BKRBaker Hughes CompanyEnergy · Oil & Gas Equipment & Servicesas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $56.32 · now $56.32 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, BKR has typically landed between $48.34 and $65.85 — a range of −14.2% to +16.9% from the issuance price $56.32.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,685 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($56.32) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where BKR has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $56.32 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$48.34worst · -14.2%$65.85best · +16.9%
  • now $56.32 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $57.4 (+1.9%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $53.79–$61.01
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $48.34–$65.85
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,685 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-21−54.5%−54.5%+0.0%
2020-02-18−53.6%−53.6%+0.0%
2008-09-26−53.1%−53.1%+0.0%
3 best
2017-06-07+76.1%−1.7%+76.1%
2017-06-28+74.8%+0.0%+78.7%
2017-06-29+73.9%+0.0%+78.7%

4,685 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.

$56.8B
market cap
$3.13
EPS (TTM)
18.3
P/E (TTM)
2026-07-26
next earnings
Revenue$27.7B
'20'25
Net income$2.6B
'20'25
Free cash flow$2.5B
'20'25
Net margin · by yr9.3%
'20'25
ROE · by yr13.7%
'20'25
Debt / equity · by yr0.38
'20'25

Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.

iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 22 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.
now $56.32$54.43$81.89
  • DCF (intrinsic)$56.93
  • Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 20.3× · n=22$63.45
  • Analyst target · range $60.00–$80.00$72.00
  • Current price · last close 2026-09-16$56.32

