Issued 2026-09-16 at $9.98 · now $9.98 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, AUDC has typically landed between $8.12 and $11.56 — a range of −18.6% to +15.8% from the issuance price $9.98.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($9.98) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where AUDC has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $9.98 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $9.98 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $9.84 (-1.5%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $9.16–$10.51
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $8.12–$11.56
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2011-09-01 | −43.7% | −43.7% | +0.0% |
| 2010-04-26 | −42.1% | −42.1% | +0.0% |
| 2009-01-29 | −42.0% | −42.0% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2012-08-24 | +110.2% | −1.7% | +110.2% |
| 2012-08-27 | +108.5% | −0.9% | +112.0% |
| 2012-08-23 | +105.9% | −1.7% | +105.9% |
5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Simon Zehava | director | Sale | 27,000 @ $9.91 | $268K | −100.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-31 | Simon Zehava | director | Sale | 6,000 @ $10.03 | $60K | −18.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 27,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-10 | Aldema Lior | officer | Sale | 2,812 @ $9.98 | $28K | −2.6% of holding | −1.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 104,065 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-10 | Baruch Niran | officer | Sale | 1,875 @ $9.99 | $19K | −1.9% of holding | −1.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 99,375 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-06 | Aldema Lior | officer | Sale | 2,812 @ $9.95 | $28K | −2.6% of holding | +2.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 106,877 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-06 | Baruch Niran | officer | Sale | 1,875 @ $9.95 | $19K | −1.8% of holding | +2.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 101,250 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-05 | Aldema Lior | officer | Sale | 2,812 @ $9.86 | $28K | −2.5% of holding | +0.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 109,689 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-05 | Baruch Niran | officer | Sale | 1,875 @ $9.84 | $18K | −1.8% of holding | +0.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 103,125 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-08 | Aldema Lior | officer | Sale | 2,813 @ $8.34 | $23K | −2.4% of holding | +13.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 112,501 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-08 | Baruch Niran | officer | Sale | 1,875 @ $8.34 | $16K | −1.8% of holding | +13.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 105,000 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-06 | Aldema Lior | officer | Sale | 2,813 @ $8.53 | $24K | −2.4% of holding | +12.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 115,314 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-06 | Baruch Niran | officer | Sale | 1,875 @ $8.52 | $16K | −1.7% of holding | +12.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 106,875 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-05 | Aldema Lior | officer | Sale | 2,813 @ $8.56 | $24K | −2.3% of holding | +14.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 118,127 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-05 | Baruch Niran | officer | Sale | 1,875 @ $8.57 | $16K | −1.7% of holding | +14.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 108,750 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-28 | Aldema Lior | officer | Sale | 2,813 @ $8.71 | $25K | −3.6% of holding | +4.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 75,940 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-28 | Baruch Niran | officer | Sale | 1,875 @ $8.71 | $16K | −2.3% of holding | +4.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 80,625 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
9 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | ADLERSBERG SHABTAI | officer | Award / grant | 80,000 | 4,952,253 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-09 | Birenbaum Shira | director | Award / grant | 10,000 | 46,250 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-09 | Makov Itay | director | Award / grant | 10,000 | 20,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-09 | Simon Zehava | director | Award / grant | 10,000 | 80,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-09 | NEVO DORON | director | Award / grant | 10,000 | 60,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-09 | Tenne Joseph | director | Award / grant | 10,000 | 94,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-09 | STERN STANLEY | director | Award / grant | 10,000 | 80,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-04 | Baruch Niran | officer | Award / grant | 30,000 | 110,625 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-04 | Aldema Lior | officer | Award / grant | 45,000 | 120,940 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.