Issued 2026-09-16 at $28.56 · now $28.56 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, BDSX has typically landed between $18.87 and $42.66 — a range of −33.9% to +49.4% from the issuance price $28.56.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
1,456 overlapping 1 month windows · 2020-10-28 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($28.56) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where BDSX has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $28.56 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $28.56 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $27.24 (-4.6%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $22.62–$31.87
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $18.87–$42.66
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,456 windows spanning 2020-10-28 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2025-04-14 | −63.6% | −63.6% | +0.0% |
| 2025-04-15 | −61.5% | −61.5% | +0.1% |
| 2025-04-21 | −45.8% | −56.0% | +14.5% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2022-10-31 | +98.0% | +0.0% | +98.0% |
| 2026-02-05 | +94.8% | −0.3% | +94.8% |
| 2026-02-09 | +92.0% | +0.0% | +95.4% |
1,456 overlapping windows · 2020-10-28 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~6 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
67%
+4.2%
n=6
Feb
17%
−11.4%
n=6
Mar
17%
−11.6%
n=6
Apr
0%
−13.9%
n=6
May
33%
−3.1%
n=6
Jun
50%
+4.8%
n=6
Jul
50%
+3.2%
n=6
Aug
67%
+14.1%
n=6
Sep
33%
−8.1%
n=6
Oct
0%
−11.3%
n=5
Nov
67%
+23.9%
n=6
Dec
67%
+2.8%
n=6
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 | SCHULER JACK W | director | Purchase | 15,000 @ $24.47 | $367K | +2.8% of holding | +12.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 555,810 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-11 | SCHULER JACK W | director | Purchase | 13,700 @ $24.01 | $329K | +2.6% of holding | +8.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 540,810 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-10 | SCHULER JACK W | director | Purchase | 13,900 @ $24.25 | $337K | +2.7% of holding | +10.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 527,110 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-23 | Hutton Scott | director | Sale | 1,490 @ $12.78 | $19K | −3.0% of holding | +25.7% | +86.4% | 48,767 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-02-23 | Pestano Gary Anthony | officer | Sale | 556 @ $12.78 | $7K | −5.1% of holding | +25.7% | +86.4% | 10,359 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-02-23 | Cowie Robin Harper | officer | Sale | 535 @ $12.78 | $7K | −3.2% of holding | +25.7% | +86.4% | 16,231 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-02-23 | O'Kane Kieran | officer | Sale | 535 @ $12.78 | $7K | −5.2% of holding | +25.7% | +86.4% | 9,819 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-02-23 | Vazquez Chris | officer | Sale | 211 @ $12.78 | $3K | −11.7% of holding | +25.7% | +86.4% | 1,586 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-02-10 | Hutton Scott | director | Sale | 3,559 @ $10.08 | $36K | −7.3% of holding | +87.9% | +120.7% | 45,413 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-10 | Cowie Robin Harper | officer | Sale | 941 @ $10.08 | $9K | −5.8% of holding | +87.9% | +120.7% | 15,297 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-10 | O'Kane Kieran | officer | Sale | 584 @ $10.08 | $6K | −6.2% of holding | +87.9% | +120.7% | 8,885 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-10 | Pestano Gary Anthony | officer | Sale | 540 @ $10.08 | $5K | −5.4% of holding | +87.9% | +120.7% | 9,387 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-10 | Vazquez Chris | officer | Sale | 101 @ $10.08 | $1K | −7.6% of holding | +87.9% | +120.7% | 1,234 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-01-26 | SCHULER JACK W | director | Purchase | 20,000 @ $11.80 | $236K | +1.3% of holding | +28.1% | +100.9% | 1,563,210 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-01-23 | SCHULER JACK W | director | Purchase | 80,000 @ $11.81 | $945K | +5.5% of holding | +11.2% | +81.5% | 1,543,210 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-22 | SCHULER JACK W | director | Purchase | 82,465 @ $10.96 | $904K | +6.0% of holding | +16.0% | +90.4% | 1,463,210 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-16 | Hutton Scott | director | Sale | 970 @ $8.15 | $8K | −2.4% of holding | +60.3% | +159.5% | 38,974 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-16 | Cowie Robin Harper | officer | Sale | 298 @ $8.15 | $2K | −2.1% of holding | +60.3% | +159.5% | 13,654 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-16 | O'Kane Kieran | officer | Sale | 298 @ $8.15 | $2K | −3.6% of holding | +60.3% | +159.5% | 7,869 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-16 | Pestano Gary Anthony | officer | Sale | 298 @ $8.15 | $2K | −3.4% of holding | +60.3% | +159.5% | 8,446 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-16 | Vazquez Chris | officer | Sale | 83 @ $8.15 | $676 | −7.2% of holding | +60.3% | +159.5% | 1,072 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-10 | Hutton Scott | director | Sale | 189 @ $7.62 | $1K | −0.5% of holding | +7.1% | +84.6% | 37,311 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-10 | Cowie Robin Harper | officer | Sale | 50 @ $7.62 | $381 | −0.4% of holding | +7.1% | +84.6% | 13,147 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-10 | O'Kane Kieran | officer | Sale | 25 @ $7.62 | $191 | −0.3% of holding | +7.1% | +84.6% | 7,362 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-10 | Pestano Gary Anthony | officer | Sale | 23 @ $7.62 | $175 | −0.3% of holding | +7.1% | +84.6% | 7,939 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-10 | Vazquez Chris | officer | Sale | 13 @ $7.62 | $99 | −1.4% of holding | +7.1% | +84.6% | 936 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-19 | SCHULER JACK W | director | Purchase | 142,045 @ $7.04 | $1000K | +11.5% of holding | −8.3% | +106.7% | 1,380,745 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-18 | SCHULER JACK W | director | Purchase | 3,056 @ $6.17 | $19K | +0.2% of holding | −5.2% | +122.3% | 1,238,700 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-09-17 | SCHULER JACK W | director | Purchase | 15,317 @ $6.04 | $93K | +1.3% of holding | +11.4% | +161.8% | 1,235,644 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-29 | SCHULER JACK W | director | Purchase | 3,488,372 @ $0.43 | $1.5M | +16.7% of holding | −15.1% | +75.6% | 24,406,546 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-13 | Hutton Scott | director | Sale | 3,772 @ $0.42 | $2K | −0.5% of holding | −4.2% | +35.1% | 728,824 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-13 | Cowie Robin Harper | officer | Sale | 988 @ $0.42 | $411 | −0.4% of holding | −4.2% | +35.1% | 250,794 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-13 | O'Kane Kieran | officer | Sale | 476 @ $0.42 | $198 | −0.3% of holding | −4.2% | +35.1% | 140,065 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-13 | Pestano Gary Anthony | officer | Sale | 442 @ $0.42 | $184 | −0.3% of holding | −4.2% | +35.1% | 157,878 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-13 | Vazquez Chris | officer | Sale | 228 @ $0.42 | $95 | −1.2% of holding | −4.2% | +35.1% | 18,375 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-19 | SCHULER JACK W | director | Purchase | 723,239 @ $0.34 | $247K | +3.6% of holding | −8.7% | +19.0% | 20,918,174 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-16 | SCHULER JACK W | director | Purchase | 4,000,000 @ $0.27 | $1.1M | +24.7% of holding | −6.0% | +19.2% | 20,194,935 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-13 | Hutton Scott | director | Sale | 1,887 @ $0.35 | $666 | −0.3% of holding | −19.3% | −0.9% | 720,384 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-05-13 | Cowie Robin Harper | officer | Sale | 496 @ $0.35 | $175 | −0.2% of holding | −19.3% | −0.9% | 248,625 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-05-13 | O'Kane Kieran | officer | Sale | 238 @ $0.35 | $84 | −0.2% of holding | −19.3% | −0.9% | 139,052 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-05-13 | Pestano Gary Anthony | officer | Sale | 222 @ $0.35 | $78 | −0.1% of holding | −19.3% | −0.9% | 156,941 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-05-13 | Vazquez Chris | officer | Sale | 112 @ $0.35 | $40 | −0.6% of holding | −19.3% | −0.9% | 18,001 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-05-12 | Hutton Scott | director | Sale | 1,888 @ $0.36 | $679 | −0.3% of holding | −14.3% | −12.7% | 722,271 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-12 | Cowie Robin Harper | officer | Sale | 496 @ $0.36 | $178 | −0.2% of holding | −14.3% | −12.7% | 249,121 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-12 | O'Kane Kieran | officer | Sale | 239 @ $0.36 | $86 | −0.2% of holding | −14.3% | −12.7% | 139,290 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-12 | Pestano Gary Anthony | officer | Sale | 223 @ $0.36 | $80 | −0.1% of holding | −14.3% | −12.7% | 157,163 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-12 | Vazquez Chris | officer | Sale | 112 @ $0.36 | $40 | −0.6% of holding | −14.3% | −12.7% | 18,113 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-02-11 | Hutton Scott | director | Sale | 83,660 @ $0.92 | $77K | −10.6% of holding | −12.9% | −66.8% | 701,947 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-02-11 | Cowie Robin Harper | officer | Sale | 24,664 @ $0.92 | $23K | −9.1% of holding | −12.9% | −66.8% | 246,460 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-02-11 | O'Kane Kieran | officer | Sale | 17,527 @ $0.92 | $16K | −12.0% of holding | −12.9% | −66.8% | 128,039 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-02-11 | Pestano Gary Anthony | officer | Sale | 16,748 @ $0.92 | $15K | −9.7% of holding | −12.9% | −66.8% | 156,008 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-02-11 | Vazquez Chris | officer | Sale | 3,630 @ $0.92 | $3K | −17.1% of holding | −12.9% | −66.8% | 17,623 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
