BFAMBright Horizons Family Solutions Inc.Industrials · Specialty Business Servicesas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $68.68 · now $68.68 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, BFAM has typically landed between $56.54 and $79.44 — a range of −17.7% to +15.7% from the issuance price $68.68.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

3,410 overlapping 1 month windows · 2013-01-25 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($68.68) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where BFAM has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $68.68 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$56.54worst · -17.7%$79.44best · +15.7%
  • now $68.68 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $68.78 (+0.1%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $63.93–$73.63
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $56.54–$79.44
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 3,410 windows spanning 2013-01-25 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-19−60.0%−60.0%+0.0%
2020-02-18−55.7%−55.7%+1.6%
2020-02-20−51.8%−59.9%+0.1%
3 best
2020-03-19+71.6%+0.0%+73.7%
2020-03-18+59.2%−8.3%+59.2%
2020-03-20+33.9%+0.0%+44.7%

3,410 overlapping windows · 2013-01-25 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~14 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
85%
+3.4%
n=13
Feb
57%
+0.9%
n=14
Mar
64%
+1.0%
n=14
Apr
36%
−1.9%
n=14
May
57%
−0.3%
n=14
Jun
79%
+3.6%
n=14
Jul
79%
+1.9%
n=14
Aug
64%
+2.7%
n=14
Sep
29%
−2.2%
n=14
Oct
62%
+2.1%
n=13
Nov
69%
+0.4%
n=13
Dec
62%
+0.1%
n=13

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$123$592026-09-02: 1 insider sale, $436K — TOCIO MARY ANN2026-09-01: 1 insider sale, $90K — Burke Mary Lou2026-08-03: 1 insider sale, $91K — Burke Mary Lou2026-07-28: 1 insider sale, $40K — Burke Mary Lou2025-10-01: 1 insider sale, $109K — Burke Mary Lou2025-09-02: 1 insider sale, $116K — Burke Mary Lou2025-08: 2 open-market sales, $489K2025-09: 1 open-market sale, $116K2025-10: 1 open-market sale, $109K2026-07: 1 open-market sale, $40K2026-08: 1 open-market sale, $91K2026-09: 2 open-market sales, $526K↑ buys↓ salesdirector TOCIO MARY ANN — Sale on 2026-09-02, filed same dayofficer Burke Mary Lou — Sale on 2026-09-01, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Burke Mary Lou — Sale on 2026-08-03, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Burke Mary Lou — Sale on 2026-07-28, filed same dayofficer Burke Mary Lou — Sale on 2025-10-01, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Burke Mary Lou — Sale on 2025-09-02, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-09-02TOCIO MARY ANNdirectorSale6,000 @ $72.65$436K−29.5% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open14,329Form 4 · filed same day
2026-09-01Burke Mary LouofficerSale1,200 @ $75.00$90K−3.7% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open30,945Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-03Burke Mary LouofficerSale1,200 @ $75.57$91K−3.6% of holding−4.7%not yet — horizon still open32,145Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-28Burke Mary LouofficerSale500 @ $80.00$40K−1.5% of holding−11.1%not yet — horizon still open33,345Form 4 · filed same day
2025-10-01Burke Mary LouofficerSale1,000 @ $108.52$109K−3.6% of holding−16.3%−21.1%26,449Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-02Burke Mary LouofficerSale1,000 @ $116.49$116K−3.5% of holding−11.5%−42.3%27,449Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-05TOCIO MARY ANNdirectorSale3,000 @ $120.10$360K−14.1% of holding−4.4%−33.9%18,233Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-01Burke Mary LouofficerSale1,000 @ $128.99$129K−3.4% of holding−10.3%−38.8%28,449Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-07-01Burke Mary LouofficerSale1,000 @ $122.56$123K−3.3% of holding−9.2%−27.8%29,449Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-02Burke Mary LouofficerSale1,000 @ $128.25$128K−3.2% of holding−10.6%−34.5%30,449Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-29TOCIO MARY ANNdirectorSale2,500 @ $128.49$321K−11.0% of holding−8.4%−35.7%20,257Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-28LISSY DAVID HdirectorSale6,282 @ $130.10$817K−8.3% of holding−10.1%−36.5%69,312Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-27BOLAND ELIZABETH JofficerSale3,500 @ $132.16$463K−4.2% of holding−12.2%−38.5%80,162Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-22Kramer Stephen HowarddirectorSale4,691 @ $127.31$597K−3.9% of holding−6.7%−35.4%115,137Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-22Kramer Stephen HowarddirectorSale4,381 @ $125.51$550K−3.5% of holding−6.7%−35.4%120,756Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-22Kramer Stephen HowarddirectorSale928 @ $126.38$117K−0.8% of holding−6.7%−35.4%119,828Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-01Burke Mary LouofficerSale1,000 @ $125.36$125K−3.1% of holding−3.4%−48.5%31,449Form 4 · filed same day
2025-04-01Burke Mary LouofficerSale1,000 @ $126.54$127K−3.0% of holding−1.4%−34.8%32,449Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-13Burke Mary LouofficerSale1,000 @ $124.69$125K−2.9% of holding−2.0%−28.1%33,449Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-10TOCIO MARY ANNdirectorSale2,500 @ $124.74$312K−9.9% of holding−0.1%−23.8%22,757Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-05BOLAND ELIZABETH JofficerSale5,000 @ $130.17$651K−5.9% of holding+0.5%−22.7%79,438Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2024-12-03TOCIO MARY ANNdirectorSale5,000 @ $114.71$574K−16.5% of holding−1.1%+10.0%25,257Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

