BATRAAtlanta Braves Holdings, Inc.Communication Services · Entertainmentas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $55.96 · now $55.96 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, BATRA has typically landed between $52.09 and $62.69 — a range of −6.9% to +12.0% from the issuance price $55.96.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

2,598 overlapping 1 month windows · 2016-04-18 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($55.96) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where BATRA has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $55.96 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$52.09worst · -6.9%$62.69best · +12.0%
  • now $55.96 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $56.24 (+0.5%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $53.96–$58.51
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $52.09–$62.69
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 2,598 windows spanning 2016-04-18 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-18−52.2%−52.2%+0.0%
2020-02-21−44.2%−51.3%+0.0%
2020-02-19−43.7%−52.1%+0.0%
3 best
2020-03-18+35.2%+0.0%+41.9%
2020-11-02+31.7%+0.0%+31.7%
2020-11-04+28.4%−0.4%+28.4%

2,598 overlapping windows · 2016-04-18 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~11 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
70%
+3.6%
n=10
Feb
50%
+0.7%
n=10
Mar
40%
−1.0%
n=10
Apr
50%
+1.8%
n=10
May
36%
+0.8%
n=11
Jun
64%
+1.8%
n=11
Jul
55%
+3.8%
n=11
Aug
45%
−1.3%
n=11
Sep
73%
+0.4%
n=11
Oct
30%
+0.8%
n=10
Nov
60%
+3.2%
n=10
Dec
40%
+0.4%
n=10

