BBTBeacon Financial Corp.Financial Services · Banks - Regionalas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $31.12 · now $31.12 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, BBT has typically landed between $27.78 and $35.40 — a range of −10.7% to +13.7% from the issuance price $31.12.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($31.12) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where BBT has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $31.12 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$27.78worst · -10.7%$35.4best · +13.7%
  • now $31.12 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $31.26 (+0.5%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $29.65–$32.87
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $27.78–$35.4
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-21−56.8%−56.8%+0.0%
2020-02-20−54.3%−54.3%+0.3%
2020-02-24−52.3%−56.3%+0.0%
3 best
2020-10-19+55.7%+0.0%+55.7%
2020-10-20+52.5%+0.0%+52.9%
2020-10-16+52.2%−1.4%+52.2%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
45%
−3.7%
n=20
Feb
55%
+1.2%
n=20
Mar
65%
−1.2%
n=20
Apr
45%
−0.4%
n=20
May
45%
−0.9%
n=20
Jun
65%
+1.1%
n=20
Jul
60%
+2.7%
n=20
Aug
35%
−1.3%
n=20
Sep
45%
+1.0%
n=20
Oct
70%
+1.4%
n=20
Nov
70%
+4.2%
n=20
Dec
65%
+2.9%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$33$222026-02-26: 1 insider sale, $538K — McCurdy Michael W.2025-11-04: 2 insider purchases, $202K — Hollister Thomas J, Callahan Mary Anne2025-11-03: 2 insider purchases, $65K — Carlson Carl M, Hughes William H III2025-09-12: 1 insider sale, $26K — Hill Willard I JR2025-09: 1 open-market sale, $26K2025-11: 4 open-market purchases, $267K2026-02: 1 open-market sale, $538K↑ buys↓ salesofficer McCurdy Michael W. — Sale on 2026-02-26, filed same daydirector Hollister Thomas J — Purchase on 2025-11-04, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Callahan Mary Anne — Purchase on 2025-11-04, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Carlson Carl M — Purchase on 2025-11-03, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Hughes William H III — Purchase on 2025-11-03, filed same daydirector Hill Willard I JR — Sale on 2025-09-12, filed 4 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-02-26McCurdy Michael W.officerSale17,333 @ $31.04$538K−40.4% of holding+2.0%−9.7%25,555Form 4 · filed same day
2025-11-04Hollister Thomas JdirectorPurchase4,200 @ $24.66$104K+128.2% of holding+3.0%+9.8%7,476Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-04Callahan Mary AnnedirectorPurchase4,000 @ $24.67$99K+29.9% of holding+3.0%+9.8%17,374Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-03Carlson Carl MofficerPurchase2,000 @ $24.69$49K+2.7% of holding+5.9%+10.7%75,690Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-03Hughes William H IIIdirectorPurchase635 @ $24.26$15K+4.9% of holding+5.9%+10.7%13,540Form 4 · filed same day
2025-09-12Hill Willard I JRdirectorSale1,000 @ $25.96$26K−7.5% of holding−6.9%+11.8%12,326Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

55 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-01PERRAULT PAUL AdirectorWithheld for tax4,333254,316Form 4
2026-09-01Carlson Carl MofficerWithheld for tax1,31484,732Form 4
2026-09-01McCurdy Michael W.officerWithheld for tax1,31434,575Form 4
2026-09-01Meiklejohn Mark J.officerWithheld for tax96356,639Form 4
2026-09-01Eagan John BuckleyofficerWithheld for tax2677,694Form 4
2026-09-01Levante Gary R.officerWithheld for tax10110,721Form 4
2026-08-19SHERMAN MERRILL WdirectorGift23,4212,509Form 4
2026-08-19SHERMAN MERRILL WdirectorGift23,42123,421Form 4
2026-06-16Gray SeanofficerAward / grant5,167134,075Form 4
2026-06-16Chang Joanne B.directorAward / grant2,50912,952Form 4
2026-06-16Hughes William H IIIdirectorAward / grant2,50916,848Form 4
2026-06-16Hill Willard I JRdirectorAward / grant2,50914,835Form 4
2026-06-16Maxfield SylviadirectorAward / grant2,50913,993Form 4
2026-06-16Charnley Nina AdirectorAward / grant2,50910,939Form 4
2026-06-16Desai Mihir A.directorAward / grant2,5099,344Form 4
2026-06-16SHERMAN MERRILL WdirectorAward / grant2,50925,930Form 4
2026-06-16Callahan Mary AnnedirectorAward / grant2,5092,509Form 4
2026-06-16Fitzgerald Margaret BolesdirectorAward / grant2,50918,580Form 4
2026-06-16Polito KaryndirectorAward / grant2,5097,958Form 4
2026-06-16Chang Joanne B.directorAward / grant2,50912,952Form 4
2026-06-16Carlson Carl MofficerAward / grant5,16786,024Form 4
2026-06-16Rosengren Eric SdirectorAward / grant2,5097,431Form 4
2026-06-16Levante Gary R.officerAward / grant2,1648,658Form 4
2026-06-16Levante Gary R.officerAward / grant2,16410,822Form 4
2026-06-16Meiklejohn Mark J.officerAward / grant4,42053,182Form 4
2026-06-16Meiklejohn Mark J.officerAward / grant4,42057,602Form 4
2026-06-16McCurdy Michael W.officerAward / grant5,16730,722Form 4
2026-06-16McCurdy Michael W.officerAward / grant5,16735,889Form 4
2026-06-16PERRAULT PAUL AdirectorAward / grant18,174240,475Form 4
2026-06-16PERRAULT PAUL AdirectorAward / grant18,174258,649Form 4
2026-06-16Carlson Carl MofficerAward / grant5,16780,857Form 4
2026-06-16Brunelle DaviddirectorAward / grant2,50921,899Form 4
2026-06-16Pereira John M.directorAward / grant2,50921,940Form 4
2026-06-16NOWAK BOGDANdirectorAward / grant2,509114,539Form 4
2026-06-16Hollister Thomas JdirectorAward / grant2,50925,426Form 4
2026-06-16Gray SeanofficerAward / grant5,167128,908Form 4
2025-09-19Carlson Carl MofficerAward / grant7,87973,690Form 4
2025-09-19McCurdy Michael W.officerAward / grant7,87942,888Form 4
2025-09-19Meiklejohn Mark J.officerAward / grant6,34148,762Form 4
2025-09-19PERRAULT PAUL AdirectorAward / grant17,921222,301Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.