BANR · TickerCove

BANRBanner CorporationFinancial Services · Banks - Regionalas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $71.08 · now $71.08 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, BANR has typically landed between $63.34 and $80.26 — a range of −10.9% to +12.9% from the issuance price $71.08.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($71.08) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$71.08 · 83% of range

$57.18 low$74.01 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

+0.3%

typical move · IQR 10.5%

−10.9%worst (p90)+12.9%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where BANR has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $71.08 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $71.08 (+0.0%)
typical $71.33 (+0.3%)
middle 50% $67.6–$75.05
90% range $63.34–$80.26

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2009-01-02	−70.9%	−70.9%	+0.0%
2009-01-05	−69.9%	−70.2%	+0.0%
2009-01-06	−69.3%	−69.3%	+0.0%
3 best
2010-03-24	+107.2%	−4.7%	+107.2%
2010-03-23	+105.3%	−4.5%	+105.3%
2009-04-08	+95.0%	+0.0%	+95.0%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

40%

−5.0%

n=20

Feb

40%

−0.3%

n=20

Mar

65%

+1.1%

n=20

Apr

45%

+5.9%

n=20

May

40%

−1.1%

n=20

Jun

60%

−5.8%

n=20

Jul

70%

+4.8%

n=20

Aug

50%

−1.8%

n=20

Sep

45%

+0.6%

n=20

Oct

65%

+4.6%

n=20

Nov

60%

+1.8%

n=20

Dec

50%

+2.1%

n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

238 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-09-14	McLean James P.G.	officer	Disposition	1,070	21,323	Form 4
2026-09-10	Harrison Karen	officer	Disposition	1,314	12,324	Form 4
2026-07-31	Costa James M	officer	Withheld for tax	386	42,467	Form 4
2026-07-31	Newman Scott S.	officer	Withheld for tax	69	6,938	Form 4
2026-06-15	Copeland Margot	director	Disposition	1,777	3,996	Form 4
2026-06-12	McLean James P.G.	officer	Disposition	1,800	22,393	Form 4
2026-06-01	HERENCIA ROBERTO R	director	Award / grant	1,627	19,174	Form 4
2026-06-01	O'Reilly Monica Bernadette	director	Award / grant	1,259	1,259	Form 4
2026-06-01	Steiner Judith A	director	Award / grant	1,259	3,063	Form 4
2026-06-01	Pedersen John Clarence	director	Award / grant	1,240	9,073	Form 4
2026-06-01	Riordan Kevin F	director	Award / grant	1,162	12,089	Form 4
2026-06-01	BOYER ELLEN RM	director	Award / grant	1,123	7,389	Form 4
2026-06-01	Collingsworth Connie R	director	Award / grant	1,123	14,327	Form 4
2026-06-01	Layman John R	director	Award / grant	1,007	37,566	Form 4
2026-06-01	Tracey Millicent C.	director	Award / grant	1,007	1,789	Form 4
2026-06-01	Walsh Paul J.	director	Award / grant	1,007	5,773	Form 4
2026-06-01	Copeland Margot	director	Award / grant	1,007	5,773	Form 4
2026-04-02	GRESCOVICH MARK J	officer	Withheld for tax	1,094	269,252	Form 4
2026-04-02	PURCELL CYNTHIA D	officer	Withheld for tax	412	51,570	Form 4
2026-04-02	Butterfield Robert	officer	Withheld for tax	280	32,687	Form 4
2026-04-02	Costa James M	officer	Withheld for tax	252	42,853	Form 4
2026-04-02	Rice Jill M	officer	Withheld for tax	229	29,227	Form 4
2026-04-02	Kohler Kayleen R	officer	Withheld for tax	175	29,538	Form 4
2026-04-02	Harrison Karen	officer	Withheld for tax	159	13,638	Form 4
2026-04-02	Brown Janet M	officer	Withheld for tax	152	24,394	Form 4
2026-04-02	McLean James P.G.	officer	Withheld for tax	151	24,193	Form 4
2026-04-02	Luetjen Sherrey	officer	Withheld for tax	149	24,770	Form 4
2026-04-02	Reed James T Jr	officer	Withheld for tax	118	35,646	Form 4
2026-04-02	Larsen Kenneth A	officer	Withheld for tax	103	25,178	Form 4
2026-04-02	Oxford Daniel Everett	officer	Withheld for tax	103	9,308	Form 4
2026-04-02	Krug Jennifer Jane	officer	Withheld for tax	100	10,551	Form 4
2026-04-01	GRESCOVICH MARK J	officer	Award / grant	20,733	272,765	Form 4
2026-04-01	GRESCOVICH MARK J	officer	Award / grant	9,214	252,032	Form 4
2026-04-01	Costa James M	officer	Award / grant	5,958	43,702	Form 4
2026-04-01	Butterfield Robert	officer	Award / grant	5,850	33,950	Form 4
2026-04-01	BORRECCO MARK CHARLES	officer	Award / grant	5,743	21,044	Form 4
2026-04-01	PURCELL CYNTHIA D	officer	Award / grant	4,707	52,854	Form 4
2026-04-01	Costa James M	officer	Award / grant	3,972	37,744	Form 4
2026-04-01	Butterfield Robert	officer	Award / grant	3,900	28,100	Form 4
2026-04-01	BORRECCO MARK CHARLES	officer	Award / grant	3,829	15,301	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

27d remaining

2026-09-174% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i