190 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | PATIENCE JOHN | director | Option exercise | 1,361 | 2,721 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-30 | PATIENCE JOHN | director | Option exercise | 1,361 | 25,383 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-30 | PATIENCE JOHN | director | Option exercise | 1,361 | 25,383 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-31 | PATIENCE JOHN | director | Option exercise | 1,361 | 4,082 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-31 | PATIENCE JOHN | director | Option exercise | 1,361 | 24,022 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-31 | PATIENCE JOHN | director | Option exercise | 1,361 | 24,022 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-20 | O'Kane Kieran | officer | Option exercise | 1,469 | 4,406 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-20 | Cowie Robin Harper | officer | Option exercise | 1,469 | 4,406 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-20 | Hutton Scott | director | Option exercise | 4,844 | 14,531 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-20 | Vazquez Chris | officer | Option exercise | 563 | 1,689 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-20 | Pestano Gary Anthony | officer | Option exercise | 1,528 | 4,582 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-20 | Hutton Scott | director | Option exercise | 4,844 | 50,257 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-20 | Pestano Gary Anthony | officer | Option exercise | 1,528 | 10,915 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-20 | Cowie Robin Harper | officer | Option exercise | 1,469 | 16,766 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-20 | Vazquez Chris | officer | Option exercise | 563 | 1,797 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-20 | O'Kane Kieran | officer | Option exercise | 1,469 | 10,354 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-20 | Pestano Gary Anthony | officer | Option exercise | 1,528 | 10,915 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-20 | Vazquez Chris | officer | Option exercise | 563 | 1,797 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-20 | Cowie Robin Harper | officer | Option exercise | 1,469 | 16,766 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-20 | O'Kane Kieran | officer | Option exercise | 1,469 | 10,354 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-20 | Hutton Scott | director | Option exercise | 4,844 | 50,257 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-09 | Hutton Scott | director | Option exercise | 610 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-09 | O'Kane Kieran | officer | Option exercise | 1,527 | 1,526 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-09 | Pestano Gary Anthony | officer | Option exercise | 1,413 | 1,412 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-09 | O'Kane Kieran | officer | Option exercise | 73 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-09 | Hutton Scott | director | Option exercise | 9,388 | 9,388 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-09 | Cowie Robin Harper | officer | Option exercise | 2,427 | 2,426 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-09 | Pestano Gary Anthony | officer | Option exercise | 68 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-09 | Cowie Robin Harper | officer | Option exercise | 157 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-09 | Vazquez Chris | officer | Option exercise | 235 | 234 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-09 | Vazquez Chris | officer | Option exercise | 28 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-09 | Hutton Scott | director | Option exercise | 9,998 | 48,972 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-09 | O'Kane Kieran | officer | Option exercise | 1,600 | 9,469 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-09 | Vazquez Chris | officer | Option exercise | 263 | 1,335 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-09 | Cowie Robin Harper | officer | Option exercise | 2,584 | 16,238 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-09 | Hutton Scott | director | Option exercise | 9,998 | 48,972 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-09 | Pestano Gary Anthony | officer | Option exercise | 1,481 | 9,927 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-09 | O'Kane Kieran | officer | Option exercise | 1,600 | 9,469 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-09 | Cowie Robin Harper | officer | Option exercise | 2,584 | 16,238 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-09 | Pestano Gary Anthony | officer | Option exercise | 1,481 | 9,927 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.