkach Oxana | officer | Option exercise | 12,500 | 133,738 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Tkach Oxana | officer | Option exercise | 25,000 | 121,238 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Thomson Matthew Christopher | officer | Option exercise | 100,000 | 160,162 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Ream Jason | officer | Option exercise | 550,000 | 550,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Ling Winnie | officer | Option exercise | 39,164 | 555,492 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Ling Winnie | officer | Option exercise | 31,250 | 516,328 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Ghamsari Nima | director | Option exercise | 114,229 | 8,130,802 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Ghamsari Nima | director | Option exercise | 125,000 | 8,016,573 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Ghamsari Nima | director | Option exercise | 375,000 | 7,891,573 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Thomson Matthew Christopher | officer | Option exercise | 100,000 | 160,162 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Venkatramani Srinivasan | officer | Option exercise | 81,250 | 340,640 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Tkach Oxana | officer | Option exercise | 12,500 | 133,738 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Tkach Oxana | officer | Option exercise | 25,000 | 121,238 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Ling Winnie | officer | Option exercise | 39,164 | 555,492 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Ling Winnie | officer | Option exercise | 31,250 | 516,328 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Ghamsari Nima | director | Option exercise | 114,229 | 8,130,802 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Ghamsari Nima | director | Option exercise | 125,000 | 8,016,573 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Ghamsari Nima | director | Option exercise | 114,229 | 8,130,802 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.