BKVBKV CorporationEnergy · Oil & Gas Exploration & Productionas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $22.79 · now $22.79 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, BKV has typically landed between $18.87 and $27.60 — a range of −17.2% to +21.1% from the issuance price $22.79.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

473 overlapping 1 month windows · 2024-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($22.79) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where BKV has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $22.79 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$18.87worst · -17.2%$27.6best · +21.1%
  • now $22.79 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $23.3 (+2.2%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $21.38–$25.22
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $18.87–$27.6
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 473 windows spanning 2024-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2025-02-04−26.0%−26.0%+3.7%
2025-02-05−25.2%−26.4%+3.1%
2025-02-06−24.5%−25.3%+4.7%
3 best
2025-10-17+38.4%+0.0%+38.4%
2025-10-16+37.1%−0.7%+37.1%
2025-04-11+35.3%+0.0%+35.3%

473 overlapping windows · 2024-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~2 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
100%
+6.3%
n=2
Feb
50%
−6.1%
n=2
Mar
50%
−2.5%
n=2
Apr
50%
−1.6%
n=2
May
50%
+1.4%
n=2
Jun
100%
+7.6%
n=2
Jul
0%
−12.5%
n=2
Aug
50%
+5.9%
n=2
Sep
0%
−3.2%
n=2
Oct
50%
+0.3%
n=2
Nov
100%
+19.4%
n=2
Dec
50%
+3.3%
n=2

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$32$202026-08-21: 2 insider sales, $357K — Hinojosa Javier, Tameron David2026-08-20: 1 insider sale, $115K — Tameron David2026-08-14: 1 insider sale, $262K — Larrick Lindsay B2026-06-01: 1 insider sale, $672K — Jacobsen Eric S2026-05-01: 1 insider sale, $774K — Jacobsen Eric S2026-03-27: 1 insider sale, $217K — Tameron David2026-03-25: 1 insider sale, $3.0M — Kalnin Christopher P2025-11-17: 1 insider sale, $2.2M — Kalnin Christopher P2025-11-14: 1 insider sale, $608K — Kalnin Christopher P2025-11-11: 1 insider sale, $2.7M — Kalnin Christopher P2025-11-10: 1 insider sale, $2.6M — Kalnin Christopher P2025-11-06: 1 insider sale, $163K — Larrick Lindsay B2025-11-05: 1 insider sale, $567K — Larrick Lindsay B2025-11-03: 1 insider sale, $234K — Larrick Lindsay B2025-10-01: 2 insider sales, $348K — Larrick Lindsay B …2025-09-02: 1 insider sale, $213K — Larrick Lindsay B2025-08-12: 1 insider sale, $216K — Larrick Lindsay B2025-08: 1 open-market sale, $216K2025-09: 1 open-market sale, $213K2025-10: 2 open-market sales, $348K2025-11: 7 open-market sales, $9.1M2026-03: 2 open-market sales, $3.2M2026-05: 1 open-market sale, $774K2026-06: 1 open-market sale, $672K2026-08: 4 open-market sales, $733K↑ buys↓ salesofficer Hinojosa Javier — Sale on 2026-08-21, filed same dayofficer Tameron David — Sale on 2026-08-21, filed same dayofficer Tameron David — Sale on 2026-08-20, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Larrick Lindsay B — Sale on 2026-08-14, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Jacobsen Eric S — Sale on 2026-06-01, filed same dayofficer Jacobsen Eric S — Sale on 2026-05-01, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Tameron David — Sale on 2026-03-27, filed same daydirector Kalnin Christopher P — Sale on 2026-03-25, filed same daydirector Kalnin Christopher P — Sale on 2025-11-17, filed same daydirector Kalnin Christopher P — Sale on 2025-11-14, filed same daydirector Kalnin Christopher P — Sale on 2025-11-11, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Kalnin Christopher P — Sale on 2025-11-10, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Larrick Lindsay B — Sale on 2025-11-06, filed same dayofficer Larrick Lindsay B — Sale on 2025-11-05, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Larrick Lindsay B — Sale on 2025-11-03, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Larrick Lindsay B — Sale on 2025-10-01, filed same dayofficer Larrick Lindsay B — Sale on 2025-10-01, filed same dayofficer Larrick Lindsay B — Sale on 2025-09-02, filed same dayofficer Larrick Lindsay B — Sale on 2025-08-12, filed same day
