BL · TickerCove

BLBlackLine, Inc.Technology · Software - Applicationas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $28.16 · now $28.16 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, BL has typically landed between $22.56 and $32.48 — a range of −19.9% to +15.3% from the issuance price $28.16.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

2,462 overlapping 1 month windows · 2016-10-28 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($28.16) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$28.16 · 9% of range

$25.23 low$58.83 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

−1.4%

typical move · IQR 14.8%

−19.9%worst (p90)+15.3%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where BL has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $28.16 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $28.16 (+0.0%)
typical $27.76 (-1.4%)
middle 50% $25.67–$29.84
90% range $22.56–$32.48

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 2,462 windows spanning 2016-10-28 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2026-01-26	−39.8%	−40.4%	+0.0%
2026-01-23	−38.7%	−38.7%	+2.7%
2026-01-22	−38.7%	−38.7%	+2.8%
3 best
2022-05-11	+40.5%	+0.0%	+51.2%
2022-05-09	+40.0%	−5.6%	+42.8%
2022-05-10	+38.7%	−3.6%	+45.7%

2,462 overlapping windows · 2016-10-28 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~10 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

50%

+1.0%

n=10

Feb

40%

−2.9%

n=10

Mar

40%

−3.2%

n=10

Apr

50%

−0.5%

n=10

May

60%

+1.3%

n=10

Jun

80%

+2.5%

n=10

Jul

50%

+0.8%

n=10

Aug

70%

+3.3%

n=10

Sep

50%

−0.4%

n=10

Oct

56%

−1.0%

n=9

Nov

70%

+9.2%

n=10

Dec

30%

−1.2%

n=10

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-27	Stalick Michelle D	officer	Sale	780 @ $33.65	$26K	−2.2% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	34,712	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-24	Tucker Therese	director	Sale	70,000 @ $31.96	$2.2M	−15.5% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	381,557	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-05	Yamamoto Mika	director	Sale	3,000 @ $28.48	$85K	−15.2% of holding	−1.7%	not yet — horizon still open	16,692	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-06-01	Stalick Michelle D	officer	Sale	780 @ $30.93	$24K	−2.1% of holding	−4.5%	not yet — horizon still open	36,363	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-21	HUGHES GREGORY	director	Sale	1,637 @ $30.25	$50K	−17.4% of holding	−7.4%	not yet — horizon still open	7,755	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-18	Stalick Michelle D	officer	Sale	459 @ $30.25	$14K	−1.2% of holding	−10.4%	not yet — horizon still open	38,014	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-10-27	Unterman Thomas	director	Sale	910 @ $55.00	$50K	−2.1% of holding	+7.4%	−47.3%	41,835	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-22	Unterman Thomas	director	Sale	910 @ $55.00	$50K	−2.1% of holding	−2.2%	−30.1%	42,745	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-28	Unterman Thomas	director	Sale	910 @ $55.00	$50K	−2.0% of holding	−5.0%	−40.0%	43,655	Form 4 · filed 27 days after the trade
2025-08-22	Stalick Michelle D	officer	Sale	664 @ $54.03	$36K	−2.7% of holding	−2.3%	−46.9%	23,830	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-08-08	HENSHALL DAVID J	director	Purchase	10,000 @ $48.60	$486K	+156.8% of holding	+10.8%	−20.6%	16,378	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-07-21	Unterman Thomas	director	Sale	885 @ $56.70	$50K	−1.9% of holding	−9.7%	−17.0%	44,565	Form 4 · filed 65 days after the trade
2025-06-20	Unterman Thomas	director	Sale	910 @ $55.23	$50K	−2.0% of holding	−1.7%	−8.6%	45,450	Form 4 · filed 96 days after the trade
2025-05-28	Stalick Michelle D	officer	Sale	795 @ $55.14	$44K	−3.1% of holding	−2.0%	−10.6%	25,235	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-21	Woodhams Mark	officer	Sale	1,856 @ $54.65	$101K	−2.9% of holding	+1.2%	−14.9%	61,390	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-20	Unterman Thomas	director	Sale	910 @ $55.00	$50K	−1.9% of holding	−1.7%	−14.2%	46,360	Form 4 · filed 127 days after the trade
2025-05-12	Unterman Thomas	director	Sale	2,730 @ $55.00	$150K	−5.5% of holding	−0.0%	−18.4%	47,270	Form 4 · filed 135 days after the trade
2025-05-12	Stalick Michelle D	officer	Sale	400 @ $54.96	$22K	−1.4% of holding	−0.0%	−18.4%	27,565	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-21	Woodhams Mark	officer	Sale	9,088 @ $49.67	$451K	−12.2% of holding	+6.4%	+1.7%	65,414	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2024-12-12	Woodhams Mark	officer	Sale	21,242 @ $64.25	$1.4M	−21.8% of holding	−7.9%	−14.7%	76,086	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2024-12-12	Woodhams Mark	officer	Sale	3,166 @ $64.78	$205K	−4.2% of holding	−7.9%	−14.7%	72,920	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

