Issued 2026-09-16 at $270.02 · now $270.02 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, BE has typically landed between $189.97 and $432.89 — a range of −29.6% to +60.3% from the issuance price $270.02.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
2,026 overlapping 1 month windows · 2018-07-25 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($270.02) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where BE has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $270.02 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $270.02 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $271.46 (+0.5%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $223.49–$319.43
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $189.97–$432.89
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 2,026 windows spanning 2018-07-25 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2020-02-18 | −73.8% | −73.8% | +20.3% |
| 2020-02-19 | −69.0% | −78.2% | +0.0% |
| 2020-02-20 | −67.9% | −75.9% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2024-10-31 | +180.4% | +0.0% | +185.9% |
| 2024-10-24 | +180.3% | +0.0% | +180.3% |
| 2024-10-25 | +173.2% | +0.0% | +173.2% |
2,026 overlapping windows · 2018-07-25 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~9 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
63%
+9.8%
n=8
Feb
63%
+8.3%
n=8
Mar
25%
−7.6%
n=8
Apr
38%
+13.7%
n=8
May
50%
+0.2%
n=8
Jun
75%
+10.5%
n=8
Jul
63%
+5.6%
n=8
Aug
56%
+4.4%
n=9
Sep
44%
+3.9%
n=9
Oct
25%
+2.5%
n=8
Nov
63%
+48.2%
n=8
Dec
38%
−9.4%
n=8
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | IMMELT JEFFREY R | director | Sale | 30,000 @ $238.91 | $7.2M | −13.0% of holding | +18.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 201,243 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-14 | Joshi Aman | officer | Sale | 4,677 @ $241.75 | $1.1M | −2.9% of holding | +15.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 159,130 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-14 | SODERBERG SHAWN MARIE | officer | Sale | 2,895 @ $233.60 | $676K | −2.2% of holding | +15.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 129,370 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-14 | Chitoori Satish | officer | Sale | 2,053 @ $241.64 | $496K | −1.0% of holding | +15.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 205,364 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-13 | CHAMBERS JOHN T | director | Sale | 15,000 @ $250.00 | $3.8M | −6.7% of holding | +11.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 208,333 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-03 | CHAMBERS JOHN T | director | Sale | 15,000 @ $205.58 | $3.1M | −6.3% of holding | −2.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 223,333 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-01 | Joshi Aman | officer | Sale | 8,343 @ $300.37 | $2.5M | −4.8% of holding | −29.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 163,807 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-16 | Joshi Aman | officer | Sale | 3,558 @ $289.14 | $1.0M | −2.0% of holding | −22.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 172,150 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-16 | SODERBERG SHAWN MARIE | officer | Sale | 2,842 @ $288.63 | $820K | −2.1% of holding | −22.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 132,265 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-16 | Chitoori Satish | officer | Sale | 2,837 @ $289.11 | $820K | −1.3% of holding | −22.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 207,417 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-16 | Kurzymski Maciej | officer | Sale | 2,259 @ $288.62 | $652K | −2.8% of holding | −22.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 79,686 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-28 | CHAMBERS JOHN T | director | Sale | 55,000 @ $297.69 | $16.4M | −18.8% of holding | −3.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 238,333 | Form 4 · filed 6 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-18 | SODERBERG SHAWN MARIE | officer | Sale | 2,746 @ $259.42 | $712K | −2.0% of holding | +9.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 135,107 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-14 | Joshi Aman | officer | Sale | 4,813 @ $288.20 | $1.4M | −2.7% of holding | −10.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 175,708 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-14 | SODERBERG SHAWN MARIE | officer | Sale | 2,879 @ $288.10 | $829K | −2.0% of holding | −10.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 137,853 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-14 | Chitoori Satish | officer | Sale | 2,111 @ $288.24 | $608K | −1.0% of holding | −10.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 210,254 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-13 | Kurzymski Maciej | officer | Sale | 6,229 @ $293.36 | $1.8M | −7.1% of holding | −10.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 81,945 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-07 | BUSH MARY K | director | Sale | 25,000 @ $266.96 | $6.7M | −18.7% of holding | −3.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 108,524 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-29 | SODERBERG SHAWN MARIE | officer | Sale | 35,000 @ $279.00 | $9.8M | −9.3% of holding | −7.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 341,731 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-15 | SODERBERG SHAWN MARIE | officer | Sale | 25,000 @ $225.13 | $5.6M | −15.1% of holding | +35.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 140,732 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-14 | SODERBERG SHAWN MARIE | officer | Sale | 30,000 @ $204.23 | $6.1M | −15.3% of holding | +25.