BCC · TickerCove

BCCBoise Cascade CompanyBasic Materials · Paper, Lumber & Forest Productsas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $75.31 · now $75.31 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, BCC has typically landed between $63.28 and $89.32 — a range of −16.0% to +18.6% from the issuance price $75.31.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

3,402 overlapping 1 month windows · 2013-02-06 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($75.31) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$75.31 · 40% of range

$65.26 low$90.5 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

+1.3%

typical move · IQR 16.0%

−16.0%worst (p90)+18.6%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where BCC has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $75.31 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $75.31 (+0.0%)
typical $76.31 (+1.3%)
middle 50% $70.28–$82.34
90% range $63.28–$89.32

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 3,402 windows spanning 2013-02-06 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2020-02-20	−49.1%	−49.1%	+0.9%
2020-02-21	−48.2%	−49.6%	+0.0%
2020-02-18	−44.0%	−44.0%	+6.0%
3 best
2020-04-03	+43.5%	+0.0%	+56.7%
2020-03-30	+42.1%	−9.3%	+42.1%
2020-03-27	+38.2%	−8.3%	+38.2%

3,402 overlapping windows · 2013-02-06 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~14 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

69%

+4.4%

n=13

Feb

46%

−2.8%

n=13

Mar

36%

+0.4%

n=14

Apr

64%

+3.3%

n=14

May

57%

+0.2%

n=14

Jun

57%

+2.2%

n=14

Jul

43%

+4.7%

n=14

Aug

50%

+1.1%

n=14

Sep

36%

−2.9%

n=14

Oct

46%

−0.2%

n=13

Nov

85%

+8.7%

n=13

Dec

46%

−0.2%

n=13

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-27	Twedt Jill	officer	Sale	1,250 @ $79.40	$99K	−4.7% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	25,295	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-08-05	MATULA KRISTOPHER J	director	Sale	1,930 @ $84.58	$163K	−12.1% of holding	−9.5%	not yet — horizon still open	13,982	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-13	Twedt Jill	officer	Sale	6,070 @ $66.45	$403K	−18.6% of holding	+6.6%	not yet — horizon still open	26,545	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-22	Strom Jeffrey Robert	officer	Sale	1,000 @ $91.06	$91K	−2.6% of holding	−16.3%	−11.4%	37,026	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-08-07	Little Troy	officer	Sale	2,033 @ $83.10	$169K	−13.8% of holding	+4.7%	+0.2%	12,701	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-06	Twedt Jill	officer	Sale	1,782 @ $83.97	$150K	−5.1% of holding	+6.5%	+0.4%	32,867	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-04	Twedt Jill	officer	Sale	1,200 @ $88.01	$106K	−3.3% of holding	−1.7%	−27.5%	34,649	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-04	Barney Joanna L.	officer	Sale	1,000 @ $87.68	$88K	−7.5% of holding	−1.7%	−27.5%	12,372	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-05	Strom Jeffrey Robert	officer	Sale	4,500 @ $100.21	$451K	−10.6% of holding	+2.0%	−24.6%	38,026	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-03	MATULA KRISTOPHER J	director	Sale	447 @ $104.17	$47K	−3.1% of holding	+0.4%	−25.9%	14,099	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-25	MATULA KRISTOPHER J	director	Sale	553 @ $103.16	$57K	−4.1% of holding	−1.3%	−25.5%	13,099	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

59 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-04-30	Jorgensen Nate	director	Award / grant	252	216,712	Form 4
2026-03-03	Jorgensen Nate	director	Award / grant	1,813	215,711	Form 4
2026-03-01	Jorgensen Nate	director	Withheld for tax	23,829	224,340	Form 4
2026-03-01	Jorgensen Nate	director	Withheld for tax	10,442	213,898	Form 4
2026-03-01	HIBBS KELLY E.	officer	Withheld for tax	5,667	62,650	Form 4
2026-03-01	Strom Jeffrey Robert	officer	Withheld for tax	5,667	54,073	Form 4
2026-03-01	Twedt Jill	officer	Withheld for tax	4,057	32,680	Form 4
2026-03-01	Strom Jeffrey Robert	officer	Withheld for tax	2,563	51,510	Form 4
2026-03-01	HIBBS KELLY E.	officer	Withheld for tax	2,241	60,409	Form 4
2026-03-01	Barney Joanna L.	officer	Withheld for tax	1,714	15,627	Form 4
2026-03-01	Little Troy	officer	Withheld for tax	1,629	15,919	Form 4
2026-03-01	Twedt Jill	officer	Withheld for tax	1,581	31,099	Form 4
2026-03-01	Little Troy	officer	Withheld for tax	1,498	17,548	Form 4
2026-03-01	Barney Joanna L.	officer	Withheld for tax	1,376	17,341	Form 4
2026-03-01	Twedt Jill	officer	Award / grant	4,472	36,737	Form 4
2026-03-01	Taylor Sue Ying	director	Award / grant	1,813	10,876	Form 4
2026-03-01	COOPER STEVEN C	director	Award / grant	1,813	7,690	Form 4
2026-03-01	Dawson Craig O	director	Award / grant	1,813	7,422	Form 4
2026-03-01	Humphreys Amy	director	Award / grant	1,813	7,422	Form 4
2026-03-01	Strom Jeffrey Robert	officer	Award / grant	22,964	59,740	Form 4
2026-03-01	GOWLAND KAREN E	director	Award / grant	1,813	18,608	Form 4
2026-03-01	Barney Joanna L.	officer	Award / grant	6,345	18,717	Form 4
2026-03-01	HIBBS KELLY E.	officer	Award / grant	6,345	68,317	Form 4
2026-03-01	HANNAH DAVID H	director	Award / grant	1,813	22,145	Form 4
2026-03-01	MATULA KRISTOPHER J	director	Award / grant	1,813	15,912	Form 4
2026-03-01	MCDOUGALL DUANE CHARLES	director	Award / grant	1,813	21,505	Form 4
2026-03-01	MCGOWAN CHRISTOPHER J	director	Award / grant	1,813	13,297	Form 4
2026-03-01	CARLILE THOMAS E	director	Award / grant	2,115	31,709	Form 4
2026-03-01	Little Troy	officer	Award / grant	6,345	19,046	Form 4
2025-08-26	Strom Jeffrey Robert	officer	Gift	250	36,776	Form 4
2025-08-06	Twedt Jill	officer	Gift	602	32,265	Form 4
2025-03-01	Jorgensen Nate	director	Withheld for tax	12,008	257,534	Form 4
2025-03-01	Jorgensen Nate	director	Withheld for tax	9,365	248,169	Form 4
2025-03-01	HIBBS KELLY E.	officer	Withheld for tax	2,805	64,271	Form 4
2025-03-01	Strom Jeffrey Robert	officer	Withheld for tax	2,763	44,825	Form 4
2025-03-01	HIBBS KELLY E.	officer	Withheld for tax	2,299	61,972	Form 4
2025-03-01	Strom Jeffrey Robert	officer	Withheld for tax	2,299	42,526	Form 4
2025-03-01	Twedt Jill	officer	Withheld for tax	1,717	37,289	Form 4
2025-03-01	Twedt Jill	officer	Withheld for tax	1,440	35,849	Form 4
2025-03-01	Little Troy	officer	Withheld for tax	762	14,734	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

27d remaining

2026-09-174% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i