81 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-06-03BEKENSTEIN JOSHUAdirectorAward / grant2,09612,778Form 4
2026-06-03TOCIO MARY ANNdirectorAward / grant2,09620,329Form 4
2026-06-03LISSY DAVID HdirectorAward / grant2,09624,911Form 4
2026-06-03BEKENSTEIN JOSHUAdirectorAward / grant2,09612,778Form 4
2026-06-03HITCH JORDANdirectorAward / grant2,09612,778Form 4
2026-06-03Alleva Lawrence MdirectorAward / grant2,09613,336Form 4
2026-06-03Richie LaureldirectorAward / grant2,0968,769Form 4
2026-06-03Atkinson JuliedirectorAward / grant2,09611,378Form 4
2026-06-03Atkinson JuliedirectorAward / grant2,09611,378Form 4
2026-06-03HITCH JORDANdirectorAward / grant2,09612,778Form 4
2026-06-03LISSY DAVID HdirectorAward / grant2,09624,911Form 4
2026-06-03Richie LaureldirectorAward / grant2,0968,769Form 4
2026-06-03Schulz JenniferdirectorAward / grant2,0963,614Form 4
2026-06-03TOCIO MARY ANNdirectorAward / grant2,09620,329Form 4
2026-06-03Alleva Lawrence MdirectorAward / grant2,09613,336Form 4
2026-06-03Schulz JenniferdirectorAward / grant2,0963,614Form 4
2026-03-04Burke Mary LouofficerAward / grant7,26033,845Form 4
2026-03-04Marshall RosamundofficerAward / grant4,95025,409Form 4
2026-03-04Janoff JasonofficerAward / grant3,30012,233Form 4
2026-03-04BOLAND ELIZABETH JofficerAward / grant9,90090,204Form 4
2026-03-04Casagrande John GuyofficerAward / grant4,95021,912Form 4
2026-03-04Berman MandydirectorAward / grant6,60032,215Form 4
2026-03-04Berman MandydirectorAward / grant7,26025,615Form 4
2026-03-04Kramer Stephen HowarddirectorAward / grant32,999147,500Form 4
2026-02-24Kramer Stephen HowarddirectorWithheld for tax8,793114,501Form 4
2026-02-24Kramer Stephen HowarddirectorWithheld for tax4,083123,294Form 4
2026-02-24Berman MandydirectorWithheld for tax2,43018,355Form 4
2026-02-24Burke Mary LouofficerWithheld for tax2,42826,585Form 4
2026-02-24BOLAND ELIZABETH JofficerWithheld for tax2,42280,304Form 4
2026-02-24Marshall RosamundofficerWithheld for tax2,16420,459Form 4
2026-02-24Casagrande John GuyofficerWithheld for tax1,37016,962Form 4
2026-02-24Berman MandydirectorWithheld for tax1,28320,785Form 4
2026-02-24Burke Mary LouofficerWithheld for tax1,28329,013Form 4
2026-02-24BOLAND ELIZABETH JofficerWithheld for tax1,28382,726Form 4
2026-02-24Marshall RosamundofficerWithheld for tax1,18122,623Form 4
2026-02-24Janoff JasonofficerWithheld for tax1,1728,933Form 4
2026-02-24Casagrande John GuyofficerWithheld for tax70018,332Form 4
2026-02-24Berman MandydirectorAward / grant3,84722,068Form 4
2026-02-24Burke Mary LouofficerAward / grant3,84730,296Form 4
2026-02-24BOLAND ELIZABETH JofficerAward / grant3,84784,009Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.