BATRKAtlanta Braves Holdings, Inc.Communication Services · Entertainmentas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $50.68 · now $50.68 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, BATRK has typically landed between $46.98 and $56.56 — a range of −7.3% to +11.6% from the issuance price $50.68.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

2,598 overlapping 1 month windows · 2016-04-18 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($50.68) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where BATRK has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $50.68 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$46.98worst · -7.3%$56.56best · +11.6%
  • now $50.68 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $50.9 (+0.4%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $48.9–$52.89
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $46.98–$56.56
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 2,598 windows spanning 2016-04-18 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-18−53.3%−53.3%+0.0%
2020-02-19−45.2%−53.1%+0.0%
2020-02-21−45.1%−52.4%+0.0%
3 best
2020-03-18+33.9%+0.0%+42.4%
2020-11-02+31.2%+0.0%+31.2%
2020-10-28+28.3%+0.0%+30.2%

2,598 overlapping windows · 2016-04-18 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~11 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
70%
+2.6%
n=10
Feb
50%
+0.6%
n=10
Mar
30%
−1.3%
n=10
Apr
50%
+2.1%
n=10
May
55%
+1.3%
n=11
Jun
64%
+2.3%
n=11
Jul
55%
+2.5%
n=11
Aug
36%
−1.2%
n=11
Sep
73%
+0.7%
n=11
Oct
30%
+0.8%
n=10
Nov
50%
+3.0%
n=10
Dec
40%
+1.0%
n=10

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$54$382026-08-19: 1 insider sale, $1.6M — Robinson Jill L.2026-02-25: 1 insider purchase, $630K — MALONE JOHN C2026-02-25: 1 insider sale, $630K — MALONE JOHN C2026-02-13: 1 insider sale, $2.5M — Robinson Jill L.2026-02-02: 1 insider sale, $800K — Robinson Jill L.2025-12-12: 6 insider sales, $1.1M — Heller Gregory John, MCGUIRK TERENCE F, Plant Michael P., Schiller Derek Gordon …2025-12-05: 6 insider sales, $1.7M — MCGUIRK TERENCE F, Plant Michael P., Schiller Derek Gordon, Robinson Jill L. …2025-12-01: 1 insider sale, $789K — Robinson Jill L.2025-10-01: 1 insider sale, $820K — Robinson Jill L.2025-08-21: 1 insider sale, $2.6M — Heller Gregory John2025-08-15: 1 insider sale, $1.8M — Robinson Jill L.2025-08: 2 open-market sales, $4.4M2025-10: 1 open-market sale, $820K2025-12: 13 open-market sales, $3.6M2026-02: 1 open-market purchase, $630K2026-02: 3 open-market sales, $4.0M2026-08: 1 open-market sale, $1.6M↑ buys↓ salesofficer Robinson Jill L. — Sale on 2026-08-19, filed 2 days after the tradedirector MALONE JOHN C — Purchase on 2026-02-25, filed 2 days after the tradedirector MALONE JOHN C — Sale on 2026-02-25, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Robinson Jill L. — Sale on 2026-02-13, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer Robinson Jill L. — Sale on 2026-02-02, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Heller Gregory John — Sale on 2025-12-12, filed 3 days after the tradedirector MCGUIRK TERENCE F — Sale on 2025-12-12, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Plant Michael P. — Sale on 2025-12-12, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Schiller Derek Gordon — Sale on 2025-12-12, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Robinson Jill L. — Sale on 2025-12-12, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Rhodes DeRetta C. — Sale on 2025-12-12, filed 3 days after the tradedirector MCGUIRK TERENCE F — Sale on 2025-12-05, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Plant Michael P. — Sale on 2025-12-05, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Schiller Derek Gordon — Sale on 2025-12-05, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Robinson Jill L. — Sale on 2025-12-05, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Heller Gregory John — Sale on 2025-12-05, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Rhodes DeRetta C. — Sale on 2025-12-05, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Robinson Jill L. — Sale on 