BLCO · TickerCove

BLCOBausch + Lomb CorporationHealthcare · Medical - Instruments & Suppliesas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $17.07 · now $17.07 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, BLCO has typically landed between $14.90 and $19.62 — a range of −12.7% to +14.9% from the issuance price $17.07.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

1,073 overlapping 1 month windows · 2022-05-06 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($17.07) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$17.07 · 64% of range

$14.32 low$18.6 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

+0.4%

typical move · IQR 10.8%

−12.7%worst (p90)+14.9%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where BLCO has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $17.07 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $17.07 (+0.0%)
typical $17.14 (+0.4%)
middle 50% $16.22–$18.06
90% range $14.9–$19.62

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,073 windows spanning 2022-05-06 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2025-03-10	−30.8%	−30.8%	+0.1%
2025-03-07	−26.3%	−26.3%	+0.0%
2025-03-12	−25.7%	−27.8%	+4.4%
3 best
2024-09-13	+34.2%	+0.0%	+34.2%
2024-08-19	+24.6%	−3.1%	+24.6%
2024-09-12	+24.4%	−0.6%	+27.8%

1,073 overlapping windows · 2022-05-06 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~5 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

25%

−3.2%

n=4

Feb

75%

+5.2%

n=4

Mar

25%

−4.5%

n=4

Apr

25%

−9.0%

n=4

May

50%

+1.4%

n=4

Jun

60%

+3.2%

n=5

Jul

60%

+3.8%

n=5

Aug

60%

−0.0%

n=5

Sep

60%

+3.1%

n=5

Oct

25%

−1.9%

n=4

Nov

50%

+1.9%

n=4

Dec

75%

+2.5%

n=4

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-10	Munsch Frederick	officer	Sale	52,900 @ $16.78	$888K	−53.6% of holding	+7.1%	not yet — horizon still open	45,831	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-07	VON ESCHENBACH ANDREW C.	director	Sale	6,059 @ $16.58	$100K	−8.7% of holding	+6.6%	not yet — horizon still open	63,733	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-08-06	VON ESCHENBACH ANDREW C.	director	Sale	12,500 @ $16.50	$206K	−15.2% of holding	+10.1%	not yet — horizon still open	69,792	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-03-06	SAUNDERS BRENT L	director	Purchase	14,700 @ $17.14	$252K	+1.5% of holding	−5.0%	−9.4%	966,575	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-03-06	Bailey A Robert D	officer	Purchase	14,600 @ $17.15	$250K	+6.7% of holding	−5.0%	−9.4%	231,890	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-03-06	Eldessouky Sam	director	Purchase	4,000 @ $17.13	$69K	+1.0% of holding	−5.0%	−9.4%	403,130	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-03-03	Ross Thomas W. Sr.	director	Purchase	4,500 @ $17.68	$80K	+7.5% of holding	−3.8%	−13.1%	64,891	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-02	Alfonso Eduardo	director	Purchase	4,300 @ $17.90	$77K	+81.8% of holding	−8.6%	−17.4%	9,555	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-27	VON ESCHENBACH ANDREW C.	director	Purchase	4,364 @ $18.30	$80K	+7.0% of holding	−9.0%	−19.0%	66,450	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-23	COLLIS STEVEN H	director	Purchase	15,000 @ $17.81	$267K	+285.4% of holding	−8.7%	−16.2%	20,255	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-20	ROBERTSON RUSSEL C	director	Purchase	4,400 @ $17.90	$79K	+6.5% of holding	−7.0%	−15.6%	72,407	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-19	Ling Karen	director	Purchase	4,000 @ $17.74	$71K	+10.6% of holding	−5.9%	−14.6%	41,676	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-05-22	SAUNDERS BRENT L	director	Purchase	22,000 @ $11.28	$248K	+3.2% of holding	+2.7%	+16.9%	719,156	Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-05-02	VON ESCHENBACH ANDREW C.	director	Purchase	1,695 @ $11.76	$20K	+4.2% of holding	−5.2%	+8.9%	41,748	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