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
72%
+4.4%
n=18
Feb
63%
+1.8%
n=19
Mar
53%
−1.0%
n=19
Apr
63%
+5.5%
n=19
May
47%
+0.7%
n=19
Jun
37%
−0.7%
n=19
Jul
74%
+7.9%
n=19
Aug
32%
−4.7%
n=19
Sep
53%
−1.0%
n=19
Oct
50%
+0.0%
n=18
Nov
56%
+3.6%
n=18
Dec
44%
−0.9%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$69$422026-07-01: 1 insider sale, $4.0M — BORRAS MARIA C2026-06-22: 1 insider sale, $10.6M — Simonelli Lorenzo2026-06-15: 2 insider sales, $1.5M — Moghal Ahmed Farhan …2026-06-12: 1 insider sale, $11.5M — Simonelli Lorenzo2026-06-03: 1 insider sale, $327K — Charlton Rebecca L2026-05-19: 1 insider sale, $814K — Apostolides James E2026-03-16: 1 insider sale, $3.3M — BORRAS MARIA C2026-03-11: 2 insider sales, $16.3M — Simonelli Lorenzo, Magno Maria Georgia2026-03-04: 1 insider sale, $16.7M — Simonelli Lorenzo2026-02-12: 1 insider sale, $1.1M — Moghal Ahmed Farhan2026-02-10: 2 insider sales, $1.5M — Apostolides James E …2026-02-09: 2 insider sales, $4.3M — BORRAS MARIA C, Magno Maria Georgia2026-02-03: 2 insider sales, $1.1M — Beattie William G, Charlton Rebecca L2026-02-02: 1 insider sale, $111K — Charlton Rebecca L2025-11-13: 1 insider sale, $13K — Charlton Rebecca L2025-09-23: 3 insider sales, $1.6M — RAMASWAMY SREEGANESH, Apostolides James E, Charlton Rebecca L2025-09-10: 1 insider sale, $2.4M — BORRAS MARIA C2025-09: 4 open-market sales, $4.0M2025-11: 1 open-market sale, $13K2026-02: 8 open-market sales, $8.2M2026-03: 4 open-market sales, $36.3M2026-05: 1 open-market sale, $814K2026-06: 5 open-market sales, $23.9M2026-07: 1 open-market sale, $4.0M↑ buys↓ salesdirector BORRAS MARIA C — Sale on 2026-07-01, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Simonelli Lorenzo — Sale on 2026-06-22, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Moghal Ahmed Farhan — Sale on 2026-06-15, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Moghal Ahmed Farhan — Sale on 2026-06-15, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Simonelli Lorenzo — Sale on 2026-06-12, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Charlton Rebecca L — Sale on 2026-06-03, filed same dayofficer Apostolides James E — Sale on 2026-05-19, filed 2 days after the tradedirector BORRAS MARIA C — Sale on 2026-03-16, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Simonelli Lorenzo — Sale on 2026-03-11, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Magno Maria Georgia — Sale on 2026-03-11, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Simonelli Lorenzo — Sale on 2026-03-04, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Moghal Ahmed Farhan — Sale on 2026-02-12, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Apostolides James E — Sale on 2026-02-10, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Apostolides James E — Sale on 2026-02-10, filed 1 day after the tradedirector BORRAS MARIA C — Sale on 2026-02-09, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Magno Maria Georgia — Sale on 2026-02-09, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Beattie William G — Sale on 2026-02-03, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Charlton Rebecca L — Sale on 2026-02-03, filed same dayofficer Charlton Rebecca L — Sale on 2026-02-02, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Charlton Rebecca L — Sale on 2025-11-13, filed 1 day after the tradedirector RAMASWAMY SREEGANESH — Sale on 2025-09-23, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Apostolides James E — Sale on 2025-09-23, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Charlton Rebecca L — Sale on 2025-09-23, filed 2 days after the tradedirector BORRAS MARIA C — Sale on 2025-09-10, filed 2 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-07-01BORRAS MARIA CdirectorSale72,000 @ $55.05$4.0M−78.2% of holding+12.2%not yet — horizon still open20,035Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-22Simonelli LorenzodirectorSale181,411 @ $58.43$10.6M−20.5% of holding−4.7%not yet — horizon still open703,444Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-15Moghal Ahmed FarhanofficerSale20,000 @ $62.38$1.2M−48.8% of holding−9.2%not yet — horizon still open20,980Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-15Moghal Ahmed FarhanofficerSale3,392 @ $62.38$212K−100.0% of holding−9.2%not yet — horizon still open0Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-12Simonelli LorenzodirectorSale181,411 @ $63.36$11.5M−18.8% of holding−11.4%not yet — horizon still open784,944Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-06-03Charlton Rebecca LofficerSale5,088 @ $64.22$327K−24.1% of holding−17.0%not yet — horizon still open15,997Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-19Apostolides James EofficerSale12,261 @ $66.42$814K−44.2% of holding−12.8%not yet — horizon still open15,449Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-16BORRAS MARIA CdirectorSale60,626 @ $54.47$3.3M−39.7% of holding+3.9%−10.7%92,035Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-11Simonelli LorenzodirectorSale272,594 @ $58.79$16.0M−23.9% of holding+5.8%−11.6%866,444Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-11Magno Maria GeorgiaofficerSale5,063 @ $59.04$299K−24.6% of holding+5.8%−11.6%15,555Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-04Simonelli LorenzodirectorSale272,593 @ $61.13$16.7M−28.8% of holding+3.2%−5.8%672,810Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-12Moghal Ahmed FarhanofficerSale18,102 @ $61.19$1.1M−100.0% of holding−8.0%−8.2%0Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-10Apostolides James EofficerSale14,835 @ $59.74$886K−49.0% of holding−1.4%−2.8%15,449Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-10Apostolides James EofficerSale10,989 @ $59.74$656K−41.6% of holding−1.4%−2.8%15,449Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-09BORRAS MARIA CdirectorSale54,434 @ $59.11$3.2M−37.2% of holding+1.9%−2.0%92,035Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-09Magno Maria GeorgiaofficerSale19,150 @ $59.11$1.1M−56.8% of holding+1.9%−2.0%14,588Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-03Beattie William GdirectorSale18,023 @ $57.29$1.0M−100.0% of holding+5.4%−5.5%0Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-03Charlton Rebecca LofficerSale843 @ $56.34$47K−5.7% of holding+5.4%−5.5%14,019Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-02Charlton Rebecca LofficerSale1,985 @ $55.77$111K−14.1% of holding+9.7%−1.8%12,052Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-13Charlton Rebecca LofficerSale278 @ $47.56$13K−2.2% of holding−2.6%+29.8%12,419Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-23RAMASWAMY SREEGANESHdirectorSale25,000 @ $50.00$1.3M−38.2% of holding−4.0%+29.5%40,520Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-23Apostolides James EofficerSale6,216 @ $50.00$311K−23.4% of holding−4.0%+29.5%20,349Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-23Charlton Rebecca LofficerSale1,000 @ $50.00$50K−7.8% of holding−4.0%+29.5%11,772Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-10BORRAS MARIA CdirectorSale50,362 @ $46.89$2.4M−30.2% of holding−1.1%+17.4%116,643Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-07-24Charlton Rebecca LofficerSale500 @ $45.00$23K−3.8% of holding−3.3%+9.8%12,772Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-07-23Simonelli LorenzodirectorSale526,568 @ $44.42$23.4M−44.1% of holding−2.4%+13.9%667,593Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-06-17BORRAS MARIA CdirectorSale5,585 @ $40.00$223K−4.6% of holding−5.0%+0.6%116,643Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-06-12Charlton Rebecca LofficerSale6,000 @ $38.74$232K−31.1% of holding−2.4%+9.3%13,272Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-06-09BORRAS MARIA CdirectorSale54,335 @ $38.24$2.1M−31.8% of holding−1.1%+10.2%116,643Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-07Apostolides James EofficerSale3,800 @ $36.49$139K−15.7% of holding−2.4%+9.4%20,349Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-07Apostolides James EofficerSale4,660 @ $42.21$197K−23.8% of holding−4.6%−5.7%14,936Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-02-21Buese NancydirectorSale80,000 @ $46.37$3.7M−92.7% of holding+1.8%−8.9%6,299Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-02-12Apostolides James EofficerSale7,681 @ $46.65$358K−28.2% of holding−1.0%−13.3%19,596Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-01-28BORRAS MARIA CdirectorSale67,250 @ $43.48$2.9M−38.8% of holding+4.4%+0.8%106,052Form 4 · filed same day
2025-01-27BORRAS MARIA CdirectorSale8,000 @ $44.77$358K−4.4% of holding+1.2%−0.4%173,302Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