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-21Hinojosa JavierofficerSale12,377 @ $25.73$318K−12.8% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open84,276Form 4 · filed same day
2026-08-21Tameron DavidofficerSale1,500 @ $25.63$38K−2.6% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open57,024Form 4 · filed same day
2026-08-20Tameron DavidofficerSale4,321 @ $26.56$115K−6.9% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open58,524Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-14Larrick Lindsay BofficerSale10,000 @ $26.16$262K−10.6% of holding−6.5%not yet — horizon still open83,925Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-06-01Jacobsen Eric SofficerSale25,000 @ $26.89$672K−9.9% of holding+3.8%not yet — horizon still open227,843Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-01Jacobsen Eric SofficerSale25,000 @ $30.96$774K−9.0% of holding−20.0%not yet — horizon still open252,843Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-03-27Tameron DavidofficerSale7,300 @ $29.71$217K−10.5% of holding−11.2%not yet — horizon still open61,925Form 4 · filed same day
2026-03-25Kalnin Christopher PdirectorSale100,000 @ $30.06$3.0M−7.7% of holding−12.2%not yet — horizon still open1,197,243Form 4 · filed same day
2025-11-17Kalnin Christopher PdirectorSale78,281 @ $28.04$2.2M−5.9% of holding−7.4%−8.0%1,248,580Form 4 · filed same day
2025-11-14Kalnin Christopher PdirectorSale21,719 @ $28.00$608K−1.6% of holding−8.6%−4.3%1,326,861Form 4 · filed same day
2025-11-11Kalnin Christopher PdirectorSale100,000 @ $27.13$2.7M−6.9% of holding+5.0%−5.1%1,348,580Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-10Kalnin Christopher PdirectorSale100,000 @ $26.16$2.6M−6.5% of holding+12.2%−1.2%1,448,580Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-06Larrick Lindsay BofficerSale6,518 @ $25.00$163K−4.5% of holding+11.3%+3.5%137,154Form 4 · filed same day
2025-11-05Larrick Lindsay BofficerSale22,669 @ $25.00$567K−13.6% of holding+16.9%+3.7%143,672Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-03Larrick Lindsay BofficerSale10,000 @ $23.37$234K−5.7% of holding+14.0%+14.1%166,341Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-10-01Larrick Lindsay BofficerSale14,775 @ $23.19$343K−7.7% of holding−6.1%+17.5%176,566Form 4 · filed same day
2025-10-01Larrick Lindsay BofficerSale225 @ $23.72$5K−0.1% of holding−6.1%+17.5%176,341Form 4 · filed same day
2025-09-02Larrick Lindsay BofficerSale9,187 @ $23.18$213K−4.6% of holding−3.3%+26.3%191,341Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-12Larrick Lindsay BofficerSale10,000 @ $21.62$216K−4.7% of holding+1.3%+38.6%200,528Form 4 · filed same day
2025-07-01Larrick Lindsay BofficerSale10,000 @ $23.13$231K−4.5% of holding−9.4%+13.3%210,528Form 4 · filed same day
2025-07-01Tameron DavidofficerSale100 @ $23.70$2K−0.2% of holding−9.4%+13.3%43,270Form 4 · filed same day
2025-06-12Ngo EthanofficerSale64,998 @ $23.00$1.5M−36.6% of holding−8.1%+8.7%112,675Form 4 · filed same day
2025-06-03Ngo EthanofficerSale21,667 @ $22.04$478K−10.9% of holding−3.9%+3.1%177,673Form 4 · filed same day
2025-06-02Ngo EthanofficerSale21,667 @ $21.65$469K−9.8% of holding+1.3%+14.9%199,340Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-02Larrick Lindsay BofficerSale10,000 @ $21.65$216K−4.3% of holding+1.3%+14.9%220,528Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-19Jacobsen Eric SofficerSale31,350 @ $22.02$690K−10.8% of holding+9.2%+13.8%257,903Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-13Ngo EthanofficerSale19,582 @ $22.01$431K−7.4% of holding+1.4%+4.5%244,759Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-12Ngo EthanofficerSale23,752 @ $22.01$523K−9.7% of holding+0.8%+0.1%221,007Form 4 · filed 15 days after the trade
