BGSF · TickerCove

BGSFBGSF, Inc.Industrials · Staffing & Employment Servicesas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $5.00 · now $5.00 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, BGSF has typically landed between $4.09 and $6.18 — a range of −18.2% to +23.5% from the issuance price $5.00.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

3,094 overlapping 1 month windows · 2014-04-29 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($5.00) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$5 · 52% of range

$3.27 low$6.58 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

−1.4%

typical move · IQR 14.5%

−18.2%worst (p90)+23.5%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where BGSF has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $5 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $5 (+0.0%)
typical $4.93 (-1.4%)
middle 50% $4.57–$5.29
90% range $4.09–$6.18

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 3,094 windows spanning 2014-04-29 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2020-02-18	−65.6%	−65.6%	+0.3%
2020-02-14	−63.4%	−63.4%	+0.6%
2020-02-13	−62.2%	−62.2%	+0.0%
3 best
2014-08-13	+78.5%	+0.0%	+78.5%
2014-08-12	+78.5%	+0.0%	+78.5%
2014-08-18	+76.2%	+0.0%	+76.2%

3,094 overlapping windows · 2014-04-29 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~13 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

25%

+0.1%

n=12

Feb

50%

−0.2%

n=12

Mar

58%

−6.8%

n=12

Apr

42%

+3.0%

n=12

May

38%

−4.0%

n=13

Jun

85%

+13.1%

n=13

Jul

54%

−0.0%

n=13

Aug

38%

+2.8%

n=13

Sep

62%

+1.3%

n=13

Oct

25%

−6.0%

n=12

Nov

58%

+11.1%

n=12

Dec

67%

+2.4%

n=12

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

92 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-04	Allen C. David JR	director	Award / grant	3,360	104,182	Form 4
2026-08-04	Allen C. David JR	director	Award / grant	1,000	1,000	Form 4
2026-08-04	Allen C. David JR	director	Award / grant	1,000	2,000	Form 4
2026-08-04	Allen C. David JR	director	Award / grant	1,000	3,000	Form 4
2026-08-04	Allen C. David JR	director	Award / grant	1,000	4,000	Form 4
2026-08-04	Allen C. David JR	director	Award / grant	1,000	5,000	Form 4
2026-08-04	SEID PAUL	director	Award / grant	3,360	156,717	Form 4
2026-08-04	SEID PAUL	director	Award / grant	1,000	1,000	Form 4
2026-08-04	SEID PAUL	director	Award / grant	1,000	2,000	Form 4
2026-08-04	SEID PAUL	director	Award / grant	1,000	3,000	Form 4
2026-08-04	SEID PAUL	director	Award / grant	1,000	4,000	Form 4
2026-08-04	SEID PAUL	director	Award / grant	1,000	5,000	Form 4
2026-08-04	HAILEY DOUGLAS	director	Award / grant	3,360	233,129	Form 4
2026-08-04	HAILEY DOUGLAS	director	Award / grant	1,000	1,000	Form 4
2026-08-04	HAILEY DOUGLAS	director	Award / grant	1,000	2,000	Form 4
2026-08-04	HAILEY DOUGLAS	director	Award / grant	1,000	3,000	Form 4
2026-08-04	HAILEY DOUGLAS	director	Award / grant	1,000	4,000	Form 4
2026-08-04	HAILEY DOUGLAS	director	Award / grant	1,000	5,000	Form 4
2026-08-04	Carroll Donna	director	Award / grant	3,360	50,391	Form 4
2026-08-04	Carroll Donna	director	Award / grant	1,000	1,000	Form 4
2026-08-04	Carroll Donna	director	Award / grant	1,000	2,000	Form 4
2026-08-04	Carroll Donna	director	Award / grant	1,000	3,000	Form 4
2026-08-04	Carroll Donna	director	Award / grant	1,000	4,000	Form 4
2026-08-04	Carroll Donna	director	Award / grant	1,000	5,000	Form 4
2026-08-04	Baum Richard L Jr	director	Award / grant	3,360	153,662	Form 4
2026-08-04	Baum Richard L Jr	director	Award / grant	1,000	1,000	Form 4
2026-08-04	Baum Richard L Jr	director	Award / grant	1,000	2,000	Form 4
2026-08-04	Baum Richard L Jr	director	Award / grant	1,000	4,000	Form 4
2026-08-04	Baum Richard L Jr	director	Award / grant	1,000	5,000	Form 4
2026-05-06	Allen C. David JR	director	Award / grant	3,691	107,479	Form 4
2026-05-06	Baum Richard L Jr	director	Award / grant	3,691	146,802	Form 4
2026-05-06	SEID PAUL	director	Award / grant	3,691	149,857	Form 4
2026-05-06	HAILEY DOUGLAS	director	Award / grant	3,691	226,269	Form 4
2026-05-06	Carroll Donna	director	Award / grant	3,691	43,531	Form 4
2026-02-04	HAILEY DOUGLAS	director	Award / grant	3,354	222,578	Form 4
2026-02-04	Baum Richard L Jr	director	Award / grant	3,354	143,111	Form 4
2026-02-04	SEID PAUL	director	Award / grant	3,354	146,166	Form 4
2026-02-04	Carroll Donna	director	Award / grant	3,354	39,840	Form 4
2026-02-04	Allen C. David JR	director	Award / grant	3,354	103,788	Form 4
2025-11-05	HAILEY DOUGLAS	director	Award / grant	5,482	218,224	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

27d remaining

2026-09-174% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i