265 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-03Gatti AmerinoofficerWithheld for tax3,86020,751Form 4
2026-09-03Gatti AmerinoofficerOption exercise9,8079,807Form 4
2026-09-03Gatti AmerinoofficerOption exercise9,80724,611Form 4
2026-09-03Gatti AmerinoofficerOption exercise9,80724,611Form 4
2026-09-03Gatti AmerinoofficerOption exercise9,80724,611Form 4
2026-09-03Gatti AmerinoofficerOption exercise9,80724,611Form 4
2026-06-22Simonelli LorenzodirectorOption exercise99,911884,855Form 4
2026-06-22Simonelli LorenzodirectorOption exercise99,9110Form 4
2026-06-12Simonelli LorenzodirectorOption exercise99,911966,355Form 4
2026-06-12Simonelli LorenzodirectorOption exercise99,91199,911Form 4
2026-06-01Charlton Rebecca LofficerWithheld for tax4,58521,085Form 4
2026-06-01Charlton Rebecca LofficerOption exercise11,6510Form 4
2026-06-01Charlton Rebecca LofficerOption exercise11,65125,670Form 4
2026-06-01Charlton Rebecca LofficerOption exercise11,65125,670Form 4
2026-05-19Carroll Cynthia BdirectorAward / grant2,7492,749Form 4
2026-05-19Beattie William GdirectorAward / grant2,7492,749Form 4
2026-05-19Beattie William GdirectorAward / grant2,7492,749Form 4
2026-05-19Dumais Michael RdirectorAward / grant2,7492,749Form 4
2026-05-19Kadri IlhamdirectorAward / grant2,7492,749Form 4
2026-05-19Edwards Shirley AnndirectorAward / grant2,7492,749Form 4
2026-05-19Al Gudaimi Abdulaziz MdirectorAward / grant2,7492,749Form 4
2026-05-19Sohi MohsendirectorAward / grant2,7492,749Form 4
2026-05-19Dumais Michael RdirectorAward / grant2,7492,749Form 4
2026-05-19Kadri IlhamdirectorAward / grant2,7492,749Form 4
2026-05-19RICE JOHN GdirectorAward / grant2,7492,749Form 4
2026-05-19BRENNEMAN GREGORY DdirectorAward / grant2,7492,749Form 4
2026-05-19RICE JOHN GdirectorAward / grant2,7492,749Form 4
2026-05-19Sohi MohsendirectorAward / grant2,7492,749Form 4
2026-05-19Al Gudaimi Abdulaziz MdirectorAward / grant2,7492,749Form 4
2026-05-19Edwards Shirley AnndirectorAward / grant2,7492,749Form 4
2026-03-11Simonelli LorenzodirectorOption exercise187,3441,139,038Form 4
2026-03-11Simonelli LorenzodirectorOption exercise187,3440Form 4
2026-03-08Simonelli LorenzodirectorWithheld for tax180,942951,694Form 4
2026-03-08BORRAS MARIA CdirectorWithheld for tax39,336152,661Form 4
2026-03-08Apostolides James EofficerWithheld for tax11,47827,710Form 4
2026-03-08Moghal Ahmed FarhanofficerWithheld for tax11,08840,980Form 4
2026-03-08Magno Maria GeorgiaofficerWithheld for tax4,63520,618Form 4
2026-03-08Moghal Ahmed FarhanofficerWithheld for tax3,0093,392Form 4
2026-03-08Apostolides James EofficerAward / grant23,73939,188Form 4
2026-03-08Simonelli LorenzodirectorAward / grant459,8261,132,636Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'25 Q'25 Q'26 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Gilbert CisnerosHousesale2026-02-132026-01-09$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousepurchase2026-01-122025-12-19$1–15K
Lisa McclainHousesale2025-08-132025-06-10$1–15K
Lisa McclainHousepurchase2025-08-132024-12-11$1–15K
Tim MooreHousepurchase2025-04-142025-03-04$15–50K
Diana HarshbargerHousepurchase2023-03-022023-02-10$1–15K
Diana HarshbargerHousepurchase2023-03-022023-02-10$1–15K
Diana HarshbargerHousepurchase2023-03-022023-02-10$1–15K
Diana HarshbargerHousepurchase2022-10-282022-09-21$1–15K
Diana HarshbargerHousepurchase2022-10-282022-09-21$1–15K
Diana HarshbargerHousepurchase2022-10-282022-09-22$1–15K
Diana HarshbargerHousepurchase2022-10-282022-09-22$1–15K
Diana HarshbargerHousepurchase2022-10-282022-09-22$1–15K
Diana HarshbargerHousepurchase2022-10-282022-09-22$1–15K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.