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 165,732 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-14 | Chitoori Satish | officer | Sale | 20,000 @ $204.23 | $4.1M | −8.6% of holding | +25.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 212,365 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-01 | Joshi Aman | officer | Sale | 10,000 @ $135.88 | $1.4M | −5.2% of holding | +109.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 180,521 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-19 | SODERBERG SHAWN MARIE | officer | Sale | 15,410 @ $150.47 | $2.3M | −7.3% of holding | +23.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 195,732 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-17 | SODERBERG SHAWN MARIE | officer | Sale | 13,074 @ $153.44 | $2.0M | −5.8% of holding | +26.4% | +55.7% | 211,142 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-16 | Joshi Aman | officer | Sale | 19,944 @ $154.85 | $3.1M | −9.5% of holding | +34.2% | +55.0% | 190,521 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-16 | Chitoori Satish | officer | Sale | 15,922 @ $154.81 | $2.5M | −6.4% of holding | +34.2% | +55.0% | 232,365 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-16 | SODERBERG SHAWN MARIE | officer | Sale | 15,906 @ $154.82 | $2.5M | −6.6% of holding | +34.2% | +55.0% | 224,216 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-16 | SODERBERG SHAWN MARIE | officer | Sale | 13,901 @ $152.59 | $2.1M | −5.5% of holding | +34.2% | +55.0% | 240,122 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-16 | Kurzymski Maciej | officer | Sale | 7,800 @ $151.85 | $1.2M | −8.5% of holding | +34.2% | +55.0% | 84,294 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-16 | Chitoori Satish | officer | Sale | 3,042 @ $152.59 | $464K | −1.2% of holding | +34.2% | +55.0% | 248,287 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-27 | Pinkus Gary S | director | Sale | 1,250 @ $165.80 | $207K | −23.2% of holding | −15.6% | +22.6% | 4,149 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-02-25 | SODERBERG SHAWN MARIE | officer | Sale | 25,244 @ $177.93 | $4.5M | −10.0% of holding | −16.9% | +13.7% | 227,048 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-25 | SODERBERG SHAWN MARIE | officer | Sale | 20,000 @ $180.00 | $3.6M | −5.0% of holding | −16.9% | +13.7% | 376,731 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-25 | Joshi Aman | officer | Sale | 10,000 @ $175.60 | $1.8M | −4.5% of holding | −16.9% | +13.7% | 210,465 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-24 | Sridhar KR | director | Sale | 200,000 @ $170.00 | $34.0M | −8.4% of holding | −5.4% | +18.8% | 2,189,869 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-17 | Joshi Aman | officer | Sale | 3,746 @ $139.81 | $524K | −1.8% of holding | +10.9% | +30.8% | 201,072 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-17 | SODERBERG SHAWN MARIE | officer | Sale | 3,332 @ $139.56 | $465K | −1.5% of holding | +10.9% | +30.8% | 219,871 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-17 | Chitoori Satish | officer | Sale | 1,521 @ $139.37 | $212K | −0.7% of holding | +10.9% | +30.8% | 230,017 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-16 | Kurzymski Maciej | officer | Sale | 3,264 @ $86.48 | $282K | −3.5% of holding | +68.5% | +264.5% | 90,005 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-16 | Chitoori Satish | officer | Sale | 431 @ $88.12 | $38K | −0.2% of holding | +68.5% | +264.5% | 229,449 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-26 | Joshi Aman | officer | Sale | 15,000 @ $97.80 | $1.5M | −6.8% of holding | −14.1% | +158.2% | 204,818 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-17 | SODERBERG SHAWN MARIE | officer | Sale | 1,583 @ $105.97 | $168K | −0.7% of holding | −29.0% | +151.6% | 221,633 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-14 | Joshi Aman | officer | Sale | 4,543 @ $109.13 | $496K | −2.0% of holding | −22.7% | +123.8% | 219,818 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-14 | SODERBERG SHAWN MARIE | officer | Sale | 2,733 @ $108.26 | $296K | −1.2% of holding | −22.7% | +123.8% | 223,216 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-14 | Chitoori Satish | officer | Sale | 2,085 @ $104.08 | $217K | −0.9% of holding | −22.7% | +123.8% | 229,880 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-05 | SODERBERG SHAWN MARIE | officer | Sale | 36,666 @ $141.00 | $5.2M | −14.0% of holding | −16.9% | +75.1% | 225,949 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-05 | BUSH MARY K | director | Sale | 36,000 @ $142.82 | $5.1M | −21.2% of holding | −16.9% | +75.1% | 133,524 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-11-05 | Snabe Jim H. | director | Sale | 20,000 @ $143.04 | $2.9M | −100.0% of holding | −16.9% | +75.1% | 0 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-05 | ZERVIGON EDDY | director | Sale | 20,000 @ $141.28 | $2.8M | −24.6% of holding | −16.9% | +75.1% | 61,161 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-05 | Kurzymski Maciej | officer | Sale | 13,105 @ $144.09 | $1.9M | −12.3% of holding | −16.9% | +75.1% | 93,269 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-16 | Kurzymski Maciej | officer | Sale | 2,474 @ $70.47 | $174K | −2.3% of holding | +58.0% | +112.9% | 106,374 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-16 | Chitoori Satish | officer | Sale | 400 @ $71.16 | $28K | −0.2% of holding | +58.0% | +112.9% | 231,965 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-29 | Sridhar KR | director | Sale | 37,955 @ $53.39 | $2.0M | −1.6% of holding | +56.2% | +183.0% | 2,378,663 