BBBYBed Bath & Beyond Inc.as of 2026-08-27
Horizon

Issued 2026-08-27 at $4.35 · now $4.35 (2026-08-17, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-08-27 close, BBBY has typically landed between $2.93 and $6.09 — a range of −32.7% to +40.1% from the issuance price $4.35.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,652 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-06-30 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,411 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-08-27 issuance close ($4.35) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-09-25, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where BBBY has typically landed a month from the 2026-08-27 close of $4.35 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$2.93worst · -32.7%$6.09best · +40.1%
  • now $4.35 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $4.12 (-5.3%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $3.5–$4.74
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $2.93–$6.09
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,652 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-08-17. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-13−70.5%−70.5%+3.0%
2020-02-14−70.4%−70.7%+2.5%
2020-02-12−64.8%−64.8%+0.9%
3 best
2020-03-17+241.2%+0.0%+241.2%
2020-03-16+219.6%+0.0%+228.7%
2020-04-07+198.9%+0.0%+204.9%

4,652 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
44%
+4.8%
n=18
Feb
42%
−1.3%
n=19
Mar
47%
−3.3%
n=19
Apr
63%
+12.4%
n=19
May
58%
+6.5%
n=19
Jun
74%
+9.1%
n=19
Jul
63%
+13.2%
n=19
Aug
37%
−5.4%
n=19
Sep
44%
−1.6%
n=18
Oct
22%
−3.1%
n=18
Nov
56%
+1.7%
n=18
Dec
33%
−4.6%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-082025-07$12$42026-08-12: 1 insider purchase, $99K — LEMONIS MARCUS2026-08-06: 2 insider purchases, $105K — TABACCO JOSEPH J JR, Shapiro Robert Jacob2026-08-05: 1 insider purchase, $203K — LEMONIS MARCUS2026-06-04: 1 insider sale, $63K — Burkey Joanna M.2026-03-10: 1 insider purchase, $102K — TABACCO JOSEPH J JR2026-03: 1 open-market purchase, $102K2026-06: 1 open-market sale, $63K2026-08: 4 open-market purchases, $407K↑ buys↓ salesdirector LEMONIS MARCUS — Purchase on 2026-08-12, filed same daydirector TABACCO JOSEPH J JR — Purchase on 2026-08-06, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Shapiro Robert Jacob — Purchase on 2026-08-06, filed 1 day after the tradedirector LEMONIS MARCUS — Purchase on 2026-08-05, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Burkey Joanna M. — Sale on 2026-06-04, filed 4 days after the tradedirector TABACCO JOSEPH J JR — Purchase on 2026-03-10, filed 2 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-12LEMONIS MARCUSdirectorPurchase23,094 @ $4.30$99K+3.2% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open736,232Form 4 · filed same day
2026-08-06TABACCO JOSEPH J JRdirectorPurchase20,000 @ $4.57$91K+52.1% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open58,379Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-06Shapiro Robert JacobdirectorPurchase3,000 @ $4.51$14K+4.5% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open70,107Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-05LEMONIS MARCUSdirectorPurchase43,382 @ $4.67$203K+6.5% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open713,138Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-04Burkey Joanna M.directorSale9,943 @ $6.38$63K−23.4% of holding−9.6%not yet — horizon still open32,474Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-03-10TABACCO JOSEPH J JRdirectorPurchase20,000 @ $5.11$102K+13.6% of holding−3.3%not yet — horizon still open167,209Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

119 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-06LaRose BrianofficerAward / grant388,889388,889Form 4
2026-05-15Burkey Joanna M.directorOption exercise26,8730Form 4
2026-05-15Nettles William Benjamin JRdirectorOption exercise26,8730Form 4
2026-05-15Shapiro Robert JacobdirectorOption exercise26,8730Form 4
2026-05-15Corbus BarclaydirectorOption exercise26,8730Form 4
2026-05-15TABACCO JOSEPH J JRdirectorOption exercise26,8730Form 4
2026-05-15Perelman Debra GoldingdirectorOption exercise26,8730Form 4
2026-05-15Ward TamaradirectorAward / grant36,10536,105Form 4
2026-05-15Shapiro Robert JacobdirectorOption exercise26,87367,107Form 4
2026-05-15Burkey Joanna M.directorOption exercise26,87342,417Form 4
2026-05-15Corbus BarclaydirectorOption exercise26,873105,047Form 4
2026-05-15TABACCO JOSEPH J JRdirectorOption exercise26,87338,379Form 4
2026-05-15Perelman Debra GoldingdirectorOption exercise26,87332,174Form 4
2026-05-15Burkey Joanna M.directorOption exercise26,87342,417Form 4
2026-05-15Nettles William Benjamin JRdirectorOption exercise26,87349,747Form 4
2026-05-15Shapiro Robert JacobdirectorOption exercise26,87367,107Form 4
2026-05-15Nettles William Benjamin JRdirectorOption exercise26,87349,747Form 4
2026-05-15Perelman Debra GoldingdirectorOption exercise26,87332,174Form 4
2026-05-15Corbus BarclaydirectorOption exercise26,873105,047Form 4
2026-05-14Putnam Leah RofficerWithheld for tax9,74060,555Form 4
2026-05-14Putnam Leah RofficerWithheld for tax3,66874,433Form 4
2026-05-14Putnam Leah RofficerWithheld for tax2,83027,377Form 4
2026-05-14Putnam Leah RofficerWithheld for tax94030,295Form 4
2026-05-14Putnam Leah RofficerWithheld for tax80163,041Form 4
2026-05-14Putnam Leah RofficerWithheld for tax28918,585Form 4
2026-05-14Putnam Leah RofficerOption exercise3,2870Form 4
2026-05-14Putnam Leah RofficerOption exercise15,0600Form 4
2026-05-14Putnam Leah RofficerAward / grant1,0681,068Form 4
2026-05-14Dubois Lisa FoleyofficerAward / grant227,273227,273Form 4
2026-05-14TABACCO JOSEPH J JRdirectorAward / grant35,18135,181Form 4
2026-05-14Shapiro Robert JacobdirectorAward / grant35,18135,181Form 4
2026-05-14Sullivan Amy ErvindirectorAward / grant454,545454,545Form 4
2026-05-14Corbus BarclaydirectorAward / grant35,18135,181Form 4
2026-05-14Perelman Debra GoldingdirectorAward / grant35,18135,181Form 4
2026-05-14Burkey Joanna M.directorAward / grant35,18135,181Form 4
2026-05-14LEMONIS MARCUSdirectorAward / grant1,500,0001,500,000Form 4
2026-05-14Nettles William Benjamin JRdirectorAward / grant35,18135,181Form 4
2026-05-14Putnam Leah RofficerOption exercise1,1860Form 4
2026-05-14Putnam Leah RofficerOption exercise11,6220Form 4
2026-05-14Putnam Leah RofficerOption exercise3,8580Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-08-27 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Kevin HernHousesale2020-03-172020-02-27$1–15K
Greg GianforteSenatesale2019-10-202019-09-11$50–100K
Greg GianforteSenatepurchase2019-01-232018-12-21$50–100K
Thomas MacarthurHousesale2015-06-072015-05-27$1–15K
David B. MckinleyHousepurchase2015-04-302014-03-07$1–15K
Mr. David B. MckinleyHousesale2014-09-022014-08-19$1–15K
Robert P Corker JrSenatesale2014-06-102014-04-04$1–15K
Robert P Corker JrSenatesale2014-06-102014-04-08$1–15K
Robert P Corker JrSenatepurchase2014-06-102014-01-08$1–15K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.