AVTAvnet, Inc.Technology · Technology Distributorsas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $92.73 · now $92.73 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, AVT has typically landed between $83.37 and $105.44 — a range of −10.1% to +13.7% from the issuance price $92.73.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($92.73) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where AVT has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $92.73 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$83.37worst · -10.1%$105.44best · +13.7%
  • now $92.73 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $93.63 (+1.0%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $89.09–$98.17
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $83.37–$105.44
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-18−43.8%−43.8%+1.9%
2008-09-25−40.4%−40.4%+0.0%
2008-09-26−39.3%−39.9%+0.0%
3 best
2020-03-18+41.0%+0.0%+42.6%
2007-01-24+40.9%+0.0%+40.9%
2026-03-30+39.2%+0.0%+39.2%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
55%
+3.5%
n=20
Feb
60%
+1.4%
n=20
Mar
50%
+0.3%
n=20
Apr
45%
+2.4%
n=20
May
60%
+0.7%
n=20
Jun
45%
−1.2%
n=20
Jul
60%
+1.6%
n=20
Aug
75%
+1.0%
n=20
Sep
35%
−2.1%
n=20
Oct
50%
−0.0%
n=20
Nov
75%
+2.3%
n=20
Dec
70%
+4.0%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$100$442026-08-19: 1 insider sale, $2.9M — McCoy Michael Ryan2026-08-12: 2 insider sales, $5.1M — GALLAGHER PHILIP R …2026-05-22: 1 insider sale, $1.0M — JACOBSON KENNETH A2026-05-05: 1 insider sale, $2.0M — GALLAGHER PHILIP R2026-02-24: 1 insider sale, $3.1M — GALLAGHER PHILIP R2026-02-17: 1 insider sale, $2.4M — McCoy Michael Ryan2026-02-12: 1 insider sale, $65K — Youngblood Jay David2026-02-02: 1 insider sale, $568K — Chan Leng Jin2025-11-07: 1 insider purchase, $100K — JACOBSON KENNETH A2025-11: 1 open-market purchase, $100K2026-02: 4 open-market sales, $6.1M2026-05: 2 open-market sales, $3.0M2026-08: 3 open-market sales, $8.0M↑ buys↓ salesofficer McCoy Michael Ryan — Sale on 2026-08-19, filed 2 days after the tradedirector GALLAGHER PHILIP R — Sale on 2026-08-12, filed 1 day after the tradedirector GALLAGHER PHILIP R — Sale on 2026-08-12, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer JACOBSON KENNETH A — Sale on 2026-05-22, filed 4 days after the tradedirector GALLAGHER PHILIP R — Sale on 2026-05-05, filed 1 day after the tradedirector GALLAGHER PHILIP R — Sale on 2026-02-24, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer McCoy Michael Ryan — Sale on 2026-02-17, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Youngblood Jay David — Sale on 2026-02-12, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Chan Leng Jin — Sale on 2026-02-02, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer JACOBSON KENNETH A — Purchase on 2025-11-07, filed 3 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-19McCoy Michael RyanofficerSale32,052 @ $91.10$2.9M−29.5% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open76,674Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-12GALLAGHER PHILIP RdirectorSale31,900 @ $98.46$3.1M−14.4% of holding+3.4%not yet — horizon still open188,923Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-12GALLAGHER PHILIP RdirectorSale20,000 @ $98.46$2.0M−10.6% of holding+3.4%not yet — horizon still open168,923Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-22JACOBSON KENNETH AofficerSale12,000 @ $85.26$1.0M−22.7% of holding+4.5%not yet — horizon still open40,968Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-05GALLAGHER PHILIP RdirectorSale23,920 @ $82.92$2.0M−14.2% of holding+2.7%not yet — horizon still open145,003Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-24GALLAGHER PHILIP RdirectorSale46,068 @ $67.42$3.1M−21.4% of holding−2.3%+20.0%168,923Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-17McCoy Michael RyanofficerSale36,292 @ $65.48$2.4M−32.1% of holding−4.4%+31.9%76,674Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-12Youngblood Jay DavidofficerSale987 @ $66.27$65K−12.9% of holding−6.3%+31.9%6,635Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-02Chan Leng JinofficerSale9,226 @ $61.53$568K−18.5% of holding+2.1%+36.0%40,776Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-07JACOBSON KENNETH AofficerPurchase2,139 @ $46.75$100K+6.3% of holding+3.1%+65.3%36,033Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-05-13McMullen ElizabethofficerSale4,000 @ $52.80$211K−21.5% of holding−3.8%−26.8%14,626Form 4 · filed same day

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

129 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-16Chan Leng JinofficerDisposition13,00046,023Form 4
2026-09-15JACOBSON KENNETH AofficerDisposition6,84450,001Form 4
2026-09-14Chan Leng JinofficerAward / grant2,23359,023Form 4
2026-09-14JACOBSON KENNETH AofficerAward / grant4,99165,635Form 4
2026-09-14Arnold Ken E.officerAward / grant3,54689,469Form 4
2026-09-14GALLAGHER PHILIP RdirectorAward / grant20,360327,609Form 4
2026-09-14McCoy Michael RyanofficerAward / grant3,849106,280Form 4
2026-08-27GALLAGHER PHILIP RdirectorWithheld for tax12,476307,249Form 4
2026-08-27JACOBSON KENNETH AofficerWithheld for tax2,67476,521Form 4
2026-08-27McCoy Michael RyanofficerWithheld for tax2,318102,431Form 4
2026-08-27Arnold Ken E.officerWithheld for tax2,13985,923Form 4
2026-08-27Chan Leng JinofficerWithheld for tax1,33756,790Form 4
2026-08-27McCoy Michael RyanofficerAward / grant5,537104,749Form 4
2026-08-27GALLAGHER PHILIP RdirectorAward / grant29,811319,725Form 4
2026-08-27JACOBSON KENNETH AofficerAward / grant6,38879,195Form 4
2026-08-27Chan Leng JinofficerAward / grant3,19458,127Form 4
2026-08-27Arnold Ken E.officerAward / grant5,11188,062Form 4
2026-08-20GALLAGHER PHILIP RdirectorAward / grant120,991289,914Form 4
2026-08-20JACOBSON KENNETH AofficerAward / grant30,48872,807Form 4
2026-08-20McCoy Michael RyanofficerAward / grant22,53899,212Form 4
2026-08-20Arnold Ken E.officerAward / grant21,45282,951Form 4
2026-08-20Chan Leng JinofficerAward / grant14,15754,933Form 4
2026-08-20Youngblood Jay DavidofficerAward / grant7,09013,725Form 4
2026-08-19McCoy Michael RyanofficerOption exercise32,052108,726Form 4
2026-08-19McCoy Michael RyanofficerOption exercise32,0520Form 4
2026-08-12GALLAGHER PHILIP RdirectorOption exercise31,900200,823Form 4
2026-08-12GALLAGHER PHILIP RdirectorOption exercise20,000220,823Form 4
2026-08-12GALLAGHER PHILIP RdirectorOption exercise20,000150,048Form 4
2026-08-12GALLAGHER PHILIP RdirectorOption exercise31,9000Form 4
2026-07-01KHAYKIN OLEGdirectorAward / grant41257,495Form 4
2026-06-17KHAYKIN OLEGdirectorAward / grant21957,083Form 4
2026-06-17Freeman BrendadirectorAward / grant13936,193Form 4
2026-06-17MADDOCK ERNEST EdirectorAward / grant6216,290Form 4
2026-06-17GASSEL HELMUTdirectorAward / grant297,688Form 4
2026-06-17Henkels VirginiadirectorAward / grant297,688Form 4
2026-06-17Adkins Rodney CdirectorAward / grant215,414Form 4
2026-05-05GALLAGHER PHILIP RdirectorOption exercise23,920168,923Form 4
2026-05-05GALLAGHER PHILIP RdirectorOption exercise23,9200Form 4
2026-04-01KHAYKIN OLEGdirectorAward / grant59656,864Form 4
2026-03-18KHAYKIN OLEGdirectorAward / grant32656,268Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.