BBWI · TickerCove

BBWIBath & Body Works, Inc.as of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $16.73 · now $16.73 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, BBWI has typically landed between $13.16 and $20.40 — a range of −21.4% to +22.0% from the issuance price $16.73.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

4,673 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($16.73) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$16.73 · 13% of range

$14.56 low$30.86 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

−1.8%

typical move · IQR 17.1%

−21.4%worst (p90)+22.0%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

4 buys · 8 sells · 2 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where BBWI has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $16.73 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $16.73 (+0.0%)
typical $16.42 (-1.8%)
middle 50% $14.99–$17.85
90% range $13.16–$20.4

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,673 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2020-02-21	−61.9%	−61.9%	+1.2%
2020-02-18	−58.9%	−58.9%	+2.3%
2020-03-04	−58.3%	−62.3%	+0.0%
3 best
2020-07-10	+72.7%	+0.0%	+72.7%
2020-05-07	+72.6%	−6.4%	+72.6%
2020-06-29	+71.1%	−1.0%	+71.1%

4,673 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

44%

−1.3%

n=18

Feb

42%

+2.2%

n=19

Mar

58%

−2.9%

n=19

Apr

63%

+4.1%

n=19

May

42%

−0.0%

n=19

Jun

42%

−1.7%

n=19

Jul

42%

+5.4%

n=19

Aug

68%

+0.3%

n=19

Sep

63%

+1.8%

n=19

Oct

67%

−0.5%

n=18

Nov

67%

+7.5%

n=18

Dec

56%

+2.2%

n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2025-11-24	Symancyk James Kevin	director	Purchase	22,500 @ $15.58	$351K	+125.8% of holding	+23.2%	+18.4%	40,379	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-24	Nash Sarah E	director	Purchase	10,000 @ $15.58	$156K	+3.6% of holding	+23.2%	+18.4%	285,522	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-21	Voskuil Steven E	director	Purchase	20,000 @ $15.04	$301K	+143.6% of holding	+25.0%	+17.6%	33,925	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-11-21	STEINOUR STEPHEN D	director	Purchase	6,700 @ $14.86	$100K	+16.2% of holding	+25.0%	+17.6%	48,175	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-11-21	Hondal Francis	director	Purchase	3,343 @ $14.99	$50K	+18.4% of holding	+25.0%	+17.6%	21,554	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-11-21	Brady Lucy	director	Purchase	3,470 @ $14.40	$50K	+24.8% of holding	+25.0%	+17.6%	17,482	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

53 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-10	Aber Ann	officer	Award / grant	12,940	12,940	Form 4
2026-06-12	Javitch Tom	officer	Award / grant	10,309	59,003	Form 4
2026-06-11	Hondal Francis	director	Award / grant	7,970	13,611	Form 4
2026-06-11	Lee Danielle M.	director	Award / grant	7,970	26,181	Form 4
2026-06-11	Bogliolo Alessandro	director	Award / grant	7,970	24,490	Form 4
2026-06-11	STEINOUR STEPHEN D	director	Award / grant	7,970	56,145	Form 4
2026-06-11	Brady Lucy	director	Award / grant	7,970	25,452	Form 4
2026-06-11	Symancyk James Kevin	director	Award / grant	7,970	48,349	Form 4
2026-06-11	Voskuil Steven E	director	Award / grant	7,970	41,895	Form 4
2026-06-11	Rajlin Juan	director	Award / grant	7,970	24,490	Form 4
2026-06-11	Nash Sarah E	director	Award / grant	13,284	298,895	Form 4
2026-05-19	Mazurek Thomas E.	officer	Withheld for tax	4,127	115,170	Form 4
2026-05-19	Mazurek Thomas E.	officer	Award / grant	6,616	119,297	Form 4
2026-05-16	Heaf Daniel	director	Withheld for tax	7,334	288,249	Form 4
2026-03-13	Boratto Eva C	director	Withheld for tax	10,782	223,459	Form 4
2026-03-13	Mazurek Thomas E.	officer	Withheld for tax	6,327	112,681	Form 4
2026-03-12	Boratto Eva C	director	Award / grant	115,815	234,241	Form 4
2026-03-12	Mazurek Thomas E.	officer	Award / grant	40,921	118,654	Form 4
2026-03-12	Heaf Daniel	director	Award / grant	212,993	295,583	Form 4
2025-08-01	Boratto Eva C	director	Withheld for tax	6,533	118,426	Form 4
2025-06-05	Lee Danielle M.	director	Award / grant	5,641	18,211	Form 4
2025-06-05	Rajlin Juan	director	Award / grant	5,641	16,520	Form 4
2025-06-05	STEINOUR STEPHEN D	director	Award / grant	5,641	41,475	Form 4
2025-06-05	Voskuil Steven E	director	Award / grant	5,641	13,925	Form 4
2025-06-05	Brady Lucy	director	Award / grant	5,641	14,012	Form 4
2025-06-05	Hondal Francis	director	Award / grant	5,641	18,211	Form 4
2025-06-05	Symancyk James Kevin	director	Award / grant	5,641	17,879	Form 4
2025-06-05	Bogliolo Alessandro	director	Award / grant	5,641	16,520	Form 4
2025-06-05	Nash Sarah E	director	Award / grant	9,402	275,522	Form 4
2025-05-28	Wu Michael C.	officer	Withheld for tax	3,243	88,916	Form 4
2025-05-28	Wu Michael C.	officer	Withheld for tax	3,243	88,916	Form 4
2025-05-28	Mazurek Thomas E.	officer	Withheld for tax	1,390	77,733	Form 4
2025-05-28	Wu Michael C.	officer	Award / grant	7,150	92,159	Form 4
2025-05-28	Mazurek Thomas E.	officer	Award / grant	3,900	79,123	Form 4
2025-05-28	Wu Michael C.	officer	Award / grant	7,150	92,159	Form 4
2025-05-23	Heaf Daniel	director	Award / grant	82,590	82,590	Form 4
2025-05-19	Wu Michael C.	officer	Withheld for tax	2,301	85,009	Form 4
2025-05-19	Mazurek Thomas E.	officer	Withheld for tax	1,693	75,223	Form 4
2025-03-13	Mazurek Thomas E.	officer	Award / grant	30,668	79,571	Form 4
2025-03-13	Boswell Gina	director	Award / grant	111,775	332,712	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iiDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks

Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

Member	Chamber	Type	Filed	Traded	Size
Ro Khanna	House	sale	2026-02-06	2026-01-29	$1–15K
Ro Khanna	House	purchase	2024-09-06	2024-08-02	$1–15K
Ro Khanna	House	sale	2024-09-06	2024-08-02	$1–15K
Ro Khanna	House	purchase	2024-06-05	2024-05-28	$1–15K
Ro Khanna	House	purchase	2023-12-06	2023-11-03	$1–15K
Ro Khanna	House	sale	2023-09-06	2023-08-03	$1–15K
Ro Khanna	House	purchase	2023-06-12	2023-05-19	$1–15K
Susie Lee	House	sale	2022-12-29	2022-11-30	$1–15K
Ro Khanna	House	sale	2022-06-10	2022-05-23	$1–15K
Ro Khanna	House	sale	2022-06-10	2022-05-10	$1–15K
Ro Khanna	House	sale	2022-02-08	2022-01-21	$1–15K
Ro Khanna	House	sale	2022-02-08	2022-01-11	$1–15K

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Seasonality · by month i