199 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-09-02	Villanova Patrick	officer	Option exercise	750	131,812	Form 4
2026-09-02	Villanova Patrick	officer	Option exercise	750	0	Form 4
2026-08-24	Tucker Therese	director	Option exercise	70,000	424,997	Form 4
2026-08-24	Tucker Therese	director	Option exercise	26,560	451,557	Form 4
2026-08-24	Tucker Therese	director	Option exercise	26,560	0	Form 4
2026-08-24	Tucker Therese	director	Option exercise	70,000	26,560	Form 4
2026-08-20	Ryan Owen	director	Withheld for tax	2,438	390,911	Form 4
2026-08-20	Ryan Owen	director	Withheld for tax	2,235	395,376	Form 4
2026-08-20	Ryan Owen	director	Withheld for tax	2,027	393,349	Form 4
2026-08-20	Van Houten Stuart	officer	Withheld for tax	1,720	106,966	Form 4
2026-08-20	Ung Jeremy	officer	Withheld for tax	1,388	135,681	Form 4
2026-08-20	Villanova Patrick	officer	Withheld for tax	1,200	131,062	Form 4
2026-08-20	Duan Jimmy C	officer	Withheld for tax	1,190	120,658	Form 4
2026-08-20	Morgan-Prager Karole	officer	Withheld for tax	1,063	160,209	Form 4
2026-08-20	Morgan-Prager Karole	officer	Withheld for tax	884	161,272	Form 4
2026-08-20	Ung Jeremy	officer	Withheld for tax	876	134,805	Form 4
2026-08-20	Morgan-Prager Karole	officer	Withheld for tax	778	162,156	Form 4
2026-08-20	Duan Jimmy C	officer	Withheld for tax	751	119,907	Form 4
2026-08-20	Stalick Michelle D	officer	Withheld for tax	302	35,492	Form 4
2026-08-20	Villanova Patrick	officer	Withheld for tax	300	132,262	Form 4
2026-08-20	Stalick Michelle D	officer	Withheld for tax	265	35,794	Form 4
2026-08-20	Villanova Patrick	officer	Withheld for tax	260	132,562	Form 4
2026-08-20	Stalick Michelle D	officer	Withheld for tax	161	36,059	Form 4
2026-08-20	Stalick Michelle D	officer	Withheld for tax	143	36,220	Form 4
2026-05-20	Ryan Owen	director	Withheld for tax	2,438	397,611	Form 4
2026-05-20	Tucker Therese	director	Withheld for tax	2,425	354,997	Form 4
2026-05-20	Ryan Owen	director	Withheld for tax	2,234	402,076	Form 4
2026-05-20	Tucker Therese	director	Withheld for tax	2,222	359,438	Form 4
2026-05-20	Ryan Owen	director	Withheld for tax	2,027	400,049	Form 4
2026-05-20	Tucker Therese	director	Withheld for tax	2,016	357,422	Form 4
2026-05-20	Van Houten Stuart	officer	Withheld for tax	1,720	108,686	Form 4
2026-05-20	Villanova Patrick	officer	Withheld for tax	1,200	132,822	Form 4
2026-05-20	Duan Jimmy C	officer	Withheld for tax	1,190	122,599	Form 4
2026-05-20	Morgan-Prager Karole	officer	Withheld for tax	1,063	162,934	Form 4
2026-05-20	Morgan-Prager Karole	officer	Withheld for tax	884	163,997	Form 4
2026-05-20	Morgan-Prager Karole	officer	Withheld for tax	778	164,881	Form 4
2026-05-20	Duan Jimmy C	officer	Withheld for tax	751	121,848	Form 4
2026-05-20	Stalick Michelle D	officer	Withheld for tax	301	37,143	Form 4
2026-05-20	Villanova Patrick	officer	Withheld for tax	300	134,022	Form 4
2026-05-20	Stalick Michelle D	officer	Withheld for tax	266	37,444	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i