127 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-12	Trebbi Barbara	director	Award / grant	11,776	11,776	Form 4
2026-08-12	Chersi Robert J	director	Award / grant	11,776	11,776	Form 4
2026-08-12	PAUL LAURENCE E	director	Award / grant	11,776	11,776	Form 4
2026-08-05	SAUNDERS BRENT L	director	Withheld for tax	4,231	974,158	Form 4
2026-08-05	Hashad Yehia	director	Award / grant	20,973	187,350	Form 4
2026-08-05	Munsch Frederick	officer	Award / grant	9,091	98,731	Form 4
2026-08-05	Stewart Andrew J.	officer	Award / grant	16,778	103,211	Form 4
2026-08-05	Eldessouky Sam	director	Award / grant	50,335	393,527	Form 4
2026-08-05	Bailey A Robert D	officer	Award / grant	33,557	264,241	Form 4
2026-08-05	SAUNDERS BRENT L	director	Award / grant	281,879	1,256,037	Form 4
2026-08-05	Bonnefoy Luc	officer	Award / grant	16,778	103,801	Form 4
2026-06-12	Bonnefoy Luc	officer	Withheld for tax	1,008	87,023	Form 4
2026-05-26	KAVANAGH SARAH B	director	Award / grant	15,842	69,541	Form 4
2026-05-26	Alfonso Eduardo	director	Award / grant	15,842	31,072	Form 4
2026-05-26	Bernier Nathalie D.	director	Award / grant	15,842	85,505	Form 4
2026-05-26	COLLIS STEVEN H	director	Award / grant	15,842	42,003	Form 4
2026-05-26	Ling Karen	director	Award / grant	15,842	61,518	Form 4
2026-05-26	Paulson John	director	Award / grant	15,842	89,823	Form 4
2026-05-26	ROBERTSON RUSSEL C	director	Award / grant	15,842	94,260	Form 4
2026-05-26	Ross Thomas W. Sr.	director	Award / grant	15,842	85,233	Form 4
2026-05-26	VON ESCHENBACH ANDREW C.	director	Award / grant	15,842	86,656	Form 4
2026-05-22	SAUNDERS BRENT L	director	Withheld for tax	2,886	978,389	Form 4
2026-05-05	Eldessouky Sam	director	Withheld for tax	63,938	343,192	Form 4
2026-05-05	Hashad Yehia	director	Withheld for tax	13,664	166,377	Form 4
2026-05-05	Bonnefoy Luc	officer	Withheld for tax	11,970	88,031	Form 4
2026-05-05	Munsch Frederick	officer	Withheld for tax	8,673	89,640	Form 4
2026-04-30	ROBERTSON RUSSEL C	director	Award / grant	1,611	78,418	Form 4
2026-04-30	COLLIS STEVEN H	director	Award / grant	1,415	26,161	Form 4
2026-04-30	Alfonso Eduardo	director	Award / grant	1,375	15,230	Form 4
2026-04-30	Paulson John	director	Award / grant	1,375	73,981	Form 4
2026-04-24	Bailey A Robert D	officer	Withheld for tax	15,806	230,684	Form 4
2026-04-24	Stewart Andrew J.	officer	Withheld for tax	4,216	86,433	Form 4
2026-03-06	Eldessouky Sam	director	Award / grant	4,000	407,130	Form 4
2026-03-06	Bailey A Robert D	officer	Award / grant	14,600	246,490	Form 4
2026-03-06	SAUNDERS BRENT L	director	Award / grant	14,700	981,275	Form 4
2026-03-03	Ross Thomas W. Sr.	director	Award / grant	4,500	69,391	Form 4
2026-03-02	Alfonso Eduardo	director	Award / grant	4,300	13,855	Form 4
2026-02-27	Eldessouky Sam	director	Withheld for tax	51,470	399,130	Form 4
2026-02-27	SAUNDERS BRENT L	director	Withheld for tax	24,649	951,875	Form 4
2026-02-27	Eldessouky Sam	director	Withheld for tax	15,507	450,600	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i