BDN · TickerCove

BDNBrandywine Realty TrustReal Estate · REIT - Officeas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $2.92 · now $2.92 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, BDN has typically landed between $2.41 and $3.35 — a range of −17.3% to +14.7% from the issuance price $2.92.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($2.92) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$2.92 · 33% of range

$2.34 low$4.09 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

−0.8%

typical move · IQR 12.8%

−17.3%worst (p90)+14.7%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where BDN has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $2.92 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $2.92 (+0.0%)
typical $2.9 (-0.8%)
middle 50% $2.71–$3.09
90% range $2.41–$3.35

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2008-09-26	−59.1%	−59.1%	+0.0%
2008-11-04	−56.6%	−61.5%	+0.0%
2008-10-30	−54.4%	−54.4%	+18.7%
3 best
2009-03-30	+140.9%	+0.0%	+140.9%
2009-03-25	+125.4%	−5.9%	+125.4%
2009-03-31	+125.0%	+0.0%	+125.0%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

55%

+1.3%

n=20

Feb

50%

−1.9%

n=20

Mar

55%

−2.6%

n=20

Apr

65%

+7.1%

n=20

May

55%

+0.5%

n=20

Jun

50%

−0.9%

n=20

Jul

65%

+2.4%

n=20

Aug

50%

+0.2%

n=20

Sep

35%

−3.0%

n=20

Oct

50%

−3.1%

n=20

Nov

55%

−0.5%

n=20

Dec

65%

+4.6%

n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-09-14	SWEENEY GERARD H	director	Purchase	33,900 @ $2.96	$100K	+0.8% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	4,207,691	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-10	SWEENEY GERARD H	director	Purchase	88,500 @ $3.38	$299K	+3.0% of holding	−11.5%	−15.3%	3,042,210	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-10-30	DIGGS JAMES C	director	Sale	23,190 @ $3.47	$80K	−15.3% of holding	−4.4%	−18.3%	128,672	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-09	DesRoches Reginald	director	Sale	15,000 @ $4.55	$68K	−15.1% of holding	−5.7%	−43.9%	84,466	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-02	SWEENEY GERARD H	director	Purchase	61,576 @ $4.07	$251K	+2.1% of holding	+1.9%	−31.5%	2,949,092	Form 4 · filed same day

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

105 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-07-06	SWEENEY GERARD H	director	Withheld for tax	1,749	4,168,150	Form 4
2026-05-28	HAVERSTICK H RICHARD JR	director	Award / grant	37,582	170,929	Form 4
2026-05-28	DesRoches Reginald	director	Award / grant	37,582	122,028	Form 4
2026-05-28	DIGGS JAMES C	director	Award / grant	37,582	166,254	Form 4
2026-05-28	PIZZI CHARLES P	director	Award / grant	37,582	203,772	Form 4
2026-05-28	Lau Joan	director	Award / grant	37,582	121,445	Form 4
2026-04-15	WIRTH TOM	officer	Withheld for tax	35,681	936,854	Form 4
2026-04-15	DEVUONO H JEFFREY	officer	Withheld for tax	24,632	770,998	Form 4
2026-04-15	Neuman Shawn	officer	Withheld for tax	21,114	267,083	Form 4
2026-04-15	REDD WILLIAM D	officer	Withheld for tax	10,009	666,358	Form 4
2026-04-15	SWEENEY GERARD H	director	Withheld for tax	5,988	4,169,899	Form 4
2026-04-15	PALAZZO DANIEL A	officer	Withheld for tax	2,405	246,751	Form 4
2026-02-27	SWEENEY GERARD H	director	Award / grant	607,595	4,185,339	Form 4
2026-02-27	WIRTH TOM	officer	Award / grant	210,197	977,475	Form 4
2026-02-27	DEVUONO H JEFFREY	officer	Award / grant	155,923	799,294	Form 4
2026-02-27	REDD WILLIAM D	officer	Award / grant	145,570	679,788	Form 4
2026-02-27	Neuman Shawn	officer	Award / grant	94,146	288,197	Form 4
2026-02-27	PALAZZO DANIEL A	officer	Award / grant	56,962	249,156	Form 4
2026-02-27	SWEENEY GERARD H	director	Withheld for tax	14,278	4,171,061	Form 4
2026-02-27	WIRTH TOM	officer	Withheld for tax	4,940	972,535	Form 4
2026-02-27	DEVUONO H JEFFREY	officer	Withheld for tax	3,664	795,630	Form 4
2026-02-27	REDD WILLIAM D	officer	Withheld for tax	3,421	676,367	Form 4
2026-02-04	SWEENEY GERARD H	director	Withheld for tax	4,178	3,549,720	Form 4
2026-02-04	WIRTH TOM	officer	Withheld for tax	2,698	767,278	Form 4
2026-02-04	PALAZZO DANIEL A	officer	Withheld for tax	2,305	192,194	Form 4
2026-01-23	WIRTH TOM	officer	Withheld for tax	36,883	699,788	Form 4
2026-01-23	WIRTH TOM	officer	Withheld for tax	33,536	769,976	Form 4
2026-01-23	Johnstone George	officer	Withheld for tax	26,405	532,837	Form 4
2026-01-23	Johnstone George	officer	Withheld for tax	24,505	574,364	Form 4
2026-01-23	DEVUONO H JEFFREY	officer	Withheld for tax	23,302	587,501	Form 4
2026-01-23	DEVUONO H JEFFREY	officer	Withheld for tax	17,234	643,371	Form 4
2026-01-23	Neuman Shawn	officer	Withheld for tax	14,795	173,650	Form 4
2026-01-23	SWEENEY GERARD H	director	Withheld for tax	13,923	3,553,898	Form 4
2026-01-23	REDD WILLIAM D	officer	Withheld for tax	13,535	534,218	Form 4
2026-01-23	REDD WILLIAM D	officer	Withheld for tax	13,295	479,503	Form 4
2026-01-23	SWEENEY GERARD H	director	Withheld for tax	9,432	3,257,361	Form 4
2026-01-23	Neuman Shawn	officer	Withheld for tax	7,807	194,051	Form 4
2026-01-23	PALAZZO DANIEL A	officer	Withheld for tax	7,431	194,499	Form 4
2026-01-22	Johnstone George	officer	Award / grant	52,825	559,242	Form 4
2026-01-22	REDD WILLIAM D	officer	Award / grant	68,250	547,753	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

27d remaining

2026-09-174% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i