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-08-28 | Sridhar KR | director | Sale | 39,000 @ $53.79 | $2.1M | −1.6% of holding | +31.7% | +196.5% | 2,368,951 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-28 | SODERBERG SHAWN MARIE | officer | Sale | 25,000 @ $52.00 | $1.3M | −10.0% of holding | +31.7% | +196.5% | 225,949 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-27 | Sridhar KR | director | Sale | 60,000 @ $49.70 | $3.0M | −2.5% of holding | +35.7% | +199.4% | 2,368,951 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-26 | Sridhar KR | director | Sale | 60,000 @ $49.98 | $3.0M | −2.5% of holding | +35.3% | +230.1% | 2,324,613 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-25 | Sridhar KR | director | Sale | 60,000 @ $48.97 | $2.9M | −2.5% of holding | +37.0% | +245.6% | 2,324,613 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-22 | ZERVIGON EDDY | director | Sale | 10,000 @ $48.62 | $486K | −11.0% of holding | +56.4% | +235.3% | 81,161 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
99 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Sridhar KR | director | Option exercise | 9,688 | 2,291,508 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Sridhar KR | director | Option exercise | 9,688 | 874,821 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-31 | Sridhar KR | director | Gift | 300,000 | 2,281,820 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-27 | Edwards Simon Stephen | officer | Award / grant | 15,000 | 25,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-30 | IMMELT JEFFREY R | director | Award / grant | 85 | 231,243 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-30 | WARNER CYNTHIA J | director | Award / grant | 76 | 34,895 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | IMMELT JEFFREY R | director | Award / grant | 1,417 | 231,158 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | WARNER CYNTHIA J | director | Award / grant | 1,063 | 34,819 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | ZERVIGON EDDY | director | Award / grant | 1,063 | 72,101 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Burger Barbara J | director | Award / grant | 1,063 | 38,940 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | BOSKIN MICHAEL J | director | Award / grant | 1,063 | 102,898 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | BUSH MARY K | director | Award / grant | 1,063 | 106,087 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | CHAMBERS JOHN T | director | Award / grant | 1,063 | 138,887 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Snabe Jim H. | director | Award / grant | 1,063 | 1,463 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Pinkus Gary S | director | Award / grant | 1,063 | 15,089 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-20 | Edwards Simon Stephen | officer | Award / grant | 10,000 | 10,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-19 | Sridhar KR | director | Option exercise | 80,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-19 | Sridhar KR | director | Option exercise | 80,000 | 2,569,869 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | BUSH MARY K | director | Gift | 3,500 | 105,024 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-31 | IMMELT JEFFREY R | director | Award / grant | 212 | 229,741 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-31 | WARNER CYNTHIA J | director | Award / grant | 166 | 33,756 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-24 | Kurzymski Maciej | officer | Award / grant | 3,880 | 88,174 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-15 | Joshi Aman | officer | Award / grant | 90,000 | 180,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-15 | Joshi Aman | officer | Award / grant | 168,750 | 302,022 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-15 | SODERBERG SHAWN MARIE | officer | Award / grant | 26,975 | 254,023 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-15 | Chitoori Satish | officer | Award / grant | 5,903 | 251,329 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-27 | Sridhar KR | director | Award / grant | 300,000 | 2,489,869 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-25 | SODERBERG SHAWN MARIE | officer | Option exercise | 20,000 | 252,292 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-25 | Chitoori Satish | officer | Award / grant | 15,409 | 245,426 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-25 | SODERBERG SHAWN MARIE | officer | Option exercise | 20,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-25 | SODERBERG SHAWN MARIE | officer | Award / grant | 12,421 | 232,292 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-25 | Joshi Aman | officer | Award / grant | 19,393 | 220,465 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-19 | IMMELT JEFFREY R | director | Gift | 4,000 | 218,417 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-31 | IMMELT JEFFREY R | director | Award / grant | 331 | 222,417 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-31 | WARNER CYNTHIA J | director | Award / grant | 259 | 23,713 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-31 | Pinkus Gary S | director | Award / grant | 230 | 5,399 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-31 | Snabe Jim H. | director | Award / grant | 201 | 357 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-05 | SODERBERG SHAWN MARIE | officer | Option exercise | 36,666 | 262,615 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-05 | Snabe Jim H. | director | Option exercise | 20,000 | 20,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-05 | SODERBERG SHAWN MARIE | officer | Option exercise | 36,666 | 0 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.