BCICBCP Investment CorporationFinancial Services · Asset Managementas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $7.02 · now $7.02 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, BCIC has typically landed between $6.38 and $7.54 — a range of −9.1% to +7.4% from the issuance price $7.02.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,002 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($7.02) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where BCIC has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $7.02 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$6.38worst · -9.1%$7.54best · +7.4%
  • now $7.02 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $7.03 (+0.2%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $6.81–$7.25
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $6.38–$7.54
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,002 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-18−67.6%−67.6%+0.0%
2020-02-20−67.2%−67.2%+0.0%
2020-02-21−67.0%−67.0%+0.0%
3 best
2009-03-11+232.6%+0.0%+238.5%
2009-03-05+213.0%−7.5%+213.0%
2009-03-12+202.7%−4.1%+213.0%

5,002 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
70%
+1.4%
n=20
Feb
45%
−2.8%
n=20
Mar
55%
+0.7%
n=20
Apr
55%
+1.2%
n=20
May
50%
+2.4%
n=20
Jun
65%
+3.0%
n=20
Jul
45%
−0.5%
n=20
Aug
50%
+0.1%
n=20
Sep
50%
+1.8%
n=20
Oct
40%
−2.1%
n=20
Nov
35%
−0.9%
n=20
Dec
65%
+10.3%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$12$72026-06-22: 1 insider purchase, $98K — Goldthorpe Edward J.2026-05-18: 1 insider sale, $115K — Kehler Dean C2026-03-23: 1 insider sale, $274K — Kehler Dean C2026-03-23: 3 insider purchases, $61K — Grunebaum George, Held David, Satoren Brandon2026-03-20: 2 insider purchases, $35K — Schafer Patrick, Duka Alexander2026-03-19: 1 insider sale, $208K — Kehler Dean C2026-03-18: 2 insider sales, $208K — Kehler Dean C …2026-03-12: 2 insider sales, $148K — Kehler Dean C …2026-03-11: 2 insider sales, $89K — Kehler Dean C …2025-12-29: 2 insider sales, $351K — Kehler Dean C …2025-12-12: 5 insider purchases, $1.3M — Goldthorpe Edward J., Schafer Patrick, Grunebaum George, Morea Joseph …2025-09-19: 2 insider purchases, $22K — Satoren Brandon, Schafer Patrick2025-09: 2 open-market purchases, $22K2025-12: 5 open-market purchases, $1.3M2025-12: 2 open-market sales, $351K2026-03: 5 open-market purchases, $95K2026-03: 8 open-market sales, $927K2026-05: 1 open-market sale, $115K2026-06: 1 open-market purchase, $98K↑ buys↓ salesdirector Goldthorpe Edward J. — Purchase on 2026-06-22, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Kehler Dean C — Sale on 2026-05-18, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Kehler Dean C — Sale on 2026-03-23, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Grunebaum George — Purchase on 2026-03-23, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Held David — Purchase on 2026-03-23, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Satoren Brandon — Purchase on 2026-03-23, filed same daydirector Schafer Patrick — Purchase on 2026-03-20, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Duka Alexander — Purchase on 2026-03-20, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Kehler Dean C — Sale on 2026-03-19, filed same daydirector Kehler Dean C — Sale on 2026-03-18, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Kehler Dean C — Sale on 2026-03-18, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Kehler Dean C — Sale on 2026-03-12, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Kehler Dean C — Sale on 2026-03-12, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Kehler Dean C — Sale on 2026-03-11, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Kehler Dean C — Sale on 2026-03-11, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Kehler Dean C — Sale on 2025-12-29, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Kehler Dean C — Sale on 2025-12-29, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Goldthorpe Edward J. — Purchase on 2025-12-12, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Schafer Patrick — Purchase on 2025-12-12, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Grunebaum George — Purchase on 2025-12-12, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Morea Joseph — Purchase on 2025-12-12, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Satoren Brandon — Purchase on 2025-12-12, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Satoren Brandon — Purchase on 2025-09-19, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Schafer Patrick — Purchase on 2025-09-19, filed 4 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-06-22Goldthorpe Edward J.directorPurchase13,738 @ $7.16$98K+15.9% of holding+0.9%not yet — horizon still open99,878Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-18Kehler Dean CdirectorSale15,000 @ $7.64$115K−72.6% of holding−3.3%not yet — horizon still open5,649Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-23Kehler Dean CdirectorSale37,100 @ $7.38$274K−64.2% of holding+2.5%not yet — horizon still open20,649Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-23Grunebaum GeorgedirectorPurchase6,800 @ $7.54$51K+92.7% of holding+2.5%not yet — horizon still open14,136Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-23Held DavidofficerPurchase938 @ $7.35$7K+293.1% of holding+2.5%not yet — horizon still open1,258Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-23Satoren BrandonofficerPurchase325 @ $7.47$2K+6.9% of holding+2.5%not yet — horizon still open5,011Form 4 · filed same day
2026-03-20Schafer PatrickdirectorPurchase2,655 @ $7.48$20K+10.8% of holding+2.5%not yet — horizon still open27,265Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-03-20Duka AlexanderdirectorPurchase2,000 @ $7.33$15K+200.0% of holding+2.5%not yet — horizon still open3,000Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-03-19Kehler Dean CdirectorSale27,378 @ $7.60$208K−32.2% of holding+1.9%not yet — horizon still open57,749Form 4 · filed same day
2026-03-18Kehler Dean CdirectorSale23,000 @ $7.97$183K−21.3% of holding−2.4%not yet — horizon still open85,127Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-18Kehler Dean CdirectorSale3,089 @ $8.02$25K−3.5% of holding−2.4%not yet — horizon still open85,127Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-12Kehler Dean CdirectorSale16,200 @ $8.84$143K−12.7% of holding−7.0%−23.9%111,216Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-12Kehler Dean CdirectorSale500 @ $8.80$4K−0.4% of holding−7.0%−23.9%111,216Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-11Kehler Dean CdirectorSale9,000 @ $9.04$81K−6.6% of holding−8.2%−26.1%127,916Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-11Kehler Dean CdirectorSale854 @ $9.02$8K−0.7% of holding−8.2%−26.1%127,916Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-12-29Kehler Dean CdirectorSale28,673 @ $11.86$340K−17.2% of holding+2.0%−42.3%137,770Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-29Kehler Dean CdirectorSale957 @ $11.90$11K−0.7% of holding+2.0%−42.3%137,770Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-12Goldthorpe Edward J.directorPurchase73,367 @ $13.63$1000K+574.4% of holding−6.5%−47.4%86,140Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-12-12Schafer PatrickdirectorPurchase11,005 @ $13.63$150K+80.9% of holding−6.5%−47.4%24,610Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-12-12Grunebaum GeorgedirectorPurchase7,336 @ $13.63$100Kownership Δ n/a−6.5%−47.4%7,336Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-12-12Morea JosephdirectorPurchase3,668 @ $13.63$50K+425.5% of holding−6.5%−47.4%4,530Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-12-12Satoren BrandonofficerPurchase2,567 @ $13.63$35K+121.1% of holding−6.5%−47.4%4,686Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-09-19Satoren BrandonofficerPurchase1,000 @ $12.35$12K+89.6% of holding−7.4%−35.0%2,116Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-09-19Schafer PatrickdirectorPurchase809 @ $12.33$10K+6.6% of holding−7.4%−35.0%13,115Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.