2025-12-01, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Robinson Jill L. — Sale on 2025-10-01, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Heller Gregory John — Sale on 2025-08-21, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Robinson Jill L. — Sale on 2025-08-15, filed 4 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-19Robinson Jill L.officerSale30,263 @ $52.84$1.6M−27.6% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open79,460Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-25MALONE JOHN CdirectorPurchase10,868 @ $58.00$630K+296.2% of holding+2.9%+6.7%14,537Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-25MALONE JOHN CdirectorSale14,614 @ $43.13$630K−0.5% of holding+2.9%+6.7%2,662,534Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-13Robinson Jill L.officerSale60,000 @ $42.00$2.5M−43.0% of holding+2.9%+8.2%79,460Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-02-02Robinson Jill L.officerSale20,000 @ $40.00$800K−20.1% of holding+10.9%+16.2%79,460Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-12Heller Gregory JohnofficerSale7,423 @ $39.71$295K−24.6% of holding−0.7%+18.4%22,741Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-12-12MCGUIRK TERENCE FdirectorSale6,688 @ $39.72$266K−2.6% of holding−0.7%+18.4%248,695Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-12-12Plant Michael P.officerSale4,874 @ $39.74$194K−1.9% of holding−0.7%+18.4%245,593Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-12-12Schiller Derek GordondirectorSale4,874 @ $39.73$194K−1.5% of holding−0.7%+18.4%316,908Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-12-12Robinson Jill L.officerSale3,830 @ $39.70$152K−4.6% of holding−0.7%+18.4%79,460Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-12-12Rhodes DeRetta C.officerSale826 @ $39.71$33K−12.0% of holding−0.7%+18.4%6,040Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-12-05MCGUIRK TERENCE FdirectorSale12,012 @ $38.63$464K−4.8% of holding+1.1%+20.9%240,341Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-12-05Plant Michael P.officerSale8,893 @ $38.65$344K−3.6% of holding+1.1%+20.9%239,325Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-12-05Schiller Derek GordondirectorSale8,343 @ $38.63$322K−2.6% of holding+1.1%+20.9%310,640Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-12-05Robinson Jill L.officerSale6,875 @ $38.65$266K−8.3% of holding+1.1%+20.9%75,630Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-12-05Heller Gregory JohnofficerSale6,122 @ $38.63$236K−21.4% of holding+1.1%+20.9%22,504Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-12-05Rhodes DeRetta C.officerSale1,501 @ $38.70$58K−23.1% of holding+1.1%+20.9%4,986Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-12-01Robinson Jill L.officerSale20,000 @ $39.46$789K−22.5% of holding−0.8%+10.9%68,755Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-10-01Robinson Jill L.officerSale20,000 @ $41.00$820K−22.5% of holding−4.2%+8.4%68,755Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-21Heller Gregory JohnofficerSale60,000 @ $43.45$2.6M−80.1% of holding−10.8%−10.4%14,876Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-15Robinson Jill L.officerSale40,000 @ $43.82$1.8M−36.8% of holding−8.1%−8.2%68,755Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-06-20Schiller Derek GordondirectorSale15,000 @ $46.00$690K−4.8% of holding−4.4%−27.0%300,233Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-06-20Schiller Derek GordondirectorSale15,000 @ $45.00$675K−4.5% of holding−4.4%−27.0%315,233Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-06-18Schiller Derek GordondirectorSale40,000 @ $44.00$1.8M−11.8% of holding+0.6%−21.1%300,233Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-06-11Plant Michael P.officerSale69,000 @ $43.00$3.0M−25.1% of holding+2.9%−25.8%205,593Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-06-11Schiller Derek GordondirectorSale40,000 @ $43.00$1.7M−10.7% of holding+2.9%−25.8%332,738Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-06-11Schiller Derek GordondirectorSale32,505 @ $43.00$1.4M−9.8% of holding+2.9%−25.8%300,233Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-15Rhodes DeRetta C.officerSale5,000 @ $41.20$206K−61.6% of holding+1.7%−21.4%3,112Form 4 · filed same day