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$58$422026-03-02: 1 insider sale, $24K — GAMCO INVESTORS, INC. ET AL2026-02-05: 1 insider purchase, $1.5M — MALONE JOHN C2026-02-04: 1 insider purchase, $177K — MALONE JOHN C2025-11-19: 1 insider purchase, $95K — MALONE JOHN C2025-11-18: 1 insider purchase, $194K — MALONE JOHN C2025-11-17: 1 insider purchase, $1.2M — MALONE JOHN C2025-11-14: 1 insider purchase, $788K — MALONE JOHN C2025-11-13: 1 insider purchase, $67K — MALONE JOHN C2025-11-10: 1 insider purchase, $161K — MALONE JOHN C2025-11-07: 1 insider purchase, $973K — MALONE JOHN C2025-11-06: 1 insider purchase, $1.3M — MALONE JOHN C2025-10-27: 1 insider purchase, $35K — MALONE JOHN C2025-09-29: 1 insider sale, $23K — GAMCO INVESTORS, INC. ET AL2025-09-26: 1 insider sale, $23K — GAMCO INVESTORS, INC. ET AL2025-09-25: 1 insider sale, $36K — GAMCO INVESTORS, INC. ET AL2025-09-19: 1 insider sale, $50K — GAMCO INVESTORS, INC. ET AL2025-09-18: 1 insider sale, $36K — GAMCO INVESTORS, INC. ET AL2025-09: 5 open-market sales, $168K2025-10: 1 open-market purchase, $35K2025-11: 8 open-market purchases, $4.8M2026-02: 2 open-market purchases, $1.7M2026-03: 1 open-market sale, $24K↑ buys↓ salestenPercentOwner GAMCO INVESTORS, INC. ET AL — Sale on 2026-03-02, filed 1 day after the tradedirector MALONE JOHN C — Purchase on 2026-02-05, filed 1 day after the tradedirector MALONE JOHN C — Purchase on 2026-02-04, filed 2 days after the tradedirector MALONE JOHN C — Purchase on 2025-11-19, filed 2 days after the tradedirector MALONE JOHN C — Purchase on 2025-11-18, filed 1 day after the tradedirector MALONE JOHN C — Purchase on 2025-11-17, filed 2 days after the tradedirector MALONE JOHN C — Purchase on 2025-11-14, filed 3 days after the tradedirector MALONE JOHN C — Purchase on 2025-11-13, filed 4 days after the tradedirector MALONE JOHN C — Purchase on 2025-11-10, filed 3 days after the tradedirector MALONE JOHN C — Purchase on 2025-11-07, filed 3 days after the tradedirector MALONE JOHN C — Purchase on 2025-11-06, filed 4 days after the tradedirector MALONE JOHN C — Purchase on 2025-10-27, filed 2 days after the tradetenPercentOwner GAMCO INVESTORS, INC. ET AL — Sale on 2025-09-29, filed 1 day after the tradetenPercentOwner GAMCO INVESTORS, INC. ET AL — Sale on 2025-09-26, filed same daytenPercentOwner GAMCO INVESTORS, INC. ET AL — Sale on 2025-09-25, filed 1 day after the tradetenPercentOwner GAMCO INVESTORS, INC. ET AL — Sale on 2025-09-19, filed same daytenPercentOwner GAMCO INVESTORS, INC. ET AL — Sale on 2025-09-18, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-03-02GAMCO INVESTORS, INC. ET ALtenPercentOwnerSale500 @ $48.20$24K−4.2% of holding+2.4%+1.3%11,500Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-05MALONE JOHN CdirectorPurchase35,000 @ $44.23$1.5M+7.2% of holding+11.5%+7.5%521,862Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-04MALONE JOHN CdirectorPurchase3,669 @ $48.17$177Kownership Δ n/a+12.0%+6.8%3,669Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-19MALONE JOHN CdirectorPurchase2,259 @ $42.00$95K+0.5% of holding−1.5%+12.9%486,862Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-18MALONE JOHN CdirectorPurchase4,631 @ $41.99$194K+1.0% of holding+0.7%+13.8%484,603Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-17MALONE JOHN CdirectorPurchase28,567 @ $41.97$1.2M+6.3% of holding+2.9%+15.8%479,972Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-14MALONE JOHN CdirectorPurchase18,787 @ $41.97$788K+4.3% of holding+1.6%+16.8%451,405Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-11-13MALONE JOHN CdirectorPurchase1,600 @ $41.99$67K+0.4% of holding+2.5%+18.5%432,618Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-11-10MALONE JOHN CdirectorPurchase3,840 @ $41.99$161K+0.9% of holding−0.7%+18.2%431,018Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-11-07MALONE JOHN CdirectorPurchase23,200 @ $41.96$973K+5.7% of holding−0.6%+18.1%427,178Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-11-06MALONE JOHN CdirectorPurchase31,431 @ $41.95$1.3M+8.4% of holding−1.3%+18.7%403,978Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-10-27MALONE JOHN CdirectorPurchase840 @ $41.99$35K+0.2% of holding+2.2%+18.1%372,547Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-29GAMCO INVESTORS, INC. ET ALtenPercentOwnerSale500 @ $45.35$23K−100.0% of holding−10.6%+4.7%0Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-26GAMCO INVESTORS, INC. ET ALtenPercentOwnerSale500 @ $45.51$23K−50.0% of holding−9.4%+7.1%500Form 4 · filed same day
2025-09-25GAMCO INVESTORS, INC. ET ALtenPercentOwnerSale800 @ $45.41$36K−44.4% of holding−9.2%+4.6%1,000Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-19GAMCO INVESTORS, INC. ET ALtenPercentOwnerSale1,100 @ $45.19$50K−37.9% of holding−7.5%+2.6%1,800Form 4 · filed same day
2025-09-18GAMCO INVESTORS, INC. ET ALtenPercentOwnerSale800 @ $45.49$36K−21.6% of holding−6.2%+2.5%2,900Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-20GAMCO INVESTORS, INC. ET ALtenPercentOwnerSale100 @ $48.12$5K−2.6% of holding−4.0%−25.6%3,700Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-05-28GABELLI MARIO JdirectorPurchase1,549 @ $43.45$67K+6.1% of holding+9.9%−16.4%27,152Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-23GABELLI MARIO JdirectorPurchase451 @ $43.45$20K+1.8% of holding+6.7%−15.8%25,603Form 4 · filed 6 days after the trade
2025-04-21MALONE JOHN CdirectorPurchase8,371 @ $41.94$351K+2.3% of holding−10.7%−31.0%371,707Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-04-17MALONE JOHN CdirectorPurchase282 @ $42.00$12K+0.1% of holding−8.3%−26.1%363,336Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-04-16MALONE JOHN CdirectorPurchase25,182 @ $41.91$1.1M+7.5% of holding−6.6%−23.9%363,054Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-04-15MALONE JOHN CdirectorPurchase1,202 @ $42.00$50K+0.4% of holding−3.3%−21.1%337,872Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-04-14MALONE JOHN CdirectorPurchase3,609 @ $41.99$152K+1.1% of holding−3.6%−20.3%336,670Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-04-11MALONE JOHN CdirectorPurchase2,191 @ $41.99$92K+0.7% of holding−4.7%−21.9%333,061Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-04-10MALONE JOHN CdirectorPurchase44,258 @ $41.80$1.8M+15.4% of holding−6.7%−23.3%330,870Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-04-09MALONE JOHN CdirectorPurchase32,184 @ $40.57$1.3M+12.6% of holding−0.6%−20.8%286,612Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-04-08MALONE JOHN CdirectorPurchase38,452 @ $40.28$1.5M+17.8% of holding−3.9%−27.1%254,428Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-14MALONE JOHN CdirectorPurchase1,135 @ $42.00$48K+0.5% of holding+4.0%−10.5%215,976Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-03-13MALONE JOHN CdirectorPurchase723 @ $41.99$30K+0.3% of holding+3.0%−11.5%214,841Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-12MALONE JOHN CdirectorPurchase2,760 @ $41.99$116K+1.3% of holding+6.2%−8.9%214,118Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-01-29MALONE JOHN CdirectorPurchase24,646 @ $41.94$1.0M+13.2% of holding+6.9%+7.0%211,358Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-01-28MALONE JOHN CdirectorPurchase17,190 @ $41.99$722K+10.1% of holding+6.0%+8.4%186,712Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-01-27MALONE JOHN CdirectorPurchase5,094 @ $41.94$214K+3.1% of holding+3.7%+7.4%169,522Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-01-23MALONE JOHN CdirectorPurchase18,408 @ $41.10$757K+12.6% of holding+7.3%+14.6%164,428Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-01-22MALONE JOHN CdirectorPurchase15,192 @ $40.62$617K+11.6% of holding+7.7%+17.1%146,020Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-01-10Associated Capital Group, Inc.tenPercentOwnerPurchase2,000 @ $39.19$78K+19.0% of holding+6.9%+17.3%12,550Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.