2025-05-09Jacobsen Eric SofficerSale31,350 @ $20.01$627K−9.8% of holding+3.6%+4.5%289,253Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-05-09Larrick Lindsay BofficerSale15,000 @ $20.00$300K−6.1% of holding+3.6%+4.5%230,528Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-05-02Ngo EthanofficerSale21,667 @ $18.47$400K−7.6% of holding+15.5%+5.8%264,341Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-05-01Tameron DavidofficerSale4,409 @ $17.94$79K−9.2% of holding+12.8%+2.4%43,370Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-04-03Jacobsen Eric SofficerSale31,350 @ $20.06$629K−8.9% of holding−16.7%−7.5%320,603Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-04-03Ngo EthanofficerSale21,667 @ $20.09$435K−7.0% of holding−16.7%−7.5%286,008Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-04-03Tameron DavidofficerSale5,000 @ $20.03$100K−9.5% of holding−16.7%−7.5%47,779Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-25Larrick Lindsay BofficerSale15,000 @ $21.07$316K−5.8% of holding−7.6%−6.2%245,528Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

76 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-06-30Seimon DilankaofficerAward / grant92056,013Form 4
2026-06-30Tameron DavidofficerAward / grant92062,845Form 4
2026-06-30Kalnin Christopher PdirectorAward / grant8291,198,072Form 4
2026-06-30Turcotte Barry S.officerAward / grant65522,663Form 4
2026-06-30Ngo EthanofficerAward / grant400123,717Form 4
2026-06-11Larrick Lindsay BofficerOther acquisition45,83993,925Form 4
2026-06-11MASHINSKI CARLA SdirectorAward / grant7,12812,889Form 4
2026-06-11Limpaphayom KiranadirectorAward / grant7,1287,128Form 4
2026-06-11MILLER CHARLES C IIIdirectorAward / grant7,12812,889Form 4
2026-06-11Davis Joseph RdirectorAward / grant7,12845,889Form 4
2026-06-11PATEL SUNIT SdirectorAward / grant7,12862,889Form 4
2026-05-14Seimon DilankaofficerWithheld for tax2,15255,093Form 4
2026-05-12Hinojosa JavierofficerAward / grant9,88796,653Form 4
2026-04-29Larrick Lindsay BofficerOther acquisition13,549139,764Form 4
2026-03-10Read LaurenofficerAward / grant9,67589,099Form 4
2026-03-10Larrick Lindsay BofficerAward / grant23,496153,313Form 4
2026-03-10Jacobsen Eric SofficerAward / grant27,643277,843Form 4
2026-03-10Tameron DavidofficerAward / grant30,40769,225Form 4
2026-03-10Kalnin Christopher PdirectorAward / grant62,1971,297,243Form 4
2026-03-10Seimon DilankaofficerAward / grant20,73257,245Form 4
2026-03-10Ngo EthanofficerAward / grant15,203123,317Form 4
2026-03-10Busang Kristen LeeofficerAward / grant9,67518,798Form 4
2026-03-10Turcotte Barry S.officerAward / grant6,91022,008Form 4
2026-03-03Kalnin Christopher PdirectorWithheld for tax8,0481,235,046Form 4
2026-03-03Jacobsen Eric SofficerWithheld for tax3,952250,200Form 4
2026-03-03Larrick Lindsay BofficerWithheld for tax3,751129,817Form 4
2026-03-03Tameron DavidofficerWithheld for tax3,17438,818Form 4
2026-03-03Ngo EthanofficerWithheld for tax2,174108,114Form 4
2026-03-03Busang Kristen LeeofficerWithheld for tax1,1869,123Form 4
2026-03-03Turcotte Barry S.officerWithheld for tax1,10515,098Form 4
2026-03-03Read LaurenofficerWithheld for tax71179,424Form 4
2026-01-30Banpu Public Co LtddirectorOther acquisition5,315,39069,193,004Form 4
2026-01-30Banpu Public Co LtddirectorOther acquisition5,315,39069,193,004Form 4
2026-01-30Banpu Public Co LtddirectorOther acquisition5,315,39069,193,004Form 4
2026-01-30Banpu Public Co LtddirectorOther acquisition5,315,39069,193,004Form 4
2026-01-30Banpu Public Co LtddirectorOther acquisition5,315,39069,193,004Form 4
2026-01-30Banpu Public Co LtddirectorOther acquisition5,315,39069,193,004Form 4
2026-01-02Kalnin Christopher PdirectorAward / grant1,1251,249,705Form 4
2026-01-02Turcotte Barry S.officerAward / grant76216,970Form 4
2026-01-02Read LaurenofficerAward / grant17180,838Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.