AVNTAvient CorporationBasic Materials · Chemicals - Specialtyas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $40.93 · now $40.93 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, AVNT has typically landed between $34.83 and $47.94 — a range of −14.9% to +17.1% from the issuance price $40.93.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($40.93) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where AVNT has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $40.93 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$34.83worst · -14.9%$47.94best · +17.1%
  • now $40.93 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $41.24 (+0.8%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $38.55–$43.93
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $34.83–$47.94
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-18−67.0%−67.0%+0.2%
2020-02-19−56.5%−67.0%+0.0%
2020-02-20−52.5%−67.0%+0.0%
3 best
2020-03-18+103.7%+0.0%+114.6%
2009-03-11+96.3%+0.0%+96.3%
2009-03-06+95.2%−4.0%+96.2%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
45%
−0.3%
n=20
Feb
60%
+1.1%
n=20
Mar
50%
+1.9%
n=20
Apr
65%
+4.6%
n=20
May
60%
+1.8%
n=20
Jun
55%
−0.4%
n=20
Jul
55%
+4.7%
n=20
Aug
55%
+3.1%
n=20
Sep
45%
−1.7%
n=20
Oct
50%
+0.3%
n=20
Nov
65%
+1.2%
n=20
Dec
65%
+1.9%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$46$27↑ buys↓ sales
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

193 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-06-30Mink Kim AnndirectorAward / grant1,04938,817Form 4
2026-06-30Jellison William RdirectorAward / grant1,04927,174Form 4
2026-06-30Green NeildirectorAward / grant1,04910,420Form 4
2026-06-30ABERNATHY ROBERT EdirectorAward / grant1,04941,920Form 4
2026-06-30FEARON RICHARD HdirectorAward / grant1,049149,115Form 4
2026-06-30LIN SANDRA BEACHdirectorAward / grant1,04912,173Form 4
2026-06-30Nicolas ErnestdirectorAward / grant1,04926,907Form 4
2026-06-30Preete Kerry JdirectorAward / grant1,04951,640Form 4
2026-06-30Verduin PatriciadirectorAward / grant1,04928,418Form 4
2026-06-30WULFSOHN WILLIAM AdirectorAward / grant1,04965,591Form 4
2026-06-01Di Salvo GiuseppeofficerAward / grant6,3576,357Form 4
2026-03-31ABERNATHY ROBERT EdirectorAward / grant1,07240,871Form 4
2026-03-31Mink Kim AnndirectorAward / grant1,07237,479Form 4
2026-03-31Nicolas ErnestdirectorAward / grant1,07225,663Form 4
2026-03-31Verduin PatriciadirectorAward / grant1,07227,369Form 4
2026-03-31WULFSOHN WILLIAM AdirectorAward / grant1,07264,043Form 4
2026-03-31LIN SANDRA BEACHdirectorAward / grant1,07211,124Form 4
2026-03-31FEARON RICHARD HdirectorAward / grant1,072148,066Form 4
2026-03-31Green NeildirectorAward / grant1,0729,371Form 4
2026-03-31Preete Kerry JdirectorAward / grant1,07250,201Form 4
2026-03-31Goff Gregory JamesdirectorAward / grant1,07254,476Form 4
2026-03-31Jellison William RdirectorAward / grant1,07226,125Form 4
2026-02-20Irwin Michael JosephofficerAward / grant3,2103,210Form 4
2026-02-20Schneider David NickolasofficerAward / grant6,3606,360Form 4
2026-02-20Sanders AmyofficerAward / grant7,2907,290Form 4
2026-02-20Rizzo AnielloofficerAward / grant3,0603,060Form 4
2026-02-20Moh Woon KeatdirectorAward / grant9,3009,300Form 4
2026-02-20Ashish Khandpur KdirectorAward / grant63,48063,480Form 4
2026-02-20Gajewski KristenofficerAward / grant6,4506,450Form 4
2026-02-20Clark Philip G JrofficerAward / grant3,9603,960Form 4
2026-02-20Beggs Jamie A.directorAward / grant12,63012,630Form 4
2026-02-19Ashish Khandpur KdirectorWithheld for tax8,28654,384Form 4
2026-02-19Beggs Jamie A.directorWithheld for tax1,51838,210Form 4
2026-02-19Moh Woon KeatdirectorWithheld for tax1,26015,871Form 4
2026-02-19Sanders AmyofficerWithheld for tax8891,006Form 4
2026-02-19Gajewski KristenofficerWithheld for tax7125,079Form 4
2026-02-19Clark Philip G JrofficerWithheld for tax329639Form 4
2026-02-19Irwin Michael JosephofficerWithheld for tax261508Form 4
2026-02-19Gajewski KristenofficerOption exercise1,5803,160Form 4
2026-02-19Irwin Michael JosephofficerOption exercise7431,487Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.