Issued 2026-09-16 at $73.85 · now $73.85 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, BHE has typically landed between $65.23 and $86.99 — a range of −11.7% to +17.8% from the issuance price $73.85.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($73.85) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where BHE has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $73.85 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $73.85 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $74.73 (+1.2%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $70.36–$79.09
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $65.23–$86.99
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2020-02-18 | −46.7% | −46.7% | +1.4% |
| 2020-02-20 | −38.4% | −47.5% | +0.0% |
| 2008-09-26 | −38.3% | −38.5% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2026-04-07 | +51.8% | +0.0% | +51.8% |
| 2026-04-06 | +51.4% | +0.0% | +51.4% |
| 2024-04-30 | +47.6% | +0.0% | +47.6% |
5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | De Greef-Safft Anne | director | Sale | 3,884 @ $82.02 | $319K | −100.0% of holding | −7.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-11 | De Greef-Safft Anne | director | Sale | 2,116 @ $82.26 | $174K | −5.4% of holding | −7.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 37,136 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-11 | Beaver Stephen J | officer | Sale | 20,000 @ $86.25 | $1.7M | −21.0% of holding | −9.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 75,020 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-26 | Moezidis David | director | Sale | 12,500 @ $87.57 | $1.1M | −12.7% of holding | +11.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 85,564 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-13 | SCHEIBLE DAVID W | director | Sale | 22,989 @ $85.00 | $2.0M | −27.0% of holding | +4.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 62,057 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-12 | LAMNECK KENNETH T | director | Sale | 24,263 @ $81.49 | $2.0M | −33.8% of holding | +6.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 47,418 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-06 | Turner Rhonda R | officer | Sale | 6,600 @ $85.14 | $562K | −15.5% of holding | −3.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 36,067 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-24 | Benck Jeff | director | Sale | 9,066 @ $60.40 | $548K | −2.4% of holding | +3.2% | +9.2% | 361,433 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-13 | Benck Jeff | director | Sale | 834 @ $60.06 | $50K | −0.2% of holding | −6.6% | +28.9% | 397,246 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-12 | Benck Jeff | director | Sale | 100 @ $60.03 | $6K | −0.0% of holding | −5.4% | +26.1% | 398,080 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-06 | Benck Jeff | director | Sale | 25,000 @ $58.19 | $1.5M | −5.9% of holding | −4.9% | +27.6% | 398,180 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-21 | Benck Jeff | director | Sale | 14,900 @ $50.24 | $749K | −3.4% of holding | +12.6% | +55.2% | 423,180 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-01-20 | Benck Jeff | director | Sale | 100 @ $50.00 | $5K | −0.0% of holding | +14.7% | +58.5% | 438,080 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-12 | Turner Rhonda R | officer | Sale | 10,000 @ $47.83 | $478K | −22.4% of holding | −0.4% | +77.8% | 34,701 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-08 | Benck Jeff | director | Sale | 10,000 @ $47.55 | $476K | −2.2% of holding | −6.4% | +70.4% | 438,180 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-08 | Beaver Stephen J | officer | Sale | 1,250 @ $48.00 | $60K | −1.4% of holding | −6.4% | +70.4% | 85,745 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-05 | Turner Rhonda R | officer | Sale | 10,000 @ $46.90 | $469K | −18.3% of holding | −5.5% | +77.9% | 44,701 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-05 | Beaver Stephen J | officer | Sale | 8,750 @ $46.92 | $411K | −9.1% of holding | −5.5% | +77.9% | 86,995 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-20 | JANICK JAN M | officer | Sale | 8,967 @ $42.66 | $383K | −14.4% of holding | +0.6% | +97.0% | 53,401 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-09-08 | JANICK JAN M | officer | Sale | 10,004 @ $40.50 | $405K | −13.8% of holding | −9.8% | +31.7% | 62,368 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-12 | Benck Jeff | director | Sale | 6,000 @ $38.82 | $233K | −1.3% of holding | −3.3% | −13.6% | 448,180 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-01-13 | Benck Jeff | director | Sale | 6,000 @ $45.31 | $272K | −1.4% of holding | −12.6% | −21.4% | 418,173 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
97 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | Moezidis David | director | Withheld for tax | 4,569 | 80,995 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-17 | Valkanoff David | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,078 | 59,506 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-27 | SWOBODA CHARLES M | director | Award / grant | 2,093 | 5,715 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-27 | Wentworth Lynn A | director | Award / grant | 2,093 | 28,828 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-27 | Britt Douglas | director | Award / grant | 2,093 | 20,046 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-27 | BRYAN GLYNIS | director | Award / grant | 2,093 | 6,937 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-27 | De Greef-Safft Anne | director | Award / grant | 2,093 | 39,252 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-27 | LAMNECK KENNETH T | director | Award / grant | 2,093 | 49,511 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-27 | SLESSOR MIKE | director | Award / grant | 2,093 | 4,349 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-27 | SCHEIBLE DAVID W | director | Award / grant | 2,093 | 64,150 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-19 | Turner Rhonda R | officer | Gift | 400 | 35,667 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-31 | Moezidis David | director | Award / grant | 13,379 | 34,791 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-31 | Moezidis David | director | Award / grant | 13,379 | 98,064 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-25 | Benck Jeff | director | Withheld for tax | 7,756 | 353,677 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-25 | Beaver Stephen J | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,405 | 95,020 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-25 | Turner Rhonda R | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,006 | 42,667 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-23 | Benck Jeff | director | Withheld for tax | 18,464 | 370,499 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-23 | Beaver Stephen J | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,942 | 96,425 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-23 | Moezidis David | director | Withheld for tax | 3,062 | 84,685 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-23 | Turner Rhonda R | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,531 | 43,673 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-23 | Valkanoff David | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,355 | 61,584 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-20 | Benck Jeff | director | Withheld for tax | 8,283 | 388,963 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-20 | Valkanoff David | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,406 | 63,939 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-20 | Moezidis David | director | Withheld for tax | 2,389 | 87,747 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-20 | Beaver Stephen J | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,080 | 100,367 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-20 | Turner Rhonda R | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,345 | 46,204 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-20 | Schumaker Bryan Robert | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,330 | 42,561 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-20 | Valkanoff David | officer | Award / grant | 6,424 | 66,345 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-20 | Cummings David Lee | officer | Award / grant | 5,996 | 16,487 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-20 | Cummings David Lee | officer | Award / grant | 5,996 | 11,992 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-20 | Moezidis David | director | Award / grant | 21,412 | 90,136 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-20 | Moezidis David | director | Award / grant | 21,412 | 21,412 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-20 | Turner Rhonda R | officer | Award / grant | 6,424 | 41,125 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-20 | Turner Rhonda R | officer | Award / grant | 6,424 | 47,549 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-20 | Turner Rhonda R | officer | Award / grant | 6,424 | 12,848 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-20 | Schumaker Bryan Robert | officer | Award / grant | 12,847 | 35,326 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-20 | Schumaker Bryan Robert | officer | Award / grant | 8,565 | 43,891 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-20 | Schumaker Bryan Robert | officer | Award / grant | 12,847 | 25,694 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-20 | Valkanoff David | officer | Award / grant | 11,991 | 59,921 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-20 | Valkanoff David | officer | Award / grant | 11,991 | 23,982 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.