2025-05-14Rhodes DeRetta C.officerSale767 @ $40.97$31K−19.8% of holding+1.9%−22.0%3,112Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-12Heller Gregory JohnofficerSale25,000 @ $41.25$1.0M−62.7% of holding+3.5%−22.5%14,876Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-03Heller Gregory JohnofficerSale25,000 @ $41.00$1.0M−62.7% of holding+2.9%−1.5%14,876Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2024-12-12MCGUIRK TERENCE FdirectorSale20,166 @ $39.93$805K−4.0% of holding−6.2%+6.9%490,353Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2024-12-12Schiller Derek GordondirectorSale14,940 @ $39.93$597K−4.3% of holding−6.2%+6.9%332,738Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2024-12-12Plant Michael P.officerSale14,940 @ $39.93$597K−5.2% of holding−6.2%+6.9%274,593Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2024-12-12Robinson Jill L.officerSale10,274 @ $39.93$410K−13.0% of holding−6.2%+6.9%68,755Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2024-12-12Heller Gregory JohnofficerSale10,274 @ $39.93$410K−40.9% of holding−6.2%+6.9%14,876Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2024-12-12Rhodes DeRetta C.officerSale2,528 @ $39.93$101K−39.5% of holding−6.2%+6.9%3,879Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

113 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-19Robinson Jill L.officerOption exercise30,263109,723Form 4
2026-08-19Robinson Jill L.officerOption exercise30,2630Form 4
2026-02-13Robinson Jill L.officerOption exercise60,000139,460Form 4
2026-02-13Robinson Jill L.officerOption exercise60,00030,263Form 4
2026-02-02Robinson Jill L.officerOption exercise20,00099,460Form 4
2026-02-02Robinson Jill L.officerOption exercise20,00090,263Form 4
2025-12-11Schiller Derek GordondirectorOption exercise11,142321,782Form 4
2025-12-11MCGUIRK TERENCE FdirectorOption exercise15,042255,383Form 4
2025-12-11Rhodes DeRetta C.officerOption exercise1,8806,866Form 4
2025-12-11Rhodes DeRetta C.officerOption exercise1,8801,881Form 4
2025-12-11Plant Michael P.officerOption exercise11,14211,142Form 4
2025-12-11Heller Gregory JohnofficerOption exercise7,66030,164Form 4
2025-12-11Heller Gregory JohnofficerOption exercise7,6607,661Form 4
2025-12-11MCGUIRK TERENCE FdirectorOption exercise15,04215,042Form 4
2025-12-11Schiller Derek GordondirectorOption exercise11,14211,142Form 4
2025-12-11Robinson Jill L.officerOption exercise7,66083,290Form 4
2025-12-11Robinson Jill L.officerOption exercise7,6607,661Form 4
2025-12-11Plant Michael P.officerOption exercise11,142250,467Form 4
2025-12-04DEEVY BRIANdirectorWithheld for tax5958,031Form 4
2025-12-04DEEVY BRIANdirectorOption exercise8888,626Form 4
2025-12-04Lucas Wonya YdirectorOption exercise2,6250Form 4
2025-12-04Lucas Wonya YdirectorAward / grant2,9812,981Form 4
2025-12-04MCGUIRK TERENCE FdirectorOption exercise27,000252,353Form 4
2025-12-04MCGUIRK TERENCE FdirectorOption exercise27,0000Form 4
2025-12-04MCGUIRK TERENCE FdirectorAward / grant176,212176,212Form 4
2025-12-04Heller Gregory JohnofficerOption exercise13,75028,626Form 4
2025-12-04MURPHY DIANA MdirectorOption exercise2,6250Form 4
2025-12-04MURPHY DIANA MdirectorAward / grant2,9812,981Form 4
2025-12-04Plant Michael P.officerOption exercise20,0000Form 4
2025-12-04Plant Michael P.officerAward / grant20,73120,731Form 4
2025-12-04Robinson Jill L.officerOption exercise13,7500Form 4
2025-12-04Robinson Jill L.officerAward / grant14,25314,253Form 4
2025-12-04Schiller Derek GordondirectorOption exercise18,750318,983Form 4
2025-12-04MURPHY DIANA MdirectorOption exercise2,6254,679Form 4
2025-12-04Heller Gregory JohnofficerOption exercise13,7500Form 4
2025-12-04Heller Gregory JohnofficerAward / grant14,25314,253Form 4
2025-12-04Plant Michael P.officerOption exercise20,000248,218Form 4
2025-12-04Rhodes DeRetta C.officerOption exercise3,3756,487Form 4
2025-12-04Rhodes DeRetta C.officerOption exercise3,3750Form 4
2025-12-04Rhodes DeRetta C.officerAward / grant3,4993,499Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.